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Is it time to join Nato

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  • Registered Users Posts: 4,546 ✭✭✭political analyst


    I can't imagine the Russian navy being able to carry marines all the way to the North Atlantic without causing suspicion.



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,569 ✭✭✭jackboy


    If WW3 happened those boats would not get anywhere near us. It’s not realistic. Even if that suicidal plan worked, what good would a small Russian force with little equipment achieve in Dublin.

    Investing in self sufficiency in agriculture and energy would be a far far better use of the money.



  • Registered Users Posts: 11,973 ✭✭✭✭titan18


    If WW3 kicks off, it probably won't matter if we're part or NATO or not. We won't be the country that is first invaded (especially in a scenario where they don't have forces to defend us) so **** has really hit the fan there, and no matter how much investment we do we won't be able to defend ourselves against a major power anyway.



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    Of course they would,the same for military transport aircraft,

    We are already spending tens of billions on other areas,the defense forces are only looking at 2-3 billion to increase our capabilities.



  • Registered Users Posts: 68,698 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Did he quote any data on the 'nuclear weapons in extremis' contention? I have never heard anyone use it as an objection to joining NATO.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,435 ✭✭✭TiGeR KiNgS


    Should Ireland join Nato ?

    NO ...

    ... because 2% of our GDP will need to go to military waste/folly AND we will be dragged into foreign wars.

    AND a quarter of our country is missing, lets focus on getting it back before we look at other countries problems.

    Our peacekeeping missions around the world are viewed as a success and we should be proud of that fact.



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    Considering we only spend 0.3 people can hardly complain , they go on peace keeping not even properly equipped for fecks sake ,we wouldn't be dragged into foreign wars , unless another member is attacked and call an Article 5 which as only ever happened once in the history of Nato ,it's called collective defense , but we're expecting others to come and defend us but we can't assist another country ...

    We're edging closer ww3 on a near daily basis and as seen in Ukraine promises of help don't always come to fruition



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 24,094 Mod ✭✭✭✭robinph


    If WW3 kicks off fully then there is even less reason for the opposition to NATO to be wasting efforts in invading Ireland. You don't fly over, or drive your boats around, a bunch of NATO nations who are fully engaged in attacking you just to get to an empty bit of land in the west that just leaves you open for being taken out whilst you assemble your forces... But then even if you do manage to take a hold you just have to make another assault on the next island across, and then another again before getting back to the main land of Europe.

    Any invasion into Ireland by Russia would be easy pickings for the UK.



  • Registered Users Posts: 971 ✭✭✭bob mcbob


    Since you are happy for the UK to defend Ireland, where do you suggest the new British Army bases in Ireland should be located?

    Oh also bear in mind that this is likely to be the parachute regiment as they are the mainstay of the UK rapid reaction forces.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 24,094 Mod ✭✭✭✭robinph


    Who cares. The point is around WW3 and the membership of NATO or not at that point matters not one bit.


    If the hostile force against NATO/ UK invades Ireland then the neutrality of Ireland then really doesn't matter. UK will either do something about it, or Ireland will ask the UK to do something about it first if they are looking to make it still seem polite. If the UK isn't itself already overrun and has forces to spare during this WW3 scenario they will respond immediately to Ireland being invaded as the only purpose of the invasion of Ireland is to then attack the UK.


    Only spanner in the works for that scenario is if Ireland had for some reason declared for the other side against NATO and invited the Russians in for example, but that is even less likely to happen than anyone being overly upset about UK forces in Ireland to repel the invasion of a hostile force.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 267 ✭✭Irish_wolf


    You can take my neutrality from my cold dead hands!

    Hyperbole but that is along the lines of how I feel. We should not wade into the bloodbath that NATO, Russia, China and all these super powers are happy to inflict on the world. IF the UK and the US want to defend us in times of peril then amazing, fair play to them that is an amazing sacrifice and we should be glad of such friends. But that doesn't mean we should be expected to capitulate. We should increase our military spending but we will never have a NATO level force nor should we want one. We have no need to project power. We only need to defend our own shores and infrastructure. Some patrol ships and some Logistics aircraft would be ideal. Surveillance and Operations and a massive increase in cyber security is all we really need. Anything else is pissing in the wind compared to the forces these countries can muster.

    Let's not throw away decades of foreign policy and peace keeping because of this dick waving contest between NATO and Russia that is causing such untold horror for the Ukrainian people. We should have nothing to do with nations like this. We can do far more to prevent an invasion by being sound and staunch in our assertion of neutrality no matter how much of a sham that neutrality is in reality.

    We have shown the world that a former colony can have a good relationship with its former oppressor. We punch far above our weight globally due mainly to our impartial and neutral nature.



  • Registered Users Posts: 888 ✭✭✭erlichbachman



    We do have Guinness and some good whisky, there must be a lot of sitting around and socialising for NATO when there's no wars on.



  • Registered Users Posts: 971 ✭✭✭bob mcbob


    You have missed the point, I would see Ireland similar to Norway from a defence perspective. The UK I tasked with defending Norway as part of Nato. The UK has permanent bases in Norway for this purpose storing equipment that cannot be brought across quickly. Basically how it works is the soldiers get on a plane and fly there, pretty much everything else they need is already in Norway. They also train regularly in Norway.

    So where would you like the British Army bases to be located NOW, to protect Ireland in any future conflict.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 24,094 Mod ✭✭✭✭robinph


    Not needed because invading UK or Europe via Ireland is a stupid move for pretty much any country, except if Ireland itself is about to invade.

    Russia taking Norway would make slightly more sense as they have natural resources, and better access to the North Atlantic than Russia currently does. Ireland gains Russia nothing except making their invading forces an easy target.



  • Registered Users Posts: 971 ✭✭✭bob mcbob


    Ah ok so for historic reasons you don't want permanent British Army bases on Irish soil but you do want the Brits to get involved if Ireland is actually threatened. But Ireland is never going to be threatened because to do anything against a defenceless country would be "stupid"

    Thanks for sharing



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 24,094 Mod ✭✭✭✭robinph


    No, Ireland has no strategic value for someone wanting to attack NATO.

    Therefore why join NATO? Ireland also has nothing of value to NATO. No large military, no natural resources and whilst use of Shannon and somewhere to put up radar monitoring would have been useful in the 50s, it's of no use to NATO now and the US is already using Shannon.


    Most useful thing Ireland has to offer is being neutral, of sorts, and speaking the same language and close in mindset to the UK and USA so useful for negotiations at the end of WW3. But that's about it.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 24,094 Mod ✭✭✭✭robinph


    It's not that attacking a defenceless nation would be stupid, it's that invading an island, off the coast of another island, off the coast of a continent you are ultimately aiming to attack is stupid when you have to get around and over that continent before invading that defenseless island.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,044 ✭✭✭patnor1011


    Yeah. 2-3 now then another couple more. Then only 4-5 so we could add on and maintain what we got for first 2-3...

    We already do have black hole which swallow everything we toss in it. Just imagine how can we reduce some of waiting lists if we toss another only 2-3 billion to HSE to increase our chances to live little longer. Investing in prolonging life expectancy beats investing in killing machines and toys for big boys.

    Get call of duty and enjoy your wars.



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    No it wouldn't the cost wouldn't increase in multiples of billions ,you can throw 2 billion into the hse tomorrow but guess what it won't solve a thing unfortunately



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,044 ✭✭✭patnor1011


    "So where would you like the British Army bases to be located NOW, to protect Ireland in any future conflict."

    Nowhere. There is no need. You did not mention little detail when you went on about Norway. That Norway is about 45x further away from UK than Ireland if we disregard NI. If we count NI then Brittish are already here.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 595 ✭✭✭jimdemp


    leo varadkar is not a man to trust. Any person who wants Ireland invading countries and fighting wars are maniacs. Neutrality is a thing to be proud of



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,044 ✭✭✭patnor1011


    Exactly. So you propose to have two black holes instead of one? As if we could afford it.

    So throwing 2-3 billion on military expenditure will solve what exactly?

    Nothing is the answer.



  • Registered Users Posts: 27,689 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    In such a scenario, unlikely as it is, not being a member of NATO doesn't help us and may harm us.

    There is no onus on NATO to defend us. Therefore, they could just ensure that Ireland is of no use to Russia by bombing every facility.



  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    It will improve our ability to monitor our skies and waters more effectively, better SAR ability around the whole island,we could be more effective in drug smuggling detection ,and Fisheries protection,.

    It's a win / win ,

    Imagine having pride in our defense forces and their abilities



  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 16,321 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    Unlikelihood of WW3 aside, have you seen where Ireland is compared to the supply line between the major NATO power and much of the rest of the organisation?

    If you wanted to make life difficult for the US to get its forces from A to B, the best options are Iceland, Greenland or Ireland. The first two are defended by NATO forces.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,600 ✭✭✭quokula


    If WW3 kicks off properly then why would Russia decide to divert resources away from the front line, and take time out to invade Dublin when, as you said yourself, the US wouldn't even have the capacity to get here because they'd be focused on the war effort. Never mind the fact that even if the US was too busy to care about Ireland, they'd very much care about the opportunity to take out large numbers of Russian troops exposed on sea transport on their way to Ireland.

    Ireland is not on the radar of any potential invasion. NATO membership makes sense for former soviet countries who Putin might see as targets to rebuild the empire. Joining NATO just puts Ireland in a position to be pulled into wars that don't involve us.

    We're geographically distant from any current potential aggressors, and have the natural protection of being an island. We have no major natural resources or strategic value that would make us a target in a major war. We have no historic connection that some dictator with delusions of grandeur could use to justify an invasion to reclaim (other than the UK, but if they got to that stage of dictatorship then NATO is in trouble). We have a huge amount of soft power economically, culturally and through the influence of our diaspora who hold a huge amount of sway in both American political parties.

    There is just no chance of us coming under attack, and even less chance of the US, UK and Europe not coming to our aid if somehow it did happen. If we join NATO however we first become obliged to divert public funds away from important services like healthcare and education and into a black hole of military expenditure that helps nobody, while secondly we'll also be expected to send Irish people to die in distant wars if the worst comes to the worst.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 24,094 Mod ✭✭✭✭robinph


    Which is why the UK would respond to an attack on Ireland.

    But any of those three islands, whilst being great bases for control of the North Atlantic for whoever has them, are basically impossible for a non NATO force to take just due to their location and the location of the enemy.


    There is nowhere for Russia to build up their forces before any attack on Ireland without being taken out on the way, and they then have no safe supply route either.


    Attacking Ireland once things have already begun is a different matter, assuming nukes don't end the war before it starts, but being a NATO member wouldn't matter at that point once WW3 has started.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,659 ✭✭✭ittakestwo


    The pros of joining nato is to protect us from a non existence chance of being invaded. Negative is we have to get into wars protecting other nato members that are realistically at risk of invasion ( Baltic countries). If I was Finnish maybe I would say it would be a good idea to join as it was part of the Russian empire and has a border with russia but for us no.

    Also Nato is a damaged brand. Alot of countries don't like it and see it as a threat.

    There is also a lot of "West Brits" who are peddling this as they don't like Ireland's independent descion of being neutral in world affairs. They would rather us be a little Britain and stick our oar into other nations affairs so they can feel more at home in Ireland.



  • Registered Users Posts: 68,698 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    The invading force would need a supply line too, can you map a secure one out?



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  • Registered Users Posts: 971 ✭✭✭bob mcbob


    Ok here are some questions for you and the other "little Irelanders" -

    • Does Ireland benefit from being part of the EU
    • Does Ireland benefit from being an open and democratic country with Western type freedoms

    If the answer to any of these is yes -

    • Does Ireland have any responsibilities to the other members of the EU as a result of the benefits received
    • Does Ireland have any responsibilities from the benefits it receives from being an open and democratic country with Western freedoms

    If the answer to any of these is yes -

    • please identify how Ireland current meets these responsibilities


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