Black Monday 2022 - NFL Coaching Carousel

In Chicago, Matt Nagy is almost certainly gone.

I don't see Pace continuing as GM myself but it's still possible. He could also be "promoted" to a role like head of football ops/president. The McCaskeys really like him and he's had a big input in off the field stuff like the redevelopment of Halas Hall.

Dream pairing for me would be Harbaugh & Fangio. Both have history with Chicago and the Bears drafted Harbaugh in the 1st round back in the 80s.

And Nagy is now officially gone.

Flores will get another job quickly I'd say

I'd be alright with Flores in Chicago. Not sure how they'll go about hiring a coach, presume any good gm would want to be in the decision making process, so that could slow them down. Or they'll just hire a terrible GM following standard operating procedure.

The Broncos are casting a wide net - the one person I am surprised is not on their interview list so far is Dennis Allen (who was done over with the Raiders in his first stint as HC).

I expect that Dan Quinn is the favourite - he has history with Paton (they were poised to become a HC/GM combo with the Bears in 2015 but Paton chose to stay in Minnesota and Quinn went on to take the job in Atlanta).

If Quinn gets it - look for the Broncos to bring in an OC from the Shanahan/Kubiak tree - possibly Klint Kubiak now that Zimmer has been sacked by the Vikings - or Mike McDaniel who is OC in SF in name only.

Had to be done really

He showed no progress this year

If I am not mistaken he has one interview so far for a HC job - Miami - he may get another one or two but if he does it is likely to sound him out as an OC (technically as an Assistant HC).

The problem for McDaniel is that he is OC in SF in name only - Shanahan does the game planning and calls the plays. He is in a similar situation as Bieniemy in KC and Leftwich in TB - OC in name only and it is part of the reason that Bieniemy hasn't got a HC gig yet despite being touted as a potential HC for the past couple of years. It should also be remembered that McDaniel started his coaching career in Denver - then spent three years in Houston with Gary Kubiak before joining Mike Shanahan in Washington - and then spent time with Dan Quinn in Atlanta behind Kyle Shanahan. Now - McDaniel might decide to stay in SF with Shanahan - but he does have strong connections with Denver, has connections with the HC candidate who will likely get the job and would be the play-caller on offence in Denver if he was to take the job (with the prospect of having Wilson as his QB).

You are also inaccurate about Devner making OCs sacrificial - you mention Scangs who was sacked after one season - that was Fangio's decision because there was a clear personality clash (and the Scangs hiring was an after-thought - Kubiak was supposed to return as OC but he wanted Dennison as OL coach and Elway had already hired Munchak). The reality is that the opposite has been the case - Pat Shurmur should have been sacked a year ago - he wasn't. Before him Bill Musgrave was OC for 18 months (after McCoy got canned after a run of six defeats when the offence couldn't score) - before that was Rick Dennision with Kubiak as HC - before that was Adam Gase who went the the Bears with Fox - before that McCoy was OC for 4 years before he got the Chargers gig. Have a look and see how many other teams have changed OC less than the Broncos (they are few and far between - and the Broncos have been sh*te on offence for six years now).

Lance has the potential to be very good - but it is still only potential - and either way Shanahan will still be running the offence. In contrast - Denver will be major players if any of the franchose QBs move this off-season. The two top candidates are Quinn and Hackett - Quinn will probably get the job if the Broncos trade for Wilson (Quinn spent time as DC in Seattle) - Hackett will only get the job if Rodgers is coming to Denver. If Hackett is the pick then his OC will likely be Getsy (GB's QB coach) - if it is Quinn the OC will likely be McDaniel or Klint Kubiak. If the Broncos don't get either Wilson or Rodgers then I expect Quinn to get the HC job and Kubiak will come in as OC with the Broncos making a trade for Cousins.

Now - none of this might happen - a candidate might come out of left-field and the Broncos might end up rolling with Lock next season. But Paton's tenure in Denver will be determined by the decisions he makes over the next few weeks and I suspect that he is not going to go with the off the wall choice - but will pick someone who brings more than just his CV to the job - and that indicates that it is between Quinn and Hackett. The Broncos roster has a lot of good young talent - they have a stack of draft picks and they have a lot of cap room. Getting Wilson or Rodgers would make the team instant SB contenders - even Cousins would be a massive step up from anything the Broncos have had over the past six years. The right decisions in the next few weeks will determine the future of the team for the next 5/6 years.

Jerod Mayo has emerged as a leading contender for the job

Him being a Patriot way doesn't mean it's going to be a success, nor does it mean he's going to be a failure. The reasons for either of those happening are many, but him being a former Patriot will have little to do with it.

not really a coaching change but been reported by the usual people that Mike Mayock is out as raiders GM which may or may not be good news for the interim coach. You’d assume not good because a new GM would want their own HC zone there.

Rumour mill has Sean Payton stepping away for a year. Possibly another vacancy opening up

Well the fact that there had been no indication as to what he was doing for next season and the owner saying that she’d no idea what was happening seemed to confirm something was up.

Interesting about Payton. I wonder is he eyeing up a franchise that are in win-now mode or is there another motivation for his decision. He's only 58 so he would've had plenty of time to rebuild with the Saints. I suppose he'll be linked with the Cowboys again until he gets another gig.

And which one of the Patriot cast-offs has been a success as a HC?

Good to see the obsession with the Patriots is still as strong as ever, if I didn't know any better I'd say you secretly admire them :)

Why not focus on the pros and cons of the actual person, rather than the organisation he has been attached to?

McDaniels did a good job at Denver before Elway poked his nose in and made a mess of it.

It looks like McDaniels is actually going to leave this time. Really surprised as I expected him to stay put where he was comfortable and take over from BB whenever he decides to retire.

The "patriot way" thing does not travel. It might work in New England, but if he goes into Vegas with that attitude like he did Denver I don't see it working. Since the Colts debacle I've thought his only real chance of being a success as HC would be with the Pats where that culture already exists and players would already respect him.

I remember Cutler telling the story on the radio years ago about when he met McDaniels in Denver for the first time. He thought it was going to be a quick hello over some coffee, but McDaniels started by reading off his list of accomplishments that led up to him being named the HC and then had tape of every bad throw Cutler made from the season just finished in which he was a pro bowler. He sat there berating him for half an hour then left. Cutler took out his phone, called Bus Cook and told him he didn't care what he had to do but get him out of Denver 😂.