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Covid 19 Part XXXV-956,720 ROI (5,952 deaths) 452,946 NI (3,002 deaths) (08/01) Read OP

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  • Registered Users Posts: 13,065 ✭✭✭✭Goldengirl


    High risk underlying conditions, which was group 7 , was estimated at 300, 000 , but some of these were vaccinated with group 4 cohort ( very high risk) , by GPs , or with age based or healthcare worker groups before their group allocation , so it is only a rough figure .

    This link describes it ...

    RTE news : HSE correcting inaccurate roll-out category entries


    http://www.rte.ie/news/2021/0512/1221083-virus-vaccine-rollout/



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,508 ✭✭✭hollypink


    I heard this several times on the radio this evening, about risking your health by going into a restaurant /bar where they don't check for covid certs and I'm confused. I thought the reason for the certs was to stop unvaccinated people from getting infected, because they might add to the hospital numbers. How is it risky to go there if you are vaccinated and there are unvaccinated people inside? Doesn't the vaccine give protection against severe illness and anyway, can't you get covid from someone who is vaxxed as well as the unvaxxed? What risk is being referred to? Genuine question btw, I'm very much in favour of vaccines.





  • Registered Users Posts: 1,876 ✭✭✭bokale


    Unvaccinated are more likely to end up in hospital. So places allowing them in are putting pressure on our health system thus risking all our health if we need the health system.



  • Registered Users Posts: 101 ✭✭TracyMartell


    Does anyone know where I would be able to find stats from hospitals before covid? As in, how many icu beds were full this week in 2019?



  • Registered Users Posts: 82 ✭✭Steveimitation


    Varadkar saying that an increase in socialisation is causing the increase in cases.

    Isn't a large reason for getting the vaccine due to the fact that it's supposed to protect you and thus allow you to socialise more (and yes of course, protect others too)

    Or does he expect vaccinated people to behave like they are not vaccinated at all?

    It's very difficult to try and consistently do the right thing when the messaging from the powers that be is often so blurry and in many instances unrealistic too.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 7,760 ✭✭✭Deeper Blue


    If you're vaccinated you shouldn't be made to feel guilty about wanting to socialise.

    If vaccinated folk aren't supposed to socialise now when can they? In February? What'll be different then? Surely the same logic will apply? It makes no sense and it's no wonder people aren't listening anymore.



  • Registered Users Posts: 82 ✭✭Steveimitation


    It is like they are saying normality is off the table indefinitely and you have two options.

    1. Don't get vaccinated and accept a draconian lockdown.
    2. Get vaccinated and you can live a less restrictive life but real normality is out of bounds (although we are now fearing the potential of further lockdowns anyway!)

    This would be easier to accept if we had any idea what might allow us to resume our lives in a manner that was close to what they once were.

    I know nobody can predict what will occur with a virus but it seems we are at best stuck with option 1 above unless the virus burns out in one way or another. MM was asked about what it would take to get us back to normal if the current vaccination rates didn't allow it and he just waffled on as usual.



  • Registered Users Posts: 15,086 ✭✭✭✭Ha Long Bay



    Where does February 2022 date come from? This time last year we were going back to L5 lockdown now we are are opening niteclubs.


    October 19th 2020

    Ireland placed on Level 5 of the Plan for Living with COVID-19

    https://www.gov.ie/en/press-release/66269-ireland-placed-on-level-5-of-the-plan-for-living-with-covid/

    Level 5 restrictions will remain in place for a period of 6 weeks.

    "The government has decided today that, as of midnight on Wednesday 21 October, all of Ireland will be placed on Level 5 of the Plan for Living with COVID with a small number of exceptions as set out below."


    October 19th 2021

    Statement on COVID-19 public health measures - 19 October 2021

    https://www.gov.ie/en/press-release/58d28-statement-on-covid-19-public-health-measures-19-october-2021/

    Today, following public health advice, the government has agreed that the remaining aspects of the hospitality, entertainment and night-time economy sector can reopen only with the full range of protective measures in place and the wide and robust implementation of the EU Digital COVID Certificate (COVID-19 pass).

    "Today, following public health advice, the government has agreed that the remaining aspects of the hospitality, entertainment and night-time economy sector can reopen only with the full range of protective measures in place and the wide and robust implementation of the EU Digital COVID Certificate (COVID-19 pass). This will allow us to move forward carefully with Ireland’s plan for the next phase of our response to the COVID-19 pandemic."



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    A large reason for getting the vaccine for you and me is protect us from illness and death. However, the HSE, Nephet and Govt look at it differently.

    They want you to get the vaccine to prevent you SPREADING the virus so it can be contained and lots of people are protected. They see us, not as potential victims of the virus, but rather as potential carriers. The distinction is important. To you and me a vaccine that allows us to get infected but with no symptoms or mild symptoms is a brilliant piece of kit. To them it fails to achieve the desired objective.

    That's why this "Waning" stuff has come up. Initially AZ was said to be "67% effective at preventing infection". A stupid statement because for the vaccine to do it's job you have to get infected. What they mean by this is the vaccine is so **** hot at killing the virus that it gets it so fast that in 2 out 3 cases it doesn't even get off the starting blocks. (ie: won't register on a PCR test)

    However, they discovered that the immunity response that the vaccine generates "Wanes". Well of course it does ! Same happens with the flu vaccine. Most things "wear off". They always knew this was going to be the case.

    But "Waning" means that the 67% might go to 90% after 6 months. The fact that the vaccine will still provide a high level of protection against death and serious illness is, however, what you and I might find more important. The "Waned" vaccine will still see the virus off but maybe not so quickly so we might get some sniffles or a cough but so what?

    The health guys however see this as the vaccine being 90% in-effective because now 90% of us are spreading the virus and herd immunity goes out the window. That's why we need boosters!

    There is nothing wrong with their thinking. They are trying to save lives ( or maybe stop the hospital system from collapsing). They are just not really concerned with saving you or me and certainly letting you or me have a normal life, free from restrictions, is (rightly) well down on their list of priorities.

    Also they seem to be slowly coming around to admitting that AZ is a lot less effective in preventing "infection" that Pfizer Biontec and AZ was the vaccine they gave to the over 60s. (and to the healthcare workers).



  • Registered Users Posts: 82 ✭✭Steveimitation


    My point is that they cannot do this indefinitely and right now there is no sign that there is any indication of us returning to normal at any point. We have such high vaccination rates and yet there is a chance we may lockdown again later this Winter (hopefully not though of course).

    It would be one thing if this was the case everywhere but it isn't. Over in London for example, it really is a different world.



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  • Posts: 17,378 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Have any studies been done on which is more effective at stopping you spread it.. Being double vaccinated or wearing a mask?



  • Registered Users Posts: 729 ✭✭✭SupplyandDemandZone


    Exactly. I'm fully vaccinated and ive gone more or less back to pre March 2020 in terms of interaction and meeting people. It's over for most people now.



  • Registered Users Posts: 989 ✭✭✭Stormyteacup


    Is there not a bit more to it than ‘cases are nothing but a measure of contacts between people’? What about level of infection in the population (Denmark and Norway suppressed infection effectively in the beginning so base level cases in the community were low, restricting spread with whatever level of socialising they did) - also the level, criteria and type of testing that make up official figures of each country?

    According to that graph Norwegians suddenly got very social during August and September compared to their neighbours.

    There’s definitely more behind our high case level than our being more social than other nationalities. Could be stage of wave, could be vaccines possibly not as effective as hoped at reducing transmission despite their effectiveness in reducing hospitalisations, could be proximity to UK, could be restrictions suppressing a possible higher level of natural immunity. Or a mix of a few things perhaps - unlikely to be because we are more social, which is disputable anyway.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,476 ✭✭✭floorpie


    That's why this "Waning" stuff has come up. Initially AZ was said to be "67% effective at preventing infection". A stupid statement because for the vaccine to do it's job you have to get infected. That they mean by this is the vaccine is so **** hot at killing the virus that it gets it so fast that in 2 out 3 cases it doesn't even get off the starting blocks. (ie: won't register on a PCR test)

    What "67% effective" means is that for every 3 people who are unvaccinated, get infected, get symptoms, get tested positive, 1 vaccinated person will get infected, get symptoms, get tested positive. The common confusion on this board is that in almost all cases, whether vaccinated or not, people either don't get infected, or don't get symptoms, or don't get a test.

    Because so few people both: 1) get infected, 2) get symptoms, 3) get tested positive, the absolute risk reduction that vaccines offer is in the region of 1%, not 67% (COVID-19 vaccine efficacy and effectiveness—the elephant (not) in the room - The Lancet Microbe)

    A stupid statement because for the vaccine to do it's job you have to get infected.

    So the interesting thing here is, "67%" does account for getting infected, but only relative to unvaccinated people who get tested positive. "1%" effectiveness also accounts for getting infected, but relative to the population. Two ways of looking at the same thing.



  • Registered Users Posts: 989 ✭✭✭Stormyteacup


    Other countries had similar, with lower vaccine uptake after rollout. Sounds like the public being castigated again, alongside a dig at the government for opening indoors despite NPHET advising against it.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,476 ✭✭✭floorpie


    I can't believe I'm hearing on our national broadcaster:

    1) "Numbers may be going up because vaccines aren't as protective as we thought"

    2) "A Covid cert may be needed to visit your GP"

    How are science-deniers going to square this circle this week? The cognitive dissonance must be off the charts, after months of rabbiting the same defunct talking points.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,876 ✭✭✭bokale


    Tbf the Joe Duffy show gets aired on our national broadcaster. Haha



  • Registered Users Posts: 700 ✭✭✭Oscar Madison


    If I need a Covid Cert' to go in to a public house surely then I should need one to use public transport?



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,476 ✭✭✭floorpie


    Good point 😅 I put more stock in Morning Ireland, but right enough



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  • Registered Users Posts: 26 rp79


    10 days previous to this he was saying the virus was largely suppressed in the vaccinated. Did they not know people were going to move indoors in October? Last year when they bounced us into level 5 the numbers they predicted never materialised. They attributed this to “anticipatory behaviour”. Did they not predict increase socialisation in advance of opening up?



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,876 ✭✭✭bokale




  • Registered Users Posts: 24,357 ✭✭✭✭lawred2


    Some loon on newstalk advocating covid certs for everything. Every single thing.

    We're heading for a lovely society altogether



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,476 ✭✭✭floorpie


    Yes same on Morning Ireland. Suggestions from various people that certs are mandatory for everything (for hospitals, GPs, hospitality etc.).

    I'm mindblown that they can't connect the dots and see that the certs ARE the issue, in more ways than one (primarily, infection via false sense of security and lack of distancing).




  • Registered Users Posts: 2,265 ✭✭✭CruelSummer



    Good to see NIAC talking a bit of sense here, unlike the gombeen politicians In Government trying to force through approval of a booster without sufficient evidence as to its need / justification.

    How have we arrived at a point where NIAC are being lectured to in the media by senior politicians as to how to do their job? What scientific evidence do these politicians have that NIAC don’t have to justify their behaviour?



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,476 ✭✭✭floorpie


    Only thing I'd say is that absence of evidence is not evidence of absence.

    NPHET were talking yesterday too about how they see no evidence of waning. This is particularly ridiculous because they are not evaluating this scientifically, and the manufacturers have evaluated it for their own product, describe precisely the level of waning, and have published all data.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,274 ✭✭✭bloopy


    They are all of them out of their minds on the hype.

    The more that these certs are used for, the harder they will be to gotten rid of.

    And yes, for the posters that make the comparison to driving licences, they are the same. A licence to participate in society.

    But licences can be withheld, expired or revoked.

    Any idiots cheering this on should contemplate what type of society we are entering into.



  • Registered Users Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


     There's always this type of reaction whenever NPHET appear with numbers, especially numbers that instill alarm in people. That type of individual has probably always felt that way. Even so, they know that there is a level of support in the country for that view and those with questions about the extremity of this type of approach might be accused of playing with people’s lives.

    For now it doesn't matter whether the projections are right or wrong, they are out there and to many people are fact. I wouldn't hazard a guess at whether they are myself, but have a feeling that they will turn out to be off.



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,443 ✭✭✭robbiezero


    So no reason for me not to go in to a place that is not checking certs then if I am vaccinated? (which every pub I go to is not doing)



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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,876 ✭✭✭bokale


    Well I guess the less people in there reduces the chance of unvaccinated catching it.



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