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More housing objections by the opposition and Boyd Barrett.

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  • Registered Users Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2


    Blanch, you'd have done well in the Soviet Union as an ashen-faced party apparatchik saying black is white and up is down.

    If you want to make a broader point about the planning system rewarding objectionist politicians to keep Mary and Joe red-brick in-situ happy, you might have some credibility.

    But to seriously suggest that current government parties aren't up to their necks in the same behaviour is laughable.

    This thread is brought to you by the usual obsessed cohort that think they can pin anything on opposition and won't get pushback when the reality shows governing parties are up to the same craic and often with a straight face.



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,189 ✭✭✭Brucie Bonus


    Its gas when the FF/FG are found out its shrugged off as 'sure they're all at it'. When its just opposition its a scandal. Zero credibility.

    One set are complaining its not affordable or fit for purpose while the FF/FG and engaging in NIMBYism while orchestrating similar elsewhere. Thats the difference.



  • Registered Users Posts: 27,971 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    So you can't find a single example of a large-scale housing development which didn't have opposition objections. OK, got it.



  • Registered Users Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2


    What are you on about? You've lost the thread blanch. Thanks for the use of the hall.



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,446 ✭✭✭Jinglejangle69


    You lot say the government don't want to build houses because they are landlords and hate the poor etc and you're link proves you correct.


    Weldone you're probably correct in they don't.


    But the opposition claim they do want houses built but are been shown up to be lying.


    That's the difference.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2


    I haven't seen gymnastics like this since Simone Biles in Rio 2016.



  • Registered Users Posts: 27,971 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    I asked a simple question, you can't answer it. That is all. It was directly relevant to the topic and contained no personal remarks.



  • Registered Users Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2


    Take the L Blanch, you'll live to engage in political gaslighting another day.

    This isn't Who Wants to Be A Millionaire, I don't do nonsense bad-faith questions and never have.



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,189 ✭✭✭Brucie Bonus


    The government want hedge funds to build, charge what they like and use the taxpayer to keep them in profit by artificially keeping prices high.

    You don't understand the concept of affordable housing, but if you did you'd know what the opposition and housing experts are looking for.

    FF/FG just want to bleed as much profit for private builds as they can, except if its in Josepha's back yard.



  • Registered Users Posts: 27,971 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    You don't understand the concept of economics. If you did, you wouldn't keep saying that building more houses keeps rents high.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 5,189 ✭✭✭Brucie Bonus


    We could go back and forth all day.

    Building more of what people can't afford puts a burden on the tax payer to subsidise. Prices are met and remain the same.

    You cannot point to any area where rents lowered because of a build. And its madness to suggest trying to flood the market with unaffordable properties will correct that.



  • Registered Users Posts: 27,971 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    Yes, you have mad politicians on your side claiming that increasing supply increases rents. I have economic studies and data on my side.

    "The core finding is that a one percent increase in housing completions tends to be associated with a 0.4 percent to 0.7 percent decrease in rents."

    "Importantly, Mense’s work shows that added supply influences rents across the entire housing market.  "

    "The key implication is that new housing supply provided by private developers effectively lowers rents throughout the rent distribution, shortly after the new units are completed."

    Have a read of the article, or indeed of the whole paper. Interestingly, it also makes the case for more high-rise, high-density.



  • Registered Users Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2


    The current eye watering rent problem is in large part caused by the state backstopping high rental yields and baking them into the future via badly negotiated long term leases on new developments by the state and a chronic addiction to HAP, which should be a short term measure but will be with is quite a while yet.

    This is demand stimulus from the state and real estate becomes a feeding ground for developers armed with cheap money and sometimes even land transferred to them by the state at a heavy discount (thnx FG).

    If certain posters are confused as to why housing in Ireland doesn't respond to demand and supply curves exactly like their Leaving Cert textbooks while they were half asleep, they need to do a little bit of interrogation of their fave parties policies.

    Gov policy has for a long time doped up the rental floor, and refused to set a meaningful ceiling.

    The answer was and is, (along with planning reform) a massive scheme of social and affordable housing (for rent and purchase) on publically owned land, stop gifting money for jam to developers via leases and sweetheart land deals where they make away like bandits with land arbitrage, and for the love of God, less sneery lectures about economics when they have a poor grip on it themselves.



  • Registered Users Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2





  • Registered Users Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2


    Now throw in the almost uniquely Irish variable (thanks to your pals) of HAP and long term lease arrangements to private interests at the top of the market and calculate what that does to your German demand/supply curve? Throw in land gifting from the state for good measure.

    There are none so blind etc.



  • Registered Users Posts: 27,971 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    They don't invalidate the point about supply increases cutting rental costs as demonstrated in that paper. Yes, the State will be left with some foolish long-term deals if it happens that they will justify on the basis of what was available at the time, but doesn't change the underlying point.



  • Registered Users Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2


    If you'd actually taken economics classes, you'll know that data analysis come with health warnings and and a caveat about presumptions.

    This curve comes with the presumption of new units being released onto the open market, in which case it would probably hold true in Ireland, it doesn't toy around with the idea of the state backstopping and doping up high rents via the kind of policies we have here.

    You're making a weak argument and it's undermined further by the kind of rent inflation we see in Ireland. Deal with reality here, not a German paper about German conditions.



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,189 ✭✭✭Brucie Bonus


    You said that they say that. You create your own fake arguments and then play clever. Show where new builds caused rents to lower. I can only think of the last crash when credit ran out.



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,189 ✭✭✭Brucie Bonus


    And its these "foolish long term deals" that the opposition and housing experts are complaining about. Except the FF/FG NIMBY's like Josepha.

    Well done, you circled yourself into yet another corner.



  • Registered Users Posts: 27,971 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    He says

    Show where new builds caused rents to lower

    I just posted a whole economic study that demonstrated this, but he ignores it. The question was answered, answered in full, and backed up with peer-reviewed evidence yet he can come along and just dismiss it with a wave and post some more nonsense about fake arguments!!! You couldn't make it up.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 27,971 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    When it is a choice between "foolish long-term deals" while waiting for the better solutions to be in place and homelessness, you want the government to choose homelessness.

    You really don't think about what you post, circling yourself into yet another corner.

    The opposition would never get anything built because they would spend their time opposing themselves.



  • Registered Users Posts: 27,971 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    If you knew anything about economics other than in theoretical terms, you would know that nothing stands still, and that a government that engages in short-term housing measures while building up supply is not ignoring the economic curve.

    Your fallacy only holds if the government continues ad infinitum to lease all new builds at a fixed minimum rent. That isn't in the plan.



  • Registered Users Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2


    Yet, we don't see this effect in Ireland because of demand-side doping by the government via bad policy. We've all heard of the Simple Simon supply/demand dynamic, we all learned about in our Leaving Cert cycle. Things become a good deal more complex when other variables are thrown in the mix and this is particularly true of housing, which is highly politicized and subject to numerous government interventions as well as lending, planning and interest rate conditions.

    This has been raked over in many threads. Yes supply is needed, no sh*t, but if there are other fundamentals are ballsing up the market like HAP and ill-advised leasing run wild, you're not going to see rents respond to supply in the way your article suggests. That's hard reality and you need to come to terms with it.



  • Registered Users Posts: 27,971 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    Again you assume that HAP and ill-advised leasing run for ever rather than in the short-term. Of course, those are more complicated set-ups than your standard Leaving Cert economics but I think you see these things in a rather simplistic way. Pushing up the supply allows the government to drop the other interventions and allow rents to fall. Where the policy fails is when there is opportunistic opposition to the supply increases and the other interventions last beyond their usefulness and increase the problem.

    At the end of the day, putting a roof over someone's head is a human problem and this government is acting because of that. Stopping long-term leases and HAP increases homelessness in the short to medium-term. Maybe that actually is the aim of the opposition.



  • Registered Users Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2


    HAP has been with us since 2014 and doesn't look like going away. Civil servants want it wound down, opposition parties want it wound down, governing parties don't want to (we can speculate as to the reasons). It was floated as a short-term measure, and is now baked into the rental dynamic in Ireland. Start dealing with what's in front of you instead of reaching to a German paper you found on the first page of your Google results page.

    Blanch, I wouldn't advise you to go swinging you m*ckey about economics, you've come up short in other threads and this one.



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,189 ✭✭✭Brucie Bonus


    We have better solutions. They have been told. Outside of FF/FG and their lackeys in the Greens they have been told they are wrong, making matters worse in some areas and in others following the failed London/UK model.

    "But we need them now" doesn't work ten years into a crisis they've constantly made worse doing much the same thing.

    The opposition are against more of the same not fit for purpose. Josepha and friends are opposing based on pure NIMBYism.

    You earlier cited some "foolish long-term deals" the government engage in. Thats what the opposition are blocking.

    You support these foolish long term deals or think the government are incapable of avoiding them so make the best of it? Not good enough either way.

    Post edited by Brucie Bonus on


  • Administrators, Social & Fun Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 76,552 Admin ✭✭✭✭✭Beasty


    Posts deleted

    Discuss the topic



  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 26,996 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    Surely FG/FF are doing exactly what people are claiming they do, whereas SF are doing the opposite of what they are pushing for. Therefore they are contributing to the problem but only one is being incredibly hypocritical while doing it.

    Reducing HAP etc is all well and good, and it of course is artificially subsidizing rent, but if you removed it tomorrow and had thousands of people thrown out on the street it would hardly be celebrated by anyone. Ireland needs more housing built and a shitload of it. Objections based on "height and density" when it comes to 3-7 storey buildings makes an absolute mockery of any statement about supporting increaded housing. Unless they somehow plan on building millions of semi-Ds



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,548 ✭✭✭Topgear on Dave


    I'd have though FF and FG keeping out riff-raff and defending local property owners house values was very on brand. :-)



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  • Registered Users Posts: 4,548 ✭✭✭Topgear on Dave


    Even the landlords want it wound down.

    Hadn't they to be banned from refusing it. LOL



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