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Would you be happy for your children to receive covid-19 vaccine

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 68,317 ✭✭✭✭seamus


    @Lumen wrote:

    My understanding/speculation is that carditis is an inflammatory response that occurs roughly proportionately in any given age group with both vaccination and infection,

    This is one part that seems to be overlooked when discussing side effects. Myocarditis comes about as a side effect of the body's immune response. It's not a unique feature of covid vaccines; virtually every vaccine has the potential to induce myocarditis. It also seems more than likely that individuals who experience myocarditis as a result of vaccination, would likely experience it if they were infected with covid.

    IMHO one of the reasons why this is suddenly a "surprise" is because in general teenagers (boys in particular) don't receive many vaccinations. The childhood vaccination schedule is largely complete by 12/13 years of age, and as a result the majority don't receive any new vaccinations until their 20s or 30s when they may take a flu vaccine. Thus historically the incidence of myocarditis from vaccinations in teenagers is likely very low, and since it's usually very mild, typically goes unnoticed.

    But now that we're vaccinating hundreds of millions of teenagers and forensically dissecting the slightest ill-effects, this one has popped up. Spoiler: It's still not a big deal.



  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,297 ✭✭✭hometruths


    edit: refreshing my memory, it looks like in younger kids carditis may be an aspect of MIS-C (hence the M, I guess), and MIS-C is a known (but rare) effect from infection but AFAIK not (yet) from vaccination. Not sure if that helps the conversation.

    I think this is true, and as posted above, NIAC specifically address the MIS-C as one of the consequences of infection:

    A large international cohort study on children with COVID-19 estimated MIS-C to affect between 0.5%-3.1% of all diagnosed paediatric COVID-19 patients and between 0.9%-7.6% of hospitalised paediatric COVID-19 patients

    So the risk is very small indeed, but a risk nonetheless. But is a benefit of vaccination reducing this risk? Not according to NIAC:

    Information is not yet available about potential long-term sequelae. It is not known if vaccination will have an impact on long COVID or prevent MIS-C



  • Registered Users Posts: 853 ✭✭✭MilkyToast


    I read somewhere (can't find it now, it was a few weeks ago) that myocarditis is more severe and more common in boys and men (across the board - not just vaccine-induced) because testosterone directly exacerbates the sort of inflammation involved.

    If true, that would explain why it's more common in the younger men and older teenage cohort... and it would also lead me to suspect that it will barely be an issue in under 12s.

    “Of all tyrannies, a tyranny sincerely exercised for the good of its victims may be the most oppressive. It would be better to live under robber barons than under omnipotent moral busybodies. The robber baron's cruelty may sometimes sleep, his cupidity may at some point be satiated; but those who torment us for our own good will torment us without end for they do so with the approval of their own conscience." ~C.S. Lewis



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 31,208 ✭✭✭✭Lumen


    @Thou wrote

    Below is a statement from Dr. Robert Malone inventor of MRNA vaccines and RNA as a drug.

    I don't know which antivax website you got that from, but he has admitted that he did not invent MRNA vaccines, and the rest of it is about as convincing as a phishing email.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 147 ✭✭Thou



    Believe whatever you want to believe, I don't place much faith in factcheckers that are used to discredit any alternative argument that doesn't fit the narrative. But still if it's "vaccine technology platform" he invented I would still be inclined to listen to what he is saying.

    Antivax website? It's called Twitter, where people who are for the vaccination of children or against the vaccination of children can share opinions, information and debate, more of which is needed before parents make such big decisions for their children.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 31,208 ✭✭✭✭Lumen


    That text is too long for a Tweet. Care to post the source?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,045 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    He's busy shilling Ivermectin and claiming he both had long COVID and cured it using Ivermectin (ignoring that Ivermectin didn't stop him getting the disease and that he developed long COVID and waited a while before taking the drug he's shilling and proclaiming it works). In other words, he's a charlatan.

    Where did you find that analysis?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 147 ✭✭Thou



    That is his video statement, the text I posted is a transcript of same



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,045 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    He's really gone off the deep end and seems determined to ruin his legacy, factually, the entire statement is bunkum.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 31,208 ✭✭✭✭Lumen


    OK, so the answer is "I got it from a Slovenian antivaxxer".




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 147 ✭✭Thou


    Discredit it anyway you want, I just did the search on Twitter the video is on multiple accounts.

    They may be anti-vax or whatever.

    I have received the jabs myself, I am just concerned for the potential affects of these on children.

    But unfortunately people consider this an irrational and unreasonable point of view.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Arts Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 16,657 CMod ✭✭✭✭faceman


    You dont trust fact checkers but you trust a guy you had never heard without validating his claims who has since admitted he lied and has been proven to be full of sh1t.

    Covid really has me thinking that there are more morons on this planet than there are sane people.

    At least the debate with Schmittel, he has taken the time to read reports before coming to his/her own conclusion. Ive greater respect for that, even if I disagree.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,117 ✭✭✭TaurenDruid


    He did not invent mRNA vaccines. He did not invent a "vaccine technology platform". He was one of a huge number of people who worked on such research. Here's another article about the man: https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2021/08/robert-malone-vaccine-inventor-vaccine-skeptic/619734/

    If I'm making big decisions for my kids, y'know who I'm not going to trust? Anonymous accounts on Twitter or Facebook, giving me their "opinions" and "debate" about scientific facts.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 147 ✭✭Thou


    Ok point made, I am sure they will be 100% safe and carry no potential risks or harm to children 😉



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,117 ✭✭✭TaurenDruid


    Every vaccine (and medicine, and food) carries risks of side effects or reactions. We know this. We also know the risk from side effects from COVID-19 vaccines is far less than the risks to health from COVID-19 itself. Further up the thread, there are links to the scientific papers demonstrating this.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 68,317 ✭✭✭✭seamus


    Go do your own research if you don't like fact-checkers.

    Malone is by all accounts a man tortured by spite and grudges as a result of being exploited and used in his early career. He did some pioneering work in the 1980s, joined a company who profited from his work, and then got shat out the rear end with little recognition. Since then he has done little of consequence, a Captain Ahab constantly chasing down his opportunity for revenge or recognition. He was involved in some early anti-Covid drugs trials which failed to produce good results and had put a lot of his stock in supporting the use of ivermectin and such as treatment. The failure of this, only strengthened his begrudgery.

    On a personal level, Malone would love nothing more than to see the rollout of mRNA vaccines become a complete disaster, so he could finally see the white whale of established pharma and academia gets its comeuppance.

    So all of his contributions should be viewed in that light.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 147 ✭✭Thou


    Nah still goin to hold off, what's the rush, would like to wait and see more safety data, and no child in the state under age of 14 has died from Covid.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 147 ✭✭Thou





  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 147 ✭✭Thou




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,117 ✭✭✭TaurenDruid


    /shrug

    Your kids, your choice. No, I'm not aware of the death of any child under 14 from COVID, in Ireland, either. They have been hospitalised, been admitted to ICU, and had long COVID, though.

    But Twitter and Facebook.



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  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,297 ✭✭✭hometruths


    We also know the risk from side effects from COVID-19 vaccines is far less than the risks to health from COVID-19 itself.

    According to NIAC as far as primary school kids are concerned, we do not know this.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Arts Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 16,657 CMod ✭✭✭✭faceman


    Yet they are still recommending the vaccine, along with the CDC and the ECDC.



  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,297 ✭✭✭hometruths


    Yes, they are strongly recommending that immunocompromised kids are vaccinated.

    For healthy kids, they are recommending that they are offered the option to be vaccinated.

    A very different grade of advice for healthy kids vs immunocompromised.

    I suspect the fact that they are not certain for healthy kids in this age group that the risk from side effects from COVID-19 vaccines is far less than the risks to health from COVID-19 itself, is precisely the reason for the different advice.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 31,208 ✭✭✭✭Lumen


    Not quite. They are recommending the vaccine be offered to everyone in that age group, and they are strongly recommending vaccination for those aged 5 to 11 years

    • with underlying conditions
    • living with a younger child with complex medical needs
    • living with a person who is immunocompromised


  • Registered Users Posts: 224 ✭✭PicardWithHair


    I suspect the fact that they are not certain for healthy kids in this age group that the risk from side effects from COVID-19 vaccines is far less than the risks to health from COVID-19 itself, is precisely the reason for the different advice.

    ^^ exactly this.

    My kids are perfectly healthy and don't need this vaccine.

    I have the vaccine and so does my wife, but our kids don't need it.

    simple as.

    I am amazed however the amount of parents that are boasting to sign their 5 year olds up for vaccines.(I live in Spain)

    What do they think it will change ?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,186 ✭✭✭patnor1011


    Could you please be so kind and offer your credentials?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,528 ✭✭✭copeyhagen


    school kids dont even need to self isolate if someone in their 'pod' tests positive, unless they are showing symptoms (what kid doesnt have a runny nose now?)

    "if you want, you CAN contact the HSE for antigen tests in this situation"

    that explains the seriousness of it on children.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,117 ✭✭✭TaurenDruid


    "Simple as."

    Yeah.

    What do they think it will change ?

    Well, the chance of my kids ending up in hospital, sick with COVID. Simple as.

    All stats below for 26/11 to 9/12, from here: CIDR 14 day report 20211210_website.pdf (hpsc.ie)

    Age Cases Percent (of all cases) No. hospitalised % hospitalised

    0-4 3309 5.3% 27 4.9%

    5-12 13164 20.7% 21 3.8%

    (Sorry for formatting, no idea how to do tables on the new boards.ie)

    Yeah, 48 kids under 13 hospitalised isn't many. Still sucks to be one of them, or to be the parent of one of them. But if they're vaccinated, the chances of them needing hospitalisation are far less. Simple as. As they say.



  • Registered Users Posts: 224 ✭✭PicardWithHair


    Are they in hospital because of covid or with covid ?

    There is lots of evidence to say their risks of getting serious covid are less then side effects.

    Again they don't need it, nothing is 100% certain, but I'm not giving them a vaccine for a disease they have practically zero chance of dying from or even getting anything serious from it ..



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    There is zero evidence that the risks of serious covid are less than the side effects.

    Also, I am sure you asked that you kids not receive the rubella vaccine also, the dont need it. Rubella is very mild in children



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,117 ✭✭✭TaurenDruid


    There is lots of evidence to say their risks of getting serious covid are less then side effects.

    No, there isn't. Not from reputable sources. And further up this thread (e.g., previous page), there are links to actually reputable scientific studies showing exactly the opposite - e.g., your chances of getting myocarditis from COVID-19 are far higher than of getting it from the vaccine. Don't accuse me of spreading misinformation when that's exactly what you're doing!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,045 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    Not a chance, but why would you need them? Is the grifting of Robert Malone not plain enough for you to see? Or is there anything he's now pushing that you factually believe?



  • Registered Users Posts: 224 ✭✭PicardWithHair



    Conclusions Post-vaccination CAE rate was highest in young boys aged 12-15 following dose two. For boys 12-17 without medical comorbidities, the likelihood of post vaccination dose two CAE is 162.2 and 94.0/million respectively. This incidence exceeds their expected 120-day COVID-19 hospitalization rate at both moderate (August 21, 2021 rates) and high COVID-19 hospitalization incidence. Further research into the severity and long-term sequelae of post-vaccination CAE is warranted. Quantification of the benefits of the second vaccination dose and vaccination in addition to natural immunity in this demographic may be indicated to minimize harm.


    Yeah no thanks, he can get it if he wants it when he's 18....



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    This analysis of your referenced report certianly checks out

    He described the analysis as “half-baked” with “data that will certainly be co-opted by the antivaccine movement.”

    Real data is different

    Also

    increased risk of myocarditis “is clustered around puberty and adolescence” in young men, which would mean a lower risk in children under 12.



  • Registered Users Posts: 224 ✭✭PicardWithHair


    So depends on what experts you want to trust, you trust the Sponsored by Pfizer guy ... fair enough.

    Look if you want to get the vaccine for your kids fair enough - I would never want to force them not to have it.

    The problem is I eventually will be forced to have them get the vaccine, from pressure by the school etc - for a vaccine that they do not need.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,117 ✭✭✭TaurenDruid


    Oh dear, looks like you've been caught out there. Maybe you just weren't aware of the subsequent articles? And I already pointed out to you that the previous page of this thread (57) contains links to at least three such studies, again all showing higher risk from COVID than from the vaccine.

    Also, your kid(s) can get jabbed at 16 without your permission, not 18. Although you live in Spain, so maybe the law is different there.



  • Registered Users Posts: 224 ✭✭PicardWithHair


    Ive only joined the discussion, well even if he wanted it at 13/14 I'd let him- if he made that choice himself , my nephew got it at 13 ... his choice he wanted to stop doing PCR tests ... poor kid, he has had to do about 4 since.



  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,297 ✭✭✭hometruths


    contains links to at least three such studies, again all showing higher risk from COVID than from the vaccine

    Are you talking about the post with two links to new reports criticising other studies? If so they are not research papers.

    Which is the most credible study you have seen showing the risk of myocarditis from covid infection is greater than vaccine? i.e one with "real data".



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,117 ✭✭✭TaurenDruid


    Sorry, yeah, I've got,

    * Myocarditis risks from Covid-19 vaccines are still less than the risks from Covid-19 - The risk of myocarditis has been found to be roughly 16 times higher in Covid-19 patients than in the uninfected. (Source: https://www.pharmaceutical-technology.com/comment/myocarditis-risks-covid-19-vaccines/ 1st December 2021)

    * Myocarditis (or pericarditis or myopericarditis) from primary COVID19 infection occurred at a rate as high as 450 per million in young males. Young males infected with the virus are up 6 times more likely to develop myocarditis as those who have received the vaccine. (Source: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.07.23.21260998v1 27 July 2021 - NB: paper not yet peer reviewed at time of publication)

    * Covid-19: Study that claimed boys are at increased risk of myocarditis after vaccination is deeply flawed, say critics (Source: https://www.bmj.com/content/374/bmj.n2251 14 September 2021).

    Good catch. My bad.



  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,297 ✭✭✭hometruths


    I assuming it is the medrxiv study that you consider "real data", and having read it, as far as I can see their data is real. In a nutshell, their conclusions are:

    The highest risk subgroup is 12-17 year old males, with 66.7 cases per million second doses and 9.8 per million first doses for a combined total of 76.5 cases per million vaccine recipients. Our results suggest that, even for this high-risk subgroup, the risk of myocarditis from COVID-19 infection is about 5.9 times as great, at a rate of 450 cases per million. 

    Fine, assuming this yet to be peer reviewed study is positively peer reviewed, then it seems reasonable to believe the data that the vaccination risk is 76.5 per million and the infection risk is 450 per million.

    But in the context of risk/benefit analysis for vaccinating a healthy 12 year old the above comparison is only helpful if you think infection is inevitable.

    Because once you vaccinate the child they are immediately exposed to the 76.5 cases per million risk. They will only be facing the 450 per million risk if they actually get COVID.

    The authors adjusted figures based on the assumption that 9.2% of the population contracted COVID between April 2020 and March 2021. If that % held for the 12-17 population, in order to compare like with like you need to factor in the fact that the 450 in million figure is nearly 10 times too high.

    Having considering that the risks look pretty even to slightly higher risk from vaccination.

    Personally, as a parent, it would not be a hard decision to make.

    Of course if omicron is 8 times or whatever more infectious than Delta, then you might think well infection is probably inevitable, and that risk/benefit might change in favour of the vaccine. But equally it might change against the vaccine if omicron is ten times less severe. Nobody knows.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,186 ✭✭✭patnor1011


    Most of self-taught virology and vaccine experts here only know copy/paste some studies. Very few of them actually understand what is in front of them. :)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 31,208 ✭✭✭✭Lumen


    I broadly agree with your treatment of numbers, but came to a different conclusion (as a parent of 12-17 year olds).

    The way I looked at it, the carditis risks were broadly of the same magnitude (factoring in probability of infection) but both tiny, so I largely discounted them and considered other factors, those being disruption to education and risk of infecting vulnerable relatives.

    To use an analogy, consider planning a family holiday. One factor is the risk of dying in a transport accident, but whilst the risks vary between transport modes, I don't make the decision on a destination based on how I'm getting there, because those risks are tiny.

    Of course the first law of analogies is that people who disagree with the broader point will pick holes in them as a distraction tactic, but whatever.

    There was also the more minor motivator of taking an active step, of fighting rather than hiding.

    In hindsight, I would do the same again. Despite that vaccinating teens hasn't done much to reduce cases in the wider community, my kids have had an entirely disruption-free year to date, something I partly attribute to the almost complete vaccination uptake in their secondary school. The same cannot be said by the primary school parents I know in this country, nor by relatives of less vaccinated teens I know in the UK.



  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,297 ✭✭✭hometruths


    And this is a good example of why a parent's choice should be respected. There is no right or wrong answer, but based on the available info, and what is relevant to your family circumstances, you've made a rational decision. Anybody who says definitively one or the other is correct, is talking nonsense!

    I actually agree with your transport analogy, and have used similiar in my thinking about my child - a 5 year old. i.e What is the point of vaccinating her against a disease when she has a statistically higher chance of ending up in ICU from a car accident than from COVID?

    Whilst you can argue that if the risks are from the vaccine are tiny why not just get it done anyway? My thinking is that whilst the known risks are tiny there remain potentially unknown longer term risks, and if the benefit is also tiny why expose her to an unknown risk?

    For example, a little over ten years ago, corners were cut in vaccine development in the interests of fighting a potential pandemic. Anthony Fauci said:

     “The track record for serious adverse events is very good. It’s very, very, very rare that you ever see anything that’s associated with the vaccine that’s a serious event,” he said.

    Four months earlier, the World Health Organization had declared H1N1 influenza a pandemic, and by October 2009 the new vaccines were being rolled out across the world. A similar story was playing out in the UK, with prominent organisations, including the Department of Health, British Medical Association, and Royal Colleges of General Practitioners, working hard to convince a reluctant NHS workforce to get vaccinated. “We fully support the swine flu vaccination programme … The vaccine has been thoroughly tested,” they declared in a joint statement.

    This was Pandemrix. Today it is accepted that it caused narcolepsy in children, and the same governments who promoted its use are paying out compensation to children, including Ireland.

    You see a lot of the same arguments today in favour of covid vaccines that were used in favour of Pandemrix in 2009.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,519 ✭✭✭✭lawred2




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,117 ✭✭✭TaurenDruid


    The authors adjusted figures based on the assumption that 9.2% of the population contracted COVID between April 2020 and March 2021. If that % held for the 12-17 population, in order to compare like with like you need to factor in the fact that the 450 in million figure is nearly 10 times too high.

    What's your basis for doing that? It's not the conclusion the researchers reached, which is, as you acknowledge, a rate of 450/million.

    Having considering that the risks look pretty even to slightly higher risk from vaccination.

    Except they're not:

    * Myocarditis risks from Covid-19 vaccines are still less than the risks from Covid-19 - The risk of myocarditis has been found to be roughly 16 times higher in Covid-19 patients than in the uninfected. (Source: https://www.pharmaceutical-technology.com/comment/myocarditis-risks-covid-19-vaccines/ 1st December 2021)

    * Covid-19: Study that claimed boys are at increased risk of myocarditis after vaccination is deeply flawed, say critics (Source: https://www.bmj.com/content/374/bmj.n2251 14 September 2021).



  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,297 ✭✭✭hometruths


    I think the point I was making went over your head. No worries. It's only important if you're considering vaccinating a 12-17 year which I presume you're not.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 188 ✭✭glut22


    BBC News - Covid vaccine should be offered to vulnerable five to 11-year-olds


    Interesting number needed to treat to prevent icu admission figures for vunerable and healthy 5-11 year olds



  • Registered Users Posts: 308 ✭✭harrylittle


    Is it a slip up in coversation or did he really mean it . its a pretty serius thing to say ?





  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,117 ✭✭✭TaurenDruid


    /facepalm.gif

    There's a conspiracy theory board. This isn't it.



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