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Ireland's defensive frailty exposed by Russian exercise

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  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    @buried The Russian people, who over half the country of the Ukraine in the east identify with.

    No less than 40 percent identify as russian ,the majority identify as Ukrainian with Russian as there first language ,

    The Russians completely control all of the narrative in eastern Ukraine , they don't allow political opposition or decent ,they only allow pro Kremlin media ,and any so Called separatists leader are members of the Russian military , and not Ukrainian,

    Might explain why Russia has placed tanks , artillery, mortar emplacements in between and beside civilian housing and flat complexes ,

    If so many Ukrainians in the east are Russians why are they not all taking up the offers of free Russian passports and citizenship ,

    A claimed population of 20 + million and only 400,000 took Russian passports and citizenship.....

    They are under foreign occupation



  • Registered Users Posts: 9,807 ✭✭✭buried


    Well, if that's the case, what's stopping them doing the exact same thing in the western half of the country? You are totally ignoring the historical geopolitical situation that has existed in the Ukraine for decades, the Ukraine has been culturally split for well over 100 years and has nothing to do with Putin or any other leadership goon

    "You have disgraced yourselves again" - W. B. Yeats



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    The majority want to be European a small minority want to be Russian so whats stopping them upping sticks and moving home to Russia.



  • Registered Users Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2


    Only approx 20% of Ukrainians (including Donbas and Crimea) are ethnically Russian. There is a higher percentage of Russophones of course, but speaking Russian as the everyday tongue does not mean one identifies as Russian.



  • Registered Users Posts: 9,807 ✭✭✭buried


    In the western half of the country they want to join the EU, but what about the people in the east? They don't want to be Russian, they want to be Ukrainian, just like the people in Crimea want to be Crimean's. What the folk in the east definitely don't want to be is under the yolk of the EU, NATO or the Americans, which is fair enough, given the history, so what's the problem? Leave them be. We have no problem allowing cultural differences to co-exist on our island so why not the same for the Ukraine? Why the hawk call for war and conflict that will destroy everybody?

    "You have disgraced yourselves again" - W. B. Yeats



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  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    The hawks want a war .


    Who invaded annexed and currently occupating parts of Ukraine ,who's currently got 100,000 + soldiers in and around Ukraines border ,

    The separatists are Russian soldiers and Russian intelligence services ,the same people who are asking the Russian government to recognise them as two sovereign states who in turn will vote to rejoin Russia ,

    But wait I thought they don't want to be Russian ...

    Oh wait that doesn't suit the narrative



  • Registered Users Posts: 9,807 ✭✭✭buried


    Who invaded and annexed parts of Ukraine? I don't know man, probably the same sort of despicable c**ts that overthrew the Ukrainian government in 2014 was it? Maybe it was the Crimean's who asked the Russians to come over and protect them when that disgraceful and illegal $hit happened? I dunno, you tell me, because that's all you are interested in, you telling me and you literally looking at nothing else, so g'wan there and let me know all about it.

    "You have disgraced yourselves again" - W. B. Yeats



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling




  • Registered Users Posts: 9,807 ✭✭✭buried


    "You have disgraced yourselves again" - W. B. Yeats



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,701 ✭✭✭Dr. Bre


    I don’t want to see this..

    I mean the queens jugs …



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  • Registered Users Posts: 665 ✭✭✭goldenmick


    Don't know why so many on this thread are getting their panties in a bunch about defence.

    Any problems and "Irish roots Biden" will come a running... err... stumbling to the rescue. Seemples!





  • Registered Users Posts: 3,610 ✭✭✭Pa ElGrande


    I do agree. It is not a cheap problem to resolve and stay on top of requiring constant vigilance. This does mean having to change processes, upgrade equipment and software as older systems fall out of maintenance, deployment and redevelopment and recovery costs soak up budgets for both private and public companies.

    Net Zero means we are paying for the destruction of our economy and society in pursuit of an unachievable and pointless policy.



  • Registered Users Posts: 823 ✭✭✭Liberty_Bear


    Try to remember


    Russian Naval Training in International Waters 240km off Ireland = bad


    American Troops landing in Shannon = good


    Here endeth today's lesson on double standards



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,593 ✭✭✭kyote00




  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 16,413 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    There were all those Bren guns being brought out of storage and issued, still in the original factory grease packaging, in the 1990s, for the FCA.

    Something of a rare occasion, though, usually the Irish military uses something until it falls apart.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    The 3 to 1 ratio is a loose rule of thumb. It favours the defender.

    https://www.jstor.org/stable/3010327?origin=crossref

    A deterrence to an excellent level is not hugely expensive . I would also agree with the commenters saying that the Russian exercise is being blown out of proportion.

    A good deterrence is insurance against what would be a very unlikely event. I still think we should have that insurance.

    A well equipped force of 30k with extra support weighting could hold off 90k using that rule of thumb. Not many countries could muster that many in an amphibious force. Being an island has massive advantages here. So a force of 30k could be far more than we'd need.

    What we would need would be an air defence network and anti air , anti ship and anti armour weapons. I don't think we would even need tanks.

    It's worth pointing out that there is a direct route to Ireland across the Arctic from Russia. Who knows where the world will end up in the years ahead. If you wanted to cut Europe off from the US for whatever reason and didn't want to risk nuclear war then Ireland is the obvious choice. Sounds far fetched because it is. But again we are talking about insurance against unlikely events.

    Not sure gearing our military towards UN missions and spending billions in foreign aid is doing much for Ireland. We could have the jobs here for the money instead too. Be regional jobs by default which is a good thing

    This all assumes competent government and thus major higher priority issues such as housing is dealt with....

    Post edited by [Deleted User] on


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Let's raise taxes so..starting with yours.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Thank you for highlighting that...nobody is interested in our small island....too far away for a start...and compares to them it's like a pimple on someone's arse.

    Don't anyone start losing sleep.anyway now that USA are out of Iraq they are spoiling for another invasion and will come to our rescue.



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    I've seen lee's Enfields and fn fals in the same situation,DSA who recently upgraded a number of FAls to spotters rifles asked to buy our stock of FAls and they were told there not for sale,

    Remember if we come under foreign aggression the army will be disbanded and the guerilla war begins , there is weapon stocks just not made public



  • Registered Users Posts: 468 ✭✭Shao Kahn


    Another delusional poster not living in reality.

    You're not related to Gatling by any chance are you? 😆

    "Tomorrow is the most important thing in life. Comes into us at midnight very clean. It's perfect when it arrives, and it puts itself into our hands. It hopes we've learned something from yesterday." (John Wayne)



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  • Registered Users Posts: 220 ✭✭Black Noel


    Great weapon, as good today as it was in the 30s 😃



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling




  • Registered Users Posts: 468 ✭✭Shao Kahn


    The End Of The World As We Know It - You forgot about provisions in our defense budget for tinfoil hats? Realistically, how many do you think we'll need to keep the population safe going forward?

    Yes, cyber attacks are a real and present danger globally.

    However, this threat doesn't actually need to fall under defense spending, as we can see many private and public entities are starting to take their cyber security more seriously and putting in place the necessary procedures to protect themselves. No real need for extra defense spending contracts to achieve this goal.

    Also worth considering that antagonizing a large player like Russia for no legitimate reason, makes you a far more likely target for some sort of government co-ordinated attack. So one of your best defenses against this, is to not go around sticking your nose into other nation's affairs. And certainly not trying to create an international incident by throwing a hissy fit about a routine military training operation 250km out in international waters.

    "Tomorrow is the most important thing in life. Comes into us at midnight very clean. It's perfect when it arrives, and it puts itself into our hands. It hopes we've learned something from yesterday." (John Wayne)



  • Registered Users Posts: 35,018 ✭✭✭✭o1s1n
    Master of the Universe


    Our 'small' island is a hub to Europe and likewise a stepping stone to the US before you hit the Atlantic.

    Look at the transatlantic undersea cables and where they go. Look at where the US stop to refuel their planes. Any country on the edge of a continent the way we are has strategic implications.

    It's because of the above though that nobody will invade us (and why we don't have a military force), it would be too detrimental to too many Western powers and they'll stop anything like that from happening.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,415 ✭✭✭BluePlanet


    What are you talking about we are essentially a vassal of US and NATO. A pretender of Neutrality, fooling nobody but ourselves.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,468 ✭✭✭XsApollo



    Ireland is probably the last country anybody needs to invade.

    Acoording to some people’s fantasies, the Russians come around and flank us coming from the Atlantic.

    now they have ireland,

    uk to the east , France to south , US to the west.

    whats the plan of the Russians then?



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,857 ✭✭✭Polar101


    Obviously no-one would start a war against only Ireland, that's just daft. If Ireland needs defensive capabilities, it's going to be during a major international crisis in the future. How far in the future is that going to be, I guess we'll find out soon enough.



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    We are Part of the EU battlegroups which would be deployed against Russia if they decide were going back to the occupation of eastern Europe,and we're part of the Nato partnership for peace ,

    So definitely not neutral



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  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    Oddly enough we get a massive hack that took the hse off line that attack originated from Russia and months later we get Russian military exercise off our coast ..



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