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"Green" policies are destroying this country

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  • Registered Users Posts: 28,843 ✭✭✭✭_Kaiser_


    That one is easy. Increased charges on electricity, (re)charging at public points, "motor" tax and VRT increases etc.

    As I said elsewhere today, before too long buying/running an EV will be no cheaper than a modern diesel.



  • Registered Users Posts: 22,408 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    Countries very often have a surplus of energy to export. Ireland regularly exports electricity to Northern Ireland

    Plus, Wind turbines are regularly shut when they could be generating electricity because there is surplus electricity being generated.

    Dumping cheap electricity into the European electricity market by going back to burning coal would do way more harm than good to the long term energy infrastructure as it would hugely distort the market for electricity and delay the transition to a modern carbon neutral energy infrastructure



  • Registered Users Posts: 22,408 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    The reality is we have to transition from fossil fuels as quickly as possible.

    You're the one who is ignoring reality because you are ideologically opposed taking the necessary measures required to prevent the worst effects of climate change

    The scientific evidence is on the side of acting urgently to address climate change, not the business as usual scenarios that have been pushed by the oil industry and the greenwashing they continue to promote that tries to convince everyone that we can continue to do nothing as long as we are 'net zero' by some point (always decades in the future)



  • Registered Users Posts: 6,191 ✭✭✭RandomViewer


    The current Green plan seems to be power on a windy day, sit in the dark on a calm one. How long do you think that type of idiocy will be tolerated?



  • Registered Users Posts: 28,843 ✭✭✭✭_Kaiser_


    Again that's a nice call to arms and soundbite for an article somewhere, but it does nothing to address how you do those things in a country like ours with problems like those I gave examples of earlier.

    "We must do something!" is all well and good, but again reality can't be ignored either.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 22,408 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    In case you weren't paying attention, the fuel price increases are caused by the war in Ukraine and Ireland's reliance on imported oil and gas

    Not caused by taxes as much as you'd like to blame the greens.

    Note, the government cut excise by 20c and the prices haven't come down and are unlikely to come down until we are no longer held hostage to importing fossil fuels from the most corrupt and dangerous places in the world.



  • Registered Users Posts: 28,843 ✭✭✭✭_Kaiser_


    And that right there is why people won't support it. Just as with most Left economics, it doesn't stack up once you peel away the cover sheet.



  • Registered Users Posts: 6,191 ✭✭✭RandomViewer


    €2k a year Tax would have most of the country contributing to a gofundme page to send the government to that euthanasia clinic in Switzerland,



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,177 ✭✭✭Fandymo


    Ah scientific modelling. Amazing how it's always the worst case scenario model that is presented. Twas the same with Covid. You'd almost think it was on purpose.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 6,191 ✭✭✭RandomViewer


    Oil is dropping, think someone had a word with investors telling them whatever short-term gains they were making would be wiped out by a turbocharged recession. Expect oil back at $80 dollars a barrell by months end



  • Registered Users Posts: 22,408 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    Eh, Texas had their blackouts because their Fossil Fuel power stations shut down because the pipes froze, and because Texas didn't want to meet the standards of the wider US grid so did not have interconnectors with other states.

    Only the propaganda from the Fossil fuel sector and their mouthpieces keep blaming it on the Wind power, and the right wing climate change denial media and blogs were happy to spread those lies around the world



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,177 ✭✭✭Fandymo


    Per capita for CO2 is a stupid argument.

    We may be worse "per capita" than China, but lets say everyone in Europe decides to go back to stone age living with 0 CO2 output and the China continues on the way it is. Will it stop climate change? No.



  • Registered Users Posts: 28,843 ✭✭✭✭_Kaiser_


    Just look at historical precedent in this country alone. Everyone is all for Green policies and virtue signalling in the good times - but when those times end and the harsh economic realities take hold, that support evaporates rapidly.

    It's why the Greens will be overruled on their LNG stance yet, why the Government cut excise on fuel this week (and probably will have to do so again), and why the upcoming carbon taxes will be postponed if Putin continues to drive to the Polish border as he's likely to do.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,848 ✭✭✭?Cee?view




  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Still unlikely to happen though. Those places are mothballed, the fuel is not being created and all the staff are gone. A quick solution it ain't



  • Registered Users Posts: 22,408 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    Yeah, lets just bury our head in the sand, and get completely out manouvered by other countries like china who have a long term plan to become the dominant provider of infrastructure globally

    Ireland has an opportunity to become leaders in offshore wind production in Europe, we could become net exporters of energy and our companies could be global leaders in helping other countries to transition to a carbon neutral infrastructure

    We should be positioning ourselves for the future that we need to get to, instead of hitching ourselves to obsolete technology

    China plan decades in advance and so they are decades ahead in emerging sectors. Ireland should be pushing forward with the infrastructure we'll need for the coming century



  • Registered Users Posts: 22,408 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    If you think that's the plan then you're grossly misinformed.

    But the old straw man argument is always nice and easy to throw out for some easy thanks



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    You'll find most of the posts from that poster are misinformed



  • Registered Users Posts: 28,843 ✭✭✭✭_Kaiser_


    Ireland has an opportunity to become leaders in offshore wind production in Europe, we could become net exporters of energy and our companies could be global leaders in helping other countries to transition to a carbon neutral infrastructure

    I think you've hit on the real reason for this crusade. It's all about Ireland's "image" on the world stage. We already know we love that "everyone loves the Irish" and make big deals about plastic bag levies, smoking bans, and even "how far we've come" when Leo became Taoiseach - Paddy loves to be approved of and validated! It's a massive inferiority complex that I don't think we're ever going to grow put of.

    As for the rest.. you expect a massively indebted country of 5 million people with significant social and economic problems as it is to outmanoeuvre the likes of China (who are not only many magnitudes larger but have a political system entirely different to ours). How do you expect to PAY for this by chance? WHO do you expect to pay for this? The same people I referenced earlier who are struggling to pay their bills and even GET to work at the moment?

    Like I said, it's all well-intentioned but its idealistic fantasy!



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  • Registered Users Posts: 22,408 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    How do we go ahead? We build the planned interconnectors to the EU mainland, and we build the offshore wind farms we are planning on building, and we suck up the cost of the current price spikes through grants and subsidies to low income families, and benefit from the fact that electricity produced by wind power will return supernormal profits for as long as oil and gas imports are inflated

    Someone one here said the government could pass emergency measures to get the peat powerplants open faster despite the planning permission being denied, if they can do this, (and I'm not the one advocating this) then they should use those same powers to over-rule the Nimby objections that are holding up the interconnectors that are becoming increasingly vital pieces of national infrastructure



  • Registered Users Posts: 15,076 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    After just 15 months in storage I would not see it as requiring much cost or effort to get it operational. Same for reassembling.



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,242 ✭✭✭brokenangel


    Really? in the early 2000, companies like Mainstream had already come up with a plan to power all of Europe with renewable technology including Ireland.



  • Registered Users Posts: 22,408 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    The projections from the likes of the IPCC are very far from the worst case scenario. They're actually very conservative and the science itself often produces much more alarming results than the IPCC report.

    The plausible worst case scenario sees the Hothouse Earth scenario emerging within this century, runaway climate change that ultimately causes the extinction of the human race. https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.1810141115

    The IPCC say climate sensitivity is about 3c up to a plausible maximum of 4c (these are extremely damaging btw)

    We will reach a doubling of CO2 (560ppm by about 2060 based on our current trajectory) and while it takes a bit of time to reach the equilibrium temperature, we would be essentially committed to 3-4c of warming by mid century, and that's only if we can cap concentrations at 560ppm, which is not likely to happen especially if many of the people on this thread get their way)

    The actual worst case scenario is that warming of this magnitude will cross certain tipping points where positive feedback amplifies warming and takes it completely out of human control. Methane could be released from permafrost for example, which could see GHGs increase dramatically over a very short period of time

    We do NOT want this to happen, but we do not know what the threshold for this is, and every additional % of a degree of warming we cause, increases the risk that we will pass these points of no return.



  • Registered Users Posts: 6,191 ✭✭✭RandomViewer


    You override planning you have to allow everything then, no objections to building over Phoenix Park, no objections to using the Shannon for landfill, fracking the centre of Sligo (might be an improvement)rules are there for a reason, circumventing them for what you see is a greater good will mean you have to accept what others see as their greater good as well



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,242 ✭✭✭brokenangel


    Per capita is a normal measure for CO2.

    The LNG is going to be blocked by the majority of parties and the majority of people in Ireland.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,734 ✭✭✭lalababa


    The future lies in sustainability. The slower we are now to change the quicker the change will ultimately be. For countries climate change has become a threat to their very nations..like a war threat. The more advanced/richer/more educated/better resourced countries are now in a race to green up.

    Greening up will include total renewable energy, a major lock down on pollution and habitat explotation, a massive tree planting, a total shift to sustainable products, a major backing away from consumerism, a total shift in work ethics from what we know today. (Alot of people today make and sell non sustainable stuff/services we don't need.)

    This change is ordained, there's no getting away from it. And to be honest imo it will be no big deal.



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,242 ✭✭✭brokenangel


    Some people are always going to bury their heads in the sand and blame everyone else.

    It's up to everyone else to get on with fixing the issue. For years people have been saying Ireland is too reliant on fossil fuels and we should invest in sustainable projects, the hope for me was fuel prices got so high it would drag the rest. Instead in seems they want to double down and blame the government tax, not actually realise that fossil fuel is slowing running out and the cost of petrol/diesel will always continue to rise.


    Now is the time to get ahead of it



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,242 ✭✭✭brokenangel


    😂

    Per capita is the perfect way, then we know which countries have the dirtiest. Every country has a different population so the correct way is to measure per person

    Irish people don't like it because it shows that in terms of the World, pointing at China and blaming them is incorrect. We are worse than China, plus we have very little manufacturing because China does it all for us. Which makes Ireland all the worse.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 22,408 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia



    My figures are probably a bit out of date, but here's what I found about how much of a window we have to keep warming below 2c

    There are 8 billion people on the planet and we have a fixed carbon budget to avoid the worst impacts of climate change. How would you allocate that carbon budget

    The carbon budget to stay below 2c is about 275 billion tonnes of carbon equivalent emissions

    thats 34 tonnes of carbon emissions per human on this planet.

    Ireland emits about 8.3 tonnes of carbon per person per year.

    If we were to distribute this fairly, Ireland would run out of our allocation in 4 years

    China would run out in about 5 years (Much of their carbon pollution is actually used to produce and transport goods for sale in the west, so its really our carbon emissions)

    Globally we will run out of our carbon budget in less than 8 years

    Basically, we're not going to be able to keep warming to below 2c, so the new best case scenario is to try to keep it below 3c


    Given that we have so little room to play with, how would you allocate the remaining carbon budget in a fair and reasonable way?

    If Per capita is stupid, what is a better way? (I have a suspicion it's along the lines of 'Let Me pollute as much as I want...)



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