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Share Picks 2021 - Thread banned users post #1

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,939 ✭✭✭✭patsy_mccabe


    Ya, it's crazy. I think a lot of it has to do with access to online brokerages like DeGiro, Robinhood etc. Ordinary people are looking at Tesla and see a 'Good' company but don't know how to put a value on a stock price. So much of it's pricing is based on huge future growth and that's almost impossible to estimate. It's not like the other car companies are going to just walk away.

    As Buffett keep saying about investing 'A bird in the hand is worth 2 in the bush'. I've always took this to mean that you should look at what a company is doing now or has done in the past, rather than what it may do in the future. Cathy Woods seems to be the polar opposite of this. She is big into huge potential growth stocks. I know who I'd like to put my money on.

    'If I ventured in the slipstream, Between the viaducts of your dream'



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,442 ✭✭✭Shedite27


    Tesla is the reason I think ESG investing is a bubble. Every investment company at the moment is pushing "invest in green" agenda, more money wants to get invested ends up invested in green companies. There's not enough true green companies so more money to Tesla



  • Registered Users Posts: 809 ✭✭✭jams100


    You can't apply rational logic to a stock thats trading irrationally. It won't work



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,095 ✭✭✭bcklschaps


    You mention Cathie Woods. She has been selling Tesla pretty much every day for the past couple of weeks. Obviously, there could be technical reasons for that, or maybe its as simple as she see's it as overvalued.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,329 ✭✭✭p to the e


    I read this summary somewhere which puts the madness into perspective; "an order worth 10 billion by a company that was nearly bankrupt (Hertz) added 100 billion to Tesla's market cap".



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,511 ✭✭✭VW 1


    Hard to agree that ESG is a bubble. ESG considerations are becoming the norm in investment restrictions lists when mandating managers setting up funds. It's becoming far more prevalent that investors are focussing on this, with managers committing to agreements on ESG scorecards, monitoring and reporting in target investments.



  • Registered Users Posts: 8,239 ✭✭✭Pussyhands


    I think Ark has rules on the maximum % one stock can be in their funds so if the stock increases over that amount they have to sell it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,192 ✭✭✭littlevillage


    Bought a few Visa ($V) today. Its down 10% in last 2 days, going to take a risk that the SEC investigation will be just a slap on the wrist. Its a proper blue chip company and a money making machine. Long term hold for me.


    Picked up a few Beam Therapeutics ($BEAM) and Riskified ($RSKD) ...just speculative starting positions, both are getting tipped by various "Experts" (we'll see just what those tips are worth 🙄).



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,369 ✭✭✭Markus Antonius


    Ouch, glad I reduced my Amazon position before close (although wish I reduced it more). Got scalded last earnings and wasn't going to let it happen again. I think it will recover somewhat tomorrow though.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 8,239 ✭✭✭Pussyhands


    Have a bad gut feeling about things at the moment. TSLA at insane valuation. BRK.A is doing wacky things after hours, supposedly last seen just before the 08 crash, shaky ER's from Apple/Amazon



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,442 ✭✭✭Shedite27


    Tesla's been at insane valuations forever, so wouldn't worry about that, that's the Berkshire thing youre talking about?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,540 ✭✭✭✭retalivity


    Atlassian (TEAM) is the gift that keeps giving, up another 5% AH to $440. Up 120% on that now, first got in at $80 over 3 years ago



    EDIT: Only the 15% jump at open!

    Post edited by retalivity on


  • Registered Users Posts: 8,239 ✭✭✭Pussyhands


    BRK.A has done a weird thing a couple of times this week after hours. The stock has gone up 20/30% and apparantly the last time this happened was just before the 08 crash.

    I'm still investing as normal, just wondering if we're coming to the end. Good times have to end sometime you'd think.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,394 ✭✭✭✭Timmaay


    I'm going to be abit more optimistic about Tesla lol. Yep absolutely everything about the current valuation is bonkers, but lets not forget that there never has been as much money floating around the world, and the Musk factor, he's clearly seen as a modern day Einstein Newton or Galileo with his plans to get humans to mars, and people want to be part of that, so are investing in Tesla shares. I've bought and sold Tesla shares along the way (and yep easy to say on hindsight I should of just hodled whole way, but the last 10 I bought I do actually plan on holding onto, because the talk now is that current Tesla share holders will get a chance at early shares for any starlink IPO.



  • Registered Users Posts: 634 ✭✭✭ceekay74


    Bought some Intel earlier for a long term hold. Great start so far. (Cue sudden and deep reversal).



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,361 ✭✭✭Padre_Pio




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,394 ✭✭✭✭Timmaay




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 83,576 ✭✭✭✭Atlantic Dawn
    M


    Matterport up nearly 20% today, been looking at them a while. They launched on Android yesterday which seems to be the reason for the jump. There's a few Irish estate agents using the system, mainly for commerical listings.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,783 ✭✭✭rugbyman


    I placed a buy order last night ,having seen a tip for them on Motley Fool @ 19.06 (the then price) Unfortunately that train left without me.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,939 ✭✭✭✭patsy_mccabe


    Ya same here. Intel is the only stock I'm down on. It's mixed feelings, as I'm kinda hoping that it will fall further, so I can buy more.

    'If I ventured in the slipstream, Between the viaducts of your dream'



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,962 ✭✭✭✭banie01


    I sold out the CHWY position yesterday at +20%. There is plenty of upside left in it IMO but, I rolled that cash over into a non equity play that has a short term upside for me

    I think CHWY is at current prices a good long term hold and will develop into a strong value play in the long term. I plan on dipping back around the Dec earnings announcement.

    Trying to decide between reopening an account with Saxo, or going with IBKR for gaining access to India. Anyone invested in Indian companies, particularly heavy industry, defence and tech with either platform? Opinions welcome



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,569 ✭✭✭Nemeses2050


    Had 25 of Cloudflare @70, sold half @120 and @135, thought they were too stretched....Jaysus they're touching 190 now and will probably cross 200 before the results :(



  • Registered Users Posts: 466 ✭✭DulchieLaois


    Ocugen has been spiking up nicely from 8:dollars last week, let’s hope Modi (Indian PM) hint at the weekend to WHO finally gets the approval over the line , if so, huge price increase on board.



  • Registered Users Posts: 8,239 ✭✭✭Pussyhands


    TSLA just added a 100bn in market cap today. lol



  • Registered Users Posts: 809 ✭✭✭jams100




  • Registered Users Posts: 4,511 ✭✭✭VW 1


    Is the Chewy link to GME/Ryan Cohen coincidental or on purpose?


    Another company related to GME was on a run today, Loopring. Company have announced they are building a marketplace on ethereum in partnership with a larger existing company. The tech and coding they have written is using rollups to eliminate gas fees when buying and selling NFTs. The gas fees are often higher than the value of the NFT so this would be a big plus point for the general use cases of ethereum.

    The GameStop adoption of this tech would bring 10 million existing members as users to ethereum, and 10 million users to loopring. Loopring have been steadily increasing social media presence through their developers on social media etc the past month.

    Matt Finest one, the ex head of business from loopring, resigned in April to join GameStop as head of Blockchain.


    Still potentially a lot of room to run on this one



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,939 ✭✭✭✭patsy_mccabe


    The higher stock prices go, the greater they will fall. Hard to see value anywhere in the stock market at the moment. Tesla now trading at about 400 times earnings. That's just insane.

    'If I ventured in the slipstream, Between the viaducts of your dream'



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,251 ✭✭✭massdebater


    I usually avoid the meme stocks/crypto as I have no interest in following prices constantly, so I wrote off Loopring when I heard it mentioned in relation to GME. I've since read into it further and their tech actually seems great and has lots of potential. Gas fees are a big problem for eth based NFTs so Loopring could do well as a solution to this. I bought in a few days ago at 55c, it's sitting around 95c atm, still well below it's ath of ~$2.40. Happy to hold it medium term to see how it does.

    And yes, I know Loopring is crypto and this is the share picks thread but it was mentioned above.

    Also, Trident Acquisitions (TDAC) has finally completed it's move to Lottery.com (LTRY), where customers can remotely, and legally, access lottery games through their online and mobile platforms. This is a potentially huge market in the USA, as well as internationally. Over 80 billion spent on lottery in the US in 2019.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,962 ✭✭✭✭banie01


    The CHWY link with Cohen is purely coincidental for me. It's a stock I've traded in and out of a few times over the last few years. This last trade was of the back of a price at $62.50 that I'd expected to rise to $75 pre December earnings. It hit that rise 5weeks early and I had other plays that the capital and profit could be rolled into.

    Now I am in on GME since Late Jan and have BEP of $122 but that's very much due to DFV, the various DD and research via all the many sub reddits rather than being an RC fan boy.

    I do think his work with CHWY and their growth to control a significant market sector whilst offering incredible customer experience is something that if rolled over to GME? Could be a basis for value growth.

    Also have been in and out of LRC for quite a while, even before any GME link was rumoured. My take on the potential? Is that if it can eliminate gas fees? It allows a means of assigning and very importantly IMO transferring ownership of digital assets. With regards to gaming, could this be the layer that moves gamers from licensees, to owners of their digital games? Allowing digital only games to be sold P2P and allowing a cut to go back to the publishers on a per transaction basis too. It could offer a grail of 2nd hand digital gaming amongst a host of other gamer friendly uses such as Dynamic NFT and ticketing.

    It could well be vapour ware, there may be no link between LRC and GME. I am trading long enough to know that rumour is often better for price action than news 😉 I have as of @11.20 today, sold all my LRC. Still holding all my GME and will for a while yet.

    My next stock/equity play will be into Indian defence stocks and I have a cheeky $190 buy for Boeing. Have ongoing and longheld concerns on their Defence contracts and penalty clauses and the latest batch of quality and defects on their stored airframes points to more cash being burned in rectifications.



  • Registered Users Posts: 971 ✭✭✭bob mcbob


    It looks like something is about to happen in China. When the government advises citizens to stockpile basics, something is up -

    Chinese families have been encouraged to stockpile daily necessities, prompting panic-buying, amid surging vegetable prices linked to recent extreme weather, fears of supply shortages and an ongoing Covid outbreak.

    A notice posted on the website of the Ministry of Commerce late on Monday urged local authorities to stabilise prices and families “to store a certain amount of daily necessities as needed to meet daily life and emergencies”.

    I wonder what it is?



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  • Registered Users Posts: 237 ✭✭HelloYoungBoy


    It says what it is in the article, a Covid outbreak



  • Registered Users Posts: 4 Cowboy12


    Will Ocugen gain WHO approval tomorrow or is now a good time to exit?



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,007 ✭✭✭greenfield21


    Bidstack - I think it was mentioned here before (search doesn't seem to be working). Anyway, worth a mention as it's up 40% of its recent lows now 2.3p. Its in the in game advertising space. Had a big run last year followed by a huge drop with retail investor getting burned as usual. Hated stock and from looking at the games they serve ads in they look terrible simple banner type ads. Also the financials and management are terrible.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,301 ✭✭✭VonLuck


    Anyone know why there's been a drop in Visa and Mastercard lately? I must have missed something in the news.

    Speaking of value stocks, what are the best picks these days for those who are a bit more risk averse?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,251 ✭✭✭massdebater


    If you are risk averse, I'd avoid picking individual stocks and stick with ETFs/ITs/other diversified funds.

    Otherwise, someone like MSFT/AAPL etc would probably be less risky than most over the long term.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,301 ✭✭✭VonLuck


    Only a bit risk averse, not totally! I have a mix of growth and value stocks in my portfolio.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,540 ✭✭✭✭retalivity


    Gonna sell half my BABA holdings today, as I think someone said here before, feel there's more bad news going to come out of china in the next week or 2. I've made money out of BABA already so not really losing anything, but think I may be able to buy back in at a lower price in a few weeks.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,939 ✭✭✭✭patsy_mccabe


    All stocks purchases should be on value and value only. Buying because a share price goes up or down is plain crazy. You have to figure out the intrinsic value of a stock first and then look at the trading price. That's the theory anyway, from those successful at this game. Buffet says that he always asks himself, will that company be there in 10 or 20 years time.

    'If I ventured in the slipstream, Between the viaducts of your dream'



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]



    "Buffet says that he always asks himself, will that company be there in 10 or 20 years time."

    Pretty sure 20 years time isn't going to be a worry for WB. But, it's a sound principle once you've made your money and want to keep it. I'm pretty sure warren took risks early in his investing career.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,511 ✭✭✭OwlsZat


    Currently.

    4D pharma down 51%

    ATVI down 26%

    AYX down 31%

    AMD up 40%

    BE up 17%

    CIEN up 16%

    PSTH down 26%

    SQ up 13.5%

    CHGG down 62%

    EDSA up 105%

    IAG up 11%

    So if you'd have invested in all equally at the start of the year you'd have made 1%. Which is more than I made as I'm buying a house so had to sell all my shares.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,301 ✭✭✭VonLuck


    I mean value stocks in the context that the company is trading below their true worth as opposed to growth stocks where you're speculating that they will outperform the market.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,442 ✭✭✭Shedite27


    Yeah growth stocks (Tesla, Apple) you're buying believing the growth story. Value stocks (Home Depot) you buy on company value



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,939 ✭✭✭✭patsy_mccabe


    "Speculating" is just gambling by another name.

    'If I ventured in the slipstream, Between the viaducts of your dream'



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Expecting big things from EDSA next two weeks - hopefully next week.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,939 ✭✭✭✭patsy_mccabe


    I looked at Home Depot recently and fantastic financials. Free Cash flow of circa $10 per share. Trading at $365. Would you consider that value ????

    'If I ventured in the slipstream, Between the viaducts of your dream'



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,442 ✭✭✭Shedite27


    Value and financials aren't my game to be honest. I'm not clever enough or financially savvy enough to work out what fair price for any share is.

    I prefer to follow trends, identify companies that are leading in those trends and invest in them, confident that both the industry and company will be bigger in 3 years than they are today.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,251 ✭✭✭massdebater


    Investing isn't a one size fits all solution. There are lots of different strategies that can be successful.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,192 ✭✭✭littlevillage


    Have you done any research yourself? and if so, would you care to share?



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,301 ✭✭✭VonLuck


    Yes, but not far beyond blue chip companies which everyone is familiar with.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,679 ✭✭✭MAJJ


    I have PSTH, knew I missed.my shot and held on, down about 1k on 5k outlay. I assume it's not worth hanging onto and better to sell and use loss to offset CGT from other sales?

    Post edited by MAJJ on


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