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Brexit discussion thread XIV (Please read OP before posting)

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  • Registered Users Posts: 26,069 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    His car was hit by a van. Typical clickbaity headline from the Mirror.

    At least he is acknowledging the fuel crisis



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 36,507 CMod ✭✭✭✭pixelburp


    There is always going to be a percentage out there, those financially secure enough that Brexit will have just been a headline at best/worst. I wouldn't necessarily believe that floating ~15% are all Sunk Cost zealots, rigidly believing in UK Ascendant or that it's all the EU's fault; rather soft Brexit-supporting types who had nothing on the line in the first place (so probably older folk, those with their houses paid off and relatively concern free).

    Post edited by pixelburp on


  • Registered Users Posts: 19,022 ✭✭✭✭murphaph


    Danish plates don't necessarily have anything on them to show they are from Denmark. They can optionally contain the EU strip but they don't have to and I reckon most don't, even on new cars. According to this page (in German) if I take my German car into a neighbouring country and it does NOT have the EU strip, then I MUST display an oval D sticker or I can be fined and it lists some examples of the fines:

    Yeah it's confirmed by the more official ADAC (German AA), a German car brought outside Germany into another EU country must display the D sticker if the vehicle is displaying an old pre-Euro number plate:

    So the same should definitely apply in reverse for Danish cars without a Euro symbol brought to Germany.



  • Registered Users Posts: 8,432 ✭✭✭cml387


    I've always thought that Churchill's wish for a united states of Europe was predicated on Britain (maybe with French assistance) being in charge.



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 15,498 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    Indeed and a large part of the UK "problem" with the EU was that they weren't in charge - Them "taking orders" from the French/Germans was unacceptable.

    They saw engagement with the EU as a zero sum game and wanted everything they wanted and sod everyone else.

    "They used to control the largest Empire in History don't you know!!!"



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  • Registered Users Posts: 2,415 ✭✭✭BluePlanet


    Brexit dogma

    There are people emotionally invested in Brexit.

    They'll keep fingers firmly in their ears to the bitter end.



  • Registered Users Posts: 18,657 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    I often think that guy may have to flee the country if the whole Brexit thing goes belly up. Imagine if there were riots on the streets and looting etc....he'd hardly be safe in public.



  • Registered Users Posts: 15,635 ✭✭✭✭Leroy42


    Yes, but there are millions that really are not going to be effected, or at least would draw the conclusion that Brexit has anything to do with it.

    If your job is working in a garage, or coalmine or whatever, then Brexit won't really have effected you. Anything that has impacted you, petrol shortages etc, you have been told has nothing to do with Brexit and its a problem everywhere.

    If you are in a crap job, with a terrible boss, and terrible working conditions, then getting out of that, even if it means a job with less pay, is probably going to feel better. Many people that voted for Brexit were convinced, through a combination of the media and the likes of Farage, that the EU was actually something terrible and causing them untold misery each and everyday.

    Based on that, a que for petrol doesn't seem so bad.



  • Registered Users Posts: 18,657 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    Can the deniers keep this going though? Things might get so bad in coming months and years that even the Brexit zealots may be left floundering.

    Also, their flat denials are bordering on the ridiculous. They are claiming that there are no negatives or drawbacks whatsoever to Brexit, which hardly makes them seem remotely credible.



  • Registered Users Posts: 26,069 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    Practically all my friends in the UK and me previously were in " crap jobs with crap bosses and terrible pay" and the implications of Brexit were clear from day 1 and still are now. Most of the people in those jobs are in the cities which were mostly against Brexit.

    Some people believed a lie that they would be kings if only the dodgy undercutting foreigner who takes the jobs but apparently is also never working and taking benefits is holding them back. Truth is it's largely their own ignorance holds them back

    The current situation can only look good to people who are so blinded by ideology they see Brexit not as a foreign or economic policy but as a jihad



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  • Registered Users Posts: 26,511 ✭✭✭✭Peregrinus


    Nope. His idea was that "Great Britain and her empire" would be a strategically power aligned with, but distinct from, the hypothetical united states of Europe, in the same way that it would be aligned with but distinct from the USA.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,275 ✭✭✭fash


    Was reading the following thread and a thread response on the geometric nature of the logistics problem.

    As just one example, there aren't enough fork lift drivers, the majority of whom who went home to the EU, which means that the (too few) HGV drivers are spending hours more waiting in line at distribution centres to unload - meaning they go over their time limits (even with UK relaxations).


    [url=https://twitter.com/vivamjm/status/1443568152235888642?s=20].[/url]

    [url=https://twitter.com/fascinatorfun/status/1443598844927873029?s=20].[/url]



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,705 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    I think that the United States of Europe would not include GB, but would take its lead from GB and its Empire - just as GB has always taken its lead from the USA ever since.

    The hope was that GB and its Empire would be seen by the USA, and the rest of the world, as an equal partner to the USA where their combined invincible navies would bring order and justice to the world - but of course GB lost its empire, could not afford a world power navy anymore, and owed a lot of money to the USA for the war effort and the USA wanted it all back.

    Anyway, the USA could get along quite well on its own - with a little help from its friends.

    [Well, mostly - the USA kept out of Africa (mostly) but Korea did not work out too well, Vietnam was a bit of a disaster, Cuba survived despite extreme sanctions, Iraq was a disaster, and Afghanistan has turned out as a disaster, but they are still number one military power - aren't they?]



  • Registered Users Posts: 26,511 ✭✭✭✭Peregrinus


    Churchill was concerned about a bipolar world dominated by just two rival superpowers - the USA and the USSR - and in particular about how those superpowers would treat/use/exploit other countries in pursuing their rivalry with one another. (And if we look at how the cold war played out in the decades that followed, we can see that his concern was justified.)

    His preference was for a multipolar world where other world powers would include (a) the UK and Empire/Commonwealth, plus (b) the "United States of Europe". The USE was not to take its lead from the UK, and he didn't envisage the UK taking its lead from the US, either. The whole point was that economic and military resources should be dispersed among several powers that would act independently, co-operating where it was to their mutual advantage, but none of them subordinate to any other, and none large enough to secure, or imagine that it could secure, global dominance.

    His reason for wanting the UK to remain out of the USE was not any antipathy towards Europe or the idea of European Union, but simply that he thought that, with its Empire, the UK was capable of being a world power in its own right, and if so it was better for the world that it should be.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,705 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    Oh how wrong he was.

    What became the EU was set up to bring peace to Europe, which it did, and continues to do.

    The UK on the other hand has brought war to many parts of the world in its own right and in conjunction with the USA.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 38,732 CMod ✭✭✭✭ancapailldorcha


    Churchill's problem was that he expected the British Empire & Commonwealth to be standing toe-to-toe with the USA and the USSR. The problem is that when John Maynard Keynes negotiated a $3.75 billion loan, the Americans insisted on full convertibility of sterling which effectively ended the Empire. It's funny the delusion politicians here have laboured under for so long when the Americans have ruthlessly acted in their own self-interest.

    The way forward for the UK was clearly to leverage its position of dominance in Europe with the Americans and it's link to Washington with Europe. It failed spectacularly due to Churchill and his successor's obsession with obtaining nuclear weapons so that Britain could continue to be a top tier power when those days were clearly over. They got their nukes though there is no independent deterrent and the subs can only be serviced at a base in Georgia.

    We saw the same toxic delusion when people expected an openly America First President to offer favourable terms. Obama had clearly pivoted towards China and Asia but somehow little England remained special in the eyes of some.

    The foreigner residing among you must be treated as your native-born. Love them as yourself, for you were foreigners in Egypt. I am the LORD your God.

    Leviticus 19:34



  • Registered Users Posts: 15,635 ✭✭✭✭Leroy42


    And Brexit is based on the same flawed thinking. Only, tbf to Churchill, he was looking back at the recent past and hoping to recapture it without knowing the new reality.

    Brexiteers have no such excuse as the new globalised world is well and truly established at this stage



  • Registered Users Posts: 19,022 ✭✭✭✭murphaph


    This stuff is going to rapidly get out of hand. It's a simple chain reaction. Eventually EU ports will have to reject UK bound freight as it will just choke them like the UK ports are choked. Shipping companies on the other continents will then start refusing to take containers and indeed bulk cargo bound for the UK on their ships at all. That would be catastrophic for the UK. Things like staple foodstuffs might genuinely become scarce and can you imagine the panic buying if Canadian wheat starts to have trouble getting through and bread can't be baked.



  • Registered Users Posts: 13,517 ✭✭✭✭Igotadose


    Imagine, an enormous pig cull due to lack of butchers, CO2, etc. All due to Brexit and blinkered Tory policy.

    They ought to dump the carcasses of the poor culled pigs on the steps of Westminster. It's impressive how passively the British public has accepted its abuse.

    https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/butcher-shortage-christmas-meat-pork-b1930473.html

    Post edited by Igotadose on


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,705 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    Reading that Independent article, it appears they will be short of gammons by Christmas - must be some form of irony there.

    Did the Brexiteers ever think that the turkeys will coming home to roost by Christmas - or not.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 13,517 ✭✭✭✭Igotadose


    Listening to LBC, it seems like the forecourt problem in the view of the 'man on the street' is much worse that reported. Lots of reports of bad behaviour, shouting, fighting. Seems like Project Fear was an underestimation of how bad it would get; imagine the energy supply issues if there's a cold winter in the UK. Ouch!



  • Registered Users Posts: 15,635 ✭✭✭✭Leroy42


    I think the tide is certainly beginning to change. Opinion pools seem to be suggesting that move people see Brexit as going badly, politicians are not even trying to say that Brexit is an advantage, they are simply trying to argue that not everything is entirely Brexit fault.

    Even Question Time, which has been for quite a while a hotbed of Brexit support, is quiet on any benefits of Brexit. (anecdotal at best I know but the lack of any support is telling IMO)



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 38,732 CMod ✭✭✭✭ancapailldorcha


    It's interesting. The last shift was much more subtle where people stopped pretending Brexit was advantageous and just had to be done. Now, it's clear that it's causing problems.

    I've always thought that the line that people would just blame the EU made no sense. People here were apathetic enough for Johnson to win by "getting it done". Now, it's affecting the country in tangible ways and the only elites to blame are in Parliament, elected and unelected.

    As for Question Time, I gave up on that some time ago.

    The foreigner residing among you must be treated as your native-born. Love them as yourself, for you were foreigners in Egypt. I am the LORD your God.

    Leviticus 19:34



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 36,507 CMod ✭✭✭✭pixelburp


    Do people think though this tide could ever manifest in an about turn on brexit though? Seems like unless they get serious and take some degree of alignment with EU, within or outside it ala Norway et al, we'll just have an endless sequence of these sort of issues.



  • Registered Users Posts: 18,657 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    The Brexiteers are very fond of WW2 but the truth is the war practically bankrupted them and rapidly hastened the end of the Empire. To all intents and purposes, Britain came out of the war as one of the primary losers (perhaps the biggest loser of the lot) despite ostensibly being on the 'winning' side.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,705 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    I think those in the UK that back Brexit think they won the war, not just on the winning side.

    Britain was bankrupt after the war, having bought huge amounts from their ally the USA who wanted it all paid back. Keeping GBP fully convertible (sort of) cost them dear, and then losing India, and then Africa and the far east, robbed them of places to rob.

    It was only by joining the EEC that they were able to regroup and bring a little prosperity to their lands (again sort of - they were building debt that they could never pay back). Their FPTP electoral system led to majoritarianism where a change of ruling party led to a complete about face of many important issues that wasted national resources and enriched the rich.

    In other words, the UK has been a basket case for most of the last 75 years.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 38,732 CMod ✭✭✭✭ancapailldorcha


    Sure. This is why they needed billions of dollars and were expecting a gift, not a loan.

    The foreigner residing among you must be treated as your native-born. Love them as yourself, for you were foreigners in Egypt. I am the LORD your God.

    Leviticus 19:34



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,554 ✭✭✭wexfordman2


    Or, do people think that the EU will welcome them back with open arms ?


    They won't find it easy to rejoin the club, management and membership won't forget too quick, and won't want a disruptive disorderly post brexit Britain back in too quickly I think.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 38,732 CMod ✭✭✭✭ancapailldorcha


    Yes but it'll take years. Much depends on Christmas methinks. After last year's debacle, there'll be little public tolerance for a repeat if everything proceeds smoothly in Europe.

    Starmer's best line of attack is to highlight the corruption and incompetence rather than Brexit itself for 2023. Brexit needs to be a disaster in its own terms.

    The foreigner residing among you must be treated as your native-born. Love them as yourself, for you were foreigners in Egypt. I am the LORD your God.

    Leviticus 19:34



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  • Registered Users Posts: 18,657 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    Much of their relationship with Europe for the last 80 years has been guided by the events of 1939-45. Having a huge superiority complex towards 'the continent' as they either defeated or liberated its countries, and yet unable to acknowledge that the War itself was a disastrous event for Britain and left it very seriously weakened on the world stage (and even in Europe).



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