Thursday 4th November 2021

2.50 Chelmsford BETTER HALF 7/1 PP.. Worth a win or an ew bet at this price..

Had a look at this race where it's 3/1 the field, and it's fluctuating between easy and difficult; depending on your point of view, to make a case for anything in the top half of the betting here. This is mainly on account of the relative inexperience of the bunch, and none of them having had won (the fact that it's a 'Nursery' would suggest to me that being a previous race-winner is not an impediment insofar as taking part is concerned) yet.

I think Mark Johnston's charge has right good claims here, and looks, to me, to be about 2 points too big. She's had four goes so far on turf - 3 of those were over today's distance of 6f, and she's come placed in all three. She's sired by Bobby's Kitten, so I feel the surface will be fine for her, as another filly of his (Sands Of Time) came 2nd on the AW at Lingfield on Tuesday over the 6. Selection is drawn 6 out of 12 who are due to go to post (was 14, but 2 nons [so far] ) , and in the few runs she's had, she mainly races to the fore - if not outright leads - so a low draw in 6 is a plus too. Jason Hart a good man from the front too, is on board. I wouldn't be surprised to see her go off fav. What price she'll finish up at is anyone's guess, but I'd say it will be somewhat smaller than the current best price of 8/1 offered by 365.

I think the marginal 2nd fav Delahoussaye for Brian O'Rourke @ 3/1 gen is more of a 5/1 poke, so, if I was a layer, I'd have him up on BF at 4.5 (7/2) for small change just to (hopefully) prove myself right 😁 Don't feel like venturing outside atm, but if I do, I feel I'd be getting value for my €5 e/w on BETTER HALF...

Gluck 😃