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Covid 19 Part XXXV-956,720 ROI (5,952 deaths) 452,946 NI (3,002 deaths) (08/01) Read OP

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  • Registered Users Posts: 439 ✭✭Spiderman0081


    A discussion needs to be had about overweight covid positive persons filling icu’s. Just a discussion. Nothing else.



  • Registered Users Posts: 246 ✭✭purplefields


    I'd rather be in that camp than the close minded (fourth) camp.

    “The most elementary and valuable statement in science, the beginning of wisdom is ‘I do not know’. I do not know what that is.” - Data from Star trek.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Breaking news: Merkal will no longer be in and the incoming chancellor has stated there will be an open vote on the topic. Democracy



  • Registered Users Posts: 15,265 ✭✭✭✭stephenjmcd


    I never said we won't see further restrictions, I think they might recommend the extension of the cert again(for the 3rd time), maybe advise cut back on household mixing (but it's only advice, feel free to take it or leave it) , I don't see anything drastic, it isn't required.

    That doesn't take away from the fact specific cuts should never have been made to the EWSS for certain sectors & should be reversed, which is what my point was about.



  • Registered Users Posts: 18,115 ✭✭✭✭rob316


    It needs to be targeted correctly and to the businesses most in need. There is many employers making handsome profits on the back of the EWSS and took advantage of the qualifying criteria. I know 2 retail business owners that are ready to close once the scheme is done, and those businesses weren't viable before the pandemic.

    Most of hospitality is min wage or slightly above, and those businesses have had practically free labour at any stage of been opening throughout the pandemic.

    Post edited by rob316 on


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  • Registered Users Posts: 2,920 ✭✭✭Sweet.Science


    I think they are a given at this stage. Masks on kids was one i really didnt expect so they dont have much else to do unless they ask for drastic measures. The cases are coming from schools. Anything else is optics only.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 60,159 Mod ✭✭✭✭Wibbs


    That's the problem with a lot of these numbers being bandied about regarding this pox. They look bad, but when compared to the overall and much bigger numbers they don't look nearly so bad. Covid 19 itself has this problem. When this kicked off and for months afterward we had talk of tens of thousands dead from it, including on this forum and from doctors too. Now aside from understandable panic it quickly became apparent that dying from this pox was almost entirely the remit of the very old or the already chronically sick or the incredibly bloody unlucky. EG the stories of the fit as a butcher's dog 30 year old Ironman athlete that died from it splashed across the media. But as I noted above, here in Ireland ninety percent of ALL covid fatalities were in the over 65's and the over 85's account for forty percent of all fatalities. Even so the vast majority, 99.3 percent of that demographic didn't die from it.

    The single biggest issue with this pox was the lackof overflow capacity in our hospitals. That was the case in Italy too, where this pox first really hit home with the harrowing stories coming from there, even though the number of those under forty who died from it in Italy was tiny, less than five in that first wave and each one was terribly sick to start with. This lack of capacity was really evident in somewhere like India, where they were running out of oxygen and basic services unless you were among the wealthy.

    IMHO how we end up living with this in actual practical terms is by vaccinating the vulnerable and those who live and deal with them and improving our capacity in the health services. Something looooong overdue in this country. This would also make major inroads into other areas of our health too. Win win. Or we could keep going down the rinse and repeat route of panic, lockdowns, politicans faffing about with their advisor doommongers attention seeking on RTE every night attempting the impossible of putting the genie back in the bottle.

    Rejoice in the awareness of feeling stupid, for that’s how you end up learning new things. If you’re not aware you’re stupid, you probably are.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    To restate your quote. "The beginning of wisdom is I do not know" - Data via Socrates

    That does not mean I don't know so I will treat reactionary baseless fear mongering with as much if not not more value than data and scientific analysis and do nothing to inform themselves. It actively challenges the individual to inform themselves



  • Registered Users Posts: 15,265 ✭✭✭✭stephenjmcd


    Exactly, as I said earlier there are businesses availing of it that probably shouldn't be, I know of one where they're busier than ever yet the staff still have the EWSS listed on their pay slips, never closed during covid as they're classed as an essential service.

    Some sectors need EWSS more than others, hence I agree it needs to be targeted. There's no point in the example of hospitality telling people to cut back their socialisation, they then cancel bookings, businesses are still open and then you cut one of the packages keeping them going. Doesn't make any sense.



  • Registered Users Posts: 928 ✭✭✭robfowler78




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  • Registered Users Posts: 15,265 ✭✭✭✭stephenjmcd


    I think the masks on kids was coming for a while, the can kept being kicked down the road with reviews and more reviews.

    Government have knocked back the extension of the covid cert to gyms and personal services twice now, I think for optics should it be in the latest letter they'll probably just go with it.



  • Registered Users Posts: 8,424 ✭✭✭FintanMcluskey


    If we only followed an EU approach with restrictions.

    Life would have been relatively normal here since May 2020 if we did



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,607 ✭✭✭Real Donald Trump


    The young healthy people in hospital/icu we keep hearing about, 9/10 they look like this





  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 60,159 Mod ✭✭✭✭Wibbs


    Thanks Rob, though sadly I feel we're on this rinse and repeat cycle for a good while yet. Goverments are large bodies and large bodies move slowly and don't like turning around on a different course when they're dead set on the existing one. This goes double when politics and egos are involved.

    Rejoice in the awareness of feeling stupid, for that’s how you end up learning new things. If you’re not aware you’re stupid, you probably are.



  • Registered Users Posts: 18,485 ✭✭✭✭bucketybuck


    So basically the "Go on go on go on" approach will work for NPHET?

    I shouldn't be surprised, everything else has been Father Ted style parody to this point.



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,469 ✭✭✭Gusser09


    Thinking that kids will wear masks correctly and in a way that will stop Covid spreading is very unlikely. Depsite what we hear from our American or European counterparts about how great their kids are for wearing masks etc it is most certainly a draconian, drastic and immoral measure. I've said it before, the true toll of this pandemic is being created by poor policy being driven by Government and backed up by ludicrous models from NPHET.



  • Registered Users Posts: 15,265 ✭✭✭✭stephenjmcd


    As I said in the travel thread yesterday, the tests coming back into the country are window dressing. This is the same, being seen to do something. Let's see what happens, that's just my opinion.



  • Registered Users Posts: 68,317 ✭✭✭✭seamus


    @Wibbs wrote:

    Or god forbid and cray cray idea I know put resources into building better capacity in our healthcare services 

    Thanks Cap'n hindsight.

    Pointing out the flaws that might have landed a country in the position of struggling to cope is in no way helpful. There's a wildfire headed for someone's house and you're standing there pointing out that they should have have spent the last decade creating some natural firebreaks around their land rather than expect the state to take extreme measures to help them.

    In any case, we're not even talking about Ireland. We're talking about countries in general - wealthy EU countries with strong health systems - that are struggling to cope due to open economies and low vaccine uptake.

    Since there's a lack of alternatives, I'm guessing your preferred approach is, "Let the infection burn through the population, overwhelm the hospital system, thousands of people will die preventable deaths because they can't access healthcare, but then they can pick up the pieces after.". Because that's better than mandatory vaccination.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,376 ✭✭✭Funsterdelux




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  • Registered Users Posts: 2,600 ✭✭✭BanditLuke


    Vaccines will be mandatory here by next spring imo. Other nations will show us the way.



  • Registered Users Posts: 246 ✭✭purplefields


    To be clear, I am saying that I do not know the answers to this stuff. I have not made my mind up about anything one way or another. This is because I can't. The evidence simply is not there yet.

    It will take time to see what the effects of the vaccination program is, especially for 5-11 age group.

    So I do not know.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,911 ✭✭✭The Big Easy


    The thing is it's not as simple as that. Many on the right (traditional, not far right) foresaw a lot of what is happening now, regarding leftwing liberalism and identity politics and the view that such positions would eventually erode personal freedom, the very thing they purported to be supporting the first place.

    Being truly rightwing traditionally means being in favour of small government and minimal interference in the private lives of individuals. And rightwing libertarianism means Personal freedom above and before anything else including public health.

    Leftwing generally is far more collective in nature and more likely to prioritise collective needs such as public health like we now see. This was always the fear that leftwing liberalism could tip into totalitarianism and the true right was always fearful of this.

    I never thought they were correct in this fear, but turns out they were!

    The far right and authoritarianism was always a red herring when it comes to the traditional right left cleavage.



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,669 ✭✭✭brickster69


    Conspiracy theory thread is that way >>>>>🤣

    “The earth is littered with the ruins of empires that believed they were eternal.”

    - Camille Paglia



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 60,159 Mod ✭✭✭✭Wibbs


    And here's a perfect example of revving up the hyperbole and not actually reading what has been written.

    I did say:

    Now if this were smallpox because of the monumetally serious threat to society I'd be in favour of chucking out hard won personal rights in favour mandatory vaccines, but it isn't. It isn't within an asses bloody roar of something like that. It is in actual demonstrable fact the single least deadly pandemic in world history. In Ireland forty percent of all deaths from covid were in people who were 85 or older. Five years older than the mean age of death for Irish people. That demographic are in the vast majority of cases vaccinated and boosted. As are the vast majority of the immune and health compromised, as are the majority of people over 18 in general. If any of those choose not to be, then tough I say.

    Every stat above is an actual hard fact. Not hyperbole about thousands dying. Fact. Those preventable deaths were in the majority of cases in the unvaccinated before the vaccines came along and in the over 65's and even in that demographic 99.3% of the over 65's didn't die from covid. The vast majority of the vulnerable have been vaccinated now, by choice. And it doesn't matter that it's Ireland. Even if we had mandatory vaccination in the morning in the EU(something I would resist with extreme prejudice), we would still have European non EU nations who won't, never mind the rest of the world unless you also want to do a New Zealand two years too late. We'd still have virus reservoirs all around us and given the vaccines are all leaky and only reduce transmission and only do so for a short period of time so we'd be boosting to beat the band every six or less months, while throwing in half arsed and contradictory "circuit breaks" every few months, it's hardly a great solution at all, or good reason to instigate laws which directly affect personal liberty. It has long amazed but not surprised me how quick even the intelligent can be to jump to authoritarianism out of panic.

    At no point have I ever come close to suggesting letting the "infection burn through the population", a hyperbolic statement in itself. My position is this as I stated earlier when the seasonal flu vaccine was brought up:

    Flu vaccines and the reasons for them are quite different and even there they're primarily aimed at the elderly, immuncompromised and otherwise vulnerable, or those around them like medical staff and carers. They're required in those groups because the virus mutates more and variants are more likely to partially or entirely bypass previous immunity, so tweaked vaccines need to be delivered.

    So far the existing vaccines cope with the various covid variants, including it seems omricon. The annual tweaked flu vaccines do little to stamp out the flu seasons every year. People still catch flu on the regular. Plus for the vast majority of people the flu is mild, that is doesn't require hospitalisation and we should be increasing overflow capacity anyway like I suggested for covid, which would help with the flu, pneumonia and similar in the winter months.

    As it stands we already live with the influenza virus as IMHO we should with covid, so long as the already vaccinated exhibit asymptomatic or mild symptoms and a massively reduced incidence of serious illness and deaths that impacts our overloaded and under capacity health services. Again it is my opinion and I'd bet the farm virologists would agree with me that we've almost zero chance of making covid 19 extinct by any of the current means at our disposal. It's far more likely to mutate itself into extinction. What we can do and are doing is reducing it to a disease we can live with, by protecting those that need protection and the current vaccines do that, boosters for the vulnerable and long term immune memory responses for the rest of us that reduce the risks of serious illness and death. Hell given the actual real world risks of serious illness and death before vaccines for the under 40's was daftly tiny, if all we did in the future was vaccinate the over 40's and the health compromised we'd have a fair chance of living with this pox. Just like we currently do with influenza.

    For me that's a far far better aim than trying and failing - and we will fail IMHO - to wipe it out, or even get close to that. We've wiped out smallpox and we're nearly there with polio, but comparing either of them to covid 19 is for lots of reasons futile.

    This is a better plan iMHO than what is being attempted and wouldn't require any hindsight change to our healthcare services at first, nor would it require mandating mass vaccinations. Even if you brought in such a daft law you would still have pockets of resistance to it and the unvaccinated. In Ireland that number would be low enough as we tend to be a servile culture when it comes to authority by our "betters"(Vaccines will be mandatory here by next spring imo. Other nations will show us the way)., but try that in France, or Italy, or Spain. The Latins tend to get uppity about such things, never mind places like Poland or Latvia. IIRC a large chunk of the unvaccinated in Irish hospitals are from EU eastern European nations.

    Rejoice in the awareness of feeling stupid, for that’s how you end up learning new things. If you’re not aware you’re stupid, you probably are.



  • Registered Users Posts: 928 ✭✭✭robfowler78


    your right it will be a slow turn to try and change peoples mindset after 2yrs of been basically told this is the worst thing to hit mankind. Don’t get me wrong in the beginning when we didn’t know much we needed the caution and the slow pace but now we know a lot more about this virus mainly it’s going nowhere.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    the incoming chancellor has stated there will be an open vote on the topic. Democracy

    A Parliamentary vote.

    First you are ridiculing people who say we will soon have mandatory vaccination here. Then you're saying, well if it's democratic it's ok.



  • Registered Users Posts: 18,284 ✭✭✭✭namloc1980


    The conspiracy theory forum is thataway ----------->



  • Registered Users Posts: 18,284 ✭✭✭✭namloc1980


    This is all only a conspiracy theory according to the geniuses on here so it's all good. 👍



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  • Registered Users Posts: 348 ✭✭Timmy O Toole


    What does mandatory vaccine actually mean. No body is going to be held down and jabbed against their will surely? Anyone who hadn't taken it at this stage likely isn't going to take it under any circumstances?



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