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Brexit discussion thread XIV (Please read OP before posting)

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  • Registered Users Posts: 15,243 ✭✭✭✭Fr Tod Umptious


    And if the fuel panic buying does abate in the next few weeks the problem will just move on to some other sector, clothes, food, toys and electronic goods for Christmas.

    Just this morning Next are warning how their supply network will not be as efficient coming up to Christmas due to staff shortages.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,215 ✭✭✭yagan




  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Arts Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 18,311 CMod ✭✭✭✭Nody




  • Registered Users Posts: 26,069 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    We finally get down to what Brexit was really about. Big companies upset that the EU tries to do evil things like protect it's citizens from dodgy GM crops and chlorinated chickens.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 38,732 CMod ✭✭✭✭ancapailldorcha


    Is it because they've been stripping the country for economic parts for decades while laying the foundations for economic catastrophe? The selling off of parts of the state and outsourcing contracts to donors and billionaires, the flogging off of much of the nation's social housing, austerity for workers and socialism for the rich and, now, Brexit because the Tories couldn't just agree to disagree on the EU.

    The phrase "levelling up" just conjures images of that Steve Buscemi meme where he asks, "How do you do, fellow kids?". It's so crude and simple and draws way from the fact that the party spouting this are the party who have created this mess to begin with.

    The foreigner residing among you must be treated as your native-born. Love them as yourself, for you were foreigners in Egypt. I am the LORD your God.

    Leviticus 19:34



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  • Registered Users Posts: 4,906 ✭✭✭fly_agaric


    Very depressing watching this play out. Assuming this UK govt. lasts the whole term and can get their agenda done, I think this sort of regulation drift is going to f-ck Ireland eventually (thanks to the NI border fudge). I don't expect govt. here are up to challenges like that. To be fair, it would be a very difficult situation even for a competently run country that can make plans and implement them (Ireland usually has the planning/implementation abilities of a chicken whose head has been just chopped off). I get extremely pessimistic about this situation at times.



  • Registered Users Posts: 26,069 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    What border fudge?

    The UK signed a deal keeping NI in alignment with the EU and it will remain that way despite all the roaring and screaming from Tories



  • Registered Users Posts: 149 ✭✭Eclectic Econometrics


    I think it is clever in so far as it plays on the liberal metropolitan elite narrative. They've convinced people in some of the most deprived areas of England that they, the party that has been in power for a decade, are the ones to give those media studies Islington dwellers a kicking and to provide places like Doncaster, Blackpool and Bolton a financial boost.

    If Theresa May or John Major fronted this slogan then you would think maybe, MAYBE, but to have Boris Johnson, a man who wouldn't waste his urine on you if you were on fire, be the person to push this slogan is equal parts amazing and also reflective of idiocy/desperation (choose your own word) of the electorate.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,215 ✭✭✭yagan


    The Loyalists complaints are based on the NIP actually working well. Also don't forget it was actually the DUP who led the campaign for Irish Sea animal checks after CJD and the last foot and mouth outbreak.



  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 91,658 Mod ✭✭✭✭Capt'n Midnight



    What they signed up for was - Under the Northern Ireland Protocol (NIP), Northern Ireland will remain in the same Sanitary and Phytosanitary (SPS) zone as the EU. Could we end up with NI farmers blocking the ports while waving their flegs ?

    Oh look UK are also playing silly buggers with French fishing licences "EU sources offered a sceptical analysis of the developments. One suggested that the decisions had been timed ahead of the Conservative party conference" - so expect more dead cats.



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  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 38,732 CMod ✭✭✭✭ancapailldorcha


    No insults. Posts deleted.

    The foreigner residing among you must be treated as your native-born. Love them as yourself, for you were foreigners in Egypt. I am the LORD your God.

    Leviticus 19:34



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,906 ✭✭✭fly_agaric


    It is a "fudge" in reality because the UK has not properly implemented the agreement (NI Protocol) which is supposed to protect the EU market from smuggled goods or the likes of unregulated non EU GM foods and hormone-treated or chlorine washed meat, and may never implement it fully or even renege on it if they get up the gumption; they want to but are afraid IMO. However, NI border with Ireland is a very real external border of the EU post Brexit with all that implies.



  • Registered Users Posts: 26,069 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    And what items have so far flooded into the EU from this lack of implantation.

    If they mess around it will mean breaking an international trade treaty and a very complicated hard border. They don't care enough about NI or the DUP to risk it



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,906 ✭✭✭fly_agaric


    I don't know? Nothing too serious other than perhaps (??) some diversion of Irish imports from UK to come via NI to avoid more extensive customs in Irish ports. These won't go beyond this island by definition, so they aren't much of a problem for anyone except us.

    The (stated) direction of travel of the UK post Brexit (deliberate divergance from EU regulations) is quite concerning though, hence my first post/response to that BBC GM crops deregulation story.

    For the UK govt., I think NI and its border with Ireland is just a handy tool to be deployed to damage the EU or gain leverage over it. As you say they don't actually care about NI or the DUP. The damage that tool might suffer as they wield it is of no concern to them whatsoever.

    There have been limits to how far they have gone in using that tool, not because they care about upholding treaties but because they are afraid of the EU and US reaction. However, unfortunately there is nothing that can make the UK keep its agreements if they are willing to suffer the (possibly considerable) pain of not doing so.



  • Registered Users Posts: 26,069 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    Your still dealing with ifs and buts. As things stand the UK are sticking to the agreement despite the bluster and evidence of large quantities of dodgy goods entering NI will be a huge situation with the EU and one the UK won't risk because they will lose



  • Registered Users Posts: 18,657 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    On the contrary, I think the Americans had more genuine interest in science and space exploration. They've been at the forefront of science for well over a century. Yes, there was certainly a propaganda element to the space race via the Cold War, but they had no real need to prove themselves.....they were already perceived by everyone as the richest and most powerful country on the planet.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,215 ✭✭✭yagan


    Nothing to prove! Loads of off topic nonsense. JFKs promise to put a man on the moon was a direct reaction to the perception of feeling left behind by the Russians. Next you'll be telling us the space race was between the USSR and someone else.



  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 91,658 Mod ✭✭✭✭Capt'n Midnight


    NASA is very good at self publicity and drowning out the accomplishments of the European and Japanese programs. Russians were the first to soft land on and transmit from the moon, Venus and Mars (for 20 seconds)

    NASA is also very good as spreading out the pork. They've spent $20Bn (and counting) on SLS/Aries which reuses flight proven, off the shelf space shuttle boosters and engines and will deliver just 10% more payload than a $0.15Bn (retail) SpaceX Falcon Heavy.

    The world's richest man offered NASA $2Bn of his own money (which was against the rules) to subsidise his bid down to $3.99Bn for the Artemis project after SpaceX won with a bid of $2.91 and he's now suing NASA because they didn't jump at the chance to throw cash at him.

    Now imagine how the Tories would behave with that sort of money sloshing about. Then again the £22Bn - £37Bn spent on test and trace should serve as a warning.



  • Registered Users Posts: 26,069 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    The Tory space program and it's funding will most likely awarded to some Bullingdon Club buddy of Johnson's who was into Star Wars computer games back in the day



  • Registered Users Posts: 18,657 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    The space race and the Cold War were very real. However, the bid to put men in space and on the moon would almost certainly have happened anyway, even if the Soviet Union didn't exist. Once rockets had been developed by von Braun in 1944, everything that happened afterwards was inevitable. The only difference might have been the timeframe, it may have taken longer.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 4,906 ✭✭✭fly_agaric


    Yeah it is all ifs. It depends on how much the UK government are willing to do what they say (deregulate the UK economy in coming years & renege on their agreements with the EU). It is a very hard thing to gauge because (IMO) the current UK govt. lie a lot [compared to more "typical" politicians] and are not very transparent.

    edit: Just a small correction. The UK are putting out alot of bluster about what they will do about the NI Protocol in future if it is not changed according to what they desire etc. However they are already not sticking to the agreement. They have broken it (and the promises Gove made to the EU about implementation just before Christmas last year). It is being allowed to slide by the EU presumably for sake of the "bigger picture" (state of the EU-UK relationship, which is already bad enough).

    Post edited by fly_agaric on


  • Registered Users Posts: 22,420 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    In brexit news, The Labour party have announced that they are going to 're-open brexit talks' with the EU if they get into power after the next election

    https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit-labour-boris-johnson-deal-keir-starmer-david-lammy-b1928982.html

    Thereby proving that the Labour party under Starmer are just as delusional or dishonest as the Tories. The EU will not re-open negotiations over the brexit deal.

    Brexit is over, the deal is done, as far as the EU are concerned.

    Any new negotiation is not a brexit negotiation, it is the UK coming cap in hand to the EU begging to be let back into the customs union or single market, in the hope that relationships aren't so badly damaged that the EU will consider their application in a timely manner.

    The EU may consider a genuine request to re-join the Customs Union or single market, but at that stage, they might as well be restarting accession talks because Brexit has absoliutely no benefit to the UK without the unicorn promises of 'global Britain' pursuing its own trade deals around the world



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,705 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    If I remember correctly. Barnier always said that the UK were always welcome to reopen negotiations if it were to get a closer relationship - remember his staircase.

    However, I suspect that the resulting agreement would be significantly inferior to the one that could have been achieved if they had proposed it before exiting.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,215 ✭✭✭yagan


    The Brexit deal as negotiated is definitely closed, but he said Britain is always welcome to negotiate a closer future relationship, which let's face it means a customs union with the bloc, membership of the EEA or full application for rejoining the bloc with the previous optouts.

    Honestly I can't see a UK ever rejoining the EU, but further domestic decline may refocus the narrative in Britain. Perhaps five years from now a narrative may take hold whereby the previous EU membership wasn't good enough because of the optouts etc..

    Their fondness for fantasy means anything is possible really.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 38,732 CMod ✭✭✭✭ancapailldorcha


    Why? The EU have always been willing to talk. Closer alignment benefits everyone. All that's needed is a cool head in No. 10 who sees that things as they are are not good enough.

    The foreigner residing among you must be treated as your native-born. Love them as yourself, for you were foreigners in Egypt. I am the LORD your God.

    Leviticus 19:34



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Arts Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 18,311 CMod ✭✭✭✭Nody


    Honestly in one of the biggest headscratchers of Boris government out there they have applied to change the international tag for cars from GB to UK; Because they had GB while in EU and of course that must change...

    “If you have a GB sticker, cover or remove it before driving outside the UK.”

    In June, the UK government applied to the United Nations for the change to be made under the 1968 Vienna Convention on Road Traffic.

    A Department for Transport spokesperson said: “Changing the national identifier from GB to UK symbolises our unity as a nation and is part of a wider move towards using the UK signifier across government.”



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 15,498 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    I'm going to assume that like the blue passports and the crown on Pint Glasses this change was something they could have done at any time whilst a member of the EU?

    Who decided to use GB originally when that style of plate was introduced?



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Arts Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 18,311 CMod ✭✭✭✭Nody


    It's something you apply for with the UN; it has zero to do with EU so yes...



  • Registered Users Posts: 26,069 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    It would be more correct to use UK in fairness but the fact they have to make a political statement out of it is a bit sad



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  • Registered Users Posts: 26,511 ✭✭✭✭Peregrinus


    The GB identifier was chosen in 1910, under the Paris Convention with respect to the International Circulation of Motor Vehicles. The "GB" code was the UK government's choice. At the time, the UK referred to itself internationally as "Great Britain and Ireland", in much the way that France was (and is) called "France" rather than "French Republic".

    So, nothing to do with the EU, or with Brexit. They could have changed it at any time.

    Although the UK has now chosen "UK" as its identifier, "GB" lives on in GBA, GBG, GBJ, GBM and GBZ, the identifiers for Alderney, Guernsey, Jersey, Man and Gibraltar respectively. I don't know if the governments of any of these territories have any plans to request the UK government to make changes on their behalf.



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