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Russia - threadbanned users in OP

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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,245 ✭✭✭Cheerful S


    Russia showed its power here to resist western economic warfare. Cant bully a big nation like you can do with a small one. Fascinating here is Russia turned the tables around and asked countries to pay for fuel with rubbles. Undermines the petrodollar, which keeps the United States afloat.




  • Registered Users Posts: 17,468 ✭✭✭✭fritzelly


    Russian propaganda forums are over there to the east, conspiracy forum round the corner



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,245 ✭✭✭Cheerful S


    Sure the Russian ruble was supposed to crash according to the predictions. Of course, all the predictions have never materialised. It was one of the strongest performing currencies in the world. You know why because Europe needs fuel and so those the rest of the world. Cant source from other countries, there going to buy in deals done in the background.



  • Registered Users Posts: 17,468 ✭✭✭✭fritzelly




  • Registered Users Posts: 1,245 ✭✭✭Cheerful S


    Like I said be part of the real world.

    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-04-13/german-economic-institutes-cut-growth-outlook-on-war-impact]

    If Russian cut off gas Germany would be in a severe economic recession and so would the rest of Europe. When people start losing jobs and income its not good. EU well aware they need Russia and there years away from cutting them off., they need a new source of supply and that takes time.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 17,468 ✭✭✭✭fritzelly


    Only two countries in Europe are significantly dependant on Russia for gas - that does not equate to the EU

    Those two and rest of the countries that even use it are moving away from Russian gas and now moving from the winter months the dependence is massively removed



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,245 ✭✭✭Cheerful S


    About 40 percent of gas supplied to Europe comes from Russia. What country going to replace that percentage? Got an answer, let's have it.. Russia has other countries it sells it to like India and China just to name two, account for almost 30 percent of the world population.Really cant destroy Russian economy when other nations buy their products and goods,



  • Registered Users Posts: 16,574 ✭✭✭✭Francie Barrett


    That's not what happened. Putin demanded that Europe pay for Russian gas with roubles. European leaders met, came to an agreement, and turned him down. Putin restructured the deal so that Europe would continue to pay in Euro, but the Moscow Stock Exchange would perform the conversion of Euro to Rouble, after Europe had made the payment.

    In other words, Putin made a demand that was rejected, in order to safe face he proposed a ridiculous scheme of Euro conversion to Rouble in order to save face.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,245 ✭✭✭Cheerful S


    Bit of fighting taking place on what to do. Some countries are considering it and others are refusing it. Some countries outside of the EU are already paying Russia with rubbles, which undermines the Petrodollar. Putin did something not thought possible. Countries start using rubles to buy energy/fuel this has a negative impact on the United States economy.

    Article is only a few days old.



  • Registered Users Posts: 16,574 ✭✭✭✭Francie Barrett


    Only one European country has said they would pay for gas in Roubles, that was Hungary.

    When Putin demanded that Europe pays for gas in Roubles, every other country told Russia to go chew rocks. At that point, Russia had two options.

    1. Turns off the gas.
    2. Accept Euro.

    They chose to accept Euro rather than turn off the gas.

    Putin was afraid. He blinked and stood down from his demands.



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  • Russia is a gas station with nukes. Thats about it



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 60,146 Mod ✭✭✭✭Wibbs


    Cnoc, you do get that it's possible to laud an action, even if it's a foolish one, or in this case a laudable action done foolishly, without any cognitive dissonance required? Like hailing a weak swimmer diving in to save a drowning man as a genuine hero even if both of them end up drowning. I stand by every part of those quoted posts.

    It seems Zelensky in his position takes a somewhat similar view. He talks far more about weapons than Ukrainain refugees or humanitarian aid(we've given 40 million in that). Never mind the open secret of Russian dirty money bankrolling their British interests including their current government(and their Labour party isn't exactly squeaky clean here too), he lauds the British government for the weapons they have given, while ignoring the Ukrainians refugees they haven't taken. Apparently Britain is "with us", Ireland "not quite there". Whose country is the only one whose delegate didn't get the Zelensky handshake for the cameras treatment? The first foreign and defence minister to visit and UN security council member with it.

    I also mused in the same thread that if what we were looking for was political praise and the feelgoods from Zelensky it does seem we would have been better off emptying the stores of the Curragh of weapons we'll never use and taken in a couple of thousand Ukrainian refugees and capped it at that. It certainly also would have been far cheaper in the short, medium and long term.

    Rejoice in the awareness of feeling stupid, for that’s how you end up learning new things. If you’re not aware you’re stupid, you probably are.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 60,146 Mod ✭✭✭✭Wibbs


    In other news; water is wet. They really do look like a very bad design, what with the ammunition in a ring within the crew compartment. Other tank designs have the ammo stored seperately away from the crew, with a strong bulkhead between them and weak blow off panels on the outside, so if the ammo does go off the forces take the easy way out, away from the crew increasing survivability. In the Russian design those forces go towards the crew and often cause such incredible forces that the entire turret can blow off like a jack in the box.

    See the grey ring under the turret. That's the ammo. 😮 Which tends to lead to this:

    and this:

    Or this, IMHO one of the most striking images of this conflict;


    Rejoice in the awareness of feeling stupid, for that’s how you end up learning new things. If you’re not aware you’re stupid, you probably are.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,553 ✭✭✭Fiery mutant


    To be fair Wibbs, I think zelensky asking for weapons instead of mentioning refugees, is because one is an after effect of the other. If they had been given the weapons they need, there might not be as many refugees.

    It be like thanking a crowd of people for calling an ambulance, after they all stood by and watched while you got the **** beaten out of you by some scumbag.

    We should defend our way of life to an extent that any attempt on it is crushed, so that any adversary will never make such an attempt in the future.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,578 ✭✭✭Field east


    Ody, a great post. I am sure that it is ok with you if the Russians can use it to make their case to UP THE ANTE



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    The countries around Russia are afraid of being invaded by Russia... I wonder why 🤔... THEY want to join NATO. Why stop them?

    Why do you think they want to join NATO? Why can't they be happy to be governed by a selfish dictator that's happy to use them as cannon fodder. Strange, isn't it!?

    In your defence there is a lot of BS propaganda... see the sky link...



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,578 ✭✭✭Field east


    Is it not to stop RU from doing what it is currently at -ie invading a soverign country.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,002 ✭✭✭Dufflecoat Fanny



    This guy knows his stuff I've been watching his videos since the start of the war. Ex military specialist in logistics



  • Registered Users Posts: 547 ✭✭✭shillyshilly


    you're missing a key word.... Yet.

    The ruble is being artificially inflated which makes it look good short term... (it's actually a form of insider trading before an economy goes to ****....let it hit really low, and buy.... then hyper inflate and sell at that price = free money, and making the best of a bad situation)....

    They've not already defaulted on international loans, which makes their trust rating sink into the toilet for the craic....



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 60,146 Mod ✭✭✭✭Wibbs


    Before this conflict that ineptness hadn't been tested. It's pretty clear now that they are not close to the fighting force that was assumed. Or even egged on by US military contractors as they had done in the Cold War with the missile gap which was huge, but military contracts are lucrative.

    The countries around them who had been once part of the Soviet Union were the ones looking to NATO. The British empire outside of nations like Ireland who wanted feck all to do with them politically were at least able to cobble together some sort of commonwealth after their empire fell. The Russians tried but weren't. Their ex colonies wanted nothing to do with Mother Russia as they knew them only too well. The few that seemed to like Ukraine and Belarus only did so because of putin puppets in charge. Chechnya wanted them gone and putin had to flatten the country and stick another puppet in charge to bring them back to the fold. Ukraine is a good example of one who thought eff this, got shot of putin's puppet and looked westward. And look how putin has reacted, just like he did in Chechnya and Georgia, but this time it blew back in his face.

    His talk of "nazis" in Ukraine further illustrates his nonsense. Yes there are indeed hard right nationalists in Ukraine(that otherwise Right On people will praise Azov makes me laugh TBH). Their mainstream parties are hardly the twitter friendly FG we get here either and before this war they were still considered the second most corrupt nation in Europe.

    However and it's a big however; ten, fifteen, twenty years ago Ukraine had far more hard right nationalists and support and they were in power and the country was more corrupt. So why didn't putin invade to remove "nazis" then? Why did he wait until "nazis" couldn't even return a single seat in parliament and corruption is being tackled? I have found this question to shut Russian supporters down on twitter and elsewhere. They have no answer to this, even with their other delusions. Or they know and can't admit it. He didn't invade ten, fifteen, twenty years ago because he had no problems with "nazis", not when they were his "nazis". He certainly has no problem with the Wagner group. They only become "nazis" when he can't control them.

    If tomorrow morning Azov went nuts and pledged allegiance to putin and Mother Russia they'd magically become denazified and all references to nazis in Russian propaganda around them would vanish in minutes and they'd become instant comrades in the fight against other "nazis".

    Rejoice in the awareness of feeling stupid, for that’s how you end up learning new things. If you’re not aware you’re stupid, you probably are.



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  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 60,146 Mod ✭✭✭✭Wibbs


    You'd still be damned grateful for the ambulance. And unless weapons had flooded into Ukraine before this invasion their refugee crisis would have been little affected. For men and women in the trenches knowing their families are safe and sound away from the frontlines is a huge morale boost.

    Rejoice in the awareness of feeling stupid, for that’s how you end up learning new things. If you’re not aware you’re stupid, you probably are.



  • Registered Users Posts: 547 ✭✭✭shillyshilly




  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    And what about 2023 and further afield... do you think even Germany will be stupid enough to continue to fund its enemy.

    Russia a big country? Even with its oil (Russia can drill holes in the ground thanks to Western help 🤔🙄) and gas, its economy is tiny, about the size of Italy. Its a relative nobody, about to become as irrelevant as North Korea or possibly Narnia.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 60,146 Mod ✭✭✭✭Wibbs


    Russia is getting desperate in my humble. Their propaganda has moved to claiming they're fighting NATO, because little Ukraine giving them a kicking is too unpalatable. If they didn't have nukes and they were actually fighting NATO this war would be a route and would have been over a fortnight after it started with the Russian fleet mostly sunk, their airforce blasted out of the sky or grounded in flattened airfields and their army would have been slaughtered, pushed back to their borders. Minus nukes and if they wanted to, NATO could likely take Russia itself, certainly get them to surrender and sue for peace at a table in the Kremlin looking across at NATO commanders.

    They see no real "out" that saves face for them. The only one is keeping the "independent states" in the east and calling that a "victory". They may hold the Crimea corridor when Mariupol falls, but even there I'm not so sure they can hold it for long. They'd be looking at the Northern Ireland Troubles on steroids for years with Western weapons flooding across that border. Never mind the Russian economy at home picking away at them.

    Rejoice in the awareness of feeling stupid, for that’s how you end up learning new things. If you’re not aware you’re stupid, you probably are.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    My pet Peeve... water isn't wet!

    Anyway, Zelensky didn't meet Simon, because heads of state meet heads of state. That's diplomacy 101.

    Zelensky concentrating on weapons... keep your message simple. Ukraine is in an existential crisis. Everything else is semantics.



  • Registered Users Posts: 13,826 ✭✭✭✭Danzy


    As numerous economists have pointed out, the economic effects of Russian gas being stopped are not that deep..


    Not fun but nothing that won't be over in 6 months.


    It's out of sheer cold calculation and support for Putin that Berlin has not ended it.



  • Registered Users Posts: 17,923 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe




  • Registered Users Posts: 1,652 ✭✭✭greenpilot


    Something of interest for those put off this thread by the usual tit-for-tat immaturity that's prevailing here of late.

    With a lot of focus on the situation at Mariupol of late, I came across two sites barely 100km over the border into Russia:

    As you can see, Mariupol into the left and the area in question, Tagonrog, is to the right. ( For those monitoring ADS-B or FR24, keep an eye on this area going forward). As mentioned, it's relatively close to the border:

    Moving closer, there are two airports in the region. The top one is a base for a Russian AF transport wing, with masses of AN-124 ( the type is a regular visitors to Shannon), and IL-76, which were used to drop paratroopers into Ukraine, albeit somewhat unsuccessfully. The bottom airport is of real interest. Its the main manufacturing and converting plant for Russias only Awacs variant, the Beriev A-50 and A-100, plus they also make the exotic Beriev Amphibious jet.

    Looking at the Apron of the latter, you can clearly see the Radar discs on the Beriev AWACs aircraft. These are essentially IL-76 aircraft, converted at this site. There are also, most importantly, TU-95 Bear maritime and Bomber aircraft situated here.

    Here is a picture of what the type looks like.

    What a wonderful target for Ukranian special forces...



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,578 ✭✭✭Field east


    On the assumption that there is not a significant increase in the overall need for energy - via gas , coal and oil- worldwide, would the following not be the case. For example, If the demand for energy from RU to Europe drops by ,say, 50% and is compensated by imports from other countries, RU has to seek importers for what the EU is not taking - imported by India/ China at a much reduced rate. The EU would probably have to pay more for energy imported from other ‘friendly ‘ countries.

    in summary, i

    RU ends up with a drop in income and the EU ends up having to pay more for energy. One thing that I have not factored in re the above is the replacing/ rate of replacing the energy from RU with renewable energy sources and the more efficient use of energy available at the moment eg slower driving, house insulation, etc



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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,688 ✭✭✭Economics101


    If India, China, or whoever, import Russian oil and gas at a hefty discount, and oil/gas prices are at a premium in the West, then there will be arbitrage opportunities which will tend to even things out (e.g. Indian traders selling to Europe). It might not be all that easy to police the exact original source of the oil or gas.



This discussion has been closed.
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