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Ireland's defensive frailty exposed by Russian exercise

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  • Registered Users Posts: 68,317 ✭✭✭✭seamus


    What will a couple of hi-tech ships and radars "fix"?



  • Registered Users Posts: 322 ✭✭Astartes


    Oh no the Russians...



  • Registered Users Posts: 68,317 ✭✭✭✭seamus


    No, that's all a bit south of the planned area. There are no cables really coming into the south-west, it's weird. I think it's cheaper to go around land them in Dublin than try to build a strong backbone from Cork/Kerry across the country.

    This is sabre-rattling from the Russians. The perfect spot to piss off both the EU and the Americans.



  • Registered Users Posts: 971 ✭✭✭bob mcbob


    They don't have to.

    in case it has missed your attention, Ireland is currently in the process of moving towards renewable energy. This will mean that Ireland will be very dependent on wind turbines in the Atlantic for power, heating light, etc. Who would stop hostile nations, terrorists, etc from crippling Ireland by taking these turbines out?



  • Posts: 5,121 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    That's about 7,000,000,000 EUR per year?

    We'd want to be deploying our own aircraft carriers and nukes for that sort of money.

    Would every working person be happy to pay 3,000 more in tax per year to fund it?



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  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    It would give us the ability to protect the country and being able to monitor foreign military vessels , Fisheries and drug smuggling...

    Lets keep giving people something for nothing and say aren't we great.


    Look at the swiss neutral country and yet one of largest weapons exporters in the world ,worth 100s of billions imagine if we could do similar we could offset the cost of military spending and still be able to fund other services



  • Posts: 0 Bobby Shy Swinger


    no, but the fact is we’d never even see them coming if they choose to body us.

    we can’t even see the threats coming, never mind defend against them. That’s the problem tho, we can’t see them before it’s too late.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,108 ✭✭✭CGI_Livia_Soprano
    Holding tyrants to the fire




  • Posts: 0 Bobby Shy Swinger


    The long and the short of it is this.....what would be the point of investing in all this hi-tech defence equipment? Every other EU state around us and the UK has all this equipment to beat the band, and then some, so why would why bother squandering money on it when we can just piggy back on the back of them.

    mortified to think this is how people view our defence capabilities.



  • Registered Users Posts: 8,588 ✭✭✭lawrencesummers


    all this talk of increasing our defense capabilities is akin to an U8 hurling team with 12 players wanting to get a S&C coach so they can take on Limerick.


    If any modern army decides it wants to drive its tanks up grafton street then we wont be stopping them anytime soon



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  • Registered Users Posts: 8,426 ✭✭✭FintanMcluskey


    100%

    Absolute bolloxoligy to think we can afford investment and training in our defense forces at the scale required.

    And if we did have the money, where the **** will we find defense force personnel?

    We are told we couldn't increase ICU capacity in 2 years because of the training, infrastructure and personnel requirements, so I'm sure the defense force requirements are no different.



  • Registered Users Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2


    It's pretty much our defence policy for the past 50 odd years.

    The only reason we can retain defence forces members in any numbers is the financial carrot of tours in Golan or Lebanon which is bankrolled by the UN. Essentially our defence is cross-subsidised by everyone else and we cross our fingers that everyone will be sound to us in case anything seriously bad happens to the European security picture.



  • Registered Users Posts: 8,426 ✭✭✭FintanMcluskey


    Utter rubbish.

    We are one of the most heavily indebted nations in the world. 3rd I think.

    The only people who would think we are one of the richest are people who have no idea about the GDP problem in Ireland



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,108 ✭✭✭CGI_Livia_Soprano
    Holding tyrants to the fire


    A 12-boy u8 hurling team is more likely to play, and beat, Limerick than we see any tanks rolling down Grafton Street.

    The same goes for anyone bombing our entire power and telecommunications infrastructures too. Like I said, that's the stuff of Tom Clancy novels/Michael Bay movies. Some of the lads in here need to wake up and put down their Die Hard 4.0 DVDs.



  • Posts: 5,121 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    I'd be happy to pay for refugees if needed.

    How would Irish fighter jets or patrol aircraft deter Putin in invading Ukraine in any way?

    What is the link between the two?



  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 91,836 Mod ✭✭✭✭Capt'n Midnight


    The exercises are in international waters. So AFAIK we have no legal basis to interfere with them anymore than we'd have with NATO exercises in the same area.

    We currently spend €1 billion on defence. And most of that is on wages. And we'd need to spend some cash to improve morale and headcount before we start on new kit.

    Back in the 1950's the Brits reckoned the best way to deal with Russian warships was a low level attack by land based aircraft. There's a Buccaneer out in Weston airfield. More realistically we could use long range surveillance drones in future.



  • Registered Users Posts: 68,317 ✭✭✭✭seamus


    Investment in renewables is arguably a form of defence spending as it massively decentralises your grid.

    If someone wanted to cripple our power supply now, two well-placed blasts at Moneypoint and Aghada, not to mention damage to the Corrib pipe, could leave us with rolling blackouts for months. And wouldn't require many people to carry out.

    By contrast if you sent a gunship up the Atlantic coast to start opening fire on Wind turbines, you'd be barely halfway through your first field before US, UK & EU forces were on top of you. And Ireland's grid could cope with that loss



  • Posts: 533 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    That location is, hardly coincidentally, also full of transatlantic fibres terminating mostly in the SW of England and NW France, but it’s the biggest group of fibres linking the US and Europe.

    I'm beginning to wonder are they planning to do something like damage cables while launching an invasion of Ukraine. It would be an enormous distraction if the internet suddenly jolted to a crawl and all sorts of services were disrupted.

    The other side of it is the EU and others would place absolutely crippling long term sanctions on Russia for pulling a stunt like that, but I’m just wondering if this could be more significant than a little bit of testing…

    This hybrid warfare stuff could get weird. I mean they’re not exactly shy of doing cyber attacks. Something like that wouldn’t be inconceivable.



  • Registered Users Posts: 8,588 ✭✭✭lawrencesummers


    The point is how far behind in resources the irish military capability is, and even significant investment wouldn't bring it up to anything worthwhile.

    The recent article about spending on charters for long haul flights because of not having a capable airceaft tells us everything you need to know.

    The u8 hurling team with aspirations of beating limerick doesnt even have hurleys.



  • Posts: 1,169 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    I gotta say. All this war games chat is so much better than covid chat 😂



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  • Registered Users Posts: 5,634 ✭✭✭CalamariFritti


    I dont think so Kermit. I think the real 'issue' is money and sense. As in having sense.

    A country like Ireland just needs a token force to keep potential marauders and pirates out. And thats what we got.

    After that ask yourself the question what are the possible scenarios for an armed conflict?

    A country we could actually fend off sizewise is not going to attack us randomly. Like Portugal or Cuba or whatever. If we ever were going to be attacked it would be one of the big guns during what would probably be an all out war. So a) is not going to happen and b) well how big a force would you need to bloody the nose of a big gun? More than we can afford for sure. And what would the point of it be? Anyone who defends themselves too well usually has the sh1t bombed out of their population. Its a no win situation.

    It just doesnt make sense. We'd be just lining more defence industry pockets with tax payers money that could go towards constructive things.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,108 ✭✭✭CGI_Livia_Soprano
    Holding tyrants to the fire


    Yeah and Limerick aren't going to be playing any u8 teams anytime soon anyway.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,626 ✭✭✭rock22


    All the tension has been caused by NATO reneging on a commitment given to Russia not to encircle it with NATO weapons and countries. Perhaps we should start with asking for the disburdenment of NATO. It's raison d'etre is surely expired.



  • Posts: 533 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Well, we do seem to imagine we are still the strategically and economically irrelevance we were in the mid 20th century. A lot has changed, particularly as we’ve become a significant financial hub, IT centre, host some very high tech manufacturing (pharma, very cutting edge biotech/biopharma and on the electronics side notably Intel) and we’re a huge data host for very important regional and even global internet services.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,108 ✭✭✭CGI_Livia_Soprano
    Holding tyrants to the fire


    That's why people are getting the horn in here about the Russian military exercises. You're more likely to see the Queen of England's tits than see Ireland get invaded by any foreign powers.



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling




  • Posts: 533 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    You don’t have to invade Ireland to cause chaos, you have to snip about 10 cables and we’re offline and major global operations of mostly US companies are badly disrupted.

    That is our vulnerability. Not being actually invaded. That would be fairly pointless.



  • Registered Users Posts: 6,906 ✭✭✭ebbsy




  • Registered Users Posts: 68,317 ✭✭✭✭seamus


    The cables are much deeper and better shielded than most of us can imagine. As they get closer to the shoreline, they switch to much thicker shielding to protect against impacts from ships and other such fun.

    It's not really a case that a couple of depth charges from a Russian boat could kill them. They're tougher than that. They could of course have specialist equipment and teams, but at that location these cables are 1-4km below the surface. So you're not talking just a couple of lads in wet suits with blowtorches.



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  • Posts: 0 Bobby Shy Swinger


    No one said we’re going to be invaded, but the fact of the matter is we couldn’t stop it— or even see it coming before it was too late.

    the long and short of it is at the moment, Russia doesn’t even have to ask for our input on this and all we can do is ask them to stop. Jesus, we’re like fcuking Apu when Homer was eating all his krusty club bars for the golden ticket.


    *russia launching missiles in our seas*

    hey! Hey! Hey!! I have asked you nicely to stop testing missiles in my waters! You leave me no choice but to ask you nicely again!



    reckon I’d make a fine meme of this mind.



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