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Russia - threadbanned users in OP

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  • Registered Users Posts: 544 ✭✭✭agoodpunt



    This is an acurate summary of why Putin undermines Ukraine as part of the old soviet that wants to be a western power

    https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2022/02/putin-ukraine-democracy/621465/?utm_source=pocket-newtab-global-en-GB



  • Registered Users Posts: 547 ✭✭✭shillyshilly


    The best and worst thing about Europe is that everyone has open input. This is always misconstrued as countries not being on a level footing.

    Where in fact, it's the opposite, and shows transparency in the decision making process (can be very slow though). Russia and China don't have this, so of course they will see it as flawed. Even America doesn't have this (in a European sense), as they have (what is perceived as) a single decision maker (it's far more complex than that, but only controversial bills debated in congress etc... usually get seen this side of the water most times).

    Nobody wants to bring in sanctions. Even though sanctions are made out that they hurt one side and not the other, they usually hit both sides, just not equally, and it's Germany's own doing that one of the main sanctions being considered, will hit them a lot too, when they had the chance to diversify energy sources years ago, and Putin knows this.

    But back to the point, if you don't think they are on equal footing, you should have a look into where German, French, Dutch, Belgian etc... troops are currently being sent or are already on exercise.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,356 ✭✭✭BluePlanet


    Well there's probably very little chance of Ukraine becoming a NATO member while Russian forces are in the east of that country and in Crimea. Doesn't stop the hawks from flogging that horse though. Probably calmer heads will prevail within that alliance and they will not allow Ukraine in. Doing so is just to invite war with Russia.



  • Registered Users Posts: 544 ✭✭✭agoodpunt


    Then one by one states that where soviet can be picked off this is not a democratic country it a gangster aka putin



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,356 ✭✭✭BluePlanet


    Well play that out agoodpunt.

    Let's say NATO decides to allow Ukraine to be member tomorrow. The reality on the ground is that Ukraine doesn't control all the land area of their country and allegedly there are Russian forces there. That would immediately precipitate a call of Article 4 "when the territorial integrity, political independence or security of any of the parties is threatened."

    Also Article 5 "commits each member state to consider an armed attack against one member state, in Europe or North America, to be an armed attack against them all."

    NATO expansion into Ukraine is a call to war.

    While you may be happy enough with that, i bet a load of NATO members would be very unhappy that hawks in the US and Britain would send their sons to die in Ukraine in a war with Russia that they wanted to avoid.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 547 ✭✭✭shillyshilly


    They were never a guarantee anyway, and Russia were told even if they expressed interest, they would need to go through the full process (which takes years).

    Anyway, that's a side point and something Putin is bashing for years as his excuse, when the biggest problem is the growing relations between Ukraine and the EU to the detriment of the Kremlin.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,356 ✭✭✭BluePlanet


    How is growing relations some kind of automatic problem? Besides the US interference that seems to go hand in hand, i mean.

    Gazprom and Nord Steam 1 & 2 are growing relations.



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    Who's flogging the idea ,there has been very little actual discussion on ukraine and nato ,

    The Ukrainians said it themselves at one point they would like to be members at some point in the future ,but they have ongoing reforms around the economy and politically to worry about first and foremost .

    The most talk about ukraine and NATO is coming from Russia , painting nato as some kind of bogey man planning to invade Russia



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,356 ✭✭✭BluePlanet


    Another thing that is untapped, is Russian lumber.

    Russia is large country that is heavily forested, something like 49.4% forested. That's huge. We could sure use that lumber here in Ireland.



  • Registered Users Posts: 547 ✭✭✭shillyshilly


    For Russia it appears to be. They don't have a Lukashenko in Ukraine (i.e. Yukashenko/Yanukovych).

    US interference? You do remember what happened 2013/2014 when Yanukovych got found out, didn't sign the EU statement of intent for trade on the back of pressure from Putin, even though it was voted in by the Ukrainian Government, lost a vote of confidence, then cried wolf and did a legger to Russia?

    Gazprom and Nord Stream are just profit to Russia, and thanks to Germany's lack of foresight, it's now leverage.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 2,356 ✭✭✭BluePlanet


    I'm not going to defend Yanukovych but his ousting was constitutionally dubious.

    https://www.rferl.org/a/was-yanukovychs-ouster-constitutional/25274346.html

    No comment on the leaked Nuland call where the US basically hand picks the new leaders to replace him?



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    Your grasping at straws ,

    You seem to be very limited in your knowledge on ukraine /Russia over the last near decade



  • Registered Users Posts: 418 ✭✭Stanley 1


    If you feel that way mate, head off down to the Russian Embassy and let them know, maybe then, at an early stage, you will find out what difficult people they are to deal with, bribe after bribe after bribe, country wants to live off it's assets such as oil, gas, minerals and timber, Putin and his oligarchs together with local mafias control everything, land and more land is everything, eventually they find a use for it.



  • Registered Users Posts: 547 ✭✭✭shillyshilly


    No real comment, as Russia, and the EU would have been doing similar. Had the EU taken charge, the process of an interim leader would have taken longer. Had Russia had their way, you would have Yanukovych still in power. It's just this conversation was taped and used as propaganda.

    The above also feeds into the alluding that the subsequent elections were rigged, is that something you buy into too?

    Yanukovych ignored his government numerous times, so of course he's going to cry about it when they eventually had the means to go against him.

    He was happy to do a runner to Russia, until Russia put him back up to wanting to be President again (you may have forgotten he signed off early elections and also his resignation).



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,422 ✭✭✭Snooker Loopy


    If Finland joined NATO tomorrow, would Russia go to war with Finland?



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,356 ✭✭✭BluePlanet


    But Ukraine is little russia and part of Russia's sphere of influence. It most certainly is not within USA's sphere.

    Infact, if Russia meddled in Canada similar to USA meddles in Ukraine i'm sure Washington would have a big problem with it.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,356 ✭✭✭BluePlanet


    I really have no idea, but considering the past, the results of the Winter War, Finland joining the Axis in WWII and the resultant "Finlandizaton", Russia could only view it as a threat to their security.



  • Registered Users Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2


    Where is this sphere of influence written down and when did Ukraine consent to it?

    You say it as if it's a matter of natural law that Russia has a sphere of influence that all must kowtow to.

    Ukraine and other former Soviet states in Europe have been drifting towards western institutions because the Russian economy is garbage and to be tied to Russia is to accept autocracy and interference for less opportunity than the west offers.

    That's not 'influence' that's holding your ex wife hostage with a gun to her temple.

    If Russia wants a sphere of influence it's going to have to come up with a better package than coercion, tanks and poison to bring to Kyiv and other post Eastern bloc capitals.

    Basically Russia needs to grow the f*ck up



  • Registered Users Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2


    It's Finland's choice and Finland's choice exclusively if they wish to pursue NATO membership. Russia needs to reconcile themselves with that as well.

    It speaks volumes that a steadfast militarily neutral country throughout the Cold War now may find their border and security arrangements untenable in a neutral stance and have begun debating NATO membership.

    Basically, you're asking Europe to join Putin's pity party, to rub his belly, and indulge his paranoia while he's parking tanks and war materiel next to countries he's already partially dismembered.

    If Putin doesn't like NATO, he should really ask himself why he's turned into a walking billboard for NATO membership.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,356 ✭✭✭BluePlanet


    Sounds like you you're the one that needs to do some growing up.

    It's called realpolitik.

    Sphere's of influence were the invention of the European colonial powers, then uptaken and pursued with gusto by the USA.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    Ukraine is Ukraine .

    Not Russia little or otherwise



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,356 ✭✭✭BluePlanet


    Have you considered sending your sons to help them?



  • Registered Users Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2


    The US enjoys it's sphere of influence in the Western hemisphere because it's more than a military power, it's also an economic giant around which the economy of the continent turns. It has trade arrangements like NAFTA that are give and take and ultimately enhance the economy of the region as a whole.

    Russia has a midget economy smaller than South Korea with three times the population of Korea. The countries it's trying to coerce are next to the world's largest and most prosperous trade bloc that is rules bound and democratic. There is no choice and question why a country like Ukraine would and should gravitate west and away from its creepy ex that points tanks at it.

    THAT'S Realpolitik. Putin thinks he can chain ex Soviet states to his poor-house economy with the threat of poison, tanks and dismemberment when the option of western institutions is on the table.

    European countries (bar Russia apparently) have left their expansionist tendencies well behind them. Why you'd condemn expansionism on one side of your mouth, and absolve Putin of it on the other side is a mystery. I'm not going to try to solve it, all I know is it's more malcontent b*llshit.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,356 ✭✭✭BluePlanet


    US's sphere of influence is much greater than the western hemisphere.

    Anyway, it's not just economy that drives such things, it's cultural, military power etc.

    With a large Russian speaking population in Ukraine, it will be a long time in Russia's sphere.



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    Unfortunately don't have sons ..


    Buy Russian trees it will solve everything 🌲🌲🌲🌲



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,356 ✭✭✭BluePlanet


    I hazard a guess that is actually the protectionsim of the EU and US that makes buying Russian lumber impossible.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,356 ✭✭✭BluePlanet


    USA's sphere of influence extends across the globe.

    Western Hemisphere:


    And also E Europe:

    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FK_AKMnaAAEew39?format=png&name=900x900



  • Registered Users Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2


    Ask Ukrainians, they've already left the house with the kids.

    Ukrainians are never going back. If this crisis should have thought Putin and cheerleaders anything, it's that Ukrainians in general and other Eastern European states want very little to do with Putin's notional sphere of influence.

    Take a look at who's left in the camp? Belarus and some sh*box Central Asian countries ran by looney bin autocrats. And if you gave the people a choice in places like Belarus, they'd head for the door towards the west as well. Russia offers f*ckall to countries in its 'sphere'.

    It's baffling how people in a western democracy can find common cause with the last vestiges of homo-sovieticus (for these are the dinosaurs running the Russian state), absolute museum pieces of humans who think that a Kremlin centric world can be achieved by force.



  • Registered Users Posts: 8,433 ✭✭✭jmreire


    With rapidly dropping population figures, everything else aside, Russian is in trouble ( and yes, I know that falling population figures are world wide ) But there is something seriously wrong in a society where for every 1'000 births, there are 495 abortions. Thats pretty bad, where women would prefer to abort their babies rather then bring them in contemporary Russian sociey. So there are many Russian Families who wont have sons fighting and dying in the Ukraine for Putin. And you can be damn sure, that is a factor in their decision not have Children.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2


    Who gives a sh*t? Where America is, they're overwhelmingly there by consent. Places like South Korea and Japan have got extremely wealthy under their security umbrella and wouldn't kick them out in a month of Sundays with China on their door.

    American hegemony is well earned. It's a country with faults and has made mistakes, but it gets more right than it gets wrong. It's a technological, cultural, educational and economic global super power that's had that role for more than a century. Russia has none of those things. It wants them, but it hasn't earned them.

    It enjoys diplomatic relationships that have been painstakingly built over centuries and had been consistent over those years.

    It has backstopped the peace in both Europe and North East Asia since the end of WW2 and those places have thrived just as their economy has thrived. That they deserve enormous credit for (not that malcontents will give it to them). And, they do it by consent.

    It's the global hegemon and it has made mistakes we're all capable of pointing at, but long may they isolate and piss off people like Putin who would tear down the security architecture of Europe we all benefit from.



This discussion has been closed.
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