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Brexit discussion thread XIV (Please read OP before posting)

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  • Registered Users Posts: 18,657 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    It's definitely not cool - deliberately mistranslating and misrepresenting what someone said in another language in order just to stir things up is not a good look. It seems solely designed to enrage the Brexit followers even further.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,702 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    Well, the EMS telegram was intended to cause a war, and it did. Hmmm will the Telegraph messed translation lead to war? At least as trade war in my estimation. Macron needs it - he has an election coming up. (Look what the Falklands war did for Thatcher).

    Johnson needs (another) distraction as the last one is now not working. Cannot remember which one was the last one, but if he needs another one, then it is not working. Brexit is going pear shaped, as is Covid with figures only climbing..

    The EU are not taking the bait on the NI protocol. It is all going pear shaped. Perhaps something with Russia?



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,275 ✭✭✭fash


    Cameron was eurosceptic but became an unenthusiastic rational remainer when he was confronted with the reality of leaving the EU.



  • Registered Users Posts: 26,050 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    No Cameron was always massively pro EU but like many UK PMs he used it as a scapegoat and a way to play to a certain voter base. He was against the referendum he himself called for (actually 3 in total) which I think is a disgraceful way to hold any referendum (except Scotland)



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,702 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    May was an enthusiastic remainer - she wanted to remain in the cabinet as a senior minister. As for the EU - well I'm sure she was definite that Brexit means Brexit.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 221 ✭✭fiveleavesleft


    The one that kicked it all off. MP's were queuing up to vote for it in big numbers. The SNP opposed it & a few abstained (e.g. Corbyn, Ken Clarke...)

    https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-33067157



  • Registered Users Posts: 26,050 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    It's a scary read looking back on it. Reminds me a lot of the Celtic Tiger where some people were making very good point which now look like they could read the future they are so accurate but at the time were told to "shut up or F off" by many



  • Registered Users Posts: 10,117 ✭✭✭✭Junkyard Tom


    The Scots should firmly put the ball in England's court pre-referendum explaining that if England respects the Scotland/England relationship it will move towards a middle ground that would not require any discernible border.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,554 ✭✭✭wexfordman2


    That would be an interesting tactic, it would draw the UK back in tiwafs some form of customs union with the EU, possibly might persuade some regretful brexiteer voters to vote for independence in order to get the UK back in ?


    Or am I talking gibberish



  • Registered Users Posts: 6,710 ✭✭✭eire4


    That is the great irony of brexit. Late in the day when it looked like the yes vote might carry the day in the 2014 independence referendum labour and the Torys got together to basically threaten Scotland with the above and then look what the English turn around and do just 2 years later.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 10,117 ✭✭✭✭Junkyard Tom


    Yeah something like that. It would give all non-UKIP types, across the political spectrum, an excuse to align more with the EU and it could be framed as pro-British rather than pro-EU.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,275 ✭✭✭fash


    False. Cameron was soft Eurosceptic and flirted with and cultivated Eurosceptic support.

    In his own words, he was "Eurosceptic – but not as Eurosceptic as you are”, as he put it to his first political boss.

    The Guardian here for example talks about Cameron’s " lifelong soft Euroscepticism"


    And Cameron was the one who put the Tories in the fringe far right bloc in the EU:

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2009/jun/22/conservatives-new-eu-group



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,905 ✭✭✭fly_agaric


    Yes, Cameron didn't wish the UK to leave the EU (which was still an out-there position at the time I believe). However I don't think you could hold positive views of the EU, and also get to be the leader of the Tories. Not possible. That was why the Conservatives left the centre right EU parliament grouping. They didn't feel comfortable in a group where most of the parties in it (like our own FG) would be very EU-supporting and position on the EU was important enough for them to prefer to align with authoritarian parties.

    I suppose it does make Boris Johnson & his govt. look less like political extremists + obscures how much politcs of the UK has changed with Brexit to retrospectively claim Cameron was EU-friendly!

    Post edited by fly_agaric on


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,586 ✭✭✭20silkcut


    Remember in this country back in c2008 -10 euro scepticism wasn’t an alien concept either . Definitely Cameron’s brand of euro scepticism wasn’t alien. I have a vague memory of Eamon Gilmore using tough talk about jean Claude trichet and how he will do what he is told at the height of the bailout. Sounded a bit outrageous at the time.

    And then the famous Vincent Browne incident at the press conference with the EU central bank. Which gave him quite the profile boost that any politician would be proud of.

    Actually it could be argued that Britain was a better EU member at that time than we were.



  • Registered Users Posts: 18,657 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    Johnson apparently once said that Cameron was far more Eurosceptic than anyone realised. He basically only wanted to remain in the EU for the trade aspect, but hated most other elements of the union. Didn't Sir Ivan Rogers say that he (Cameron) only wanted to be a partial member of the EU....one that was only in the outer rings and not part of the central core like France and Germany.

    It's no coincidence that Brexit happened on his watch. He was the most Europhobic PM of the last 50 years.



  • Registered Users Posts: 13,419 ✭✭✭✭ArmaniJeanss



    Anecdotal, but even prior to your 2008-2010 timeframe there was quite a lot of Euroscepticism amongst 'professional' people I knew, in the 'boom years' of say 2000-2007.

    It came from a different angle - it was more of an attitude of "we've mastered the concept of a non-stop booming economy, why should be get held back by a combination of these new accession countries and old staid economies which aren't performing as magnificently as we are. We should have a bigger say in how its ran, and if not perhaps we should instead be looking to align more with other dynamic EU/nonEU countries".



  • Registered Users Posts: 26,050 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    Leaving the EU for closer alignment with the US is one I heard here from time to time "become the 51st state"

    All from people who would be purely money driven



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,702 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    Would not want to be the 51st state if we end up like the poorest ones in the fly-over zone.

    What possible benefit would we get from such a union?



  • Registered Users Posts: 15,242 ✭✭✭✭Fr Tod Umptious


    Yeah, lots of anger here at the time about the way the EU, and in particular German were treating us.

    Well known political party which is currently the most popular in the polls very vocal about how evil the EU were,and fawing over Greece and their government at the time.

    Post edited by Fr Tod Umptious on


  • Registered Users Posts: 26,050 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    Surely you don't mean the same party that are currently using the DUPs anti EU stance as a stick to beat them with



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  • Registered Users Posts: 68,842 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    I think the 'stick' might be the way they handled Brexit and there are more than 'that party' beating them, not least some of their own, who have signaled their intention to give their vote elsewhere.



  • Registered Users Posts: 18,657 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    I get the impression Euroscepticism has been very much on the retreat across Europe for the last five years or so - perhaps a realisation that Europe faces strong threats from outside from the likes of China and Russia (and Trump's USA at one point). Also, the ongoing car crash that is Brexit would be a factor.

    Ironically, the English have gone in the opposite direction and become ten times more Eurosceptic / Europhobic than they were a decade ago.



  • Registered Users Posts: 26,050 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    It's Brexit that has caused the retreat. Essentially the likes of Le Pen and Salvio have had their bluffs called



  • Registered Users Posts: 68,842 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    The EU is like any government, when it acts, there will be those for and against what it is doing. Naïve to think it will ever be rid of skepticism from within.

    What Brexit has done is bolster the sense that ultimately it is a good place to be, faults or not.



  • Registered Users Posts: 9,259 ✭✭✭tanko


    Laura Kuensbergs “interview” with Boris in the Colosseum in Rome yesterday was stomach churning stuff even by her standards. Boris moaning about the French supposedly breaking an agreement was something else, the lack of self awareness is breathtaking.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,275 ✭✭✭fash


    I imagine that the US may (so long as UK doesn't mess about in NI - since I believe this is a presidential power) get rid of the tariffs in UK too? Last time there were a few days difference between the resolutions with UK & EU?



  • Registered Users Posts: 26,511 ✭✭✭✭Peregrinus


    It's not just down to the strength of the "special relationship".

    The EU has been working hard for most of this year to try and resolve this dispute. Although a long way behind China, which produces more than half the world's steel, the EU is the second largest steel producer in the world - larger not only than the US, but than the whole of the NAFTA steel industry. So tariffs on steel were a problem for the EU in a way that, frankly, they aren't for the UK, which nowadays has a pretty tiny steel industry - it's less than 5% of the size of the EU's. So the UK probably didn't put the same effort into resolving this; it wasn't such a high priority for them. It's not that they couldn't get the US to deal with them on this problem, so much as that they didn't try. Their hope may be that they can ride on the EU's coattails; now that the UK has ended the tariffs on EU steel, getting it to agree to end the (identical) tariffs on UK steel should be a shoe-in. We'll see.

    It's also possible - more than possible, if we're honest - that the US didn't attach the same priority to addressing the issue with the UK as it did to addressing the issue with the EU. From the US's point of view, the EU is much the larger and more significant trading partner, and the costs to the US of a lingering trade disagreement with the EU vastly outweigh those of a trade disagreement with the UK. Plus, the Biden administration has made it clear in various ways that they consider the UK right now to be a negotiating counterparty of doubtful reliability, given all its arsing around over the Northern Ireland Protocol. So, for both of these reasons, they'd have no great incentive to prioritise talks with the UK about resolving the steel tariff dispute.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,702 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    An astoniishing admission by the negotiator of the UK side of the withdrawal agreement. 'Itis all May's fault, and the DUP' says Lord Frost, who negotiated the deal, and is now trying to keep his finger in the leaking Brexit dam - while the Brexit wall starts to crumble and leak everywhere.

    Labour shortages arising as a result of ending FOm, and so most East European workers have gone home - better issue emergency visas (valid only till Christmas), but only 27 HGV drivers responded from the EU. Meat packers - they will not come either, more visas. Control the UK borders, but they have yet to recruit the 50,000 customs officers and get them in place - have they even the place to put them?

    Endless oven ready turkeys coming home to roost - but not in time for christmas. And now a spat with France - better get Raab to explain to Frost that Dover is very close to Calais. Frost is Scottish so he might not realise that.

    Has Frost enough fingers, one wonders?



  • Registered Users Posts: 15,625 ✭✭✭✭Leroy42


    The French row shows the ultimate cost of Brexit. Both sides have some area to complain, but it is an immaterial matter and should easily be solved by a few quick phonecalls. Unfortunately, the French no longer see the UK as trustworthy, and have lost patience and what should have been an almost unnoticed issue has now taken on national importance and neither side wants to be seen to give in.

    You can talk trade deals and whatever for ever, but the amount of time and effort having to be wasted on such a trivial issue is a complete waste and even Johnson is being constantly asked about it when he would much prefer to pretend he was leading the global fight against Climate Change.

    And stuff like this is going to keep happening. One of the big positives of the EU was that seemingly important national issues could be talked about between partners and compromise could be reached as other issues would be taken into account. Some times you get more than you wanted, sometimes less, but a longer term plan was always in play.

    But the UK has backed itself into a corner in that ever issue is not a matter of sovereignty and national pride.

    But the sheer hypocrisy of the UK in this issue is truly staggering. Only last year they were claiming the media was calling for the Gun boats to be sent in, MPS have called for Gunboats to be sent o protect Gibraltar and they had no issue with breaking both trade agreements and also international law.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 5,669 ✭✭✭storker


    I see the tune has changed from "We were forced into to it because the EU took advantage of our weakness" to "Theresa May was forced into to it because the EU took advantage of her weakness and we were stuck with the bits she agreed to."



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