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Russia - threadbanned users in OP

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  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    I'm more concerned with the practical considerations rather than conversations over morality. The favortism is the application of standards to Russia, that are not being reinforced on the West. Western actions haven't resulted in sanctions, or military intervention... and yet, that's what's being suggested to be applied to Russia. Hence, the favortism remark. As long as western nations get away with whatever they wish, then there's no real basis for enforcing these standards on countries like Russia or China, because to them, it represents a double standard, and so, something they can bypass.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    I mean this post constructively, but let's say your fact is true and correct. You're Joe Biden or Jens Stoltenberg or Emmanuel Macron. You go into a meeting with Putin and you tell him, "in an objective moral sense, you are wrong here". How does that help solve the situation? What will Putin say?

    Frankly, it's not enough to be right. You have to solve the actual problem jointly with your antagonist, and simply being right is not going to do this. In this respect, being right is useless, because it doesn't help.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Besides I suspect Putin would be well able to argue from a Russian pov that he is morally in the right.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]



    Yes I hear what you're saying and in my personal life, I avoid Chinese products in particular as much as possible (which is not very often, I'm sorry to say). I do think that we should economically disassociate ourselves from China in particular. Russia I would be more hopeful of, even if it's a fool's hope, because I do see them as one leg of the triad of western civilization, and I have to believe that we can surmount our challenges with them.

    But I don't think we can quarantine ourselves completely from China or Russia for the simple reason that we share a planet and need to collaborate on topics like climate change, AI, and nuclear disarmament. It's a horrible situation and it's only going to get worse.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,358 ✭✭✭BluePlanet


    While I agree that Russia is a bad actor here, there is little that can be done about it. I empathize with some of the countries that broke away during the collapse of the SU. However they know the bear that Russia is, so have a duty to their own people not to provoke that bear.

    Georgia and Ukraine didn't really pay enough attention to their own geo political situation regarding the big bully next door. And any gestures toward NATO will only be met with aggression from Russia. They probably needed to tread lightly and keep good relations with Russia for a few decades not to draw their ire. Finland managed it even during the Cold War.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 4,883 ✭✭✭fly_agaric


    Klaz, the thread is about Russia. That is why I was applying a moral standard to them specifically here. If you want to look only at "practical considerations" and are telling me to shut up now about objective rights & wrongs, there is no global police or supreme arbiter and therefore no one can enforce any standard double or otherwise on countries of the size and power of the US or Russia or China. They/their govt.'s definitely don't care what you or I think...!

    The West sanctioning itself, or sanctioning the US is fairly absurd in such a situation. The West/Western countries are however IMO free decide what sort of relations they want to have with Russia post a Ukraine attack/invasion. Russia doesn't have some right to be able to trade with these countries, or their companies. Russians don't have an absolute right to travel to the West and back, or park money there or buy assets there etc. etc.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    I didn't tell you to shut up about anything. I posted my opinions on the topic at hand. That's it. As for the west sanctioning itself, the mechanism used to sanction other nations is generally done through the UN and/or through other international organisations, so it shouldn't be absurd to apply it to the west... it's only absurd because the West provides the primary backbone for the UN and such organisations.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,358 ✭✭✭BluePlanet


    That's just daft.

    China has cast 16 vetoes, total.

    The US: 82

    Russia/USSR: 117

    The UK btw: 29.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    He certainly would. These two interviews, with western reporters, should be watched by everyone. Please disregard the YouTube titles and annoying captioning - the content of the videos are what matter. I think it's clear that he feels genuinely aggrieved and makes salient points to back this up:





  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    I appreciate your efforts at steer conversation away from Russia in a Russia titled thread but this is a country whose advanced anti aircraft systems drive themselves across an international border shoot down passenger planes and then drive back and all you get are whataboutisms and deflections and conspiracies as a reply for barbaric acts.

    Referring to other organisations or countries, is not steering the discussion away from Russia. That's a deflection from you, because it's easier (black/white) to focus entirely on Russia without considering international politics and events.

    Nobody has sought to excuse Russian behavior... so for someone on about whataboutisms, you're introducing quite a bit of it yourself.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 2,358 ✭✭✭BluePlanet


    Goal post moving. You claimed that China and Russia repeatedly hobble the UN with vetoes.

    While there is some truth in that statement regarding Russia/USSR's use of the veto, it is certainly not true for China. And infact you should have cited Russia/USSR and US use of the veto is what hobbles the UN.

    You also could have included UK because despite their smallness in comparison to global power at the UN, they are lackey's of the US and they register #3 on use of UN veto.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    The same could be said about the US vetoing of resolutions. None of them have their hands clean in that regard.



  • Registered Users Posts: 6,948 ✭✭✭circadian


    Seems like Putin is following the Foundations of Geopolitics playbook as expected.



  • Registered Users Posts: 17,923 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe



    Yeah I'm not too worried about it, and am still expecting more step by step actions/escalations to come.

    That said, it's still a continuous conflict zone along the rebel held territory, daily exchanges, etc



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,883 ✭✭✭fly_agaric


    Okay - you didn't tell me to shut up. Regardless of all that...I don't see how there will be, or ever could be sanctions at the UN on Russia (could they not just veto it?) They are not Iraq or similar. Russia and China are both permanent members of UN security council. They are pillars of the UN/international structure as much as the Western WW2 victors (in particular the US) are. The UN sanctioning either seems just as absurd as the West sanctioning the US or itself over Iraq. There may be harsh words about Russia at the UN said by Western countries + allies but any sanctions post a Ukraine invasion will be by the West or countries they can persuade to join them.



  • Registered Users Posts: 17,923 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    Unilateral sanctions. Also Russia is no stranger to international sanctions currently.



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,883 ✭✭✭fly_agaric


    Yes, it was UN sanctions that were mentioned though. Out of my depth now, but I did think the Security Council had to approve that and the permanent members could block it (?). As said when it comes to a country like US/Russia/China etc., there is no effective global policeman.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Yes, but the UN can be bypassed, if the EU, US, and other trading blocs decided to apply sanctions. The point about the UN, is that it's still a mechanism for gaining support, even if the security council steps in to veto.

    Think back to why I raised the UN as part of the discussion, although you'll have to consider more than Russia to do so.

    In any case, sanctions are next to useless in doing anything to Russia.



  • Registered Users Posts: 17,923 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    Indeed but there's a lot of action the rest of the world can take via sanctions, restrictions, etc with Russia, which is heavily dependent on foreign trade.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    I think a lot of the blame for the current situation stems from the foreign policy of George W Bush and the devils on his shoulder, not least of whom was Condoleeza Rice.

    A decade after the USSR collapsed, Bush could have been magnanimous (as Clinton seemed to be) and said, OK Russia is back, as a republic. Russia - the country of Tchaikovsky and Tolstoy, the country that was allied to the US and the UK in WWI and WW2, the country that humbled Napoleon, the country that served as a Christian bulwark against Ottoman-Islamic expansion for centuries. The country that suffered the tragedy of a lunatic communist takeover at the same coincidentally unfortunate time that nuclear weaponry was invented, which exacerbated the tensions, could have been treated with more respect. Bush could have said, "Let's focus on building a friendship and strategic partnership with Russia in terms of trade and security, and basically ring-fence the Global North with western-minded nations."

    But instead, enamored with the now obviously fallacious 'end-of-history' thesis; unhealthily distracted by a few savages hiding in the caves of Afghanistan; and offended by Russia's objections to the invasion of Iraq, Bush decided to court the less significant ejecta of the USSR's explosion - Estonia, Lithuania, Latvia, and so forth. In a recent interview about his reflections on working with Angela Merkel, Bush recalled that his biggest disagreement with Merkel was on Georgia's admission to NATO, where he wanted Georgia in, and she didn't. Imagine: one of his biggest regrets was not getting Georgia into NATO, rather than alienating Russia by expanding NATO in 2004 and withdrawing from the ABM treaty - unilaterally - in 2002.

    If he had instead cultivated closer relations with Russia rather than the smaller states of eastern Europe, the security of the Baltics, Ukraine and the Caucuses might naturally been settled satisfactorily: much as Belgium no longer worries that Germany will storm its frontiers, the smaller former Soviet states might have had a similar trajectory.

    Might have. Who knows. These are what ifs. There are admittedly a few reasons to think it wouldn't have been such an easy path (again, Russia is compelled by geography to be more authoritarian than other western countries would like), but I don't think we'd be in the dire situation we are in now.

    Post edited by [Deleted User] on


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  • Registered Users Posts: 2,358 ✭✭✭BluePlanet


    Sorry to nit-pick fly_agaric but you said something here that should be corrected:

    "They [Russia] are pillars of the UN/international structure as much as the Western WW2 victors (in particular the US) are."

    Russia were allies in WWII and were clearly victors as US was scrambling to get a foothold into Europe to insure they gained a seat at the winners circle. While the US/UK were "winners" by securing the most western parts of Europe(and the US winners in the S Pacific); Russia were clearly among the biggest winners of WWII by the sheer scale of their involvement and the amount of land and resources that came under their control across eastern Europe in the immediate aftermath.

    Infact there is some debate that Russia were the primary victors of WWII.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    True but the main sources of income won't be touched. The German gas agreement wouldn't be touched, nor would trade with India or China. The truth is that sanctions/restrictions only involves certain countries, and while it might hurt Russia somewhat, there are plenty of other markets or countries willing to trade under the radar.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,358 ✭✭✭BluePlanet


    I wonder will there be an attempt to block Russia from SWIFT.

    Though i am a little doubtful the attempt would succeed.



  • Registered Users Posts: 17,923 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    The point is not the destruction of the country, just to make it unpalatable and economically unviable. Most current sanctions are relatively minor and targeted, but if Russia black/white invaded Ukraine, there'd be a large global backlash. Selling resources cheaper elsewhere is losing revenue. As mentioned, they have the approx. GDP of Italy, and such a scenario would be economically painful for them. Again, the Kremlin knows this, which is why I would be extremely surprised if they actually went ahead with a major conflict.



  • Registered Users Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2


    There was a time when Putin actually wanted to join NATO (the late-90s I believe). He asked the British NATO Sec. General at the time when can he expect an invite, the Sec. Gen. told him that NATO isn't an invite club - that nations must apply and meet criteria with their defence industry etc.

    Putin apparently got in a huff and basically said Russia isn't just any other nation and shouldn't have to jump through hoops.



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,883 ✭✭✭fly_agaric


    It doesn't need to be corrected, but perhaps I should have been a bit clearer there.

    I didn't mean to exclude or slight Russia (i.e. Soviet Union) as "victor" or winner in WW2 at all, but they are not generally considered part of "the West" in way its being used on this thread, so Russia are not "Western [and] WW2 victors".

    If I understood correctly, you suggested US could/should have been sanctioned through international orgs./the UN for Iraq, and idea that they could be was absurd (my word), solely because the West/US was the one "providing the backbone" for said international orgs. Hence there is a double standard/who guards the guardians type situation when it comes to Western "offences" (like US Iraq invasion) vs Russia perhaps (if it does launch an(other) attack on Ukraine). 

    I just pointed out that idea of any UN backed/led sanctions on Russia over a Ukraine invasion looks to me like being equally absurd, for similar reasons (power/importance of Russia in UN). US/EU sanctions are a different matter. The Western countries can make their own decisions about relations with Russia.

    I think you may have a point about a Western bias in UN trade sanctions however. In the past (maybe post cold war 90s/00s) US/Europe made up a large majority of the global economy and so they had a unique ability to create and apply the sanctions and enforce them or not and compel others. However I don't think this is the case as much as it was, and now you also have China imposing unilateral trade sanctions against the countries that offend/anger it and trading/interacting with countries the US or the West has sanctioned.

    I don't think sanctions are "useless" even though it will be painful for those doing the sanctioning also & may take time to show positive effects.

    Post edited by fly_agaric on


  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    Russia has closed large part of the Azoz sea which connects to the black sea ,due to naval and artillery action directly outside Ukrainian military and civilian ports , Ukrainian vessels must apply to Russia to sail through their own waters



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    If that’s true, the NATO sec general handled that situation with supreme incompetence.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    If I understood correctly, you suggested US could/should have been sanctioned through international orgs.

    I didn't specify sanctions. Just the double standards at play that completely ignored US actions with Iraq, and then punished other countries for their actions.

    I don't think sanctions are "useless" even though it will be painful for those doing the sanctioning also & may take time to show positive effects.

    I don't think sanctions will be the cause of any positive effects when it comes to Russia. I suspect it'll come down to negotiation and concessions made on both sides. Perhaps the removal of US supported military bases and listening posts around Russian borders, in return for a guarantee of Ukrainian (or other nations) independence, providing scope for Russia to be reassured that these nations won't become direct allies of America/the West. I dunno.. but I seriously doubt anything will stop Russia from "reclaiming" certain territories, short of a serious commitment of troops by the US in those territories, and TBH I suspect that might actually tip the hand of Russia towards open warfare with the West.



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  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    I'm not so sure of that. Sanctions against Iran weren't relatively minor, and had a major effect on it's population for a rather long time. Same with Pakistan in the past. I suspect a nation like Russia could shrug off the effects of sanctions easily enough though, as they have close ties with both China and India, both being countries with existing agreements. In addition Russia would continue bringing in an income from it's arms sales worldwide.

    Oh, I agree that they wouldn't want war with the West, but it's equally possible they see it happening eventually. Anyway, Ukraine, and other border countries could easily be taken without Western intervention, and the returns in accessible natural resources could offset any downsides of sanctions. Honestly, it's a lot like Hitler expanding in Europe before Poland was invaded... how long will the bluffs succeed before the Allies decide enough is enough?



This discussion has been closed.
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