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Relaxation of Restrictions, Part XII *Read OP For Mod Warnings*

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  • Registered Users Posts: 126 ✭✭Croohur1


    Can you show me where McConkey said this please? This "several orders of magnitude" claim. As you have stated, "several orders of magnitude" are thousands of times more deadly than flu. So McConkey has stated publicly that COVID was at least a 1000X as dangerous as COVID. I've had a search but cant find this info.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,651 ✭✭✭walus


    Can you read and understand what you re reading? I'm not saying that Sam McConkey said what you are implying he did. Jesus. I give up.

    ”Where’s the revolution? Come on, people you’re letting me down!”



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,014 ✭✭✭Blut2


    This is completely statistically incorrect. Its very well established that negative vaccine side effects have been way more common from the second (and third) dose than the first. With every vaccination dose the rate of adverse reaction has been shown to increase. If there was "no cumulative effect" this wouldn't be the case.

    "Systemic side-effects were reported by 13·5% (38 155 of 282 103) of individuals after the first dose of Pfizer-BioNTech, by 22·0% (6216 of 28 207) after the second dose"

    Even the HSE themselves advise that side effects are more likely after the second dose:

    "You are more likely to experience common side effects after the second dose."

    There are lots, and lots of studies out there on this.



  • Registered Users Posts: 126 ✭✭Croohur1


    "I have proven beyond a reasonable doubt that the statement that:

    a) covid is several orders of magnitude more deadly than flu (a statement originally promoted by the likes of McConkey and Co.) is untrue"

    That is what you have written.

    Can you then show me then where McConkey has promoted this statement? That "covid is several orders of magnitude more deadly than flu" (Your words). These are easy questions.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,651 ✭✭✭walus


    Where am I saying that it is actually Sam himself who said it? All I'm saying "the likes of.." and that does not mean that it is Sam himself who used these words. I'm merely making an association that such claims were made across the world by the proponents of lockdowns and zero covid policies who were coming up with various claims to support their opinions. Sam McConkey is just one of those figures.

    Here, the definition of 'the likes of': https://dictionary.cambridge.org/dictionary/english/likes-of-someone-something

    I do however remember him on a national television claiming that up to 60-70% of population was to be infected with the virus and up to 200k would possibly die of it in due course. I wish I recorded it. So go figure, do your own maths.

    ”Where’s the revolution? Come on, people you’re letting me down!”



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  • Registered Users Posts: 126 ✭✭Croohur1


    I wish you recorded it too.



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,588 ✭✭✭LLMMLL


    You're interpreting that definition incorrectly. For instance if someone said they were comoeting with the likes of IBM and Unisys, it would be bizarre if they meant "companies like IBM but not actually IBM".

    The likes of X usually means X and other things like X.



  • Registered Users Posts: 16,643 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    That doesn't appear to be related to mRNA but due to stimulation of the immune system (which is also what causes myocarditis, whether via virus or by vaccine), similar effects are noted for vaccines using other technologies (even traditional vaccines) and that these effects are nowhere near what happens when infected by the virus themselves.

    The "mRNA effect" seems to be something completely made up.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,651 ✭✭✭walus


    According to whom the interpretation of ‘the likes of’ is incorrect? You?

    Well, according to Cambridge Dictionary: someone or something that is equal to or as important as the person or thing being mentioned.

    I quoted that definition when I explained my thought process. It is a fairly credible definition and refers to people or things that are similar to the one mentioned.

    Post edited by walus on

    ”Where’s the revolution? Come on, people you’re letting me down!”



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,588 ✭✭✭LLMMLL


    So if my company was competing with Facebook and tiktok and Twitter but not Google it would make sense to say "my company is competing with the likes of Google"?

    Your interpretation of that definition is way off.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 126 ✭✭Croohur1


    If someone has to continously cite a dictionary to try and wiggle out of ever providing evidence, then maybe he isn't as effective communicator as he believes he is.



  • Registered Users Posts: 126 ✭✭Croohur1


    Still waiting for proof that McConkey or anyone in Irish scientific community promoted that statement that Covid was "several orders of magnitude" more fatal than the flu. 1000x more fatal. As you made sure to make that distinction. Anyone. Any scientist who promoted that statement. You keep claiming you provide proof.



  • Administrators, Social & Fun Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 76,161 Admin ✭✭✭✭✭Beasty


    As per the note in the OP, take vaccine discussion to the relevant thread



  • Registered Users Posts: 8,058 ✭✭✭joeguevara


    Rarely post about anything Covid related since midway through the first lockdown but I thought this was interesting with regards to the relaxation of restrictions. Firstly I was very strict with regards masks, social distancing etc and I don’t know how I managed it but never got Covid even when the Omicron hit our house just before New Years Eve and I was the only one negative. Had to leave the house and go to a relations mobile home in Dunmore East by myself for the New Years.

    Anyway the first I went out since the pubs went back to normal hours was Tuesday February 1st. I had booked tickets for the Liverpool comedian Paul Smith in the Olympia about 2 years ago I think and finally the show was on. Arranged to meet one of my best mates who I hadn’t seen for 2 years in the Wild Duck at 7.30. Few drinks and then round the corner to the Olympia.

    Warm up act started around 8 and by about 8.45 I have never seen a messier crowd (well not all obviously but a considerable amount). Shouting absolute moronic sh1t at the stage.

    By the time Paul Smith came on stage (who was brilliant) I saw the bouncers escort at least 10 people out. About 5 times they had to go into the ladies toilets and corral about 10 people out telling them to shut up. At one point during his Act Paul stopped mid flow, pointed his finger at someone about 10 rows back telling her to shut up. Loved his line ‘I’ve been doing this for about 15 years so I’ve a good idea that I’m Fcucking funnier than you so shut your mouth and let the professional continue’

    Had the best time. But fcuck it, wasn’t expecting that n a Tuesday evening at 8 o’clock. Finished off the night in the Long Hall. It was great to be out. Great to be in a pub past tea time. But i literally realised that there could be hundreds of thousands of 20 year olds in Ireland who have never been in a nightclub.



  • Registered Users Posts: 12,812 ✭✭✭✭bear1


    More and more countries ending their restrictions so I wonder are we looking good for February 28th?



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Is 28th Feb when we ditch masks? It really pissing me off now having to put on a mask when I go into a store.



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,238 ✭✭✭Widdensushi


    He aged alot since



  • Registered Users Posts: 14,005 ✭✭✭✭AlekSmart


    Mr McC and his counterpart in the U.K,Mr Ferguson,were remarkably similar in their predictions (Calculations ?).

    Incredibly,they are both provenly equally incorrect.

     https://www.irishtimes.com/news/ireland/irish-news/simon-harris-this-could-go-well-beyond-the-health-service-1.4197351

     

    The Minister for Health Simon Harris has said that he is taking seriously the advice of expert epidemiologist Professor Sam McConkey who predicted there could be between 80,000 and 120,000 deaths in Ireland from coronavirus.

    Prof McConkey, the head of the department of international health and tropical medicine at the Royal College of Surgeons in Ireland, told RTÉ’s This Week programme on Sunday that coronavirus “could be like the Spanish flu, the Irish Civil War and the 1929 stock market crash all at once”.

    Prof McConkey can be as big an expert as he likes,but all his expertise counts for SFA,when his most unscientifically put predictions have been proven to be not along incorrect,but hugely so !

    Accquiring professional stature at his level,usually entails using scientific language to factually support his conclusions,something our good Prof CHOSE to ignore in his crazed rush to meet the requirement to FRIGHTEN our population into comlpliance with whatever half cocked "Emergency Restrictions" then became necessary.

    In the U.K.,the equally well qualified Prof Neil Ferguson adopted McConkeyism as his mantra also,and as a "Mathematical Epidemiologist" simply used his gift for sums to put his particular spin on how to FRIGHTEN entire countries into compliance.

    https://www.newstatesman.com/uncategorized/2020/07/neil-ferguson-covid-modeller

    Even Canada,who are showing great strength of character in their absolute buy-in to Fear Promotion,have cottoned on to how much coloured smoke was actually blown all over them by these Scientific equivalents of the "Crazy Cat Lady"

    What happened? On March 16, Professor Neil Ferguson

    of Imperial College London released an epidemiological

    model that took the world by storm.2 The report warned

    that tens of millions would die in a pandemic that was

    compared to the Spanish flu, the deadliest epidemic in

    modern times.

    The only option, warned the report, would be radical

    physical distancing of the entire population, potentially

    for 18 months, until a vaccine was available. The paper

    advised that less restrictive methods such as isolation of

    suspected cases and physical distancing of the elderly

    and at-risk would merely reduce deaths by half. Instead,what was needed was total isolation.

    At least some Canadians were able to ask questions and point out the very evident flaws in how these "Scientists" both devised and presented their views,which turned out to be mere Opinions,just like the rest of us had.

    Now, two months later, experts have uncovered serious

    flaws in the original Imperial College paper. Further-

    more, evidence has emerged that Professor Ferguson

    himself has a long history of overpredicting deaths by a

    wide margin—a concern confirmed by data from coun-

    tries that never locked down in the present crisis. It fol-

    lows that Canada and other countries may have vastly

    overreacted to a single bad projection.


    Anybody out there sellin a few pups.? 😁




    Men, it has been well said, think in herds; it will be seen that they go mad in herds, while they only recover their senses slowly, and one by one.

    Charles Mackay (1812-1889)



  • Registered Users Posts: 126 ✭✭Croohur1


    So Walus' numbers were way off! Thank you! McConkey said, at the very START of the pandemic, that his WORST case scenario that it would be possible that between 80-100k would die.

    That's it. So not several orders of magnitude. Not 1000x more dangerous than flu. Not 200k dying like Walus just claimed.

    Caught out again Walus.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 126 ✭✭Croohur1


    And again, as this had to be often stated. A scientist giving their worst case scenario is just that. It's not saying it will happen. That those numbers are the worst he thinks COULD happen. I'm sure if people really wanted to they could see that obvious distinction.

    As Walus keeps using dictionary definitions of words, he obviously finds how they are used important. He has consistently used words and phrases to push the idea that McConkey and others were promoting that Covid was "several orders of magnitude" more deadly flu. And that he said 200k could die. That has now been shown to be untrue.

    Words do matter. I repeatedly asked you for evidence that was you were saying was correct. You could not. Someone who was trying to come to your support has actually confirmed you got your numbers way off.

    Simple as.



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,617 ✭✭✭CalamariFritti


    In the first months - the first year even, some continue to promote the same line still - covid CFR was deduced from the positive tests over the confirmed covid deaths. Asymptomatic infection as a thing was ignored and even when it was confirmed the ratio was continuously downplayed. Basically equalling CFR and IFR for a long long time.

    Consequently they arrived at numbers like 2% to 8%, some went for double digits even. These boards are full of claims like that if you dare to go back in time.

    Completely ignoring - some in good faith I reckon some deliberately I'm sure - a number of factors. Huge factors that I won't even bother going through. And so they arrived at those numbers that were several magnitudes above the flu. The deadliest thing ever. There is no denying that no matter how hard you try.

    Also while the experts were phrasing their models like any expert would do thats not what the media and the politicians went with. In their attempt to be 'prudent' and to manipulate the public into unquestioned compliance only the worst case scenarios made it into the headlines and press conferences.

    Any attempt of denying this happened and painting a picture of scientific rationale is just an attempt of rewriting history and whitewashing. Please don't try to re-tell what happened that way. We all know what happened, we lived through it and its not that long ago. Its not going to fly, you're just insulting people's intelligence.



  • Registered Users Posts: 126 ✭✭Croohur1


    3 orders of magnitude is x1000

    6 orders of magnitude is a x 1,000,000

    Again, which scientists said this? Please provide evidence.

    McConkey said in his worst case prediction that between 80-120k could die. That's ONÉ order of magnitude. Not several. One order of magnitude in his WORST case prediction.

    You have just written AGAIN that scientists like McConkey have said this. Then you say "There is no denying that no matter how hard you try".

    You seem sure. Please provide evidence. That's all I have asked for. Actual evidence that ANY of McConkey and his evil duplicitous scientific minions said this.

    Few days after I initially made this request now. Still absolutely nothing. Just smears that cant be backed up.



  • Registered Users Posts: 126 ✭✭Croohur1


    And again, I did not start this whole "several orders of magnitude" stuff. Walus made very clear that when I showed him a link from ONS in UK that Covid started out being 20x more deadly than flu he made sure to say he meant several orders of magnitude.

    I just asked for proof. Who said this? Please provide evidence as I could not find any. Who said that Covid was at least a 1000x more dangerous than flu?

    All I've got back is guff and waffle. Perhaps you can help out CalamariFritti. Who said this.?



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,617 ✭✭✭CalamariFritti


    I don't know why you try to get hung up on semantics. We have 6k deaths with covid after 2 years. The prediction was six digit figures over an unspecified timeframe.

    A quick google defines 'orders of magnitude' as n = a * 10^b with b being the order of magnitude. So yes its not several orders but its definitely a different order of magnitude.

    I guess people take orders of magnitude as n = a * 10^1 with a being the magnitude.

    So yes you're right but it doesn't really make a difference for this argument I think. McConkey's worst case scenario was off by factor 20. Not just a bit off.

    But yes, you're right.



  • Registered Users Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    NPHET due to meet next week to discuss primary schools. The mood from that should tell us. In all probability we will stop with the mandatory mask wearing although ,although Martin was almost casually encouraging people to keep wearing them anyway.



  • Registered Users Posts: 126 ✭✭Croohur1


    Thank you for admitting that. And as for semantics, as I said, Walus was the one who made sure that he was specifically referring to several orders of magnitude more deadly than flu. That this was what scientists like McConkey we're saying. So I then asked him to back that up. He defined the terms, I said OK, show me proof on your terms.

    And it 100% does make a difference to the argument. My point is people like Walus use incorrect info to try and smear scientists, making them seem like they have said something they haven't. It's important. No one said what Walus was claiming they said.

    I appreciate you saying you were wrong. That doesn't happen much here, and I genuinely respect it.



  • Registered Users Posts: 12,812 ✭✭✭✭bear1


    Norway on Friday announced the end of restrictions and went back to life a la 2019.

    If some still want to wear the mask then I think that's perfectly fine but it should be that, a personal choice.



  • Registered Users Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    For sure and it also suggests that we will more or less follow suit at the end of the month.



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  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    I agree. I’ve done everything asked and am triple vaxxed. After this month I’m only going to wear my mask if asked. If I am asked, I am not going to argue…..it’s not the fault or the person asking. Im not going to be some keyboard warrior….I’ll just whip it out and stick it on

    But not going along with the farce any more of wearing your mask while on way to your table, or in a store, while the next minute crowding into a busy pub or flying to other countries with no restrictions whatsoever



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