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Did the USA play a significantly negative role in events leading to Ukraine invasion?

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  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Meanwhile you're the strategic genius who thinks Ukraine have no remaining air force.



  • Registered Users Posts: 12,017 ✭✭✭✭Flinty997


    It might be both sides are holding back aircraft as it's hostile environment. Neither seems to have any effective anti missile systems.

    Weirdly the Russians seem to have pulled all sorts of odd tanks from all over Russia to fight in Ukraine. The Ukrainians seem to be holding back theirs.

    Not really sure what's going on.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,245 ✭✭✭Cheerful S


    Shall we ignore the US misleading the media about the state of the war and allegd Ukraine counterattacks? The Russian army is in complete disarray here victory for Ukraine is near !!

    Read the main thread in current affairs, it fun read.

    The French defense ministry thankfully got a more accurate map of the war, showing the Russian military capture of land in the east and south, the Ukrainian army is in deep trouble and maybe wiped out unless they track an exit route out of there soon. Notice the yellow with no lines that area is encircled thats very bad for Ukraine. Russian forces pushing up from the South forces reach the 3 and 2 spots on the map there cut off.

    https://www.defense.gouv.fr/ukraine-point-situation



  • Registered Users Posts: 12,017 ✭✭✭✭Flinty997


    I wonder did you read it. Because thats not what it says.


    Notable points:

    the pressure on the urban centers of the East and the South remains in particular at Mariupol where the Russians produce their effort;

    • the general tactical situation remains fixed but the Ukrainian forces lead some localized counter-attacks.


    On the northern front:

    Kyiv:

    • the encirclement maneuver is not finished and is constrained by the flood of the Irpin River;

    • the city of Makariv has been have been retaken after a Ukrainian counterattack.


    On the eastern front:

    Kharkov:

    • the Russian encirclement maneuver continues and the strikes intensify.


    Dnepro:

    • Russian progress towards this point is slowed down by the fighting, in particular for the troops arriving from the north and east.

    Mariupol:

    • the rejection of the Russian ultimatum signals the beginning of the urban offensive supported

    • Ukrainian forces are surrounded.


    On the southern front:

    Mykolaiv:

    • bombardments and fighting are always intense for the control of the town and its surroundings;

    • Ukrainian counter-offensives block the Russian advance.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators, Regional East Moderators, Regional Midlands Moderators, Regional Midwest Moderators, Regional Abroad Moderators, Regional North Mods, Regional West Moderators, Regional South East Moderators, Regional North East Moderators, Regional North West Moderators, Regional South Moderators Posts: 9,133 CMod ✭✭✭✭Fathom


    The fog of war. Who knows for certain what’s going on with this active war? Who is winning? Who is losing? Is there a temporary stalemate? Now? But not in the next few hours or days or weeks?

    Before and after satellite imagery of Russian attacked cities provided some physical evidence, but not all. There are a multiplicity of reasons that will determine the outcome. The southern port of Mariupol appears to have suffered from a scorched earth policy.

    This former city of over 400K citizens now appears destroyed. Yet Ukraine’s government, military, and volunteers have refused to surrender, if reports have any reliability? Surrender or not, there is no conclusive evidence that the Russians have fully occupied this city, and the fighting continues on both sides. Perhaps street by street. But who knows for certain?

    Clausewitz suggested “War is the realm of uncertainty; three quarters of the factors on which action in war is based are wrapped up in a fog of greater or lesser uncertainty.”

    At this moment in time, is there any merit to what Clausewitz suggests? I think so. You?



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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,245 ✭✭✭Cheerful S


    Map only shows the current and the last advances right today, but can see potential moves are in the end. My view anyway.


    . Russian forces can go around them (red lines) this totally encloses the Eastern front. The stumbling block is the Mariupol fight. Russia has a lot of troops there need to free up for the encirclement further east.

    What you disputing the Redlines is today Russian-controlled territory!!! It's land that Ukraine lost during the three-week war. .There is very little for Ukraine to be ecstatic about.

    City of Makariv retaken- Northwest.

    Russia took very little territory there. How big is the army there to stop a counterattack?

    Northeast : Russia controls the extensive area of land, there just outside Kyiv.

    I consider Kyiv is an illusion and actual objectives are in the south and east. Russians are masters at military deception, so wouldn't be surprised the whole move was to stop Ukraine forces from breaking off and helping the forces down the south and over in the east. Looking at the map gone to plan, with probably more losses than the wanted.  



  • Registered Users Posts: 25,234 ✭✭✭✭King Mob


    Again cheerful, why are you pretending to know what you're talking about?

    You're clearly just making this all up in your head. Nothing you're saying has any basis in reality. You are simply discounting anything that doesn't support your pal Putin as propaganda and you accept anything he says as gospel truth.


    "The Russians are masters at military deception." Lol.



  • Registered Users Posts: 12,017 ✭✭✭✭Flinty997


    I didn't dispute anything it's your map. I just put it through the translator because it didn't match your summary.

    Which you've now added marker to...





  • Registered Users Posts: 17,928 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    Biden said it was likely Russia would invade, Russia denied it, multiple times. Russia invaded.

    The US has never claimed that "victory for Ukraine is near". Again, you live in a bizarre fantasy reality where you just pick random pieces of info (or disinfo) and make up a narrative out of it.



  • Registered Users Posts: 25,234 ✭✭✭✭King Mob


    No you see, in Cheerful's world, Russia never denied anything. It never happened.

    And remember, it's not an invasion or a war. It's a "special military operation."

    The Russians aren't getting bogged down and **** up, it's all a cunning plan.

    War is peace.

    We've always been at war with Eurasia.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 17,928 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    If they can't get a conspiracy out of it, they are more than happy to pretend that world's media is wrong and they know better.



  • Registered Users Posts: 25,234 ✭✭✭✭King Mob


    So far Cheerful has claimed to be an expert in history, physics, welding, ballistics, law and now military strategy.



  • Registered Users Posts: 17,928 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe



    Putin illegally invades a European country based on lies.

    Conspiracy community: The US must be to blame for this

    The anti-Western fanatics: The US must be equally to blame for this

    The concern-trolls: Who cares about the US, I'm just really concerned about Zelensky's past



  • Registered Users Posts: 25,234 ✭✭✭✭King Mob


    "But... but... there might be nazis in the Ukraine." whines the holocaust denier.



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,600 ✭✭✭CalamariFritti


    I don't know tbh. I don't know much about war and certainly haven't read Clausewitz and the likes. I'd consider myself a pacifist if anything. I do think however that anyone thinking they have a somewhat accurate picture from mainstream & social media are kidding themselves. I'm sure the decision makers involved know what's going on to some degree but the general public wouldn't have a chance. AFAIK people on both sides have actually been ordered to spread misinformation. As this is a weapon in a conflict. So anything I read and hear on any channel, I'd take it with a pinch of salt.

    There are certain bigger and somewhat undisputed indicators we can draw conclusions from. Like I said the calls from the Ukrainian government for air support for one thing. That one seems a rather desperate and repeated call and the conclusion one can draw from that is that its not looking good there for the Ukrainians. Which would be supported by the Ukrainian army and paramilitaries going into the urban infrastructures. I would think you don't do that unless you have to. Unless out in the open you'd just get picked off.



  • Registered Users Posts: 12,017 ✭✭✭✭Flinty997


    There are news sites which are specialist for military, aviation and naval news. They know when fake video and photos are being used and they can tell you where equipment and units have come from.

    You don't have to follow social media for your information.



  • Registered Users Posts: 12,017 ✭✭✭✭Flinty997


    The allies learnt in WW2 if you bomb a city into rubble you're creating natural fortifications and bunkers. Makes it very hard to dig defenders out of that. A smaller number of defenders can hold a much bigger attacker in those situations. It makes taking a city slow and expensive.

    We can see the Russians are forced due to the poor terrain to stay on the roads. There they stickout like a sore thumb and are very vulnerable to ambush from all sides. We have lots of footage of that happening.

    Eventually sheer weight of numbers should mean the Russians will grind down the Ukrainians. But it will be at a very high cost in men and equipment. We can see this the way Russia is pulling resources from all over Russia. This is highlighting the age of the Russian equipment and limited resources they have these days.



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,600 ✭✭✭CalamariFritti


    Which brings us back to you can lose the war with your country turned into rubble or you can lose the war with your country intact.

    Of course it suits the West to tie up Russia into a long ugly conflict. Not much care for the average Ukrainian Joe there lets be honest. Which brings us back to the thread title.



  • Registered Users Posts: 12,017 ✭✭✭✭Flinty997


    Giving into bullies does not deter them. History has taught us this. Especially one that makes their own population disappear.

    West didn't tie Russia into anything. It's Putin own actions that have caused this. He's picked a fight with his own neighbour. Who cares more for the Ukrainians the ones killing them, or the ones not killing them. Not much grey there.

    The thread title has changed. It still makes no sense. Ukraine politically sat on the fence for years. The only thing that pushed them off the fence was Putin. The US basically failed to do that.



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,600 ✭✭✭CalamariFritti


    So what is more important, some geo-strategic 'were not giving in to bullies' or the fate of millions of Ukrainian Marys and Joes? Countries are places to live in for their people not chess pieces.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 12,017 ✭✭✭✭Flinty997


    The Ukrainians decided for themselves democracy was more important to them than a police state. They should know they been one before.

    They were told before the war start the West would not commit any of their own forces to this conflict.

    You might night not value democracy or political freedom. But you're able to express that opinion because people fought and died to allow you that freedom. Which is apt considering the time of year.



  • Registered Users Posts: 25,234 ✭✭✭✭King Mob




  • Registered Users Posts: 17,928 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    Ukraine, a democratic country, has decided to fight. Other democratic countries are supporting their decision, and are helping them. The Ukrainians know the brutality of Russian rule and it's apparent they'd rather resist than go back.

    You made some very bizarre claims earlier in the thread, you were asked questions which you dodged. Those questions still stand.



  • Registered Users Posts: 25,234 ✭✭✭✭King Mob


    Watch now as the uncomfortable fact is just dismissed as propaganda without any reason for doing so.



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,600 ✭✭✭CalamariFritti


    What it comes down to is whether you think that the West has isolated and encircled Russia against all agreements and with bad intentions. Or whether it is at least reasonable or plausible for Russia to perceive it that way.

    Or not.

    I think it's the former.

    Whether that justifies what Russia is doing is another question but at least it will give another perspective as to this silly 'Putin has gone mad'. And 'we' are the snow-white bewildered innocent.

    Which is right on-topic IMO.



  • Registered Users Posts: 25,234 ✭✭✭✭King Mob


    But no one here is arguing "Putin has gone mad".

    Do you believe that Russia's actions, including invading a country and targeting civilians, are justified?



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,600 ✭✭✭CalamariFritti


    I dont believe war is justified in any context so I don't believe its justified here. But I don't believe Russia is targeting civilians either.



  • Registered Users Posts: 25,234 ✭✭✭✭King Mob


    Ok. The majority of people and reporting disagree with you however.

    How do you know that Russia isn't targeting civilians? What do you believe is really happening when Russian troops destroy things like maternity hospitals, residential buildings and theatres?


    Also, since you agree that his actions aren't justified, why do you believe that Putin shouldn't just stop his invasion? You have argued that the people in Ukraine should stop fighting and that other countries should just stop supporting them. Why not extend this to the person who ordered the invasion and could stop it easily?



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,600 ✭✭✭CalamariFritti


    I believe that these are either propaganda stunts or there are Ukrainian military hiding in those facilities or a bit of both.

    I can't see any scenario where a Russian army would attack and blow up such facilities for the hell of it. Nobody is that **** mad and sorry I simply don't believe the Russians would be that cruel and mad either.

    Hitler did this in those very regions. Extermination and scorched earth tactics. I simply refuse to believe that Russia would do this.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 17,928 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    How do you have views on something you repeatedly claim (and demonstrate) you know next to nothing about?

    Modern artillery systems are accurate, so why does Russian artillery keep hitting humanitarian corridors in Mariupol? Why do Russian pilots hit specific buildings marked clearly marked "children"? When MRLS rockets hit residential areas, is that a mistake each time? Why were Russian units firing on Zaporizhzhya nuclear power plant?

    The stock Russian answer is that there are Ukrainian Nazi's hiding in every building or that the Ukrainians are shelling their own civilians and blaming the Russians. Since you are regurgitating Putin's talking points here one by one is that going to be your answer? You going to make up something else?

    Or just ignore the "uncomfortable" questions like you did earlier. Choices, choices.

    Keep in mind that every man, woman or child to die in Ukraine as a result of this invasion is entirely Putin's fault and responsibility... because he made the unilateral and unprovoked decision to invade the country. Remember to decorate your response with "Putin is bad but".



This discussion has been closed.
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