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Sweden avoiding lockdown

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  • Registered Users Posts: 8,426 ✭✭✭FintanMcluskey


    Why aren’t the Swedes out on the streets protesting about it? It’s because they don’t give a fcuk about Covid like the rest of us. They are simply living their lives while we collectively lose our minds.

    That's a very valid point.

    Those who have catastrophised Covid for almost 2 years now, actually think that the Swedes regret not having a lockdown!

    It's like a weird form of ironically named Stockholm syndrome.

    Restrictions are the ultimate example of sunk cost fallacies and doing something to be seen to be doing something.



  • Registered Users Posts: 29,099 ✭✭✭✭end of the road


    the conversation over covid and deaths has already happened, your side lost the argument because it could not deliver what was needed and would have caused preventable deaths for nothing.

    sweden's strategy was a complete failure by all metrics.

    ticking a box on a form does not make you of a religion.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,842 ✭✭✭Don't Chute!


    You, as usual have no idea what you’re talking about.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,108 ✭✭✭patnor1011


    Not even that. He actually think our "strategy" was better.

    You know that one where we shipped every old and vulnerable hospital patient to a nursing houses where quality of service and care is incomparable to the one they had at hospitals, basically to die there.



  • Registered Users Posts: 31,085 ✭✭✭✭Lumen


    Nursing homes is not the place you want to go to defend Sweden's COVID policy.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 15,151 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    I can see the rest of the Nordic countries looking at the deaths in Sweden and saying to themselves "If we had only followed their strategy our deaths would be so much lower".

    The irony Fintan is you do not seem to understand the meaning of Stockholm Syndrome. Sweden was taken hostage by Giesecke and his "boys" with a strategy that has been shown to be a failure on every verifiable metric. Thankfully for Sweden their local authorities as soon as they were able to put a stop to the insanity forced their government to sideline Tegnell and the rest of the "boys" in October 2020.



  • Registered Users Posts: 15,151 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    As Lumen already pointed out to you, Sweden and nursing homes is not the rock you want to find yourself on making a last attempt to defend Sweden`s acquired herd immunity strategy. We may not be a shining example on how we dealt with nursing homes initially, but at least we learned from it. In October 2020 while Tegnell was in denial of another wave he was recommending the relaxing of nursing home restrictions and was telling the aged and vulnerable it was safe to again mingle with the general population.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Why do you keep repeating this nonsense.

    Are Sweden hospitals crammed full of covid patients, is their hospital system in danger of collapsing, are Sweden following the Netherlands and Greece into lockdown.

    Now apart from repeating that Sweden lost more elderly people than their neighbours ,what other metric did they fail on.

    A relative of mine went to sweden in March this year and had a fanatastic Erasmus experience,everything was open, no masks in shops, no masks anywhere, no restrictions on movement, he left here at a time when he couldnt even go for a cycle on his own outside our 2km.

    What is Swedens healthcare system like, do their hospitals buckle every winter because of mismanagement of hospital resources, how many hospital beds/ICU beds do they have per head of population. Do get have good step down facilities for elderly people to be discharged to with good phsiotherapy or are elderly people left in hospital beds for weeks like here because they have nowhere to go. These elderly people break a hip,its repaired, there are two few physiotherapists so elderly person becomes bed bound, elderly person has cathetor inserted as its easier for staff and then elderly person goes to nursing home with bladder problems.

    So spare me anymore of your nonsense until you come back with a compare and contrast hospital system.

    The Oh, look, Sweden lost more very elderly and infirm people than Denmark is a bit tired by now.



  • Registered Users Posts: 15,151 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    As opposed to the unelected mouthpieces in Sweden, one of them not even a government appointee, whose masterplan was that Sweden would have herd immunity within a few months ?



  • Registered Users Posts: 15,151 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    You appear to believe that Sweden have a greater percentage of their population older than Denmark and that is an explanation for Sweden having more deaths. They don`t. Neither do they have a greater percentage older than the rest of the Nordic countries. Less in at least one actually.

    So if Sweden having multiple deaths of their neighbours is not due to the age of their populations, why had Sweden those multiple deaths while chasing herd immunity compared to the rest of the Scandinavian countries who were not. Was it because all the rest had better hospital facilities than Sweden ?



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  • Registered Users Posts: 187 ✭✭ShadowTech


    This entire thread can be divided into two completely diametrically opposed viewpoints based around whether one values quality or quantity of life more.

    Basically this:

    Sweden had more deaths than it’s neighbouring countries, therefore it failed! Not imposing a lockdown caused this which represents an immoral experiment on its citizens. The fact that restrictions were eventually imposed in Sweden proves that their approach failed. You can’t put a price on saving lives. You’re an idiot to disagree.

    v.s.

    Sweden applied the minimum set of restrictions required to protect their society as a whole. As such they had a higher death rate but a higher quality of life than their neighbours for most of the last two years. We’ve always accepted a certain amount of illness and death so we can have a functioning society which makes Sweden’s light-touch approach reasonable and desirable. Shutting down all of society is the immoral experiment! You’re an idiot to disagree!

    Honestly, you’re not even arguing about the same things half the time.

    Post edited by ShadowTech on


  • Registered Users Posts: 3,038 ✭✭✭Blut2


    To be fair theres also now the fairly definitive evidence that locking down doesn't equate to lower covid deaths. But the UK and Sweden are firmly middle of the road in covid deaths per capita. Sweden #16 lowest of #27, and the UK would be #11 if still in the EU. Despite being the two most open countries in the EU over the last two years by a mile.

    Ireland had the longest, strictest lockdown in Europe and is only #19th lowest out of #27. Despite also having the youngest population in the EU, and having the highest vaccine uptake - both of which statistically massively help.

    If lockdowns worked Ireland would be one of the lowest deaths per capita, and the UK and Sweden would be the highest. But thats not the case at all.



  • Registered Users Posts: 15,151 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    Back some time ago a poster attempted to make the same claim of definitive evidence that locking down didn`t equate to lower Covid deaths in 2020 by posting a report from The Economist on excess deaths. Problem was, the report showed the opposite.

    For that report The Economist looked at those deaths by region. Western Europe, Northern Europe, Central Europe, South-eastern Europe and Eastern Europe. They found that Covid became more severe as it moved eastward with countries in Northern Europe having much lower mortality rates, with some Nordic countries having experienced almost no excess deaths. "The exception is Sweden which imposed some of the continent`s least restrictive social-distancing measures during the first wave". Something the graphics on excess deaths clearly showed, as they did for Ireland and our neighbour in Western Europe, the U.K.




  • Registered Users Posts: 15,151 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    The title of the thread is Sweden avoiding lockdown. Not Ireland and lockdown. Although if you do compare both Ireland and Sweden with their respective neighbours "marginally" better is not the term that stands out when comparing lockdown restrictions to light touch lockdown restrictions.

    It is not as if we were the only country that cancelled surgeries and scan because of Covid. Every country has, including Sweden who recently did so again, for the simple reason it is not a great idea to have patients with Covid mingling with patients in hospitals for other procedures which in most cases would leave them highly susceptible to serious illness by contracting Covid.



  • Registered Users Posts: 31,085 ✭✭✭✭Lumen


    The impact on the health service (e.g. postponement of electives, delays in treatments) is due to COVID infections, not COVID restrictions.



  • Registered Users Posts: 8,298 ✭✭✭ceadaoin.


    I know from the experience of someone close to me that a mammogram can be fine one year and cancer the next, with no symptoms and no lump. Scary to think of all the missed diagnoses.



  • Registered Users Posts: 8,913 ✭✭✭Danno


    Spot on. While I agree with @charlie14 when they say "it is not a great idea to have patients with Covid mingling with patients in hospitals for other procedures which in most cases would leave them highly susceptible to serious illness by contracting Covid."

    It begs the question, why the fook didn't we have separate facilities for Covid infected? We had the Citywest hired at the cost of millions to the state. All Covid infected requiring hospitalisation should have been sent there (set up a few more Citywest facilities across the regions).

    We didn't move fast enough and kept believing that lockdowns would cause a drip-drip trickle through the existing hospital system which they thought they could manage. A fools errand that turned out to be.

    Now we're on the verge of a Omicron wave and what will our glorious HSE do in response this time? Nothing different I can assure you of that. They will get buried and after two years of non-planning and they (management) deserve to be pulverised for their incompetence.



  • Registered Users Posts: 30,604 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    This is utterly without foundation and nothing to do with lockdowns

    Please provide evidence that Sweden didnt see reduction in referrals and all other medical services continued uninterrupted. You wont.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users Posts: 15,151 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    Again you simply cannot continue as normal with screenings and other procedures during a pandemic caused by a highly transmissible virus like Covid. No country did.

    Not only would it put those you are attempting to help at high risk of infection, the staff would most likely not be available due to pressure on the system from the virus. That unfortunately will result in cancelations and postponements, but even if you did continue as normal with screenings, I don`t see that it would have made any great difference to the backlog.

    Dr. Noirin Russell, consultant obstetrician, gynaecologist and clinical senior lecturer at Cork University Hospital in October 2020 said that having restarted the cervical check programme in July 6 2020 of the 110,000 invitations they had issued for women to attend in that time period, only 12,000 had taken up the offer. General practice doctors were also reporting the same all over the country where the were finding that people who they would expect to attend their surgeries needing a referral were not doing so until on average a year later than they normally would.

    From that I believe it`s fair to surmise that it was not just the HSE that recognised the danger of proceeding as normal with screening services. People themselves did, and a large percentage were not going to attend anyway having made their own assessment of the risk



  • Registered Users Posts: 15,151 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    The reason we didn`t separate facilities for Covid infections is that we had neither the staff nor the facilities need to to deal with this pandemic if we did not take steps to try and control the spread. That is why we, like practically every other country, used lockdown.

    We could not just magic up the staff, equipment and facilities overnight. Citywest as far as I know was ever only an overflow facility to provide the bare bones of hospital care for those that needed it who were least effected, and even for that just this one overflow facility never dealt with large numbers.

    Hospitalisations were never the real problem of the health service being overrun. The real problem, as we saw from other countries was when ICU`s became overrun and the resulting rise in deaths. You cannot open up ICU`s around a country overnight. Not just due to the level of equipment required, they also require highly specialised staff to operate them.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 8,913 ✭✭✭Danno


    People who are in hospital without covid are there because they are already ill, introducing patients with covid into that situation is going to drastically increase the opportunity for cross-spreading. Already ill patients getting covid is a sure-fire way of filling up the ICU.

    When you say "Hospitalisations were never the real problem of the health service being overrun" you are actually making my point for me - they should have been segregated.



  • Registered Users Posts: 15,151 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    The only way of ensuring that those with Covid are kept seperate from those that are in hospital for other illnesses would be to have a Covid and a none Covid hospital in each area with both having ICU capacity. We have neither the facilities, equipment or staff to do that. No health system in the world has or are planning to have. Even if we had the facilities and equipment we still could not have done it as we were short on staff to operate what we had even before Covid.

    It would be the ideal solution, but even if we did go for that option with building, equipping, and staffing it would be years down the road before it would be possible.



  • Registered Users Posts: 30,604 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    This has nothing to do with lockdowns and nothing to do with Sweden.

    How am I wrong? Seems you are wrong on the double. You cant back up what you are saying and arent even on the right thread.

    I have no idea what point you are or are not making therefore.

    What services did Sweden shut down?

    Did that mean Sweden locked down?

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users Posts: 15,151 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    I have already shown where people were not turning up for cervical smear tests after the first lockdown. Out of 110,000 invites to attend only 12,000 turned up. If we had of actually had the staff to carry out checks during the first lockdown it would have been a waste of resources. The hospitals were quite during lockdown was because, (similar to the cervical smear checks when we were not in lockdown), people were not going to go anywhere near them unless they absolutely had too because of the risk of becoming infected.

    The only way we are going to get back to normal, or near normal, is through a reduction in numbers for those hospitalised and in ICU for two reasons. One we do not have the staff to do both, and secondly even if we did, people would not turn up for appointments



  • Registered Users Posts: 15,151 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    New resources would mean not just more beds, it would mean buildings to house them plus all the equipment required in both wards and ICU`s.

    That would take years to put in place, and as to the staffing levels required, we have been looking for nurses for years now and cannot get them so their hardly going to magically appear when everything is ready years from now.

    If people really want to get the numbers in hospital and ICU down then get vaccinated, rather than having the 7% who have refused to do so taking up a greatly disproportionate number of beds in both.



  • Registered Users Posts: 15,151 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    Apologies. I missed this post earlier.

    At the outset there were only two plans being proposed on how to deal with this pandemic, and only one of them had a Plan B.

    One was lockdown for two reasons. One to mitigate the spread of infections and deaths, and two to prevent healthcare systems from being over-run causing even more deaths. The second perfectly understandable imo when the world was seeing what was happening in Lombardy Italy when their healthcare system was over-run.

    The other was an attempt to go straight to semi-normal/modified behaviour anticipating that herd immunity could be achieved through infection. Initially both Sweden and the U.K adopted this approach but with rising deaths both were forced to abandon it. Sweden much much later than they should have imo as they knew from early on from their own antibody test results it was not achievable.

    The difference when it came to Plan B is that lockdown had one, minimise the spread until vaccines were developed, while the herd immunity strategy did not and just ended up like everywhere else putting their faith in vaccines as a way out of this pandemic. All going straight to semi-normal/modified behaviour achieved was needless deaths which are easily seen when compared to their neighbouring countries who used lockdown.



  • Registered Users Posts: 365 ✭✭francogarbanzo


    I don't know how many times it needs to be pointed out that Sweden and the UK were not "forced" to abandon their strategy in any way except politically.



  • Registered Users Posts: 16,711 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    Politically by whom? I mean, no country is forced to do anything any particular way except by the people within that country, Boris could have rode out low opinion polls for a few years before election if so wished if the other tories would get behind him and not bring down the government.



  • Registered Users Posts: 15,151 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    I don`t know how many times it has to be pointed out that it was the regional health authorities in Sweden that finally got the government to recognise as soon as they got back the power to make their own regional decisions the madness for what it was. Antibody tests had shown herd immunity was not possible, yet Tegnell was in denial of the second wave in October and was planning to reduce restrictions on care homes, was telling the elderly and vulnerable it was safe to again mingle with the general population and was planning to increase numbers at public events.

    What the Local health authorities "forced" the politicians to finally do was to do what they were elected to do. Govern for the good of their population rather than stand back hoping to keep their hands clean by delegating total responsibility to unelected officials when their whole strategy blew up in their faces.

    The U.K. with rising deaths and seeing the same antibody test results had no other options either, but at least they saw that earlier than Sweden. Along with the fact that the U.K. was becoming even more devolved with the other regional devolved governments increasingly questioning the strategy.

    We can easily see, when compared to neighbouring countries the needless deaths this herd immunity strategy of both Sweden and the U.K caused, but you appear to believe it was somehow working and should have been continued. I assume you have some data to back that or is just some vague ideas in your own head ?



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  • Registered Users Posts: 8,298 ✭✭✭ceadaoin.


    Why do people keep saying Sweden had a load of extra deaths? They didn't. Yes, 2020 was more than the previous few years, but around the same as 2011 and 2012 and certainly not the highest ever. 2021 saw one of the lowest numbers of deaths on record. People are in denial





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