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So UFOs aren't a theory anymore - but we still don't know what they are

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,230 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    Yet, incredibly, with all the camera tech we have everywhere now, these types of incidents are never clearly captured on film.

    Likewise now that everyone essentially has a HD video camera in our back pockets, accounts of "UFO abductions" have essentially disappeared.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]



    Do we have any evidence of an intelligent life form ever wiping itself out ? I dont think so.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,230 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe



    We have come to the brink of global nuclear war several times, now we're busy ignoring climate change, so yeah, we're pretty good candidates so far.

    I am a space enthusiast, but indeed the chances of two intelligent civilizations encountering each other in the vastness of the universe and the gulf of time is astronomically slim.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,586 ✭✭✭silliussoddius


    And even more slim is that this evidence will be presented to us by modern UFOLOGY



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 24,123 Mod ✭✭✭✭robinph


    Nope. Although we've shown the capability and idiocy to do it to ourselves several times.

    But the scale of time involved, of which life on this planet has only been around for a minute fraction of, and the chances of humanity surviving for the hundreds of millions of years from now to give even the tiniest chance of us encountering another similarly long surviving species that also somehow manages to find a way around dealing with the vast distances involved in order to travel between livable systems make the chances so close to zero its barely worth wasting the time to write out all the zeros you'd need after the decimal point.


    There is almost certainly other intelligent life out there in the universe, good chance there is in our galaxy, slight chance that we become capable of detecting their presence such as from identifying oxygen or water or whatever it is that those who know about such things figure would be proof of life. Whatever we detect though will be from looking back through time and at distances that would be impossible for us to reach or even communicate with unless there is some major shift in how physics works.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,636 ✭✭✭celtic_oz


    sorry how exactly do you know this ? Because YOU have never seen them ?

    Luis Elizondo is a former U.S. Army Counterintelligence Special Agent and former employee of the Office of the Under Secretary of Defense for Intelligence.


    His comments on high resolution photos


    "I am a space enthusiast, but indeed the chances of two intelligent civilizations encountering each other in the vastness of the universe and the gulf of time is astronomically slim."

    Pure conjecture, you continue to assume that any intelligent civilizations are roughly the same intelligence as we are.

    There could be billions of civilizations with technology a billion YEARS ahead of us ( we were on horses 2000 years ago ), with scanning technology that would appear to be MAGIC to us.

    We could be the equivalent of ants in an ant hill discussing the non-existence of planes.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,586 ✭✭✭silliussoddius


    It must be horrible having been part of the Bigelow pay back, sorry UFO task force, and seeing evidence of the biggest story in human history and not being able to sneak out a photo.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    You are using our current knowledge base as a benchmark for your point and you can only get us so far when there is so much unknown. You say yourself we have only been around for a fraction of a minute, so what do we really know? Time is relative, distance is relative.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    So what you are saying is there is no evidence of intelligent life ever wiping itself out. The whole bases of the argument made on a post that you liked, making the posters whole point of 2 intelligent life forms not meeting due the universe size, and the fact that lifeforms are likely to wipe themselves out or being wiped Null and void.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,636 ✭✭✭celtic_oz


    please describe the characteristics of a photograph of a UFO that would not be judged to be a fake.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,586 ✭✭✭silliussoddius


    I’m talking about him being restrained by his job from releasing the biggest news in human history. He is also part of the movement that gave us a batman balloon for a UFO, triangle bokeh for a supposed flying pyramid and then there’s the skinwalker ranch brigade and their nonsense.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,407 ✭✭✭✭King Mob


    What evidence do you have that lifeforms don't wipe themselves out?

    We know from our history that intelligent life absolutely can wipe itself out pretty easily.

    And if it can, and there are other examples of intelligence out there, some must have wiped themselves out for whatever reason.

    What percentage do, that's not something we can know. But we have to accept that this is a factor in the chances of two intelligent lifeforms meeting.


    If time and distance is relative in the way you're vaguely suggesting, why would aliens need to physically come to Earth in spaceships?

    Why couldn't they just use their hyper advanced technology to observe everything they need to from afar?


    Also why would the spaceships have to keep their lights on all the time? And why would they be detectable by radar etc?



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 24,123 Mod ✭✭✭✭robinph


    If time and distance are irrelevant then we are either alone in the universe, or the other lifeforms consider us not intelligent life/ actually stick to the Star Trek prime directive 100% of the time.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,230 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    There's no single piece of strong compelling evidence, that's the problem. I certainly haven't come across any. Every video I see turns out to be a new test missile, or a drone, or a weather artefact, or instrument glitch, etc. For the rest, it's just blurry enough to be inconclusive. If someone can provide I am more than willing to have a look.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,230 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    Let's say there are no "wormholes" and interstellar travel is only possible via normal physics, the best a civilisation could probably do is get a drone to their closest neighbour star. Possibly life on a one-way trip. That's the hard limitations of space (and I'm using a craft accelerating up to almost light speed in that example). We can watch sci-fi and imagine all sorts of stuff, but the physics are really, really, really hard to bend.

    Even if there are thousands, or millions of planets with intelligent life out there, space is so astronomically big, and time so incredibly expansive, the chances of two of them meeting is still infinitesimally small



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,636 ✭✭✭celtic_oz


    There is no single piece of HD footage that you would believe unless corroborated by a thousand "real" news sources without saying its CGI

    Even when confronted by the US Navy saying "we dont know what these are" and releasing 2 videos with a verifiable chain of custody.. its "sorry its too fuzzy"

    As per the OP no one knows what these are, ultimately we have to be open minded enough to leave the door open for extraterrestrial however slim the possibility.

    Shutting that door based on known physics is incredibly lazy, cowardly and historically usually wrong.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,407 ✭✭✭✭King Mob


    But no one is shutting the door on that discussion using that argument.

    It's a bit dishonest to keep attributing to people who aren't making that argument. Especially when you aren't actually addressing the points they are actually making, no?


    If you are keeping an open mind, and known physics shouldn't hold back possibilities, are you also open to it idea of other explanations for these events?

    For example, some people believe that UFO sightings are actually fairies or Angels and Demons. Do you believe these are valid possibilities? If not, why not?


    Personally I don't think they are valid explanations, but if you are insisting that all possibilities must be considered and that physics and reality as we know it can be ignored, we must consider them equally as valid as extraterrestrials.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,230 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    That's fine. We have had thousands upon thousands of cases, none have been clear cut. With all our technology that's pushing the envelope of probability.

    There are many highly convincing tales of abductions and encounters, even by professionals, even by groups of people, but now that we all have smartphones these have all but disappeared. We have an amazing capacity to misidentify stuff, especially in the sky, and even more so in space (a recent article, which I can't find back right now, demonstrated how differently stuff moves in space, and how it would often fool even seasoned astronauts into thinking they were seeing something else)

    I'm not ruling anything out, but just pointing out the obvious (and removing wishful thinking)

    Post edited by Dohnjoe on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,636 ✭✭✭celtic_oz


    read the posts .. people saying there a ZERO percent chance etc, then posting pictures that show how to identify all lights.

    With regards to ETs using faster than light travel, self replicating bots to scan galaxies for life and potentially cloaking technology etc is beyond our current knowledge of physics, how you can compare that with uncle Fred who died last week twitching your tea cup over an ouija board is your decision.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,407 ✭✭✭✭King Mob


    But that's not what people are saying. You're misrepresenting their arguments for some reason.

    Please quote where someone has say "ZERO percent chance".


    And yes, comparing your claims about aliens with other supernatural claims is valid and relevant.

    How do you know that Uncle Fred is not using physics as yet undiscovered?

    Why are you allowed to appeal to unknown and unknowable science to support your beliefs, but the same cannot be applied to other beliefs?

    What's the difference other than you believe one thing but not the other?

    There's no need to get offended at the comparison and claiming that the difference is obvious will not really answer the question I'm asking.


    Also you bring up cloaking technology, which brings up a point I raise that was ignored.

    If you are saying that aliens can do anything including defy the laws of physics as we know them AND that cloaking devices are something they have...

    Why are we seeing them? Why are they detectable by radar? Why do they need to come into the atmosphere? Why do they need to travel to Earth at all?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,636 ✭✭✭celtic_oz


    post #93

    "The chances of two forms of intelligent life from two different solar systems ever encountering each other is 0."

    I said if you want to compare the supernatural to ET physics then that's YOUR decision.

    There are probably unknown tribes in the amazon who point to planes and say ju ju under the mountain is angry, but more than likely its their current understanding of physics that is lacking.

    There is no offence taken, you seem to be accusatory and confrontational though?

    With regards to knowing the mind of potential ET's and their evasive sightings I'm afraid you'll have to ask them.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,407 ✭✭✭✭King Mob


    But no, that post doesn't say that there's zero percent chance of aliens existing.

    It says specifically:

    The chances of somewhere within space and time that there is other intelligent life on another planet is essentially 1 due to the universe being so huge.


    And again, you've dodged the question I asked with more random, borderline racist ranting there.

    I've asked you to explain why you are allowed to apply this argument of "physics doesn't know everything" to support your beliefs, but this same argument cannot be used to support other beliefs.

    This is contradictory and indicates that you know your own argument is flawed.

    What's the difference between supernatural entities and aliens you believe have essentially supernatural powers?

    If you are claiming that aliens can do anything because there might be physics we don't understand, this must then also apply to supernatural things as well. By your argument they must also be using some physics we don't yet understand.


    The reason I keep pointing out that you are not answering the question is because you aren't answering it.

    Is there a reason you're not answering it?


    And you admit that it doesn't make sense for aliens to be detectable by lights and by radar and you can't provide a rational reason why they would need to physically come to Earth.

    Cool.

    To most people, these would be good reasons not to believe that all these ufo sightings are the result of aliens.

    Why do you believe they aren't issues for that idea?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,636 ✭✭✭celtic_oz


    Can you not read an entire post ?

    "The chances of somewhere within space and time that there is other intelligent life on another planet is essentially 1 due to the universe being so huge.

    The chances of two forms of intelligent life from two different solar systems ever encountering each other is 0. The scale space and the time of the universe is so great, and the time duration that any lifeforms are likely to exist before wiping themselves out or being wiped out are so tiny that it would never happen."

    The comparison I made is not a racist rant, no need to be accusatory.

    We may be the equivalent of such people who don't understand ET physics, now if you would like to cry supernatural then go ahead, invent a religion if you want. I would prefer to say "I dont know what they are and if they are ET it looks like their technology is based on physics we dont yet understand"



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,407 ✭✭✭✭King Mob


    Sorry mate. You've dodged my questions again.

    Why?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,636 ✭✭✭celtic_oz


    "I've asked you to explain why you are allowed to apply this argument of "physics doesn't know everything" to support your beliefs, but this same argument cannot be used to support other beliefs."

    Because by definition we don't know all physics, it changes by the minute.

    Observations are used to modify scientific theory all the time.

    Calling on the supernatural to explain something has ALWAYS been wrong to date.



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  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 24,123 Mod ✭✭✭✭robinph


    And if you read the follow up posts you'll have seen it said that whilst I said 1 and 0 the numbers were actually 0.999999999 and a whole lot more 9s that wouldn't be worth typing out, and 0.000000 and a whole lot more 0s that wouldn't be worth typing out followed by a 1.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,407 ✭✭✭✭King Mob


    But you are essentially calling on the supernatural by just assuming that aliens can do whatever using magic/physics we don't understand yet.

    But then at the same time you apply random limitations to these aliens.

    Apparently they can travel faster that light, detect humans from light years away... but haven't figured out how to defeat radar or turn off the lights in ther ships?


    Why can something supernatural such as ghosts or fairies not be the result of physics we don't understand yet?

    Why do you discount all supernatural explanations as impossible?

    Why does this not apply to aliens?

    To my knowledge "aliens" have about as good a track record as an explanation as supernatural stuff.


    The difference is that you're applying a different standard to the explanation you like.


    Could you also maybe explain why it's taken 3 attempts for you to address this question?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,230 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    We're uncovering more about physics, it doesn't mean there's a way to break those limits.

    Think about it, if a race was so advanced they could go faster than the speed of light, then they would have utterly no issue remaining undetectable by our primitive technology. We are at the stage where we can observe distant planets, we can observe our own planet with satellites. They would have to be magnitudes ahead of that, why would they have to enter our airspace and clumsily be "glimpsed" by fighter pilots?

    If there was an advanced ET race out there capable of FTL interstellar travel and they were observing us, even being among us, we would have zero idea about it



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,407 ✭✭✭✭King Mob


    That's even assuming that the need to actually physically visit our solar system.

    But since physics still has many unknowns they could just as easily develop ways to observe distant planets from their homeworld.

    They could use their super advanced technology to simply gather the data they want like we would using spy satellites or the Hubble telescope.


    And on the flip side, if the argument is going to change to "they're trying to give us a sign". Then why the **** aren't they showing up in a clear unambiguous way? Why hide and only appear by using bring flashy lights that are very indistinct and random and randomly buzz military jets?

    Their hyper advanced technology would mean that we cannot possibly be a threat to them and their highly advance translation technology would mean they know perfectly well how to communicate with us.


    If the assumption is that aliens are all powerful then what we observe doesn't fit with that as an explanation.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,636 ✭✭✭celtic_oz


    "But you are essentially calling on the supernatural by just assuming that aliens can do whatever using magic/physics we don't understand yet."

    What utter rubbish.

    If the Russians or the Chinese demonstrated weapons that were contrary to our knowledge of physics in the west .. no one would shout

    "what we have here is a missile that demonstrates physics we don't yet understand, alternatively AND EQUALLY LIKELY they may have summoned a demon"

    have a read , no mention of calling ghost busters.

    "But then at the same time you apply random limitations to these aliens. Apparently they can travel faster that light, detect humans from light years away... but haven't figured out how to defeat radar or turn off the lights in ther ships?"

    WHO says they they want to defeat our radar, or turn off their lights , I said "With regards to knowing the mind of potential ET's and their evasive sightings I'm afraid you'll have to ask them."

    "Why can something supernatural such as ghosts or fairies not be the result of physics we don't understand yet? Why do you discount all supernatural explanations as impossible?"

    I never said that, I said anytime in the history of MAN when we invoked the supernatural to explain something we were wrong.

    "Why does this not apply to aliens? To my knowledge "aliens" have about as good a track record as an explanation as supernatural stuff."

    Exactly, your knowledge is probably lacking, continue the research

    "The difference is that you're applying a different standard to the explanation you like. Could you also maybe explain why it's taken 3 attempts for you to address this question?"

    I have addressed it every time, you just ignore it.

    Potential visiting ETs probably have a better understanding of physics than we do, seeing as they are already visiting planets across very large distances and we can't do that yet. Seeing as they may have a much older civilization this is plausible. In what way is that equally likely to supernatural bumkin.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,627 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    The point is that whenever there is high quality footage, it's obviously not an alien, it's only when the footage is blurry and ambiguous that people can make an argument that its aliens (but can be loads of other more mundane phenomenon too)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,636 ✭✭✭celtic_oz


    How many seconds of HD footage would be required to be undeniable proof of ET visitation ?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,627 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    That would depend on the video being undeniably authentic and undeniably aliens, but you don't even have a single second of high definition video or a single non blurry photograph



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,230 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    Evidence always has to be taken in context. If evidence is produced where it can be positively and multilaterally identified that the object in question is not from this planet, then that would be strong evidence.

    "If the Russians or the Chinese demonstrated weapons that were contrary to our knowledge of physics in the west" - Sorry but give one example of this ever happening? I suspect you are confusing new/refined technology with "breaking physics" (the example you gave demonstrates this)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,636 ✭✭✭celtic_oz


    That YOU have seen, there may be some released soon.

    Remember these things have been seen "EVERY DAY FOR AT LEAST A COUPLE OF YEARS" by some pilots

    Subject to them being undeniably authentic and I'm not sure how they could be undeniably aliens, but sure give us the number of seconds anyway.

    It will interesting to see how the burden of proof changes if they are released.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,230 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    Right but in fairness over decades plenty of experts, military people, professionals and even groups have claimed to have seen aliens and craft quite close up. All of these mysteriously stopped when we got mobile phones with high quality video cameras on them.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,636 ✭✭✭celtic_oz




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,627 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    OK so when the evidence is released I'll happily review it and adjust my opinion accordingly

    Until it is revealed, you have to admit you've got very weak evidence at the moment



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,230 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe




  • Registered Users Posts: 422 ✭✭john123470


    This a long shot .. but worth a try.

    Ok .. say eg .. you haven't been laid since the Ole King died .. right .. it starts gettin to you .. bfore you know it youre swimmin in some kind of wet dreamland. Tryin keep your head above the tide .. and slippin fast ..

    Only natural you'd start seeing things .. lights in the sky .. a few Voices here and there .. an abduction ( if youre Lucky !) ..

    Folk with healthy sex lives dont start seeing odd lights in the sky .. no low flying saucers .. theyre too busy having sex

    Just sayin

    Maybe folk just need to chill and get laid



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,636 ✭✭✭celtic_oz


    I've no idea about this phenomenon, and remain firmly sceptical

    Q: Say that again .. you floated out the window?

    Abductee : Yes paralyzed into a space ship

    Q: Any HD photos with an iphone

    Abductee : No

    John Edward Mack (October 4, 1929 – September 27, 2004) was an American psychiatrist, writer, and professor and the head of the department of psychiatry at Harvard Medical School. 





  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,407 ✭✭✭✭King Mob


    Lol a lot of words that never actually address any of my points.


    Can you point to any examples where the explanation turned out to be aliens?

    You say I'm just lacking research there, so please enlighten me.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,636 ✭✭✭celtic_oz




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,407 ✭✭✭✭King Mob


    Sorry you've dodged the question again. Why do you keep doing this?


    I asked you to provide examples of where the explanation turned out to be aliens.

    Please provide them.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,636 ✭✭✭celtic_oz


    its a plausible explanation for the current UFO phenomenon, can you tell us why you think it might be the ghost of Elvis, or maybe the marshmallow man from ghostbusters



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,407 ✭✭✭✭King Mob


    But that's not an answer to the question I've asked you.

    You are now also going on a strange rant.


    Last time:

    Please point to an example where the explanation was shown to be aliens.

    If you ignore the question again, I will take that to mean you admit you can't point to any examples.


    Alternatively you could explain why you keep avoiding this question and the others.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,167 ✭✭✭TheIrishGrover


    Some Americans also think JFK Jr is going to run for 2024 US election with Donald Trump.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,230 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    Indeed and one poll suggested that up to 40% of us believe in ghosts. The human mind has an incredible capacity to not only invent stuff, but also firmly believe those inventions.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,636 ✭✭✭celtic_oz




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,636 ✭✭✭celtic_oz


    I keep answering your question , why do you keep ignoring it

    why ?

    We've never proven anything to be aliens however its a MORE plausible than the boogey man.

    And if you cant understand that then I cant help you.



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