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Relaxation of Restrictions, Part XII *Read OP For Mod Warnings*

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  • Registered Users Posts: 16,902 ✭✭✭✭nullzero
    °°°°°


    If we look at influenza in relation to Covid, the last influenza pandemic (Spanish flu) killed approximately (and this is a conservative estimate) 50 million people worldwide. Covid has killed about 5.6 million people worldwide in the same time frame (two years).

    Yes the two pandemics occured a century apart and improvements in hygiene and lockdowns etc play a part in the difference in death tolls but influenza is not a trifling illness.

    To suggest that people who contract Omicron and have mild to no symptoms are dealing with a more debilitating illness than a bad case of flu is ridiculous and not based in fact.

    Glazers Out!



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,905 ✭✭✭Dickie10


    can anyone see full houses for any ireland rugby games in feb or march? surely they wont row restrictions back that quickly. i presume big concerts will be limited in april too such as ed sheeran? hes in cork and dublin in late april , but again hard to see more than 10000 allowed into these



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,905 ✭✭✭Dickie10





  • Registered Users Posts: 29,073 ✭✭✭✭end of the road



    he is incorrect, as gove's claim is actually correct (and that is from someone who can't stand the chap) the virus doesn't discriminate on who it effects, and it doesn't discriminate as to how minimal or hard it will effect somebody.

    some people will be at more and others at less risk from it but less risk is not no risk and there are no guarantees.

    when covid kicked off in itally understandably people were nervous given what was being witnessed, and quite rightly public health measures were taken straight away to thankfully avoid a similar situation happening in other countries, and it would have had but for public health measures.

    no politician was going to say it only effects a minority of the populatiion because it would be untrue, because even among those of us at less risk of it, there were no guarantees against serious effects and politicians had an obligation to be truthful about the situation and as well as that, it isn't as serious as it could have been again due to the already mentioned public health measures.

    nphet haven't conned, terrorised or brainwashed anyone, it is the loons spreading misinformation and conspiracy theories and denialist mumbojumbo who have attempted to do so, and while they succeeded with a minority and that is worrying, they ultimately failed with the majority.

    you lost, get over it, the majority don't and never will buy what you are selling.

    ticking a box on a form does not make you of a religion.



  • Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 14,117 Mod ✭✭✭✭pc7


    Due to go to Paris for the 6n dickie, seems a disaster over there at the minute, can’t see it happening (again!). Was due to go in 2020 just as it all was kicking off so didn’t go.



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  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    That really is an astonishing article (but a welcome one as well). That shameless rag, along with the shameless rags in Ireland, has spent close to two years pumping out fear and scaring people. Now it appears to have decided that the GBD approach was the correct one, while of course refusing to say so (as you say, the author says the GBD approach was the wrong, but then advocates the GBD approach in the next paragraph). Owen Jones wrote a similar article a week or so ago: Public support for lockdown measures is disintegrating - a new approach is needed | Owen Jones | The Guardian


    Lionel Shriver wrote an excellent article in May of 2020 about safety-ism. This is my favourite bit from the article:


    "With safety as a prime directive, Sir Ernest Shackleton would never have come anywhere near the South Pole, because he might have got cold. David Livingstone would have found Victoria Falls only in order to wash his hands in it. Sir Francis Drake could never have set sail, because rubberised non-slip decking had yet to be invented. Winston Churchill would certainly not have sanctioned Dunkirk, because someone might have got hurt. Given how popular this domestic pastime has proved during lockdown, Sir Ranulph Fiennes would surely have spurned Mount Everest for the staircase in his house — after taking a course in proper stair-climbing technique from his local council, donning knee pads and a crash helmet, and stopping for frequent water breaks to remain hydrated."


    Is living without risk really living at all? | The Spectator



  • Registered Users Posts: 13,875 ✭✭✭✭Zebra3


    “You lost”? What exactly did I lose? You think this is a game?

    The virus may pose a minute risk to lot of the population, but what has been done to those sections of the population would be as insane as calling for lockdown cos of the numbers dying in traffic incidents.

    All public health advice should be given in proportion. Sure we could all catch AIDS or HIV if we had sex so it’s like telling people never to have sex because something unhealthy may happen to you. Wonder what that would do for humanity.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,639 ✭✭✭completedit


    Too many boomers and too many people living into old age set the tone for the pandemic. It was a horrible cocktail of mass panic in the age of Whats App and Social Media and the number of elderly who use these platforms. Anecdotal stories became widely spread, overweight 30 year old's dying became reasons why we should all fear this 'deadly virus', testimonies from hypochondriacs and those unfortunate enough to get a bad reaction to the virus spread as fast as the virus itself.

    History will remember the reaction to the pandemic, not the virus. That will be how this virus differs from those in the past.



  • Registered Users Posts: 12,033 ✭✭✭✭Richard Hillman


    Unlikely. The IRFU and their players have been very on-message with the NPHET Government. Not just keeping their mouths shut but giving them Uber support.

    They'll be back in front of sparsely populated stadiums and will of course be standing 2 meters away from each other for the anthem's, despite the fact that they've been sharing a dressing room with each other and are about to go into rucks and scrums a few minutes later.

    I have always been fond of rugby but I'll be listing them as collaborators.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,890 ✭✭✭dominatinMC


    Maybe I'm just a hopeless optimist, but I can. We're being told this will be a short, but sharp, wave of infections. Going by SA data, it should be over by end of January. But the unknown is the effect on the hospitals. If they come out of this wave relatively unscathed (again judging by latest data, numbers are increasing but not in the same manner as previous waves), I think we will remove restrictions a lot quicker than before. Even Leo has been "kite flying" in relation to this. Keep the faith.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 18,478 ✭✭✭✭bucketybuck


    What he is discussing was always my suggestion for this pandemic, to focus resources on identifying and protecting the known vulnerable rather than wasting money having perfectly healthy people locked up.

    Whats interesting is that it still isn't being done, despite it being more relevant than ever. If Omincron is as mild as all evidence suggests then the very best thing we could do is ringfence those vulnerable and let this mild version circulate as much as possible.

    That would take strong leadership though, so we will muddle on with white elephant covid theatre just like we always do.



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,465 ✭✭✭robbiezero


    You lost mate, The Government is no longer going to lock down the country to keep your oily hide safe. Restrictions are a waste of time against this variant, even the few we have are useless



  • Registered Users Posts: 15,110 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    As I said earlier, this strain does appear to be milder, but to generalise Covid as just being similar to the flu is to disregard a few realities.

    2017 the USA had an estimated 80,000 fatalities due to flu. That was the highest number of fatalities for any of the preceding 40 years. In less than 2 years the USA has had 847,000 Covid fatalities. In context almost 200,000 more fatalities than suffered by the entire USA armed forces in total since the American Revolutionary Wars of 1775.



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,695 ✭✭✭Chivito550


    Latest CSO figures

    0-44 age group:

    66 deaths from 427,764 cases = 0.01% death rate

    45-64 age group

    473 deaths from 137,083 cases = 0.3% death rate

    65-79 age group

    1,710 deaths from 40,596 cases = 4.2% death rate

    80+ age group

    3,267 deaths from 16,853 cases = 19.4% death rate

    And that's without looking at underlying conditions, existing illnesses and obesity.

    Looks like the virus discriminates very heavily in fact.

    Stop spreading misinformation. The only one who has "lost" here is you.



  • Registered Users Posts: 8,270 ✭✭✭ceadaoin.


    And if covid deaths were reported in the same way as flu ones, the number would be a lot lower and probably similar to a bad flu year. No one who dies in a car accident or shooting and who also happens to have the flu would ever be recorded as a flu death




  • Registered Users Posts: 849 ✭✭✭MilkyToast


    Covid absolutely does discriminate, and very heavily so, mostly by age but also by health status. You are many thousands of times more likely to die from Covid as a 96-year-old with hypertension, diabetes and asthma than you are as a healthy eight-year-old.

    "No risk" doesn't exist. People die of complications from the common cold every year.

    When Covid kicked off in Italy, news media dragged their cameras through an ICU for some tragedy porn. It was disgusting, and anyone who has had the professional need or personal misfortune to spend time in an ICU knows that they are miserable places to be on any day of the week. They are usually, even through the pandemic, more full with people who have suffered strokes, heart attacks and other incredibly common and deadly ailments. But the cameras are never dragged through for those so I guess they don't exist.

    It should be noted that at the time that the cameras were dragged through the ICU in Lombardy, the doctors there were killing people with early intubation protocols imported from authoritarian, genocidal communist hell hole, China.

    Michael Gove lied, just as you are lying right now with purpose and malice, and people are finally seeing through it on a mass scale.

    “Of all tyrannies, a tyranny sincerely exercised for the good of its victims may be the most oppressive. It would be better to live under robber barons than under omnipotent moral busybodies. The robber baron's cruelty may sometimes sleep, his cupidity may at some point be satiated; but those who torment us for our own good will torment us without end for they do so with the approval of their own conscience." ~C.S. Lewis



  • Registered Users Posts: 29,073 ✭✭✭✭end of the road


    the media in ireland has not pumped out any fear or nor have they scared the majority of people, probably nobody even.

    the barrington declaration was fully debunked so apart from the couple of countries which didn't bother with any public health measures it was never going to be implemented as like all of the other non-workable theories it was never going to deliver the objectives needed.

    some now changing tac and deciding it would have been the correct approach doesn't ultimately change the facts about it's debunking and it's non-workability.

    ticking a box on a form does not make you of a religion.



  • Registered Users Posts: 849 ✭✭✭MilkyToast


    The media in Ireland has pumped out fear. It's why they switched to reporting cases when deaths and hospitalisations fell drastically.

    The Great Barrington Declaration has not in any way been debunked, and any dribbling idiot who thinks it has will see it positively re-bunked as the collateral damage of lockdowns makes itself known over coming years.

    “Of all tyrannies, a tyranny sincerely exercised for the good of its victims may be the most oppressive. It would be better to live under robber barons than under omnipotent moral busybodies. The robber baron's cruelty may sometimes sleep, his cupidity may at some point be satiated; but those who torment us for our own good will torment us without end for they do so with the approval of their own conscience." ~C.S. Lewis



  • Registered Users Posts: 29,073 ✭✭✭✭end of the road



    what has been done to limit the spread of this virus has been necessary and unavoidable, that is just the fact.

    your attempts to try and bring traffic accidents into this discussion again fail just like the other times you tried it in similar tack, because traffic accidents are accidents and they arent a virus that spread, they also generally stay in the effected area.

    the public health advice was given in proportion to everything, aids is not a valid comparison either as there is advice and other attempts to try and prevent catching it in place.

    so yes, you have no argument against the approach taken by most countries and your attempts to compare it to other illnesses or road accidents just don't work no matter how much you try and shoehorn them in.

    Post edited by end of the road on

    ticking a box on a form does not make you of a religion.



  • Registered Users Posts: 15,110 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    I would doubt that very much.

    The highest estimated flu fatalities for the USA in over 40 years for a single year is 80,000. The average Covid yearly fatalities to date are 484,000. Over 6 times greater.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,226 ✭✭✭Valhallapt


    The CSO did a study on underlying conditions and found that 80% had a previously diagnosed underlying condition. The remaining 20% either didn’t have an underlying condition or hadn’t been diagnosed with it prior to death.



  • Registered Users Posts: 38,348 ✭✭✭✭PTH2009


    Going to be some disaster for the Entertainment industry if we have a repeat of 2021 with things allowed go ahead but at limited capacity.

    Don't be surprised if were once again seeing full stadiums and Arenas all over Europe/UK with us still limited



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    At this stage, I personally think that we’ve just got to live with it. The early stages caught the most fragile and most current cases seem to be very mild. No worse than a bad head cold. It’s up to us all what risks we take. Vaccinate, not vaccinated. Go to pub/concert/restaurant or not.



  • Registered Users Posts: 29,073 ✭✭✭✭end of the road


    it is not being done because it doesn't work, you know this, this has already been explained to you and others multiple times.

    you can only protect the vulnerable and the systems of the country by minimizing virus spread.

    the vulnerable doing whatever while the rest of us run around the place spreading the virus equals high virus in the community meaning greater risk to those shielding from those assisting them.

    it also means a hell of a lot more out of work at a time meaning knock on effects to services.

    even with this strain a lot more are out of work isolating because we need to keep the show on the road some bit and having those staff in work means more staff get it meaning less work gets done if some staff end up taking time out because it is a bit severe on them then they expected.

    the strategy we took was the only workable one and it has kept the necessary stuff operating and that i am afraid is the priority throughout this.

    ticking a box on a form does not make you of a religion.



  • Registered Users Posts: 38,348 ✭✭✭✭PTH2009


    NPHET /HSE wont allow us live with it because it will highlight how bad our health service is



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,583 ✭✭✭Penfailed


    Hahaha! This thread has some golden moments. The IRFU are collaborators is a classic of the genre.

    Gigs '24 - Ben Ottewell and Ian Ball (Gomez), The Jesus & Mary Chain, The Smashing Pumpkins/Weezer, Pearl Jam, Green Day, Stendhal Festival, Forest Fest, Electric Picnic, Ride, PJ Harvey, Pixies, Public Service Broadcasting, Therapy?, IDLES(x2)



  • Registered Users Posts: 29,073 ✭✭✭✭end of the road


    i haven't lost anything, nor have i called for the government to lock down either as we seem to be able to avoid it now at least for the moment.

    actually the minimal restrictions we have are helping, this strain is more transmissible certainly and seems to have less effects then others however the other strains haven't gone away completely it is just that this one is the dominant one.

    minimal restrictions slow down the spread meaning we can keep the show on the road.

    ticking a box on a form does not make you of a religion.



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,649 ✭✭✭Floppybits


    And that's it in a nutshell and the main reason why the government wouldn't open up fully in the summer. Sure even in the summer I remember someone from the HSE on the radio saying A&E was busy but not with covid but with people out enjoying the outdoors and asked people to be careful.😀 Until the government get the finger out and tackle the healthservice and make it fit for purpose they will be slow to lift restrictions. Even going forward I can see government introducing restrictions in winter once the healthservice get overwhelmed.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    I’m only too aware of how faulty our health service is. Changes need be made. Starting with medical card holders (Yes, I’m one). A nominal charge per doctors visit, be it €5 or €10, followed by a charge for A&E (unless referred by doctor) of, say, €25, would focus a lot of minds. I really think that so many are taking the pee. This is from personal observation while an emergency patient a number of years ago.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 29,073 ✭✭✭✭end of the road



    it is you who is actually in a sense spreading a form of misinformation as you are posting a response that is not actually responding to the post i actually wrote as you are deliberately misinterpreting what was written.

    ticking a box on a form does not make you of a religion.



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