Advertisement
If you have a new account but are having problems posting or verifying your account, please email us on hello@boards.ie for help. Thanks :)
Hello all! Please ensure that you are posting a new thread or question in the appropriate forum. The Feedback forum is overwhelmed with questions that are having to be moved elsewhere. If you need help to verify your account contact hello@boards.ie

FI Charts ( T120+ onwards) Winter 2021/2022 **READ MOD NOTE IN FIRST POST**

Options
1…1011131516…23

Comments

  • Options
    #362
    Tom_Crean
    Registered Users Posts: 203 ✭✭Tom_Crean


    GFS mild South Westerlies by day 10.



  • Options
    #363
    Danno
    Registered Users Posts: 8,913 ✭✭✭Danno



    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/118354208#Comment_118354208

    @Orion402 have a four-day early Christmas holiday from the weather forum to reflect and perhaps get more into the festive spirit instead. Thank you.



  • Options
    #364
    Tom_Crean
    Registered Users Posts: 203 ✭✭Tom_Crean


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/118354273#Comment_118354273

    I'm not best qualified to say but it seems to me any cold weather, snowfall coming will be St. Stephen's Day on. So we're right on the 5 day boundary 🙂

    Possible Christmas Day if big upgrades on the low pressure diving south.



  • Options
    #365
    Gonzo
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,878 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    Just going through all the GFS ensembles up to +204 hours and by Christmas Day we have had a bigger swing to mild. There are no ensemble members left brining proper cold or snow right down across Ireland but fast forward a few days and quite a few of the ensemble members are colder and more exciting than the GFS operational. There are some rather juicy looking charts tucked away inside many of them leading up to New Years Eve.

    Untitled Image
    Untitled Image
    Untitled Image




  • Options
    #366
    Dazler97
    Registered Users Posts: 2,497 ✭✭✭Dazler97


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/118354056#Comment_118354056

    I agree absolutely got nothing to do with weather, please can people who go against the rules be banned for 3 days



  • Advertisement
  • Options
    #367
    Gonzo
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,878 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    GFS 18z almost complete and compared to the 6z and 12z has seen a fairly big shift to cold between the 26th of December and New Years Day. The warming trend from 1st of January continues but depending on what happens over the next 5 days, this may also trend colder if luck goes our way. I can't see a trend back to cold for Christmas Day itself unless the low dives alot lower quicker than expected over the next 36 to 48 hours. Despite all the frustration of model watching over the past week we haven't had things this good in terms of eye candy at this time of the year in over a decade.



  • Options
    #368
    Donegal Ken
    Registered Users Posts: 427 ✭✭Donegal Ken


    06Z GFS model run keeps that milder air much further south just to the south of Ireland. Overall even with that colder air to the north it nothing great. Christmas day at this stage is settled and will be mild and turning a little colder on the 26th but nothing to get excited about.



  • Options
    #369
    Kermit.de.frog
    Registered Users Posts: 23,702 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/118355358#Comment_118355358

    That depends upon one's location.

    The 06z GFS operational run would bring some snowfall to southern areas. The control would bring more widespread snowfall Christmas night/26th for a time. There are changes to come yet and not enough convergence between the models to be sure about anything at this stage.

    Hopefully tonight might provide a clearer picture.



  • Options
    #370
    pauldry
    Registered Users Posts: 7,046 ✭✭✭pauldry


    With uncertainty there's hope.

    Last night yr.no had 41mm here Xmas day.

    Now 13mm.

    Temp also 4c colder.



  • Options
    #371
    Kermit.de.frog
    Registered Users Posts: 23,702 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    Untitled Image

    As you can see still plenty to be resolved, plenty of potential and the average temperature getting dragged down as we get closer and those last remaining mild outliers get eliminated.

    The biggest question is exactly where the frontal zones meet the cold air because some of us could get quite a bit of snow Christmas night/St Stephens Day depending on that.

    Still all to play for.



  • Advertisement
  • Options
    #372
    almostthere12
    Registered Users Posts: 280 ✭✭almostthere12


    The control run looks great on the GFS 06Z but just wondering do any of you have mass in this over the op?



  • Options
    #373
    Nabber
    Registered Users Posts: 2,855 ✭✭✭Nabber


    High pressure build up over Iceland would be nice, deflect some of the lows further south.



  • Options
    #374
    Gonzo
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,878 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    GFS 12z operational flirting with the idea of an easterly early in January.

    Untitled Image

    If this was to come off it would probably be mostly dry with some light snow showers possible in Leinster for a day or so. Atlantic tries to roll in after this.



  • Options
    #375
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 0 ✭ [Deleted User]


    Screenshot_20211221-195912_Twitter.jpg




  • Options
    #376
    PokeHerKing
    Registered Users Posts: 4,324 ✭✭✭PokeHerKing


    We've really managed to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory this week I feel. All that Northern blocking and nothing to show for it.



  • Options
    #377
    mcburns07
    Registered Users Posts: 2,044 ✭✭✭mcburns07


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/118358071#Comment_118358071

    Ah yes, those super reliable 8 day out charts :)



  • Options
    #378
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 0 ✭ [Deleted User]


    7 days really

    More likely than anything from the NE to be honest



  • Options
    #379
    Kermit.de.frog
    Registered Users Posts: 23,702 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/118358071#Comment_118358071

    Looking forward to the sulfur rain meself



  • Options
    #380
    pauldry
    Registered Users Posts: 7,046 ✭✭✭pauldry


    Think the dreams nearly dead. Time to get the brolly out and splash in puddles. At least we get 3 letters of "white" or all if you say "Hi Wet!"



  • Options
    #381
    Kermit.de.frog
    Registered Users Posts: 23,702 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    "Nearly dead"?

    Very dead.



  • Advertisement
  • Options
    #382
    sicknotexi
    Registered Users Posts: 1,064 ✭✭✭sicknotexi


    Thank feck my chase this year is over before Christmas. If it's going to snow I'll find out from the six one news from now on.



  • Options
    #383
    Kermit.de.frog
    Registered Users Posts: 23,702 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/118359432#Comment_118359432

    I'll start a thread, I promise! You'll know 4 weeks in advance.

    Don't leave us!😕

    No really don't, I spent the whole volcano thread talking to myself. They thought I was crazy like Gonzo 🤧



  • Options
    #384
    Rebelbrowser
    Registered Users Posts: 3,157 ✭✭✭Rebelbrowser


    Charts are depressing this morning. How do you get from this

    ECM0-72.gif

    To this

    ECM0-240.gif

    All that cold to our NW and yet it will be a ridiculously mild Christmas period. Jaysus but would 2021 just go and f@@# off for good now....

    I thought at worst a dry, cold Xmas period was locked in. Will look very stupid to a few friends I shared predictions with.....



  • Options
    #385
    Kermit.de.frog
    Registered Users Posts: 23,702 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


     Will look very stupid to a few friends I shared predictions with.....

    Untitled Image




  • Options
    #386
    nacho libre
    Registered Users Posts: 16,753 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre


    The weather models, the biggest trollers of them all, except for Icon. ECM charts are excellent for a New Year BBQ.

    I think it's time to take a break from model watching for a while.



  • Options
    #387
    nacho libre
    Registered Users Posts: 16,753 ✭✭✭✭nacho libre





  • Options
    #388
    Billcarson
    Registered Users Posts: 1,551 ✭✭✭Billcarson


    no snow, not even a frost ,happy Xmas 2021,happy new year 2022. All following on from one of the warmest autumns on record ....



  • Options
    #389
    Rebelbrowser
    Registered Users Posts: 3,157 ✭✭✭Rebelbrowser


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/118359474#Comment_118359474

    Are you saying I'm funny? Funny how? Do I amuse you...(etc)



  • Options
    #390
    Little snowy old me
    Registered Users Posts: 420 ✭✭Little snowy old me


    Disappointing for everyone on here yet again. Yet another dank mild Christmas Day. Unlikely to get even a slight frost. The winters are getting shorter and shorter and while many like and embrace that, I need a few cold wintry days.

    Happy Christmas one and all and hopefully mid/end January brings something decent.



  • Advertisement
  • Options
    #391
    icesnowfrost
    Registered Users Posts: 1,008 ✭✭✭icesnowfrost


    If this mornings chart was set in stone (it’s not ) for the rest of the month then cold lovers look away now. Horrible horrible horrible charts. Christmas Day cold is gone forget about that. The rest of the month seems to be no good either but at the same time I still feel the GFS hasn’t got a grip yet. Let’s see.



This discussion has been closed.
Advertisement