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Russia - threadbanned users in OP

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  • Registered Users Posts: 3,235 ✭✭✭paul71


    You can if you find the right person, as I pointed out earlier in the Thread. Poland found Lech Walesa, Czechslovakia found Vaclav Havel, and Russia had the misfortune to find Boris Yeltsin.



  • Registered Users Posts: 17,923 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    In terms of recent history, yes. Assad still there, Maduro, Lukashenko, Burma junta. Autocratic regimes that have a firm grip on the military are almost impossible for people to remove. I wonder if this conflict will cause a rift between the Russian military and Putin.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Arts Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 16,599 CMod ✭✭✭✭faceman


    We really are in the depths of unknown waters with the end game here. We are no longer dealing with a rationale mind with Putin and we really dont know how he is going to react to the latest rounds of sanctions and more seriously, the military support the West is openly providing Ukraine. The Russian foreign secretary yesterday said that we have "reached the point of no return" as a result.

    In order to see what this looks like you have to read the media across the world. There is no doubt that a high percentage of Russian people are only seeing the spin Russia uses. The Guardian ran a piece on how Russian and Ukrainian influencers are reacting but its in vein because many of them dont live in Russia and Russians dont have access to be influenced. Many Russians see the West/US/NATO as the enemy who wants Russia to fall and would invade if Russia didn't have nukes.

    We are all holding out for the Putin to be removed domestically. Dont expect that to happy from his cabinet, after all they were hand picked for those roles by Putin himself. Just like Stalin they will be with him till the end. The general public won't mobilise because the police in Russia shut them down very quick.

    The western media is also writing that China is not throwing its weight behind Russia. This is untrue. China has lifted import restrictions on Russian goods as the result of the restrictions imposed on Russia. The Chinese government has referenced the strong relations with Russia in Chinese media regularly over the past few days.

    A poster a few pages back theorised that Russia could use a low yield nuke which may trigger NATO taking action. As hair balled as this sounds, Russia updated its doctrine on the use of nuclear weapons a few years ago. It got some media attention. Russia gave itself permission to use nukes against conventional warfare if Russia is threatened. The wording gives them free reign and nukes can no longer just be considered a deterrent from their perspective.

    Will they use a tactical nuke in Ukraine? Its unlikely but not improbable. Many military commentators speculated about it prior to the invasion. From a domestic perspective the average Russian would be shocked but less so if the spin is that it was a retaliatory defensive measure. However the international community would condemn Russia to great lengths. Would NATO respond? Unlikely, unless it is on NATO soil etc. I can't see China being ok with it either.

    The question we have to ask is what will Russia do to get out of this when they are defeated on the ground. Daisy cutters? Chemical weapons? What if that doesnt have the desired effect? There is no way Russia will voluntarily withdraw with tail between the legs. They may push diplomacy again but Ukraine doesn't seem interested, unless Russia withdraw first.

    So what will the injured Russian bear do when the moment comes and they have nothing else to lose?



  • Registered Users Posts: 286 ✭✭GavK


    Does anyone know if Ukrainians that come here can work without a visa ?



  • Registered Users Posts: 26,458 ✭✭✭✭gandalf


    One thing is for sure Ukraine has won the social media aspect of this war.




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  • Registered Users Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    Scholz giving a rousing speech in Bundestag, with some surprising change on defence spending and weapons. Also planning to build LNG facilities.



  • Registered Users Posts: 17,923 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe



    Denmark will close airspace (also Finland announced it). Looks like we may get an EU wide ban



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,325 ✭✭✭cuttingtimber22


    And you have countries like Italy who have deep ties with Russia (and China also) although we always seem to be on the back foot for tax stuff.



  • Registered Users Posts: 17,923 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    They could do horrendous things to Ukraine, then focus on LNR and DNR (and keep some sort of Crimea landbridge) and then withdraw from the rest of Ukraine to claim victory in their "peacekeeping" mission on state TV.



  • Registered Users Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    Belgium and Germany closing airspace from 2pm but Russians may reciprocate, which will cause headaches.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 5,658 ✭✭✭storker


    Here's a very interesting analysis/explanation of the current state of the Russian military and why things aren't going so well for Vlad the Invader. It's a combination of corruption, incompetence, wishful thinking and stupid decisions. I would have found it hard to believe but snippets coming out of the Ukraine seem to bear it out. In short, the Russians appear to have taken every possible precaution against running a successful operation.





  • Registered Users Posts: 17,923 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    These figures will be greatly inflated, but indeed they have doled out considerable damage to Russian forces (so far)



  • Registered Users Posts: 692 ✭✭✭cheezums


    What chance of a kind of propaganda retreat? i.e. Putin essentially gives up on the rest of Ukraine, concentrates on Donbas, and says that was the entire goal all along? That pressure on Kyiv etc was to force Ukraine to give up the region.



  • Registered Users Posts: 19,306 ✭✭✭✭Drumpot


    Anybody watch the live feed on cnn of Germany committing more funds to defence (think 200 billion). The speech (not necessarily intended to sound sinister) really did sound like the start of a significant potential EU army.

    Also mentioned Putins empire , mayhe im wrong but it’s like Europe is gearing up for potential war?! It’s certainly flexing it’s muscles.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,278 ✭✭✭thomil


    He's just torn up and thrown out the past 30 years of German foreign & military policy in one thirty-minute speech. Decoupling from Russian gas supplies, increased cooperation with NATO & EU allies, change in defence spending is MASSIVE, including a 100 billion euro special fund for military modernisation. I'd love to have seen "Gazprom Gerd" Schroeder's face when he saw that.

    Good luck trying to figure me out. I haven't managed that myself yet!



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    China would be appalled if Russia were to execute a nuclear strike against Ukraine.

    In a nuclear winter, the entire world is consumed. It doesn't matter if you're in China or Australia; everyone gets caught up.

    China isn't going to sit back and allow that eventuality to take hold.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,235 ✭✭✭paul71


    No they cannot but I would expect that will change or at the very least we will offer to take about 5,000 to 10,000 refugees.



  • Registered Users Posts: 12,033 ✭✭✭✭Richard Hillman



    thats the clean sweep of Poland, Sweden and the Czechs, in the qualification group. Either FIFA have to give Russia a walkover into the world cup or they kick them out. Even if they did a re-draw, there are no Russian allies in the play off spots.

    One possible solution is that there is a team in the UEFA Play Offs that may play be very willing to play them. Ukraine 😁



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,488 ✭✭✭Timing belt


    Everyman and their Dog knowing should have lead to contingency planning. But no that never happened because Germany have a needle in their arm and need their fix from Russia in the form of gas.



  • Registered Users Posts: 17,923 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe



    The many Russians on ski holidays around Europe this time of year are going to be having a confusing time, plus getting home might be a headache



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  • Registered Users Posts: 17,923 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe



    Wow, Germany just announced it's going to spend 100 billion rebuilding it's military, so it begins..



  • Registered Users Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    Now the Turks calling it a war and may move on access to Bosphorus.




  • Registered Users Posts: 20,983 ✭✭✭✭Ash.J.Williams


    The defiant ex president is expecting a large city centre bomb



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,569 ✭✭✭jackboy


    The last thing Europe needs is an increasingly militaristic Germany. This will only result in less stability in the future.



  • Registered Users Posts: 9,033 ✭✭✭Ficheall


    What is "unlikely but not improbable" supposed to mean?



  • Registered Users Posts: 26,458 ✭✭✭✭gandalf


    Interesting analysis on Facebook. As I said I don't believe Russia has an "A" game, I think they have blown their load based on false assumptions, underestimating the enemy and ego driven ambitions.





  • Registered Users Posts: 19,397 ✭✭✭✭Donald Trump



    Eskimohunt. We've been through this before. Your solution to every problem can't just be just to stream more gay porn



  • Registered Users Posts: 858 ✭✭✭jolivmmx


    Once this war is lost by the Russians, Putin et al will be international pariahs. They will literally lose everything. And more locally, Putin likes to depict himself as the strongman, a winner. When he loses the war, it won’t be a good look to his people at home. I cannot see the Russian people tolerating him much longer.

    He is a madman with nothing to lose



  • Registered Users Posts: 692 ✭✭✭cheezums


    The last thing Europe needs is a psychotic Russia trying to reform the Soviet Union.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 19,397 ✭✭✭✭Donald Trump


    Maybe you are mixing up talk of a land corridor to Kaliningrad? It is separated from mainland Russia



This discussion has been closed.
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