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Relaxation of Restrictions, Part XII *Read OP For Mod Warnings*

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Comments

  • Registered Users Posts: 1,487 ✭✭✭floorpie


    Well that paragraph you quoted isn't about risk for vaccinated compared to unvaccinated. Table 3 and the surrounding paragraphs shows this info. " Among fully vaccinated household contacts, the crude SAR was similar for fully vaccinated index cases compared to unvaccinated index cases (11% vs. 12%)"



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,841 ✭✭✭TomTomTim


    Honestly, outside of our political elite, the zealots are few. Go around the nation; to pubs, town squares, talk to the people, and you'll quickly find that the tyrants are a very small minority. The internet always has an over abundance of these types, as it's given a voice to the "voiceless", the type of people who no one listened to for the majority of human history. The modern world shows us everyday why these people were not to be listened to.

    “The man who lies to himself can be more easily offended than anyone else. You know it is sometimes very pleasant to take offense, isn't it? A man may know that nobody has insulted him, but that he has invented the insult for himself, has lied and exaggerated to make it picturesque, has caught at a word and made a mountain out of a molehill--he knows that himself, yet he will be the first to take offense, and will revel in his resentment till he feels great pleasure in it.”- ― Fyodor Dostoevsky, The Brothers Karamazov




  • Posts: 8,647 [Deleted User]




  • Registered Users Posts: 307 ✭✭watchingfromafar


    It says that the vaccine does little in terms of transmission. Its protectiveness is that of reducing severity of disease.

    Your post isn't the "gotcha" you think it is lol



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    92% is about where we get to on measles. As they said today signs are that cases in over 80s are declining. With boosters it will soon be the over 70s, then the over 60s and those others at risk.



  • Posts: 8,647 [Deleted User]


    "Our results indicate that vaccination confers protection against onward transmission from vaccinated index cases, albeit somewhat less for Delta than for Alpha."

    I'll just quite the relevant line from the paper. It's not a "gotcha". It's just science.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,841 ✭✭✭TomTomTim


    Your own link says this:

    "Previous studies have found that people infected with Delta have roughly the same levels of viral genetic materials in their noses regardless of whether they’d previously been vaccinated, suggesting that vaccinated and unvaccinated people might be equally infectious2. But studies also suggest that vaccinated people are less likely to spread the virus if they subsequently catch Delta: their levels of nasal virus drop faster than do those of unvaccinated infected people, and their nasal swabs contain smaller amounts of infectious virus3,4."


    None of this is solid, it's all but speculation until multiple studies replicate the same outcome. It's always the people who preach "science", who seem to understand it the least.

    “The man who lies to himself can be more easily offended than anyone else. You know it is sometimes very pleasant to take offense, isn't it? A man may know that nobody has insulted him, but that he has invented the insult for himself, has lied and exaggerated to make it picturesque, has caught at a word and made a mountain out of a molehill--he knows that himself, yet he will be the first to take offense, and will revel in his resentment till he feels great pleasure in it.”- ― Fyodor Dostoevsky, The Brothers Karamazov




  • Registered Users Posts: 1,487 ✭✭✭floorpie


    You should look at the data tables instead of the text. It's written confusingly, and as such you're pasting text that goes against your point. E.g. you pasted this to prove your point:

    "Vaccine effectiveness against transmission to unvaccinated household contacts is stronger than to vaccinated household contacts", i.e. like I said, the vaccinated are as/more at risk from vaccinated people than unvaccinated people.

    So why should unvaccinated people be banned from public indoor spaces?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,825 ✭✭✭Healio


    Regulations updated today:




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,005 ✭✭✭✭AlekSmart


    The "Public Health Emergency" effectively ended in July 2020....once it became clear that Hospital car parks were NOT going to be full of dying patients,and most reasonably healthy adults can survive covid without any medical interventions or chemical assistance.

    However,the real "Emergency" was then,and remains now,the skewed monster which is the HSE,and it's long running crusade to reduce the principle of Universal Public Health Care to a mixum gatherum of Public/Private provision with BIG rewards for the Private parts and the leftovers for the Publicly operated section.

    What we are now seeing is the culmination of a Public Administration putsch in which a Government of sorts,has decided,on the results of the 2020 "lockdowns,tests & vaccines" experiment to go for broke and cement the "Emergency" elements into ordinary day -to- day Legislation.

    Just like NPHET itself,this "Emergency" legislation is no longer required,as the pre-existing systems are prefectly capable of dealing with the effects of this Virus.

    What we are now facing is a hi-jacking of long established Democratic principles,for some.as yet unclear motives.

    It is Political crookery of the very highest order. ☣️


    Men, it has been well said, think in herds; it will be seen that they go mad in herds, while they only recover their senses slowly, and one by one.

    Charles Mackay (1812-1889)



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    There's absolutely no legislation or regulation to cover this and both types of locations have had successful systems in place since last year.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,033 ✭✭✭✭Richard Hillman


    Yesterday government said they will be looking for legislation how they can get the temporary legislation in a new piece. This new piece will not be temporary. They will likely do what Tony tells them to do and put Gyms and Hairdressers into it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,906 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    That is the case, however delta uses effectively the same spike as alpha so the vaccines remain effective there's not much gain by rolling a new vaccine with a slightly modified spike for delta.

    What delta changed is in transmissibility.

    What hasn't changed is that the human immune system reduces the antibody count for coronavirus in general (T-Cell, B-Cell seems fine) which introduces latency in the bodies fight against the virus, the booster shots basically increase the antibody count back to a very high level and thus reduces that latency (as well as being more effective at reducing transmission), for a healthy young person, this probably isn't needed thus no booster requirement (as much as the no-jabbers would love to start declaring everyone unvaccinated, misery loves company after all). An annual booster will likely be sufficient for most (unless they want a jab sooner).



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,033 ✭✭✭✭Richard Hillman


    Bookmark this one as the next "conspiracy theory that comes true".


    NPHET have been banging on for the last week about reducing contacts. Not seeing as many people as normal etc. Donnelly mentioned not going to Nightclubs 3-4 times a week.

    The absolute dream and I mean the Holy Grail of Tony Holohan is to crack down on Binge Drinking. Covid/No Covid, that is his dream. Don't be surprised if the Hospitality Passes get restricted to X times per week/month. All to stop the spread of the virus of course 😁



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    If you are not able to use an apostrophe or ponctuation correctly. You should not be allowed on any public forum. It's infuriating at this stage.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,906 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    The paper has this conclusion (full text above):

    Our results indicate that vaccination confers protection against onward transmission from vaccinated index cases, albeit somewhat less for Delta than for Alpha

    floorpie is honing in on the Secondary Attack Rate (SAR) number above which is 11% for vaccinated vs 12% unvaccinated (a 10% difference which is within the margin for error, I think I have the order right) in that scenario.

    So depending if you trust the authors of the paper or look at that one data point will change the conclusion of the paper.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    It's not even published yet as a bill and likely to be next month before there is a vote on it. All it plans to do is to roll up all the disparate bits into a single piece of legislation. And yes it will be permanent legislation but its use is unlikely to be. As I've said before there are plenty of parts of the Health Act we don't use on a day to day basis.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Not sure if you had the time to read it before you posted it but hears (as you might say) the « evidence » from you’re (as you might say) article :

    « ...the chance that an unvaccinated close contact would test positive was 57%, but 3 months later, that chance rose to 67%. The latter figure is on par with the likelihood that an unvaccinated person will spread the virus. »



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,033 ✭✭✭✭Richard Hillman


    Under what circumstances do you believe the NPHET Government will do away with that permanent legislation?



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,906 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    That was also a quote specific to the AZ vaccine (which still reduces severe disease) the numbers are different for Pfizer.

    There will also be a booster available to everyone who got AZ to get a mRNA booster (is it an or a before mRNA?).



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    Permanent just means not defined for a specified period, in other words virtually all of our legislation. Some legislation is subject to specific conditions and I've no idea they'll do here as there is still no bill to look at. Changes depend on cases going down and NPHET do love their stats on that. I reckon 600 cases a day will bring more of a smile to their faces.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,646 ✭✭✭Penfailed


    So only some unvaccinated people infuriate you?

    Gigs '24 - Ben Ottewell and Ian Ball (Gomez), The Jesus & Mary Chain, The Smashing Pumpkins/Weezer, Pearl Jam, Green Day, Stendhal Festival, Forest Fest, Electric Picnic, Pixies, Ride, Therapy?, Public Service Broadcasting, IDLES(x2), And So I Watch You From Afar



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,487 ✭✭✭floorpie


    The UK and Netherlands studies are amazingly consistent in terms of magnitudes of effects, albeit in Netherlands study they assessed sars-cov-2 infection rather than rates of C19



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,005 ✭✭✭✭AlekSmart


    "We" are not losing anything !

    What we are seeing however,is a senior medical personage,who has,for many years,been concerned at Irish drinking and socialising habits.

    What Covid brought,was an opportunity to be empowered and encouraged to expand these "Concerns" into actual Legally enforcable Compulsions on a,previously free population,to follow his dictats or suffer Social & Legal consequences.

    One cannot easily dismiss the views of a Chief Medical Officer on medical issues,and I would not normally suggest that,however it has,for some time past,been noticeable that the CMO's opinions and line of thought have taken on a trajectory which appears to suggest he has issues around the broader concept of Human Interaction,almost as if he is advocating that Humans retreat into an isolationist way of life.

    Personally,I see a man who's job may have become a burden which has become too heavy,and I would see some sense in him voluntarily stepping back from what is obviously causing him personal unease and perhaps distress.

    It may be worth bearing in mind,that this CMO has some considerable track-record on issues surrounding mass Vaccination and more particularly,the role played by Major Pharmacutical Companies operating under Publicly Funded Immunities.


    https://www.thejournal.ie/government-official-defends-indemnity-for-swine-flue-vaccine-makers-423613-Apr2012/


    Perhaps of most importance at this time is this paragraph from the Blackwell case.

    It was claimed neither he nor his parents would have consented to the vaccination if various matters were made clear to them, including that Pandemrix had allegedly never been, or never been adequately, tested, on children of his age.


    If ever the phrase Caveat Emptor was relevant,perhaps it is now.


    Men, it has been well said, think in herds; it will be seen that they go mad in herds, while they only recover their senses slowly, and one by one.

    Charles Mackay (1812-1889)



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    If you go along with the idea of injecting yourself with drugs every 6 months it will have some positive effect - I’m not trying to question that. I’m not saying the vaccines are completely useless.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,906 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


     I’m not saying the vaccines are completely useless.

    High protection against severe disease and death (that doesn't seem to wane that much at all) reduced transmission rates that do wane as antibody count decreases (similar to natural immunity but more predictable).

    You define how useful they are.



  • Registered Users Posts: 18 Johnlynch1970


    as you can see im rarely on here so anyone ive spoken cant stand him



  • Registered Users Posts: 18 Johnlynch1970


    course he did, he spent most of last year telling people that travel was the root of all evil when the evidence showed that cases coming from travel were absokutely miniscule.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    I’m not saying nobody should take the vaccine. But for a lot of us it can’t compare with natural immunity :

    « The finding is particularly significant because the T-cell arm of the immune response tends to confer longer lasting immunity, typically of years rather than months, compared with antibodies. Nearly all existing Covid-19 vaccines focus on priming antibodies... »



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,468 ✭✭✭✭lawred2


    Couple of cases in one of the lad's classes. Mostly very mild symptoms. Parents WhatsApp group alight with certain mothers wanting the school closed.

    Why can't they just keep their own kids at home? Why the compulsion to enforce the same on everyone else?

    Maybe it's a fear of not doing something in a group. I don't know.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,657 ✭✭✭CalamariFritti


    Now for the record I am fully vaccinated but I dont get this mindset at all.

    We will not make vaccines mandatory (cos we're pissing our pants in case of liabilities) but we will castigate and hassle you to the hilt if you dont take one. Wtf is that all about? I either have a choice which is just that - a choice - and then it should be up to me - period - with no hassling - or else I dont have a choice. But this fkn around is total bull. Never mind unethical.

    Thats before we get to the fact that me being vaccinated apparently does not protect anyone else except me.

    I swear people have completely lost their brains over all this. Including our 'governors'.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,646 ✭✭✭Penfailed


    Gigs '24 - Ben Ottewell and Ian Ball (Gomez), The Jesus & Mary Chain, The Smashing Pumpkins/Weezer, Pearl Jam, Green Day, Stendhal Festival, Forest Fest, Electric Picnic, Pixies, Ride, Therapy?, Public Service Broadcasting, IDLES(x2), And So I Watch You From Afar



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,468 ✭✭✭✭lawred2


    Huh!? Over 90% adults are vaccinated. We're locking the dirty "unvaccinated" out in the rain and it's doing sweet f**k all to contain anything.

    Vaccines protect the person who has taken the vaccine. This nonsensical take a vaccine to protect others blithering has to stop.

    As for getting our lives back to normal.. well the jury is kinda still out on that one



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,468 ✭✭✭✭lawred2


    Said our lads are grand and they'll be in school tomorrow according to current HSE guidelines



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 38,930 ✭✭✭✭PTH2009


    You know what

    'ITS ALL OUR FAULT FOR NOT LISTENING TO DADDY TONY AND NPHET'

    '1 NIGHT OUT A WEEK AND BE HOME FOR 11.30PM AND DON'T FORGET 3 DRINK MAXIMUM OR YOU'LL HAVE NO NIGHTS OUT AT ALL IF YOU KEEP UP MESSIN'



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,646 ✭✭✭Penfailed


    Oh dear. You have a really weird obsession with Holohan and NPHET. Now you're making up quotes under the guise of 'humour'...

    Gigs '24 - Ben Ottewell and Ian Ball (Gomez), The Jesus & Mary Chain, The Smashing Pumpkins/Weezer, Pearl Jam, Green Day, Stendhal Festival, Forest Fest, Electric Picnic, Pixies, Ride, Therapy?, Public Service Broadcasting, IDLES(x2), And So I Watch You From Afar



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,906 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    Good poster here explaining the differences, if you are going to be exposed (and nobody should be purposely exposing themselves because that's stupid) having it occur after a vaccine is by far the best way and least risky. Those previously infected and then vaccinated should have a similar response:

    From COVID-19 immunity: Natural infection compared to vaccination | British Society for Immunology



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,906 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    While I agree that getting above 90% of adults is a lot of hard work (and this group are often very very set in their ways), vaccines also protect everyone around you to various degrees, that's kind of the big point of vaccines.

    A COVID pill just protects you however (and is way more expensive at the moment).



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,330 ✭✭✭✭namloc1980


    The stuff coming from NPHET is a bit of a parody at this stage. Probably doing more harm than good having Tony and Co pontificating about social contacts etc.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,657 ✭✭✭CalamariFritti


    How do you make that one up?

    It appears that the countries with highest vaccination rates also have the highest incidences atm. We also learned that vaccinated people carry the same viral load as unvaccinated and can spread it too.

    On that account I'm afraid the blackmail thing that worked so well for masks (we're doing it for everyone else) isn't really going to work here. Or shouldn't I should say cos our 'betters' try anyway. And it appears its working, a lot of people are just not able to spot the contradiction.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,906 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    Quickfire:

    Vaccinated people infectious for shorter periods of time

    Vaccinated people clear the viral load faster

    Many countries have high vaccination rates and low incidence rates, our incidence rates have increased slowly as we dropped restrictions

    The unvaccinated are more likely to transmit (depending on when the vaccinated person was vaccinated) and 12x more likely to be hospitalised when infected (taking up 50% of ICU), that's why they're being restricted and certs required



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,646 ✭✭✭Penfailed


    If I wasn't reading this thread, I wouldn't have the slightest clue what Holohan/NPHET is coming out with. He's living rent free in some poster's heads.

    Gigs '24 - Ben Ottewell and Ian Ball (Gomez), The Jesus & Mary Chain, The Smashing Pumpkins/Weezer, Pearl Jam, Green Day, Stendhal Festival, Forest Fest, Electric Picnic, Pixies, Ride, Therapy?, Public Service Broadcasting, IDLES(x2), And So I Watch You From Afar



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,657 ✭✭✭CalamariFritti


    I cant verify that on the quick but since I've seen others here make that same claim I will take your word for it for now.

    So if its all that great and clear cut why is it not being made mandatory then?

    And if its not mandatory that implies I have a choice. Only it seems I dont. What is the logic behind that?

    Rheotirical question btw. I dont expect you to bail out our officials here. Just making the point.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,330 ✭✭✭✭namloc1980


    Love this headline. "No timeline for phasing ourselves out". These lads need a serious reality check.




  • Registered Users Posts: 1,487 ✭✭✭floorpie


    Vaccinated people infectious for shorter periods of time

    Vaccinated people clear the viral load faster

    The unvaccinated are more likely to transmit 

    None of these things are right going by UK study. Rate of viral decline is different only for pre-alpha unvaccinated, compared to delta vaccinated. Not within delta. Unvaccinated aren't more likely to transmit. Unvaccinated are more likely to be infected by unvaccinated people only.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,365 ✭✭✭ceadaoin.


    In England, Infection rates per 100,000 are higher in vaccinated people in all age groups over 30. For some reason, they stopped publishing these graphs after September, but according to the data, the gap is widening. At this point, in England, vaccinated people are more likely to become infected than unvaccinated. Whats behind this?

    The black bar is vaccinated btw.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Boards: Why don’t they leave it to personal responsibility

    NPHET: no return to wide scale restrictions. Personal responsibility is still important and by the way here are a few suggestions that you might want to consider and that are in no way enforceable

    Boards: bloody nphet pontificating again and trying to control our lives



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,033 ✭✭✭✭Richard Hillman


    They gave their dog whistle to their NPHET Government to extend the vaccine pass to Gyms and Hairdressers, and said they have no plans to disband



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,657 ✭✭✭CalamariFritti


    I dont think thats in any way surprising.

    The vaccines protect from bad outcomes to a good degree but not from infection. So it stands to reason while we have more vaccinated than unvaccinated people that we also have more vaccinated people that get infected.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 5,918 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    That's pretty much the thread summed up lately.

    You could see, I think it was the press conference last week, some gutter journalist (taking that phrase from GoldenGirl) repeatedly asking the CMO how many times is risky for visiting nightclubs. They were searching for that definative answer to proclaim the CMO says visiting nightclubs X times a week is unsafe etc... He didn't bite, gave the usual personal responsibility etc...


    Then days later I see someone asked Donnelly and of course he doesn't think before opening his mouth and said 2 or 3.

    Guess the journalist got the answer they wanted.



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