Advertisement
If you have a new account but are having problems posting or verifying your account, please email us on hello@boards.ie for help. Thanks :)
Hello all! Please ensure that you are posting a new thread or question in the appropriate forum. The Feedback forum is overwhelmed with questions that are having to be moved elsewhere. If you need help to verify your account contact hello@boards.ie

US and UK to now furnish Australia with nuclear submarines.

1356712

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,911 ✭✭✭✭banie01


    A logical extension of your argument is that Kuwait, Singapore, South Sudan, Belgium, the former Soviet Republics and indeed any country that has ever seceded or won independence from another should not ever be granted UN recognition and indeed that recognition of a Country as being free and independent should vest upon UN recognition?

    Utter nonsense, but interesting to read on an Irish website? What do the Chinese call the King's Shilling?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,103 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    The US needs to make some more neutron weapons. Military simulations indicate that they are probably the only answer to China's ability to throw cannon fodder at any conflict. Incredible to think Macarthur might have been right when he called on nuking the Chinese forces in the Korean conflict.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,024 ✭✭✭circadian



    I don't care, I just want my outrage. This format of posting a news article and then completely misrepresenting it really does it for me, it's amazing if one of these rolls in when I'm having my morning coffee. I spend the rest of the day angry at everything for absolutely no reason.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,517 ✭✭✭✭Flinty997


    The question is why are they expanding their military.

    There are obviously local territorial disputes. But the main driver would seem to protect its overseas interests.

    "....

    Turbulence, terrorism, and piracy, as well as natural disasters and epidemics in some areas, have posed threats to China’s overseas interests. The changing international arena is forcing the country to rethink its strategies. According to “The Diversified Employment of China’s Armed Forces,”

    With the gradual integration of China’s economy into the world economic system, overseas interests have become an integral component of China’s national interests. Security issues are increasingly prominent, involving overseas energy and resources, strategic sea lines of communication, and Chinese nationals and legal persons overseas. Vessel protection at sea, evacuation of Chinese nationals overseas, and emergency rescue have become important ways and means for the PLA to safeguard national interests and fulfill China’s international obligations.47

    The latest white paper onChina’s Military Strategy lists safeguarding “the security of the country’s overseas interests” and its “security and interest in new domains” as a strategic task to be shouldered by its armed forces.48

    China’s use of its military in evacuation operations shows growing capability and confidence in that capability. While some might view China’s increasing use of its military overseas as a threat, China sees it as a necessity. Furthermore, as China expands its overseas interests abroad, the Chinese government and military are forced to increase their involvement. China is taking steps that indicate the PLA will become increasingly more active in the evacuation of its citizens overseas, which means that it will most likely also increase its presence in other ways overseas. The question is, how far will it go?..."

    https://www.armyupress.army.mil/Journals/Military-Review/English-Edition-Archives/November-December-2017/Compelling-Reasons-for-the-Expansion-of-Chinese-Military-Forces/



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,911 ✭✭✭✭banie01


    The white paper provides a very good insight into the Chinese drive to improve their capabilities. I'd agree and simplify the explanation further.

    China are seeking military and in particular force projection and capacity commensurate with their economic hegemony. China has a naval strategy focused very much on its immediate vicinity, Pacific, Indian Ocean and south China sea. It's soon to be a 3 carrier navy and the belief is that the new Type 003 will be CATOBAR making it comparable to only the US and France in being able to launch fully fuelled and fully armed aircraft. The 003 will also likely be lead ship of a class of at least 3.

    That could put China over the top versus and US-UK-AUs alliance and represents a serious threat to India also.

    I think that any Pacific pact needs to bring India along with it. Both to remove it from Russian influence sphere and to allow greater range of flexible response to entire Indo-Pac region. The Rafale deal, theMMRCA programme and US/French efforts to sell fighters along with recent GE engine deal could signal and Indian pivot towards a similar deal.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,517 ✭✭✭✭Flinty997



    It would seem to run counter to the current affairs forum charter. Seems more appropriate for after hours or the conspiracy forum.

    Though its an interesting news piece if it was posted on its own.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,517 ✭✭✭✭Flinty997




  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    True, but technology for creating/delivering nuclear weapons is, which is what a NATO standard built submarine is, and as I mentioned before, I doubt the UK or US will be the place these subs will be getting refuelled, especially with Uranium Ore reserves that Aus have... I think it would be incredibly naïve to think it will be not built to NATO spec, or think it will be refuelled in the UK or US...

    If the US and UK were to sell this system/technology to cover those two points to Aus, that would be an infringement, however, if Aus were to build it itself with knowledge share from US/UK, this circumnavigates the NPT.

    If it were a simple nuclear sub, they wouldn't need to liaise with the IAEA



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,104 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    The Aussies have been upping the anti-china rhetoric for the past few years now, it's clear they and of course the US now see China as a credible threat.

    Australia as a nuclear power would make a nice deterrent in the US' eyes - another strong Western power to reign them in.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,382 ✭✭✭thomil


    Sorry, but that's BS. Building something to NATO standard does not automatically mean it's nuclear capable. Case in point is the F/A-18 Super Hornet order that the Luftwaffe just placed. They're fully NATO compatible, obviously, but will require significant modifications to be able to carry the B-61 nuclear bombs based in Germany under NATO's Nuclear Sharing program.

    It's the same for submarines. Just because a boat can fire standardised NATO weapons, that does not mean it is automatically able to deploy nukes. First of all, there's the command-and-control side of things. Even with the US' lax attitude to nuclear weapons control in the past, they won't just allow an ally to store any nuclear-tipped cruise missiles next to regular torpedoes, especially since torpedo rooms are often used as extra berthing on subs. So there'll need to be a specialised storage area for nuclear weapons, which will further constrain the already limited space within a submarine's pressure hull. That compartment will need to be access controlled so that the weapons can only be launched after proper authorisation. The submarine will require the necessary communication and authentication system, and any nuclear weapons would likely be subject to the SIOP or whatever the US call it nowadays, meaning that Australia wouldn't have operational control over such weapons in the first place.

    Good luck trying to figure me out. I haven't managed that myself yet!



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,103 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    There is no such thing as 'NATO spec'. France and the UK have nuclear powered and armed subs, but they are not built to a common spec and they are quite different from each other.

    These subs won't be getting their fuel from Australia because it has no nuclear enrichment infrastructure. Uranium ore is long way away from nuclear fuel rods.

    These subs will use nuclear fuel instead of diesel. That is the be-all and end-all of this. iI should be as controversial as replacing the diesel generators with a big battery pack, but a lot of people seem to lose 75% of their inate intelligence anytime the word 'nuclear' is used.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,418 ✭✭✭BluePlanet


    Listen to yourself.

    Imagine Loyalists and Unionists running off to form a break-away region in a part of this country after say, an internal rebellion, then pretending to be the rightful government of Ireland.

    Then after real poitik takes root and the rest of world decides that ROI is actually the government of Ireland, you're here to tell us nope, it's those unionists in the north that are. And if they aren't, well then they must be awarded their very own country.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,517 ✭✭✭✭Flinty997


    As per the link posted earlier. The main reason to go nuclear power will be to increase the time the submarine can patrol.

    "...a 2013 report from the Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments, a U.S. think tank, indicated that nuclear-powered submarines operating from Perth could stay on station in the highly strategic South China Sea for up to 77 days, while advanced conventional submarines would only be able to manage patrol lasting around 11 days...."

    But put this in perspective the Chinese Submarine Fleet...

    https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2021/06/08/chinas-submarine-fleet-is-huge-the-us-navy-plans-to-whittle-away-at-it-with-mines/?sh=3c611f8f297a



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,911 ✭✭✭✭banie01


    Imagine, Imagine that when the Border poll comes that the option for N.I to declare independence is an option and wins?

    The adoption of Northern Irish as an identity is just as valid an identity as Irish or British and if they chose to go their own way are you going to rail against UN recognition for them?

    Taiwan is a country, It has long been and the Realpolitik of the 1china policy is the only reason that it is being held in abeyance.

    Listen to yourself, dismissing the right of people and nations to self determination.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    The French are understandably annoyed after having a major contract pulled out from under them by two allies and friends.

    That being said, France wasn’t supplying nuclear powered submarines to Australia, just diesel ones.

    I would assume Australia will now have to pay a break payment in the contract with the company or may even end up completing a smaller order.

    As for China, it’s an odd one. It isn’t the USSR and I think that it’s a very big error to assume it thinks like that. China in many ways resembles what it always was - a court and monarchy. They’ve just replaced the emperor with a chairman and the court with a party. The internal politics hasn’t really changed much.

    It’s also very, very capitalist for a communist state. In fact it’s almost state sponsored hyper capitalism.

    China’s integration into the global economy gives it a lot of economic and soft power, but it also works the other way too. It can’t afford to just lose its international markets. Look at what’s going on with Huawei for example.

    The concentration of power around Xi is concerning, but it’s a very, very different entity to Russia or the USSR.

    I’d treat China with a degree of wariness but I also wouldn’t create monsters to justify military sabre rattling either.

    China is a long way from being a democracy or free society, and has huge issues around human rights. It is also quite unreasonable to just jump into a conclusion of the U.S. involvement is bad (often accurate) or the British empire history in Asia is grim (heavy criticism is absolutely deserved), but it also shouldn’t mean assuming the other side therefore is entirely positive. It really isn’t.

    The history around old empires notably Britain and France in China and Asia is very problematic. I think there’s a lot of British arrogance in what’s going on and it isn’t really understanding the Chinese perspective at all.

    It’s a situation that needs to be monitored and approached very carefully.

    Post edited by [Deleted User] on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 303 ✭✭.42.


    Lol you try to make it out as if the US and UK are the “ Good Guy “ of the world.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,418 ✭✭✭BluePlanet


    Imagine subscribing to narratives of an imperial power, one that has a big bee in it's bonnet about all things "communist" and goes around formenting division, starting conflict and interferring in other countries with a view of keeping the 'red scare' at bay.

    And 50 years later, like a machine, still reciting and advocating the policies of said imperialism.

    That is what people are doing regarding "Taiwan" and "Tibet" and any other anti China nonsense.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,517 ✭✭✭✭Flinty997



    Takes one to know one etc. If it looks like a duck its probably a duck etc.

    Unfortunately China's own record isn't fantastic. There no one with the moral high ground. Not the West, and not China.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,418 ✭✭✭BluePlanet


    Any gross figures on US financial support for "Taiwan" since 1949?

    Probably what, Trillions?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    What was once considered as an absolute no go is making perfect sense in a near future conflict ,

    Someone else was talking about aircraft carriers ,China wants something like 10 in the next few years ,but running and operating a single or several carrier groups is no easy task , especially when your going up against countries who have being fighting from aircraft carriers for the last 70+ years Vs a country who's only recently decided that they were going to have multiple carrier groups ,

    Russia has struggled with carrier operations for decades suddenly everyone thinks China is the top dog



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,966 ✭✭✭fly_agaric


    Imagine subscribing to narratives of an imperial power, one that has a big bee in it's bonnet about all things "communist" and goes around formenting division, starting conflict and interferring in other countries with a view of keeping the 'red scare' at bay.

    China is also an "imperial power". There's no evidence it will act differently to US when it has same amount of power at its disposal. Once it has all the required tools (carrier groups to sail around and park off coast of enemy nations, bases in bought clients all over the world to launch attacks from etc) it probably will use them. I suppose that is pessimistic, but 🙁

    IMO countries historically don't usually pour alot of effort into these resource-intensive military things without using them on someone at some point (I suppose the nuclear weapons constructed in the Cold war are one exception).

    China already has a lot of economic power in the world (second to US) and those with eyes can see how it has been using that the last few years (not so different to US, with trade sanctions etc.).

    There's evidence to suggest it will be worse than the US (the internal politics, very brutal way it treats its own people who step out of line, the contempt and cynicism the government holds for things people in democratic states value when they get in the way - the more powerful they are the more they will export those "values").



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,418 ✭✭✭BluePlanet


    Disagree.

    China has been subject to a brutal invasion by occupying power(s) which in my view, makes them less likely to commit the same offense.

    They show little interest in exporting their doctrines.

    Sure, they flex their muscles within their immediate geopolitical region or within their sphere of influence (or does only the US get to have one of those?), but that's not the same thing as colonial imperial powers sailing across the globe.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,911 ✭✭✭✭banie01


    My previous reply to this nonsensical post was deleted for attacking the poster. I'd hope my revised opinion meets the standard.

    It's a good thing China has a cohort of digital bootlickers and apologists and Shills to remind us of just how wrong we are then isn't it?

    And as for China's claim to Hegemony and territory of Taiwan? Japan has just as valid a claim by your own logic...



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    There are NATO specs for weapons delivery systems, be it marine, air, or land.... it's a spec, not a mandate.

    France is a poor example for comparison as they always do their own thing when it comes to defence weapons systems, and were only meant to provide Diesel subs to Aus.

    Correct, there isn't infrastructure, that's not to say there won't be. This program won't see the light of day for circa 8-10 years. If you look at the bigger picture, threats in the Pacific, US due to run out of Uranium for powering their maritime fleet by circa 2050/2060, it makes sense to pivot to Aus to future proof fuel supplies.

    Plus the fact IAEA are involved already, if it was a simple nuclear sub, fuelled in another country, which was fitted with conventional weapons, there is little to no infringement to the NPT, bar them looking into possibly some safeguarding that Aus won't be siphoning off fuel for nuclear weapons (a French nuclear sub would have made sense in this respect, as they use low grade fuel).

    This is a long game move...

    Also, I get the impression you think I'm anti this move, I'm not, it's a great move from the west, but it's definitely not a simple "we're supplying our mates some subs"... there will be some net gain from the US and UK in the process, and not in the form of money



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,966 ✭✭✭fly_agaric


    I don't know if that follows from China's history. China may have been weak in recent past, but generally it has been Asia's "great power" or empire and a world leader. That is as much if not more so their history than the period of weakness.

    As regards exporting their doctrines again disagree somewhat. They haven't been able to in the past - they can now.

    The CCP are very frightened of their people being "infected" by various Western ideas and also very sensitive about their relations with others and their interests (e.g. that all countries respect the waters and various archipelagos they claim in the Pacific as Chinese terrirtory, that countries treat Taiwan as a province of China). 

    The way for them to "make their world safe from democracy" IMO is to go on the offensive and curtail/damage/destroy it elsewhere + support friendly authoritarians (similar to how the Soviets supported Communist states in the Cold War). As their power has grown their ability to enforce all this on everyone else is enhanced.

    Australia is not a colonial/occuping power or superpower so why do they suddenly want all these very powerful new weapons? We can probably guess US might want to build an alliance against China and have them in it, but all this will be very expensive for Australia. Is it because they are inherantly "colonisers" or is it America's evil influence on them?

    To be honest I think it's more likely happening because they are quite scared and increasingly wary of China, and the rhetoric against them (and some actions like trade sanctions) from the government because they are displeased with Australia.

    They are frightened that once China has the means, they may end up participating in some "tests" of these fancy new Chinese military capabilites some years down the line.

    edit: tidied up

    Post edited by fly_agaric on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,103 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    Give us a link to the NATO spec for nuclear weapons and submarines. This 'meant' in relation to diesel subs is an odd way of putting ir. Australia isthe customer and originally 'asked' for diesel powered subs like the existing Collins, so of course that is what they were meant to do. There is nothing wrong with them reappraising the mission requirements and changing their minds.

    The infrastructure to conduct nuclear enrichment and the latter processes necessary to handle and produce nuclear fuel rods would likely cost more than the sub contract. The WSJ has this headline: America’s Self-Imposed Uranium Shortage".

    If Australia wanted nuclear weapons it could develop them from scratch. No need for anyone getting their feathers all ruffled any more than if they announced they were planning on a nuclear power station, which would be no one's business but theirs.

    This is not a nuclear weapons proliferation issue and there is no such angle to this, it is merely about whether the electricity to operate the submarines motors is generated by burning diesel fuel or splitting some atoms.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,750 ✭✭✭brickster69


    Macron not happy that his deal has been torpedoed. They did look a bit over priced really. 🤣



    "if you get on the wrong train, get off at the nearest station, the longer it takes you to get off, the more expensive the return trip will be."



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    But some people need the sensational headlines to add look at what America did now !



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 303 ✭✭.42.


    meanwhile in Australia.


    this is a typical US/UK idea which Aussies are going along with.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,333 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    Leaving aside the geopolitics for a moment, Australia have made a serious fiscal error in all this.

    They had 4 diesel-electric subs on order from a French builder, who actually planned to construct them in South Australia. Those have now been cancelled and inevitably Australia will have to pay massive compensation to the builder.

    Then, because Australia has no domestic nuclear industry, save one tiny research reactor in Sydney, it has already been stated by the US and UK that they will supply nuclear attack subs to Oz and also look after the nuclear engineering, presumably requiring frequent trips to the west coast of the US. That is a massively inefficient commitment for men and resources in a comparitively small navy like Australia.

    What Australia should have done, was proceed with the 4 new diesel boats and instead provided hardened bases for American nuclear attack subs in the north of Australia, in a similar arrangement to Japan and the Philippines.

    In fact, by the time this is digested politically in Australia, that is far more likely to be the actual outcome.



Advertisement