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Will there be another lockdown?

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  • Registered Users Posts: 19,412 ✭✭✭✭Donald Trump



    They evidentially do work. Despite the fact that we are effectively fully open and loads of people are ignoring other basic precautions, neither our daily case numbers nor our hospital numbers are at the peak of last Jan which happened when most people were still restricting movements and was caused by people socialising a little bit over the Christmas



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Yeah, but they're twice last November..

    We'll see what it's like in Jan/Feb..



  • Registered Users Posts: 19,412 ✭✭✭✭Donald Trump



    Do you believe everything your partner tells you? There are peer reviewed medical journals which publish actual studies saying there is no evidence of increase in risk



    What your partner might be mixing up is a general practice not to give vaccinations in the first trimester.



  • Registered Users Posts: 870 ✭✭✭DarkJager21


    So the government are yet again ignoring the elephant in the room and making pikachu faces about where the increase in cases is coming from.

    Here's an idea - circuit break the schools until January, remote learning from now until after Xmas. The dog on the street knows that schools are contributing massively to this wave, so instead of driving nightclubbers or pub goers back to house parties with stupid curfews, lets see them tackle the one area they point blank refuse to admit is a problem despite it being a blatantly obvious one.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 19,412 ✭✭✭✭Donald Trump



    But we were locked down last November. It's not comparable to this November. We've probably increased our contacts tenfold compared to then. (At least)



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    I rather she took advice of someone who is a professional in there job. Not something thats written up in a medical journal. As i said in a previous post she had a few miscarriages and she wasnt risking another one



  • Registered Users Posts: 19,412 ✭✭✭✭Donald Trump



    Your partner may have taken up the doctor incorrectly. If she already had it, the doctor might have just reasoned that she doesn't need the vaccine. You haven't said when this advice happened, but if it happened recently, could we assume that your partner had already chosen not to get the vaccine despite being offered it? In which case she might also have a bias against it.


    The doctors advice might likely have been strongly towards getting the vaccine if she had not already had Covid



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    92% of adults in the country have been vaccinated. 97% in some regions.

    These are spectacular numbers. Anyone who still thinks the unvaccinated are a problem is a moron. It's an invisible bogeyman.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,150 ✭✭✭opinionated3


    Sky news reporting new data this morning confirming adults with under 16s in the house are most likely to contract the virus. So you're probably right re: the schools.

    But they'll blame it on hospitality and irresponsible adults anyway.. ...



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  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    My own compassion certainly isn't limitless and other peoples views have been frustrating for me. It makes me see the world in a harsh light though, just creates anger in me towards others. It's not a nice feeling so I try to remind myself that we do the best we can.

    I'm watching this thing called Y The Last Man. It's basically a post apocalyptic story. There are different opinions as to how to survive and who should be in charge. It's obvious to many that the current leader is the best one. Another character thinks differently. She has aligned herself with a person who is extremely Conservative.

    Anyways I'm watching this thinking how can some of them be so blind and bonkers as to think the right leaning individual is better. But they aren't blind or bonkers. For them they really really believe this is the best person and her way is what they need.

    They are all just people wanting to get out of a huge crisis. None of them are monsters. They all have their own inner struggles and stuff going on.

    Obviously the above is fiction but it reminds me of our crisis. What good does fighting with each other do? Sometimes when we grieve our anger becomes misplaced. "All those unvaccinated don't they realise what they are doing" "That person with no mask on going about their day when I've lost so much".

    It's all so pointless.



  • Registered Users Posts: 82,343 ✭✭✭✭Atlantic Dawn
    M


    The initial 2km restriction from non essential movement from your home seems like a bad dream now as if it never happened it was so obscene.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,763 ✭✭✭ArthurDayne


    People keep saying this but it would only be contributing to the government’s whack-a-mole approach, not dealing with it. We need to stop f**king around with schools. If nothing else, at the very least let the children have their education and their friends and let’s stop dragging them, our most fragile citizens, any further into this dystopian mess.

    We just need to stop f**king about with stuff just to be seen to have taken action — whether it’s schools or some poorly conceived idea about hospitality curfews. The reality we all need to face is that Covid is here forever, vaccines will not prevent transmission, and only by actually facing Covid and accepting the reality that it will spread are we we going to reach a stage (aided massively by the effect of vaccination on severity of illness) where the virus becomes a progressively lesser risk. The old arguments of 2020 are dead — the “let it rip” mantra used to demonise the advocates of a more holistic approach is buried. We are in the era of vaccines and there is nothing for it now but to face reality and stop the can kicking.



  • Registered Users Posts: 14,468 ✭✭✭✭Dav010


    Doctors frequently advise patients based on research/studies. I



  • Registered Users Posts: 29,461 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    If they were invisible it'd be less of a problem, kept themselves to themselves, but they aren't or there wouldn't be such disproportionate numbers of them in hospital and ICU.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users Posts: 870 ✭✭✭DarkJager21


    But we can't keep burying our heads in the sand about schools and the infection rates they are driving - they ARE contributing to it. We keep hearing about "oh education is a priority above everything else", no it is not especially if it means it is directly impacting the rest of us being able to return to some normality. Why do you think this wave picked up pace around the start of September??


    Remote learning is possible and it should at the least be put in place until after Xmas and see what that does to the numbers then. Dismissing them as being part of the problem is completely irresponsible and is only prolonging this even further.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,326 ✭✭✭Scuid Mhór




  • Registered Users Posts: 4,660 ✭✭✭elefant


    How can they be seen not to be a problem, when that 8% of adults are taking up a massively disproportionate amount of hospital capacity? 40% of hospital admissions and over 50% of ICU admissions from 8% of the population is surely a problem.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,466 ✭✭✭shockframe


    "The schools are safe" is the "I don't accept that" of our time.



  • Registered Users Posts: 19,412 ✭✭✭✭Donald Trump



    Or to put it another way, one way to cut almost 50% of ICU admissions would be for for the un-vaccinated free-riders to do their bit to get vaccinated.

    Or we could go back to no pubs or restaurants or schools or barbers or gyms.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 870 ✭✭✭DarkJager21


    The whole thing is a logic blackhole, I don't understand anyone who can trot out the "schools are safe" line with a straight face.

    1) Children are less likely to have symptoms - that's great, it's still a highly infectious virus they can transmit at home. Little Timmy picks it up off his classmate.

    2) Now the child has Covid without symptoms, but he's passed it to the rest of the household. Mam & Dad now go off to work and infect X amount of people in their workplace.

    3) Coworkers now have it, bring it home, their son goes to school, infect X amount in his class and the cycle continues.

    Schools are not safe, they are petri dishes for the continues spread of this and politicians or NPHET stating the opposite repeatedly is not going to change that fact.



  • Registered Users Posts: 19,412 ✭✭✭✭Donald Trump



    There is a level at which we can cope and we have to make choices as to what does and does not make the cut. I think most would agree that nightclubs and other similar social events should be lower priority than schools.

    It can be pointed out too that our numbers did not surge to their current level when schools opened but rather when everything else did



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,012 ✭✭✭eggy81


    I think booster uptake will slow significantly from the original vaccine uptake levels. A lot of scepticism creeping in with people in my personal life. Anyone else noticed this trend.



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,660 ✭✭✭elefant


    I haven't noticed this. Skepticism about what?



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,012 ✭✭✭eggy81


    About the effectiveness of the vaccine. Think another lockdown of any great significance would have a big impact on people’s belief in it. Most people do not educate themselves to the degree the people analysing Covid on these forums do.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Correlation does not equal causation. The majority of people (>50%) in ICU at any given time are elderly patients with underlying conditions and long-term illness. Statistically I would expect a disproportionate number to be unvaccinated.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,763 ✭✭✭ArthurDayne


    We cannot live with Covid if we are taking the view that the most fundamentally normal parts of life, including children being able to go to school and having physical interaction with their friends, are forever subject (at almost a whim) to being targeted for the potential for this virus to spread. If we are talking about heads being in the sand, it’s hard to evade the point that we are fast approaching two years of restrictions . Lockdowns and the draconian curtailment of certain liberties was only meant to be, and only can be, a temporary feature. Even the half-life of freedoms being reinstated but constantly and incessantly threatened by the reality that those things can be stripped away at the drop of the hat, is neither a good nor a sustainable policy. We can’t run an education system on this basis and it is not in the national interest to force our children to play this unending Hokey Cokey in their formative years.

    We need to stop the tinkering and understand that if vaccines aren’t going to stop transmission we need to accept the reality of transmission and find a more sustainable way forward which involves a Living with Covid strategy that actually means living with it — not forever trying to find ways to avoid living with it.



  • Registered Users Posts: 870 ✭✭✭DarkJager21


    We won't be able to move forward in any sense until they stop **** the bed over case numbers and accept that there are going to be deaths. All of the discussion at the moment is about protecting the health service, which wouldn't have be an issue if it wasn't an obscenely bloated, badly managed, badly resourced and not fit for purpose blackhole of funding.



  • Registered Users Posts: 14,468 ✭✭✭✭Dav010


    I wonder do those people understand that the significant number is not the rate of infection, it is the rate of admission to hospitals and mortality. Both of which are down due to vaccination. And do they understand that 52% of ICU patients come from the 8% of the population who are unvaccinated? Let’s hope so.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 4,499 ✭✭✭An Ri rua


    Yes, true, I left out some categories. I forgot vaccinated and over-confident and overtrusting of single measures.



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