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Russia - threadbanned users in OP

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  • Registered Users Posts: 17,922 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe




  • Registered Users Posts: 8,440 ✭✭✭jmreire


    I'm not up to speed on Tank / AV transmissions, but in normal HGV's they cannot be towed over long distances without disconnecting the drive's...and definitely not in reverse. Still that would not stop the gun from working.



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,459 ✭✭✭FishOnABike


    I would have read the "in which nuclear weapons are used" clause as qualifying both preceding clauses "If Ukraine should become a victim of an act of aggression OR an object of a threat of aggression" not just the immediately preceding clause, but I guess that's one for the international lawyers and grammar experts to argue over.

    Russia have already ignored the terms of the above1994 Bucharest Memorandum and now the recent UN Security Council resolution ES-11/. https://digitallibrary.un.org/record/3958976?ln=en

    Recalling the Final Act of the Conference on Security and Cooperation in Europe, signed in Helsinki on 1 August 1975, and the Memorandum on Security Assurances in Connection with Ukraine’s Accession to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (Budapest Memorandum) of 5 December 1994,

    Condemning the 24 February 2022 declaration by the Russian Federation of a “special military operation” in Ukraine,

    Reaffirming that no territorial acquisition resulting from the threat or use of force shall be recognized as legal,

    .

    .

    .

    1. Reaffirms its commitment to the sovereignty, independence, unity and territorial integrity of Ukraine within its internationally recognized borders, extending to its territorial waters;

    2. Deplores in the strongest terms the aggression by the Russian Federation against Ukraine in violation of Article 2 (4) of the Charter;

    3. Demands that the Russian Federation immediately cease its use of force against Ukraine and to refrain from any further unlawful threat or use of force against any Member State;

    4. Also demands that the Russian Federation immediately, completely and unconditionally withdraw all of its military forces from the territory of Ukraine within its internationally recognized borders;

    5. Deplores the 21 February 2022 decision by the Russian Federation related to the status of certain areas of the Donetsk and Luhansk regions of Ukraine as a violation of the territorial integrity and sovereignty of Ukraine and inconsistent with the principles of the Charter;

    6. Demands that the Russian Federation immediately and unconditionally reverse the decision related to the status of certain areas of the Donetsk and Luhansk regions of Ukraine;

    The UN Security Council could pass a resolution to put UN forces in Ukraine. This could provide a broader and larger force than the Bucharest Memorandum alone.

    In my view it should also consider the Russia's place as a permanent member of the UN Security Council considering its current and previous actions in Ukraine and the legal questions raised about the post USSR status of the Russian Federation's place on the UN Security Council.



  • Registered Users Posts: 68,317 ✭✭✭✭seamus


    Don't know what they're doing in Chernobyl. The IAEA has stopped receiving telemetry data overnight. Presumably the military have cut all lines, which is why this data has disappeared. Any other plant, you'd be less worried.

    The staff have been kept onsite for 13 days straight, not being allowed to rotate in and out. Which presumably means some level of sleep in shifts, but also means you don't have enough staff to keep fully manned. Staff in Zaporizhzhia are being permitted to rotate as normal. This may be purely down to control - that they know the staff in the South will go home and come back to work. They don't know the staff in Chernobyl won't be conspiring against them if they're allowed to go home.

    But it means tired staff. And tired staff make mistakes.

    I'm still skeptical to think there's a malicious aspect to this. Another incident at Chernobyl will hurt Belarus as badly if not worse than it will hurt Ukraine or Europe. I had thought they initially secured Chernobyl to avoid any incidents, but they're doing everything they can to make an incident happen.

    I don't want to get into thinking that Putin plans on using Chernobyl as threat, causing another disaster but making it look like an accident or Ukrainian sabotage. That's Bond-villian level stuff, and I don't see any real pay off for Putin.

    Nevertheless, what they're doing with Chernobyl is reckless and unnecessary.



  • Registered Users Posts: 220 ✭✭Black Noel




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  • Registered Users Posts: 17,922 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    Indeed. Avid critics of the West have traditionally used the same lines as Moscow.

    NATO is expanding because countries are freely choosing to join the defensive alliance. The reasons why are now blindingly obvious.



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,536 ✭✭✭brickster69


    Car manufacturers suspending production due to lack of parts.


    “The earth is littered with the ruins of empires that believed they were eternal.”

    - Camille Paglia



  • Registered Users Posts: 17,922 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    I'm guessing the Ukrainians are familiar (and getting much more familiar) with all this, the primary goal seems to be to get them away from any frontlines to avoid Russian forces retrieving their equipment.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,062 ✭✭✭Hobgoblin11


    BREAKING:


    Poland has offered to hand over all 28 of its MiG-29 jet fighter jets to Ukraine via the United States.

    The planes will be flown to the U.S. Rammstein Air Base in Germany.

    Poland have asked for 28 F-16 in return from USA.

    sic

    Dundalk, Co. Louth



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 24,094 Mod ✭✭✭✭robinph


    Or planting it as extra road blocks if otherwise useless.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 17,922 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe



    Ah I remember a time in the past (anything beyond 3 weeks ago really) when similar claims were taken seriously by a portion of posters on this site.


    "Russia has repeated allegations that the United States supported a military biological programme in Ukraine involving deadly pathogens including plague and anthrax – claims that the Pentagon has described as “absurd”.

    Russia’s foreign ministry spokesperson Maria Zakharova said evidence of the alleged programme had been uncovered in Russia during what it calls its “special military operation” in Ukraine.

    Zakharova said:


    We can already conclude that in Ukrainian biological laboratories in direct proximity to the territory of our country, development of components of biological weapons was being carried out.

    She went on to allege that Russia had documents showing that the Ukrainian health ministry had ordered the destruction of samples of plague, cholera, anthrax and other pathogens after 24 February.

    Zakharova said the alleged programme was financed by the Pentagon and demanded transparency from Washington.


    We are not talking here about peaceful uses or scientific goals... What were you up to there?

    Russia “demands details”, she continued:


    The US Defence Department and the presidential administration of the United States are obliged to officially explain to the global community, officially, not through talking heads, about the programmes in Ukraine.

    Both the Pentagon and the Ukrainian government has strongly denied these allegations, and Reuters reports that it was not possible to independently confirm the authenticity of any such documents.

    In response to earlier Russian allegations about the purported military biological programme in Ukraine, a Pentagon spokesperson said on Tuesday:


    This absurd Russian misinformation is patently false.

    A Ukrainian presidential spokesperson said Ukraine “strictly denies any such allegation”.



  • Registered Users Posts: 110 ✭✭Botrys



    Mate

    i understand that.

    But that is the simplistic way to look at it

    I am not debating what's right and what's wrong

    Absolutely Russia is a crap country with a crap backward regime, but at the end of the day, they're a nuclear superpower and caution is necessary.

    Freedom of speech, economic investment, Security ! etc can be a concern in next door autocratic russia, you never know, in this multi ethnic huge country certain groups might start getting the idea to secede from this shithole and join the prosperous west.

    From their own (crappy) perspective this is a red line and they'll do whatever they can to stop it and all we're doing is encouraging the Ukrainians to walk towards their doom and we're going to sit idle and watch.

    If you're really that keen to integrate Ukraine with the west, how about we march together towards Moscow and change the regime there instead ?


    Just keep an open mind when you listen to Mearsheimer.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,424 ✭✭✭Dubh Geannain


    Expecting RT talking heads to be like - Even when it wasn't the biological labs we knew it was the biological labs.



  • Registered Users Posts: 894 ✭✭✭Bayonet


    As I said yesterday, the cultural boycotts target the very Russians who're anti-regime. This guy literally posted anti-war messages but gets cancelled because he's Russian.




  • Registered Users Posts: 389 ✭✭pjordan


    Posted this on the Ukranian thread. Hope it's ok repeating the post here to provoke people's thoughts on how the west might go about achieving a change in the average Russian's mindset, particularly when one considers how entrenched a whole lot of Trumpists in a free press USA have become in batshit crazy conspiracies in recent years.

    "One particularly and not especially encouraging take on the mindset of the average Russian in the replies to this video of captured Russian servicemen on Reddit. https://www.reddit.com/r/ukraine/comments/t7cbkj/another_interview_with_captured_russians_if_this/?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share

    The basic premise of the insightful and lengthy commentary is that, although Putin is the head of the beast, he is surrounded by loyalists and a military/petrochemical industrial complex which have a lot to lose or gain in this conflict.

    The entire mindset of the average Russian, whilst undoubtedly influenced and swayed by a totally one-sided propogandist and pro Putin media, is as equally if not moreso influenced or institutionalised by a fear of the West going right back through the cold war and (justifiedly even moreso) by the collective experience of the Great Patriotic war where the invasion from the West caused the deaths of 20 million Russians. Russia has not moved on from this mindset and it has served Putin well to perpetuate this "operation" as a continuation of this struggle against the threat from the West and all its evils (Whilst ironically at the same time embracing all the trappings of Capitalism).

    Unfortunately, it would seem that merely overthrowing Putin or beheading the senior military command, who equally benefit from this mindset will still not be enough to convert the average Russian from this albeit outdated, but nonetheless historically justified, fear of the West."



  • Registered Users Posts: 220 ✭✭Black Noel




  • Registered Users Posts: 17,922 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe




  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    This is not breaking news.

    Poland is willing in principle to give MiGs to Ukraine as long as somebody gives them something in return. However it is not willing to give them directly to Ukraine for fears of being drawn into conflict with Russia. A MiG taking off from Poland and flying directly into a warzone is a serious escalation. It is a totally different proposition to putting weapons in a truck and driving them over the border.

    Therefore it suggested giving them to the USA and thus wiping their hands of the issue, do what you want with them. This is a non-starter, USA is also not willing to supply fighters directly to Ukraine either, for the exact same reason.

    These discussions about MiGs are a whole lot of nothing. It will not happen.

    Any "analysts" who have not immediately discounted the possibility need to be crossed off the list of knowledgeable or truthful sources. Same with all the idiots talking about Putin randomly lobbing nukes around.



  • Registered Users Posts: 8,173 ✭✭✭realdanbreen


    Unless young Ivan intends having putin style security around him going forward he may find his career/ life might be kind of short.



  • Registered Users Posts: 220 ✭✭Black Noel


    Of course it is, they are all part of Nato puppet media.

    Greedy liars the lot.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 17,922 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe



    And so it begins:

    " More than 400 Ukrainians who protested against the occupation of Kherson by Russian forces have been detained by Russia’s national guard, Ukraine’s military high command said.

    In a statement, the Ukrainian military high command said hundreds have been arrested for protesting in the now Russian-occupied Kherson.


    Due to the furious resistance of the residents of Kherson, the occupiers are attempting to introduce an administrative-police regime."



  • Registered Users Posts: 8,173 ✭✭✭realdanbreen


    Another reason why I think young Ivan might not be the brightest is that it's not beyond the bounds of possibilities that putin could have him bumped off and blame it on Ukrainian forces in order to try and regain public support.



  • Registered Users Posts: 220 ✭✭Black Noel


    Yes the US supplying these weapons will get civilians killed.

    If you're about to get incinerated in an armoured oven you won't care too much about who you kill in order to preserve your own existence, this is a basic rule of war.

    'They can easily see' ,rubbish, why do you think it's a grand da and granny, because the CIA told you to think that?



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,098 ✭✭✭Poorside


    Which Russian lives were they protecting? And no, they do not have a right to invade another country.



  • Registered Users Posts: 220 ✭✭Black Noel


    Around the village a few weeks ago, around the war zone now.

    What makes you think they were elderly, the BBC tell you that lie?



  • Registered Users Posts: 13,712 ✭✭✭✭briany


    I don't recall saying that I, as an individual, was, or was not, keen for Ukraine to integrate with the West, but I could certainly understand how Ukrainians would be keen to do so, and if the Russians cannot beat that resolve out of them, it will only be strengthened. It's not about where you or I march to. It's where Ukrainians themselves are looking to go.

    If Russia can even still be classed as a superpower, it's a failing one and it is one which has badly neglected cultivation of soft power. Its days of being a cultural centre are gone. Its economic might is not so mighty. The world has said that, if push comes to shove, it can get by without Russian energy (well, China will pay pennies on the dollar. Woo hoo for Russia...). It is struggling to maintain a sphere of influence because it is a crap country. Hard power (nukes) and large military of expendable grunts and 80s gear is really the only ace it holds. This is what it is attempting to exercise. It is flailing and lashing out. In terms of the long game, I would say that's counter-productive to its stated objective of preventing NATO expansion. If anything, NATO will expand further as the Finns reconsider their alliances.



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,250 ✭✭✭EltonJohn69


    There was a lad on Dunphys podcast saying that the only way Russia can hold Ukraine is by conducting mass genocide. I have no doubt that this is now the Russian plan. The only way this is avoided is by the removal of Putin by those in power around him. Maybe a sneaky grenade in that tea pot he likes ?



  • Registered Users Posts: 17,922 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe




  • Registered Users Posts: 13,712 ✭✭✭✭briany




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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,763 ✭✭✭ArthurDayne


    I watched the whole video and what I found remarkable is (a) Mr Mearsheimer just picks an arbitrary starting point for the attribution of blame - i.e. more or less ignores the historic mistreatment and misgovernment of Eastern Europe under Russian influence and aggression as a motivator for the westward leaning of those countries in the past 30 years, and the fact those countries which have leant westward have developed; and (b) he just wholesale ignores any potential for independent thought and desire of the Ukrainian people themselves.

    I get what he's saying in terms of the 'realpolitik' - which according to the Internet is what this gentleman specialises in. I get what he means with the 'poke the bear' adage and he makes fair points in that regard. But the true realpolitik at play here, if we aren't just adopting the arbitrary timeline that Mr Mearsheimer is adopting, is that the European area of former Soviet influence does not want to be under Russian influence. It is Russian brutality, political and economic incompetence, corruption, authoritarianism, anti-democracy - not to mention a dose of heavy nationalism - that has led its old European sphere to look westward to a Western system which is supremely imperfect and flawed, but which provides much greater opportunity for a nation to chart its own course than being subject to the whims of a man who is a dictator in all but name.

    Russia's brutality in dealing with Ukraine's sovereignty is the very evidence as to why the Ukrainians ever looked west for protection in the first place.



This discussion has been closed.
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