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Irish Property Market chat II - *read mod note post #1 before posting*

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  • Registered Users Posts: 995 ✭✭✭iColdFusion


    Yeah unfortunately the reality is that public bodies are bad at delivering homes, their staff have no skin in the game, there are no profits to chase, no bonuses for early project completion, no chance of getting fired or promoted, long slow chains of council approval for each phase and if they design the houses themselves the council architects go out of their way to design something new, fresh and hard to build, the likes of Cairn and Glenveagh are far better at delivering homes because they specialise in it and are motivated to get them done.



  • Registered Users Posts: 29,300 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    more state involvement is truly the only way to solve this, but this will need to be done in conjunction with the private sector, as the state simply doesnt have the abilities to do it alone, but strict conditions will need to be attached such as 'no excess profits'



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,518 ✭✭✭wassie


    The NCH is not a comparative example. Typically new major hospital projects are never completed on time and on budget, typically because the built project is often not the same project that it started as which is what people don't get. Changes to incorporated medical technology (which runs at a higher level of inflation) and operational process changes can result in significant design changes throughout the life of the project, which invariably cost.

    @Timing belt is probably right. Once upon a time the state was a major investor in direct labour through training of apprentices, but now would have to openly compete in the market place. It is possible but would take time.



  • Registered Users Posts: 29,300 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    i think you d also be a little naïve to think, no one involved in the process knew it was originally under budgeted!



  • Registered Users Posts: 995 ✭✭✭iColdFusion


    I agree the government need to start building affordable homes but their track record on this is bad, maybe the LDA will do better




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  • Registered Users Posts: 311 ✭✭SmokyMo


    this is not entirely true. Most people who dealt with the likes of Cairn, Glenveagh  plus other similar developers will tell you, they don't care bout quality or design or whatever. Its all about using loopholes, maximizing profit, providing bare minimum to pass regulations and constantly cutting on quality. 



  • Registered Users Posts: 29,300 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    this wont be easy, it ll be fraught with all sorts of complications and failures, but its the only way out of it, such an approach is mutually beneficial now, it has to be done, and fast



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,603 ✭✭✭Villa05


    There have been multiple examples of housing delivered at a significant discount on market prices at various councils/ahb's throughout the country . Pool and finance the best performers, Focus on the high demand areas, build up supply. Rinse, repeat

    It this thread(s) has highlighted anything, it's that DCC is incapable of doing anything and are quite comfortable at outsourcing their responsibilities while collecting their pay cheques. Their CEO was saying on primetime that enhanced lease arrangements were saving them money, if this is the case why not get rid of their housing department if it's responsibilities are being outsourced, then we can save a bit more.

    Ref labour much of it was tied up on commercial projects over the last 6 years. One would imagine that WFH would reduce demand for a while here



  • Registered Users Posts: 18,504 ✭✭✭✭Bass Reeves


    The problem with the NCH was that Consultants and Professors had too much say in the location of the Hospital. People familiar with building and construction knew that it should have been a Greenfield site. However Consultants and Professors did not want it too far away from other hospitals or universities as it would limit there earning ability.

    There was absolutely no regard given to the feasibility of either site chosen. There is no room for a helicopter to land and a pad cannot be put on top of the building. 90% of people knew the sites were sh!the but the intelligencia knew better than the ordinary Plebs.

    LA's and the public service in general have shown themselves of being incapable of managing and construction projects.

    Slava Ukrainii



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,020 ✭✭✭MacronvFrugals


    I know a few lads who have been working on the NCH for a while, the carry on would make your toes curl. Sinking patios and junior people left to oversee foundations being layed without steel while the suits went for golf weekends, it all had to be pulled up and replaced.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 995 ✭✭✭iColdFusion


    Don't agree with that, have only had bare dealings with both of them but found them professional and straightforward to deal with, why would they be building to better than the building regulations and I haven't heard of many loopholes in the building regs these days?

    More importantly why should the tax payer be paying for social houses built to better than the building regulations, surely they should be as cheap and basic as possible?



  • Registered Users Posts: 29,300 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    makes sense to have some building standards higher than regs such as insulation etc, the longer the buildings last, the better it is for taxpayers, building cheap isnt always the best, as more money would be required to fix problems later, or if the buildings need replacing in the future, we have to stop thinking in the short to medium term, we also urgently need to expand public housing, along side social housing



  • Registered Users Posts: 995 ✭✭✭iColdFusion


    No really comparing like for like though if a council/AHB is getting free/cheap government land, part 8 planning, exemptions from planning fees, unlimited money tree with no finance payments, all their staff wages are paid for by government, etc. Its tax payer subsidies that allow them to be cheap whereas a property developer gets none of that and still has to hand over 10% Part V.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,262 ✭✭✭The Student


    Serious question. What about those who purchased their houses and can't afford to retrofit them to current regulations but social and public housing should have high levels of insulation, energy efficiency etc.

    The "squeezed middle" those who pay more into the system and are entitled to no supports.



  • Registered Users Posts: 29,300 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    absolutely, we have successfully set ourselves up to continually screw the squeezed middle, we have decided to effectively leave wealth untouched, but since tax needs to be paid, the default is always gonna be the middle, this is now an unsustainable situation, we have to start becoming radical, we have to engage in ideas such as perpetual deficits, and other methods of public funding, public banks etc, and we have to some how start taxing wealth, in all its forms, none of these will be easy, all fraught with problems, but....

    it makes perfect sense to create public and social housing to high standards, because if we continue as is, it will be ultimately up to the squeezed middle to foot the bill again, in the future, thats you and/or your kids! new buildings should be made to long out last the lives of the original occupants, by not doing so, it just pushes on the requirements to future generations, i.e. your kids and grandkids, it has to stop somewhere. we know how to do this, there has been incredible advancements in building tech and materials etc, we currently just dont have the will, but i suspect its in the post!



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,603 ✭✭✭Villa05


    No matter what the taxpayer is on the hook. Better to do it the cheapest way possible with the opportunity of having it revenue positive than forking out billions to to developers and investment funds.

    The increase in supply means better choice for private buyers as they are not competing with entities that would be meeting their own supply



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,173 ✭✭✭Marius34


    1) There would be no revenue.

    2) Private buyers would still compete with a limited amount of supplies.



  • Registered Users Posts: 995 ✭✭✭iColdFusion


    The reality is councils piss away 10's of thousands of euro and waste months sometimes years refurbishing council houses after long term tenants, so building them better makes no difference:

    The real question is why in a time of nearly full employment and a booming economy does the tax payer need to fund so much social housing, it seems like there are a lot of people who have chosen to limit their income and wait for a free house instead of working to buy their own, that can't go on forever when hard working couples are forced to pay through the nose for poor quality housing in the suburbs and commuting hours to work everyday, its the exact opposite of the fairness in society the bleeding hearts keeping going on about.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,262 ✭✭✭The Student


    But you have not answered my question of what about the people who purchased their houses who can't afford to bring them up to current regs that you want the council and public houses brought to.

    Yet again we the squeezed middle get left behind.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,262 ✭✭✭The Student


    I have to fully agree with this. I have seen second hand houses purchased by the state completely refurbished. I knew the daughter of the owner who passed away and they sold the house to the council and the council took the house apart putting in new kitchen, insulation and windows etc.

    The kitchen was less than a year old and was a beautiful kitchen that was just thrown in the skip. The house was insulated to within an inch of its life. The house got solar panels installed as well.

    I lived down the road from the house and I could not afford to do half of what was done. I don't understand why people in social housing should get all of this and I can't afford it. By all means make a property habitual but how do you think it makes me and others feel who purchased their houses and paying mortgages who can't afford to live in the comfort of those who in some instances don't even work.



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  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Computer Games Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 8,482 CMod ✭✭✭✭Sierra Oscar


    Bank of England just after raising interest rates from 0.1% to 0.25% and signalling further rises in the new year. So it begins ... interesting few months ahead.



  • Registered Users Posts: 8,239 ✭✭✭Pussyhands


    Say what you like about the Brits but at least they have the balls to make a first move, unlike the EU who just look at what the US do and follow them.

    But what the rise means is that all the talk that inflation is "transitory" is BS.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,501 ✭✭✭Timing belt


    They didn’t make the first move. The BOE didn’t have much of a choice but to not raise rates after US announcement yesterday. If they didn’t raise rates then strengthening dollar would just add to inflation in the UK.

    Likewise all emerging markets will do similar and raise rates despite their economy’s not being robust because they will have Issued USD debt.

    Interesting investors are now moving pilling into Real estate and Inflation linked bonds and commodities to hedge against inflation. This will result in upward pressure on housing prices.



  • Registered Users Posts: 8,239 ✭✭✭Pussyhands


    The UK increased rates immediately. The US announced plans for next year. The EU would never make such a move, they are happy to inflate away peoples earnings and savings. It's similar to our government desperate to keep people in jobs. It doesn't matter if the job is horrendously low pay, it's all about stats and people in jobs so they throw silly money at businesses and subsidize wages.



  • Registered Users Posts: 29,300 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    .....keep living in an alternative reality! what booming economy?

    who are these people, that are limiting their income?

    where are these free houses?

    come on lads, put your prejudices aside, and come into reality!

    again, absolutely, the default towards the middle will ultimately fail, including the current retrofit program, the expectation is for the middle class to take on the bulk of the debts required to do so, i wont happen, only some that are willing and able to will, i suspect the majority wont. in order to do so, a major state grant scheme will need to be implemented, this probably wont occur under the current government, but will have to be in future governments

    i suspect the process of raising rates will be stalled, if not back tracked upon, it ll certainly be very interesting to watch though



  • Registered Users Posts: 8,239 ✭✭✭Pussyhands


    Power of compounding is pretty mad. Apple took 43 years to reach 1T market cap. 10 months to add an extra trillion. They'll reach another trillion probably this month making it another 16 months.

    2 trillion added in 26 months.



  • Registered Users Posts: 29,300 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    ....and everyone has won from this, havent we!



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,262 ✭✭✭The Student


    Who will fund the "grant scheme".

    I am not political but I fear any of the left parties getting into power think that they can tax our way out of the situation. Thinking we can just tax the multinationals and expect them to just accept it is crazy.

    We are a small open economy who need foreign direct investment. If you make the business environment toxic they will leave Ireland. Look at Brexit as a case in point, it is an unmitigated disaster for the average person living in Britain. Empty shelves, fuel shortages etc. and Britain has a much bigger population than Ireland has.

    Working and better yourself is supposed to be the idea to lift you out of poverty and have a better life. While bother working for your whole life paying a mortgage and having a social tenant next door to you where the social tenant has more comfortable accommodation than you. Then to add "salt to the wound" the State then says when you die the State takes back a large chunk of your estate in taxes.

    The whole "Fair Deals" scheme is a prime example of this. Both patients get exactly the same treatment but it costs one more because they have assets and the other one does not.

    How exactly is that fair?



  • Registered Users Posts: 8,239 ✭✭✭Pussyhands




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  • Registered Users Posts: 3,501 ✭✭✭Timing belt


    The fed announcement of speeding up tapering is the equivalent to an interest rate hike.



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