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What can be done about mass shootings in America?

135

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,829 ✭✭✭✭Itssoeasy


    If an 18 years olds first instinct is to use a gun on people in their school over an argument which at 18 are mostly way over blown anyway it’s a bad sign.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,184 ✭✭✭85603


    dear gawd, please help those poor poor kids in that shooting.

    and please stop them fags libs and their communist gun control.

    also can i git a mac-10 with the 30 rd mag for christmas. ah need it for huntin turkeys lord.

    but dont go lettin any a them school shootin types git a hold of it.

    amen.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    The feeling I get from here - without living in America - is a culture of fear and paranoia in general. This narrative of having to be able to defend your family from the "bad man" or a home invasion and so forth. How are you going to rise to the challenge when the bad people come for you. It seems to permeate the culture there in a way it does not in other countries with relatively high gun ownership.

    So I think I would be more worried about a child growing up trying to get an education in that culture and mindset - more than I would about them growing up in some culture of fear their school might be about to experience a shooting. And I would be more worried about gun ownership in such a culture/society much much more than I am worried by gun ownership in and of itself.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Most of the crazy murders are happening in places where Republicans have no power or say. E.g. Chicago, Detroit, Baltimore etc.


    In my opinion the biggest single factor is the lack of fathers in black households, causing young black men to look for father figures in their deprived areas, many of whom are the drug dealers or gang leaders. Most of those murders, I'll wager, are gang-related.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,184 ✭✭✭85603


    Well then its simple. Just fix the lack of black fathers.

    And fix gang crime.

    And fix mental health.

    And if all that doesnt work, then look at gun legislation.

    Then the very next day the military can finally roll in and impose communism haw haw haw, it was those pesky 30 rd magazines that were the deciding factor in stopping our gay red abrams tanks.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    The US is probably the most medicated place in the world. The focus on medication and psychology providing easy answers is a major factor affecting the mindsets of Americans, along with the economic and political conditions. Having a two party system constantly reinforces an us VS them mentality, and is present throughout the period of development for most people. Then, throw in the massive inequalities (not referring to racism, but classism or elitism), and you have a lot of people left behind, who are constantly bombarded with advertising for all manner of products, or beliefs.

    My one stint in the US bemused me, because of the amount of media that the average American is exposed to. Hundreds of radio stations, same with TV, covering all manner of beliefs, and with little intent to regulate what's being promoted. Depending on your state, different worldviews gain support over others, and considering the shifts in society due to the social sciences (not exclusive to race and gender, but plenty of other theorists), many of these theories have been implemented on the local level with the aim of elevating one group over another.

    Psychology in the US is a business. As is the medical profession, with one feeding the other. Which is why we've seen an explosion of mental conditions being revealed over the last two decades, along with people being classified as such. Which, in turn, has had the drug companies providing medication for these illnesses, with little consideration for the side effects. There have been plenty of scandals over drug testing and approval in the US, but as with most big business concerns, they're swept under the carpet and away from peoples attention pretty quickly.

    The root of the problem is the divisions within American society, which are reinforced by technology. At no other period of history, have people felt so alone/lonely, while being so connected. Added to this is the mentality of the blame game, where few people want to tackle the inherent problems within society, but rather pass the buck to something minor.

    Personally, I'd say that a few changes would be needed for America to step forward. The expansion of the two party system to having five or six parties. The downsizing of their military and weapon industry, in favor of domestic industry/economic development, along with a genuine effort to bring balanced education across all States. I saw American cities that reminded me of third world cities, with hordes of people living on the streets. The infrastructure outside of the truly prosperous states is pretty awful relying on maintaining efforts made in the 80s/90s. The medical/Psychology profession and the Pharma companies need to be reined in and made truly accountable for what they produce, provide and refer to people. Just as the theorists of the social sciences need to be examined for introducing dangerous or encouraging truly divisive beliefs.

    The core problem for the US is that it's a massive divided place. Race, gender, even nationality, economic backgrounds, educational backgrounds, etc. All ways in which people are isolated and pushed out to the fringes. It all started with good intentions, but a modern society cannot operate with so many individualistic needs and demands for resources. The US is proof of that.

    Basically, if we want to see these kind of killing ended, the US needs to stop tearing itself apart, and seek to bring people together. A return to a focus on community spirit. Helping each other out because they're neighbors or even simply fellow Americans. Providing everyone with the means to achieve something close to the American dream, and if not that, at least ensure that people have suitable housing, in clean/well-managed areas, which are properly monitored by the authorities.... with jobs being available for everyone, which are capable of providing an income to support an average family.

    Any extreme becomes a negative. The US is a place that embraces extremes. Capitalism to the extreme. Free expression to the extreme. Minority rights to the extreme. etc. It's no surprise that they're tearing themselves apart, and some people are going to react violently to being caught up in it all.

    Still... it's not going to change, because it would require Americans to admit that they're not perfect. The land of the free who incarcerate more people than anyone else. The hypocrisy of US culture extends throughout the whole, and they won't want to deal with it, except when it concerns their own chosen/preferred group that needs special consideration, which simply reinforces the divides in society.



  • Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators Posts: 10,734 Mod ✭✭✭✭Jim2007


    And in my opinion you have just demonstrated the biggest problem - blatant racism. Systematically disadvantaging people and then blaming them for it, is the stock in trade of the Republican party, you are part of the problem not the solution.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    It's not racism, it's statistics. Young black men disproportionately commit murders. Their victims are also disproportionately other young black men. There's nothing racist in saying that.


    How do you break the cycle? The War on Drugs has failed. How about a War on absentee fathers instead?



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Absentee fathers is part of it, but so too is the cycle of abuse that often comes from single mothers raising children. It's something that is often shown in movies/tv but rarely addressed.

    Education and employment. Employment that goes beyond minimum wage. One of the main problems with violent crime is that too many Black people (similar problems for poor white areas too) are left with too much time on their hand, which means they spend too much time in groups on the streets, or in neighborhoods without something to occupy their time. This is particularly true for young people, but also for those in their 40s (who have lived with the failed system all their lives). Get them off the streets, and into workplaces. Educate and provide skills that allow them to earn a reasonable income, which in turn, provides the means to improve the standards of their living, and also improve the general standard of living across districts. When your district looks like it's just come out of a war, it's hard to feel any desire to improve things.

    The US focused too much on providing a workforce for their manufacturing sector, with low wages, and no security of employment, but economic change drastically impacted the availability and value of such employment. Add in that many businesses have moved away from the cities, leaving large populations behind with few options for employment, and those options that are available are barely worth doing.

    A friend of mine (African American) completed high school but couldn't afford university, tried working in his local area, but even though he worked long hours, barely managed to cover his cost of living, which was pretty basic. Moved to another state, and city, but faced problems with the locals blocking his applications, and then he was stuck within the area of factory employment. In the end he moved abroad to Asia, and is finally making decent money. But he was lucky in getting the opportunity (through the mormons) to go abroad.

    The simple truth is that if they want to decrease crime then they need to occupy peoples time, while giving them some pride in their lives. Get them away from the gangs, and downplay the value of the gangsta style of living. Encourage a change within African American culture pushing family values, and stability. As opposed to the crap that BLM pushed about destroying the nuclear family.

    You find similar problems in Redneck areas where there are traditionally poor families, poorly educated, and with few opportunities for growth.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,118 ✭✭✭Melanchthon


    Maybe true but look at this story from 3 days ago in Chicago.

    the video is up online and it's mental, there is a police car right behind the gang members so they caught them red handed. So republicans maybe bad racists but it's democrats letting out without charge people who were having a running gun battle in the middle of the day in front of cops.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,873 ✭✭✭✭briany


    I think that once Columbine happened, that really set the template. There had been shootings before Columbine, but that was the one where the shooters became MTV antiheroes. Everyone talked about them and everyone knew their names. Without doing so directly, it told every terminally pissed-off youth in America that here was one hell of a way to give two middle fingers to the world and achieve notoriety. Kill everyone and then kill yourself. You can see how that would appeal to someone who was both suicidal and rage-filled. How those people are created in the first place is a problem no-one in the USA has ever really tried to address.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 411 ✭✭Enter name here


    Surprised? NO... Society is playing out exactly how the Biden followers and woke brigade wanted after they elected him. But then again I presume mods will not like this opinion because it's polarizing.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 24,425 CMod ✭✭✭✭Ten of Swords


    @Enter name here not sure what that's about. Don't post in the thread again



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,118 ✭✭✭Melanchthon


    Well he is already out on bail, probably won't be talked about a lot on the standard gun violence places though



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,895 ✭✭✭✭Tell me how


    Where are 'the standard gun violence places'? An NRA boardroom? Smith and Wesson marketing dept? A GOP townhall meeting?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,118 ✭✭✭Melanchthon


    I am sure you actually do know what I mean. The places that go crazy about certain types of gun violence while ignoring the type of gun violence that results in the vast majority of killings. What's your response to the article I linked?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,895 ✭✭✭✭Tell me how


    It's a bit strange that you are talking in code rather than mentioning where or what exactly these places are.

    You didn't link any article in the post I responded to.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,118 ✭✭✭Melanchthon


    You know exactly what I mean though, MSNBC and so on. The article is three posts up from yours? I presume your reading the thread. Shows how multiple shooters caught red handed got released by democrat DA.

    Didn't give a link to the school shooter being released on bail but here it is now. He shot a teacher and another student and is out the next day


    Your thoughts?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,895 ✭✭✭✭Tell me how


    This is from that article.

    In a statement later Sunday, Cristina Villareal, a spokeswoman for the Cook County state’s attorney’s office, explained that prosecutors had “determined that the evidence was insufficient to meet our burden of proof to approve felony charges.” Police officials agreed with the decision, Villareal added.

    Do you know that this was not the case? How do you know?

    On the concept of mutual combat which was referred to as one of the reasons that they didn't charge anyone;

    Mutual combat, a term commonly used in United States courts, occurs when two individuals intentionally and consensually engage in a fair fight, while not hurting bystanders or damaging property. ... In some cases, mutual combat may nevertheless result in killings

    It seems Oregon is the only state that has banned such a practice.



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  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 16,833 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    For better or worse, the Federal military has also banned duelling under the UCMJ. (Article 114). I believe D.C. has a similar prohibition.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,895 ✭✭✭✭Tell me how


    I'd be going with it being for the better. If the US had any sort of a documented history of civilisation similar to other parts of the world you'd say it was a legacy law from that era but given how comparatively young the country is, it's probably one more of these laws specifically supported to allow US citizens feel that the government cannot tell them what to do.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,895 ✭✭✭✭Tell me how


    Latest incident to add to the statistics.

    A school one day, senior living center the next. And everything from churches, bars, restaurants, entertainment venues, shops and public spaces on other days.

    It's either guns are the problem, and something needs to be done. Or mental health is the problem, and something needs to be done. Given the statistics from the US when compared with other countries which it would consider its peers, it has to be one or the other. There are isolated instances in some of these countries but nowhere near the rolling cases which we see in the US.

    But the only ones calling for action from either of the above perspectives are dismissed as socialists and communists or having a fanciful woke agenda as the traditional conservatives refuse meaningful action on either.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,873 ✭✭✭✭briany


    It's not just guns or poor mental health because there would countries where both of these things are present, but you don't see these types of killings to the extent you see them in the USA. That's not to say that the ability to own many guns and not have access to mental health services isn't a problem - I think it obviously is - but I think there is also a further aspect that makes the phenomenon so pronounced in America and makes the idea of walking into a place and shooting dead multiple innocent people an established template for the terminally angry. There is a brashness and glorification of violence in American culture. A sense that the loudest person wins. An idea that you must think big. It's a big part of the American story, the image of the gun slinger and the image of the US marine. I think all this commingles with a warped psyche that it's doable to go into town and wreak mayhem on unsuspecting victims.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    But the only ones calling for action from either of the above perspectives are dismissed as socialists and communists or having a fanciful woke agenda as the traditional conservatives refuse meaningful action on either.

    Because it's not practical. Taking firearms away from Americans would cause a civil war.

    I have a close friend from North Carolina, and he's something of a gun nut. He's listed his range of legal and illegal weaponry to me, with everything from shotguns to anti-tank rifles. He lives with a variety of weapons for home protection. Two rifles loaded on the ground floor, a handgun in the kitchen, a loaded shotgun under his bed, and he carries a rather large bowie type of knife with him wherever he goes (that doesn't include his extended collection of "antiques", all of which are fully usable). He will not allow the Federal State to take them away from him, and he's perfectly capable of killing to defend his rights. And... apparently, he's considered something of a moderate in his family, where his uncles have full-on arsenals and hidden shelters stocked if America was ever attacked.

    A slow erosion of weapon ownership over a century or more would make the most sense... and anything else a recipe for disaster. The conditioning that Americans have lived under for two centuries about gun ownership, and their rights to defend their property mean that any efforts to take firearms away from them, would result in violence. That conditioning needs to be replaced with an alternative view, and replaced again, once they've reached a more accommodating point of view.

    The Federal government isn't trusted, and any kind of trust has been eroded by all manner of initiatives since Sept 11. For many Americans, having their access to firearms means that they can hold the government in check... which is especially true for states with historical resistance to federal influence.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,301 ✭✭✭Snickers Man


    I, personally, don't have a problem with you doing any of that.

    The problem is the ultra simple solution some people are offering of "just take all the guns away; no guns, no shootings" which only allows the gun nuts in the US claim that all their opponents are fantasists.

    The issue isn't gun ownership, per se; it's what are you legally allowed do with guns?

    I defy anybody to name a single democracy anywhere in the world that has an outright ban on its citizens owning firearms.

    The issue is to what degree one can walk around with a loaded firearm. You can do that in the US by default "The right....to keep AND BEAR arms..." is what differentiates the US from most other democracies. You can own a gun in Ireland. You can even own a gun in Britain (except hand guns after Dumblane, a quarter of a century ago) but you may NOT walk around with them in a loaded state. Fine to fire them at targets on a range or at clay pigeons or even rabbits, ducks and deer. But transport them there unloaded and make sure you have emptied out before coming back.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,895 ✭✭✭✭Tell me how


    You started by saying it wasn't practical to have meaningful action, then suggested a slow erosion of the ownership of guns over a century.

    How many people are talking about banning all guns in all cases? No one. I don't care if it's marketed as a slow erosion of weapon ownership, it's still moving towards making the place safer.

    The mindset of your NC friend has no place in the 21st century.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,895 ✭✭✭✭Tell me how


    I think you do have a point about the mythical perception of the gun slinger and marine. Many of the guv advocates seek to associate themselves with this with behaving like they are attending some sort of cosplay event with all the weapons and tactical gear like they are just waiting for a reason to pop off.

    But how do you change it?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,118 ✭✭✭Melanchthon


    We can watch the video online and see it wasn't two guys agreeing to fisticuffs outside the bar or a duel at the ok corral.

    Took a while to find a linkable version but here it is. This is what I mean about it purely being a political football in the US. Both sides probably do want to reduce gun violence but both sides once it interacts with other parts of their ideology or political motivations it doesn't matter squat.

    How can a party that's apparently deeply concerned about gun violence condone letting these lads walk completely free. It's madness.




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,873 ✭✭✭✭briany


    F*cked if I know. I take a very cynical attitude to it all these days after years of hearing about it happening. I only change over to rolling news coverage if the killer guns down more than 10 people or has an interesting 'gimmick', for lack of a better term.

    My hunch is that if it is to be changed, it'll be from something more holistic than taking the guns away or forcing every quiet loner to undergo psychiatric evaluation. Similar to how it was loosening the abortion laws which led to a drop in crime rates a generation later. What that change would be, I don't know. It would probably be an accidental side-effect of some other shift in society, is my guess.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,513 ✭✭✭bb1234567


    Good god. I knew USA had greater gun related issues than most countries, but I didn't know the problem was THAT bad, and so much worse than the rest of the world. I wonder how this compares with central and South America even as well? Better/worse ? Who knows, wouldn't be surprise if it's worse again even than them.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 160 ✭✭ChickenDish


    Mass shootings are here to stay in the states. All pro gun nuts would have us believe that America needs more guns and that mass shootings have nothing to do with guns.

    The Constitution to a lot of Americans is like the Koran to the extremists. Even when your actions contradict what the message means your going to use it as an excuse, logic or meaning be damned.

    100 years from now school kids will still be killed through gun violence and gun nuts will still argue guns are not the problem



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    You started by saying it wasn't practical to have meaningful action, then suggested a slow erosion of the ownership of guns over a century.

    I said in respond to what you suggested that it wasn't practical.. since invariably these kind of suggestions have the expectation of a fairly quick resolution (one or two decades), and the conditioning that Americans have experienced guarantees resistance to such initiatives.

    How many people are talking about banning all guns in all cases? No one. I don't care if it's marketed as a slow erosion of weapon ownership, it's still moving towards making the place safer.

    Yes it would be... but it's important to be realistic about the feelings/emotional attachments along with the historical connections that many Americans have with their right to own weapons. The people who are dismissed as communists, or whatever, tend to disregard such sentiments, mostly because they're from the cities of the East, and have little understanding of rural America.

    The mindset of your NC friend has no place in the 21st century.

    It does in America. That's the point really. Removing such a concept will take time, and a definite plan towards social conditioning. It's perfectly doable, but not in the manner that has been put forward so far.

    That mindset has no place in Europe. However look beyond European borders and you'll find similar mindsets in many places, even when firearms are controlled legally but personal possession is commonplace. I've seen walls in Russia covered with firearms, and I've known people in Asia with similar setups, even when the government has a strong aversion to people having such firepower at their fingertips.

    The basic problem with America and firearms is historical, and by extension, cultural. It will take time to reverse the attitudes that exist, but honestly, America needs to deal with other urgent problems first before dealing with firearms. IMHO, the social and wealth inequalities, the alienation/isolation of individuals in society, the wide range of double standards and hypocrisies are a bigger reason for violent expression, with or without firearms... and it's likely to get worse.



  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 16,833 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    How the hell does one selectively quote on this new board?

    Last paragraph. I agree with you. Further, I postulate that when those issues you list are dealt with, then the US would simply move to being on par with every other western Firearms-owning country in the world. Quite-well-armed, but generally peaceful and the homicide rate will drop.

    However, for the exact same reasons of 'shift over time' is why these issues are not being addressed. For a US politician facing an election cycle, it's much easier to pass a gun law and claim success than to do anything material which will likely cost a shed-ton of money and not show anything beneficial by the time the electors go back to the polls.

    It will not be acceptable to the US population at large (let alone the more entrenched folks) to attempt to remove firearms until the need for those firearms is removed.

    Last month in Arizona, for example. https://www.azfamily.com/news/4-robbers-kick-in-door-homeowner-shoots-them/article_29cf7da4-ffac-11eb-bdd6-035a15c46978.html

    Nothing but a firearm would have worked in this case. It would take a courageous politician to stand up and say the homeowner should not be permitted the equipment to do what he did.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,590 ✭✭✭✭AbusesToilets


    I wish there was a sticky on the forum for everytime these threads come up. The level of ignorance displayed around firearms, crime statistics and their breakdown across society never fails to impress. Then you have the usual veterans of these threads, who continue to post the drivel time and again.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,895 ✭✭✭✭Tell me how


    Can you point me to the statistics that show the likelihood people in comparable countries to the US can expect to have to deal with gun violence or mass shootings?

    When there's advertisements made focusing on the fact that elementary school backpacks are bulletproof in a country that still insists on calling itself the greatest one on the planet people should really stop and think about how it has gotten to this and try to come up with a way to change that rather than trying to cancel conversation on the matter. (which in itself is an ironic enough point)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,895 ✭✭✭✭Tell me how


    The basic problem with America and firearms is historical, and by extension, cultural. It will take time to reverse the attitudes that exist, but honestly, America needs to deal with other urgent problems first before dealing with firearms. IMHO, the social and wealth inequalities, the alienation/isolation of individuals in society, the wide range of double standards and hypocrisies are a bigger reason for violent expression, with or without firearms... and it's likely to get worse.

    But is it not the case that when people try to deal with these things (many of who also want to see deaths and violence at the hands of guns reduced) they are branded as authoritarian or socialists, or the most evil of all evils, communists? Their arguments for more access to education, opportunity etc so as to prevent people feel isolated and disenfranchised are ridiculed and dismissed.

    We saw it in a nutshell with the conversation around the 'defund the police' phrase. People were advocating for better use of public money to serve communities and target factors that led to an increased likelihood of being involved in crime and they were accused of not wanting any police at all.

    Ignoring the left vs right origins of arguments on reducing gun violence when one side is suggesting the solution is more guns (whether in the hands of civilians, or hired security) surely they can see how that will ultimately escalate in to more violence.

    As for the mindset having a place in America, I'm being pedantic, I know it exists in America, but I still maintain it has no place there, and what I mean by that is that it shouldn't have a place there. The practical concept of it requiring guns in the hands of civilians to control a government just isn't realistic in todays world.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,184 ✭✭✭riclad


    Strict gun control laws, if you have commited a crime you cant buy a gun, 16 year olds should not be allowed to buy a gun when they cant buy a can of beer.Texas has made it so almost anyone can buy a gun ,you dont need a license to carry a hand gun.its unlikely to happen, as certain politicans are pro nra and refuse to pass gun control laws . new zealand banned people from buying miltary type weapons ,s ,machine guns after the mosque shooting a few years ago.

    alot of guns bought in america end up in mexico where they are used by criminal gangs



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    But is it not the case that when people try to deal with these things (many of who also want to see deaths and violence at the hands of guns reduced) they are branded as authoritarian or socialists, or the most evil of all evils, communists? Their arguments for more access to education, opportunity etc so as to prevent people feel isolated and disenfranchised are ridiculed and dismissed.

    Of course they are... because it's a reflection of American culture. Republican vs Democrat. That's what it boils down to. Always a simplistic grouping of opinions into two camps that face each other head on, and do all they can to dismiss, discredit, whatever, each other.

    But TBH when it comes to the anti-gun lobbying in the US, I always get the impression that it's more about scoring points, and less about effecting any substantial change. As with most American stuff, there's too much posturing.

    We saw it in a nutshell with the conversation around the 'defund the police' phrase. People were advocating for better use of public money to serve communities and target factors that led to an increased likelihood of being involved in crime and they were accused of not wanting any police at all.

    Except there were calls by many to completely defund the police and replace them with something else. A wide range of opinions as to what should happen... most of which completely ignored the negatives of the societies the police operated within. I saw the threads on boards at the time, along with the news reports or other articles on American sites discussing what should be done... and it wasn't as reasonable as you want to suggest above.

    Ignoring the left vs right origins of arguments on reducing gun violence when one side is suggesting the solution is more guns (whether in the hands of civilians, or hired security) surely they can see how that will ultimately escalate in to more violence.

    Of course they do... but then, a decline in availability of firearms will likely have the same result because the inherent problems with American society aren't being addressed.

    As for the mindset having a place in America, I'm being pedantic, I know it exists in America, but I still maintain it has no place there, and what I mean by that is that it shouldn't have a place there. The practical concept of it requiring guns in the hands of civilians to control a government just isn't realistic in todays world.

    Actually, I could argue that it has greater relevance in a modern world to limit the control of a modern government, considering the erosion of voters power by politicians over time. Especially in the US, where we've seen all manner of corruption in manipulating voters, and the expansion of the Federal government. Personally, I have very little trust in modern governments, and considering the influence that corporations or lobbies have, I can quite understand the desire by people to have some kind of personal protection. The US with the Home Guard, and personal gun ownership, means that the citizens have a real way of protesting that would be next to impossible to ignore. An unarmed population is far easily ignored... as we all saw in Ireland after the banking crash. No accountability for the politicians, or those in government... and the population limited to expressing it's disgust by not voting them in next election. Whooptie do. At least, an armed population has to be treated with some respect or wariness.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,279 ✭✭✭Lollipop95


    Another one yesterday. Shooter was only 15 and killed 3 students. 8 injured, including a teacher. Unfortunately at this state, it’s not surprising at all to hear of a school shooting in the US. Guns are ingrained in their culture. Sandyhook was the time for change and I think there was a lot of international expectation that things would be different - nothing will ever change over there in regard to guns imo.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,565 ✭✭✭✭steddyeddy


    From a scientific viewpoint it's simple.

    There's a clear correlation between states with restrictive gun ownership laws and high rates of gun homicides. Further clarification of this occurs when states that make their gun laws more restrictive suffer less homicide. The same is true in reverse. Multiple studies now confirm this, however, the researchers involved met with considerable resistance from the NRA and struggled to get this research funded. One such study below. Gun ownership is absolutely nothing to do with gun deaths says the country where this happens routinely.

    Abstract


    Objectives. We examined the relationship between levels of household firearm ownership, as measured directly and by a proxy—the percentage of suicides committed with a firearm—and age-adjusted firearm homicide rates at the state level.

    Methods. We conducted a negative binomial regression analysis of panel data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s Web-Based Injury Statistics Query and Reporting Systems database on gun ownership and firearm homicide rates across all 50 states during 1981 to 2010. We determined fixed effects for year, accounted for clustering within states with generalized estimating equations, and controlled for potential state-level confounders.



    Conclusions. We observed a robust correlation between higher levels of gun ownership and higher firearm homicide rates. Although we could not determine causation, we found that states with higher rates of gun ownership had disproportionately large numbers of deaths from firearm-related homicides.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,184 ✭✭✭85603


    Not much really.

    Theyre never creating an amnesty big enough to gather up the 15 squillion firearms in their country.

    The gun nuts have the cat out of the bag on this one.

    Maybe the sane folks, who have no need for a machine pistol or mock assault rifle (for when the govt enforces tyranny etc etc), can separate themselves, enforce more restrictive laws in their vicinity.

    I'm sure Chicago will be brought up in response, but what other way is there? Thats the only way I can see. Youre never going to get through to a gun nut who has their identity built around surviving whatever fantasy theyve constructed. Theyre truly fcked. Theyre tribal at this stage.

    If youre for tighter gun laws = democrat = leftie =commie = plot to take away muh guns = dont listen to a word.

    You cant break through that. And even if you did theres millions of them, some being fed koolaid by the nra.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,565 ✭✭✭✭steddyeddy


    The problem for a lot of issues in the US is the fact that there's massive polarization of the political parties. It used to be the case the republicans and democrats would work together. Harry Reid and John McCain come to mind. Making issues left verses right makes movement on a lot of the most polarizing issues (gun control, health) impossible.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,669 ✭✭✭✭Loafing Oaf




  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    If only science was ever that simple. It rarely is. And the study you quote themselves also admit that correlation is not causation. There is any number of complex issues that might explain a correlation like that one which would be more complex than the simple inference we might want to take from it.

    For example if there is a large amount of gun crime in an area then people might feel compelled to get guns themselves in self defence. So gun death and gun crime will correlate with ownership not because higher ownership leads to more such incidents. But because higher such incidents leads to more people wanting guns.

    Another example is that gun laws may correlate with certain political styles. For example less restrictive laws might relate to the right and restrictions to the left. It is possible that other policies and laws and elements of that political governance leads to more of these crimes. So it would in that situation not be that more guns lead to more gun crimes - but the other policies of the type of government who are less likely to restrict guns - also lead to more such crimes. Which might make sense if the "right" is known for taxes and policies that benefit the rich and disinfranchise the poor? Doing that is certainly going to lead to more crimes from those classes.

    Just two examples that jump to mind - but enough to make the point about why we so often tout the cliche "Correlation is not causation".

    So as with just about every statistic in science - merely noting that "When the value X goes up the value Y goes up too" rarely tells us anything informative or gives the big picture. Rather it tends to just highlight a complex area that deserves further study and investigation.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,565 ✭✭✭✭steddyeddy


    There are multiple such studies and the causation and correlation fallacy doesn't wash anymore. We have studies involving multi-variable analysis that changes in gun control legislation can be reasonably thought to be causative to changes in gun homicide rates.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    If a correlation exists then you would of course expect multiple studies to show it. So that is not a surprise. But 1 study showing a correlation or 10,000 studies show a correlation - are all just saying there is a correlation. And saying the same thing 10,000 times does not add anything that was not there the first time it was said.

    The methods of science demand we verify a causation. Simply decrying the concept as a "fallacy" when it is not - unfortunately does not make that requirement go away.

    Where a correlation exists it is interesting to find out why. Jumping to any conclusion - especially one we want to be true or just happens to fit with our political world views and narratives - is generally unadvisable.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,895 ✭✭✭✭Tell me how


    Where a correlation exists it is interesting to find out why. Jumping to any conclusion - especially one we want to be true or just happens to fit with our political world views and narratives - is generally unadvisable.

    It would be a first if conservatives were willing to look towards strong supporting scientific evidence in order to direct strategy. Their positions on family planning, climate change and covid would suggest that that is something they are very much against. So why should it be a requirement for developing policy around gun control?

    I think it's because they know that getting to a definitive scientific answer on a topic which has so many subjective assessment factors will ultimately mean that nothing meaningful will be enacted. The line from the report above 'We observed a robust correlation between higher levels of gun ownership and higher firearm homicide rates.' should be enough to provoke movement towards action, anyone looking for further evidence before such action, doesn't really want to see any action, in my view.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,565 ✭✭✭✭steddyeddy


    Again you're operating under the standard correlation vs causation cliché. I said causation can and has been established with multi-variable analysis. The following is from PNAS (Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America).

    Changes in firearm mortality following the implementation of state laws regulating firearm access and use


    Although 39,000 individuals die annually from gunshots in the US, research examining the effects of laws designed to reduce these deaths has sometimes produced inconclusive or contradictory findings. We evaluated the effects on total firearm-related deaths of three classes of gun laws: child access prevention (CAP), right-to-carry (RTC), and stand your ground (SYG) laws. The analyses exploit changes in these state-level policies from 1970 to 2016, using Bayesian methods and a modeling approach that addresses several methodological limitations of prior gun policy evaluations. CAP laws showed the strongest evidence of an association with firearm-related death rate, with a probability of 0.97 that the death rate declined at 6 y after implementation. In contrast, the probability of being associated with an increase in firearm-related deaths was 0.87 for RTC laws and 0.77 for SYG laws. The joint effects of these laws indicate that the restrictive gun policy regime (having a CAP law without an RTC or SYG law) has a 0.98 probability of being associated with a reduction in firearm-related deaths relative to the permissive policy regime. This estimated effect corresponds to an 11% reduction in firearm-related deaths relative to the permissive legal regime. Our findings suggest that a small but meaningful decrease in firearm-related deaths may be associated with the implementation of more restrictive gun policies.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,565 ✭✭✭✭steddyeddy


    Another study from the British Medical Journal came to a similar conclusion, i.e. that changes in gun legislation correlate and are causative to changes in gun homicide. https://www.bmj.com/company/newsroom/higher-rates-of-mass-shootings-in-us-states-with-more-relaxed-gun-control-laws/

    After taking account of key factors, a 10 unit increase in state gun law permissiveness, as defined by the scale, was associated with an 11.5% higher rate of mass shootings And a 10% increase in gun ownership was associated with a more than 35% higher rate of mass shootings.




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  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 16,833 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    Note that the scientific viewpoint specifically notes correlation, not causation. I don't know of any which have concluded in causation.

    The places in the US which have lots of gun laws consists of electorates which are of a mind to elect politicians which enact gun control laws. In other words, the populations of those areas are the exact same ones who are less likely to want to own firearms in the first place and probably wouldn't have as many guns no matter what the gun control laws were. The people likely to (lawfully) own guns wouldn't be voting for anti-gun politicians.

    There are, however, two other problems. The first is that is some pretty old data, and a lot of the laws have changed, some for the better, some for the worse (Depending on your perspective) in the last decade. You can sort the charts to your preference on this page.


    Looking at homicides, the states with the 10 highest rates — from Louisiana (10.9) to Georgia (6.2) — typically had few gun laws and an F grade from Giffords. But there were two rated A- among them: Maryland (7.4) and Illinois (6.5).


    But that didn’t tell the full story. Half the states with the 10 lowest homicide rates also had loose gun laws and F grades from Giffords, from Maine (0.8) to South Dakota (1.5), both F-rated. Only two of the states with the 10 lowest rates had high gun law ratings, Hawaii (0.9) and Massachusetts (1.4), both graded A-minus.


    The second is that there are two sides to the equation. The 'bad' side (i.e. murders), and the 'good' side (i.e. defensive uses). CDC acknowledged that if you're attacked, your best chance of getting out unharmed is to use a gun, and that people use guns defensively anything from 60,000-2.5million times a year, a not inconsiderable factor in the balance. Also, the vast majority of these surveys tend to be fairly superficial anyway, this is why there are so many statistical reports all resulting in anything from "Gun laws make things better" through "gun laws make things worse."

    For example, Illinois is now, in theory, a "shall-issue State", so folks can now get a permit to carry a gun if they meet specific thresholds, yet the crime rate went up. However, being an anti-gun State (they were forced to issue permits by the 7th Circuit), they put up so many hoops that generally speaking the only people to actually get the permits are rich folks who live in low-crime areas, so the practical effect of the much-hyped change in law, whatever that effect actually is, is not only missed, but misrepresented.

    This article makes a very reasonable observation about a very relevant issue which is being generally ignored. Massive differences in homicide rates exist even within the same city, which will always have uniform gun laws. Depending on state laws on pre-emption, multiple cities will also have the same gun laws, so one may ask why the homicide rate in Dallas or Houston is twice the rate of San Antonio, all of which are cities of 2million plus. The gun laws certainly are not the causative factor, they can't be.

    An ignored crime metric: murder inequality

    If some scholars of crime had their way, discussions of murder rates would focus not on cities, but on the few urban neighborhoods battling vastly disparate murder levels: Travel a few city blocks, and rates of violence can fluctuate dramatically.

    The phenomenon is captured by the term “murder inequality,” a coinage of the young urbanologist Daniel Kay Hertz. Writing for The Trace, Hertz stressed that looking at smaller geographical areas paints a more accurate picture of the relative threat of violence that individual Americans face and can make prevention strategies more effective.

    In 2016, five police districts overseeing only 8 percent of Chicago’s population recorded around 32 percent of its murders. Two Chicago neighborhoods, Burnside and Fuller Park, counted a rate of more than 100 killings per 100,000 people. People living in them were nine times more likely to be shot in their neighborhood than in the city’s safest quarters.

    “Just like income, education and other metrics of social advantage, violent gun crime varies even more within American cities than between them,” Hertz wrote.

    This merely emphasises that the correct solution to the US's firearms homicide problem is sociological, not gun laws.



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