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Share Picks 2021 - Thread banned users post #1

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 83,576 ✭✭✭✭Atlantic Dawn
    M


    ...



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,442 ✭✭✭Shedite27


    I like Cramer, signed up to see if it's really free. His old one "The Street" was a paid subscription service.

    One thing to watch, it's obviously aimed at Yanks, who have a very different tax structure. All the buying and selling here would likely cost you a bit in CGT



  • Registered Users Posts: 173 ✭✭bish76


    BABA, MILE, LOTZ, TDOC, FROG - all frecking bleeding. I am about to loose 20k hard cash if I exit market today. Probably, will hide under blanket and check back in two weeks time 🤣



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,442 ✭✭✭Shedite27


    Docusign down 30% after results is one of the more baffling ones for me. Sold my shares earleir this year, but going to be buying back in again today. Multiples and the financials are far better now. Margin is 80% on all sales, the main slight on their results is that they are onlygrowing at 40% this eyar versus 50% last year (hint: covid).

    When lockdown ends, there's certain things we'll go back to. Signing documents is certainly not one of them



  • Registered Users Posts: 8,239 ✭✭✭Pussyhands


    Don't know anything about them but a 50bn valuation for a company that allows e-signing seems really high.

    I don't see the market being that big. In my experience, it was used by high level people in orgs pre pandemic but don't see any use for it outside of that.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,962 ✭✭✭✭banie01


    This and another high risk area for China exposure in ADR's are under serious regulatory risk IMO.

    Both onshore in China and for ADR's in the US and EU in particular.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,962 ✭✭✭✭banie01


    Ask him how Didi is doing🤦

    I agree with you, his day as anything approaching relevant or insightful is long past. If memory serves if you followed his picks this year, you'd be down 28%

    I'll see if I can dig out the article, think I say it on Yahoo money.

    Loud, ostentatious and seriously any credibility afforded the man should have disappeared with Bear Stearns.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,069 ✭✭✭✭neris


    Saw a quote earlier made by Charlie Munger of Berkshire that too many stocks are seriously over valued. Tesla comes to mind along with a few tech stocks



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,939 ✭✭✭✭patsy_mccabe


    I think BABA is the only one of those to ever turn a profit. Risky portfolio. Still if one of them comes good, it might cover the losses from the others.

    'If I ventured in the slipstream, Between the viaducts of your dream'



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,017 ✭✭✭antimatterx


    If BABA goes sub $100, it's far too good (long term) not to buy. Also if PayPal can drop to $150.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 8,239 ✭✭✭Pussyhands


    Welp



  • Registered Users Posts: 8,239 ✭✭✭Pussyhands


    5 of my 9 stocks are down 7%+

    Down nearly 4% for the day.

    Might put a stop loss another 10% down on NET because it seems to be on a downswing.

    DraftKings and Lemonade - turds



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,442 ✭✭✭Shedite27


    It's far more than e-signing nowadays.


    People will go back to gyms rather than Peloton, people will meet people rather than zoom, people will go back to doctors offices rather than Teladoc. Nobody's going back to signing documents rather than clicking a link, no matter what your industry is



  • Registered Users Posts: 8,239 ✭✭✭Pussyhands


    Yeah but it's like e-signing....as a 50bn dollar business?

    It was 1.5 times the size of Twitter!

    Esigning is a feature, not a 50bn business imo.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,939 ✭✭✭✭patsy_mccabe


    Jeez, BABA is sinking boys. Grab the lifeboat! Anyone price averaging down?

    'If I ventured in the slipstream, Between the viaducts of your dream'



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,442 ✭✭✭Shedite27


    I'm not gonna push a company on anyone, you've already said you don't know much about Docusign.

    Saying its just e-signing is a bit like saying Google is just a search engine. Started out that way, but does far more nowadays.

    And I wouldnt compare any profit making business with Twitter. Twitter is famous but has never been able to monetise it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,095 ✭✭✭bcklschaps


    Picked up a few DocuSign and a few Asana purely based on a hunch that the market has over shot on the negative here with these two. Their results were actually pretty good (but not exceptional), my thinking is the inflation talk, omicron, jobs report all coincided with their results date and they just got hammered. Looking for a quick swing trade here.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,519 ✭✭✭Take Your Pants Off


    Anyone still in Argo?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,442 ✭✭✭Shedite27




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,579 ✭✭✭JeffKenna


    Checked my portfolio today after staying away from it the last few days. Mother of God.

    The only thing performing well is GameStop!

    Are people worried about the market long term? Inflation, China, Turkeys debt. Maybe I'm overthinking it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,624 ✭✭✭Treppen




  • Registered Users Posts: 8,239 ✭✭✭Pussyhands


    Getting worried about rising rates.

    That's all.

    This new variant, with stories coming out that it's very mild, may signal the end of the pandemic and lead to rising rates.

    As Buffett has said for years and years..."interest rates are to asset prices what gravity is to matter."



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,594 ✭✭✭baldbear


    Anyone Chance some pypl shares? Price has dropped 40% recently. Price dropped when rumours spread about PayPal buying Pinterest. And the full split from eBay has now been felt.

    But with a deal done with Amazon to be implemented in early new year I feel price will increase shortly.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,442 ✭✭✭Shedite27


    I'm certainly interested. Great valuation at the moment, good buying opportunity



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,511 ✭✭✭VW 1


    Baba CFO announced she's stepping down and the deputy CFO taking the role, the stock down a further 8% on the news.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 8,239 ✭✭✭Pussyhands




  • Registered Users Posts: 8,239 ✭✭✭Pussyhands


    Also 8 HK shares = 1 US share.

    You need to multiply the HK share price x 8 x 0.13 to get the USD price which is 112.7 x 8 x 0.13 = 117 USD which is higher than Fridays close.

    BABA has opened up 3% higher pre market.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,953 ✭✭✭6541


    Just wondering what do people think of Disney ? Shares have dropped big time.



  • Registered Users Posts: 8,239 ✭✭✭Pussyhands


    Anyone holding NET?

    Down nearly 25% in the week. Everytime it goes down by 6%+ I feel like I don't want to miss the rebound the next day but feel like I should take profits.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,439 ✭✭✭weemcd


    No brainer long term for me. Revenue can continue to take hits due to Covid, namely theme parks and cinemas etc. So you could realistically be looking at a year or more, there's only so much Disney+ streaming service can do. But it's one I definitely would mind having in my portfolio with a long term outlook.

    Just my opinion BTW, definitely not financial advice. Everything looks choppy right now across the board...



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  • Registered Users Posts: 560 ✭✭✭theboringfox


    Up today but my just eat position taking a big hit daily now. Need to decide if it is cut and run time. Lock in a bit of year end loss to offset gains. Up overall today at least.

    Like Disney. Dont think it is dirt cheap but I think it is a good company at good valuation point. Im a fan. Only started into it after recent drop.



  • Registered Users Posts: 93 ✭✭pitrn


    Hello All, getting a bit nervous with the way market is heading..

    I have shares like

    Carlotz @7.98

    Psth @ 25.00

    Skillz @ 16.79

    Clov @ 10.46

    Baozun @32.00


    These shares are way below the prices I bought them at. Any suggestions what I should do. Wait and hold or sell?


    Appreciate your inputs.


    Thanks

    Ptrn



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,857 ✭✭✭Atlas_IRL


    I think in the future maybe set a mental stop loss on certain buys especially spacs and say i'm going to dump if it hits X, and on the other side im going to take profits if it hits X along the way.


    This year in certain periods has been pretty brutal and with the above unless you have conviction that you can put the money into something else and its going to do better than you may just be better holding them.

    EVERYONE has been wrecked the last 2 weeks, we all sail in the same boat :)

    December historically can be bad normally with people taking profit with taxes due at the end of the year but with tapering news and covid strains its just tanked, i'm hoping we have a good January and get some of the gains back.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,442 ✭✭✭Shedite27


    Sold it about a month back as it was way overvalued. The ratios were far too big even for my liking. It's a good company, executing perfectly. If it dropped back to the 120's I'd probably buy again



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,442 ✭✭✭Shedite27


    Don't follow any apart from PSTH, that's stuck at the $20 mark now until the merger, at which point you'll get $20 back and a bonus share. Might as well hold that till they do that deal



  • Registered Users Posts: 8,239 ✭✭✭Pussyhands


    BABA up in HK today, the equivalent of 6.5% in USD



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,939 ✭✭✭✭patsy_mccabe


    Lads, be careful using Stop Losses. I never use them. You'll end up maybe selling right on the dip of the price. If the price dips temporarily in a day on bad news etc. Plus, how do you know if the exchange isn't buying them on a margin and selling right away for a small profit.

    Buy good companies and sit on them. Simple.😀

    'If I ventured in the slipstream, Between the viaducts of your dream'



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,476 ✭✭✭JustJoe7240




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,939 ✭✭✭✭patsy_mccabe


    'If I ventured in the slipstream, Between the viaducts of your dream'



  • Registered Users Posts: 8,239 ✭✭✭Pussyhands


    Can you give an example of how they make money if the bid of a stock is 100 and the ask is 105?



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,939 ✭✭✭✭patsy_mccabe


    Bid is 100 and Ask is 105. Someone else has their Stop Loss set at 95. They kick in that Stop Loss and sell at that Bid price. The exchange effectively buys at 95 and sells at 100. Easy money for them.

    'If I ventured in the slipstream, Between the viaducts of your dream'



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,783 ✭✭✭rugbyman


    Patsy


    I am very keen to learn more about this. A large part of me is anti stop loss.

    I would have been sold out quite a few times on my foreign trades had I had stop losses.

    I have read that well equiped traders can see what stop losses there are and take them out.

    I am not too sure how they drive the price down to that stop loss level.

    The gain for the predator is that they now own shares at a lower price than they had been. Predator believes they have more to run.


    To take your explanation above :they kick in that stop loss: how exactly is that done, could you detail,i.e. talk slowly with your reply

    i am assuming that whatever they do is what short sellers do(whatever that is) only these guys have a target that they know about


    Cheers Patsy


    p.s. my portfolio has 30 shares,90% abroad. Today for the first time in yonks they are ALL green ( I mean today, not yet all out of the water)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,192 ✭✭✭littlevillage


    What a stonking day lads. My portfolio is up 2.5%


    One of my ETF's (Semiconductors) is even up 6.5% today, mad Ted, mad 😲



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,939 ✭✭✭✭patsy_mccabe


    Think of it this way, prices are continuously moving up and down. On average they move up 50% of the time and down 50% of the time. You have to pay commission for every trade so over time, you are going to loose money. That's why most people can't make money from trading.

    Say from example a stock is trading at $100.0. Increment is min $0.10, so Ask is 10.1 and bid is 9.9. Now there will be a lot of Stop Losses set up by different people at 9.8, 9.7, 9.6, 9.5 etc the whole way down. If the exchange set up a false account (or pass the information to a third party), when the market is at 9.9 Bid, they can take out the 9.8 Stop Losses and so buy at 9.8 and sell at 9.9. Market is now at 9.8 Bid. Do it again and take out the 9.7 Stop Losses and sell at 9.8. Take out these small profits all day long and nobody would ever know. They buy and sell instantly so can't get caught by market movements outside their control.

    'If I ventured in the slipstream, Between the viaducts of your dream'



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,511 ✭✭✭VW 1


    Brokers like robinhood and others also make all of their revenue off payment for order flow. They sell all of their trades and client information to market makers such as citadel and Virtu who are then able to either internalise or front run the trades and make pennies off every trade.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,939 ✭✭✭✭patsy_mccabe


    'If I ventured in the slipstream, Between the viaducts of your dream'



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,442 ✭✭✭Shedite27


    Do you prefer the €20 commission per trade approach? That's the alternative realistically, I think for people like myself DCA'ing in a hundred or two every month, the low fees and PFOF works out far better



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,511 ✭✭✭VW 1


    I don't have much of an opinion either way, I personally use Revolut and Degiro, but I would also encourage anyone investing to be fully aware of the issues around PFOF and securities lending which is how these brokerages make their money. I firmly believe that the market system in the US is overly complex and needs a complete overhaul to give transparency to retail investors and to help create a more level playing field.


    Think about this, if the market maker knows all of the retail investors information on trades and where you've got stop losses set etc, you think that they won't use that information they've paid for against retail? They're paying for it for a reason, and there's good reason it isn't allowed in Europe. Caveat emptor as they say.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 771 ✭✭✭techman1


    Is that a European or us domiciled etf? I presume you know about the horrible taxation issue with these, that all gains are taxed at 41% and deemed disposal every 8 years even if you don't sell



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  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    IAG very volatile today. Can't seem to see the reason. New travel restrictions DOWN Omicron diplacing dangerous strains of Covid UP?



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