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General British politics discussion thread

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  • Registered Users Posts: 13,308 ✭✭✭✭hotmail.com




  • Moderators, Motoring & Transport Moderators Posts: 11,639 Mod ✭✭✭✭devnull


    I think what you will find the Tory party are doing, is spinning as any party does after an election, people who do well play it up and people who do badly play down how badly they have done. This has something that has been going on for every election since the beginning of time. All parties do it. If you don't know that you're either totally naïve or are deliberately trying to spin.

    And the most important people in an election are the voters and they have given their verdict which by the criteria specified by objective and independent analysts, is a disaster and even by the admission of the Daily Mail's own criteria is also a disaster. As much as you'd like to spin or use whataboutery, nothing can take away from that fact.

    Labour are over egging how well they did because they need to do better in the North and the Midlands. The Greens and Lib Dems are talking a good talk but in reality they are benefitting from a protest vote or lent votes in many cases. The Tories are doing worse than their own biggest supporters in the media predicted and well renowned forecasters said they would. But they're never going to admit that, because lets face it, it hardly helps the party, the same way as the Lib Dems and the Greens are not going to admit that they have benefitted from protest votes.



  • Registered Users Posts: 32,668 ✭✭✭✭gmisk


    The Tories have no morals not a shock. They are having poor results and they seem to be getting worse...closing in on 500 seats roughly lost...lol.

    He really doesn't absolutely nonsense. It's a nothing burger a Tory lead distraction.



  • Registered Users Posts: 25,728 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    He is probably in no trouble at all seeing as this was investigated months ago and nothing untoward was found.

    Public (Tory press) pressure is the only reason we are going back to it.



  • Registered Users Posts: 13,818 ✭✭✭✭Danzy


    Lots of labour people won't like to you saying that.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 25,728 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    Total BS.

    Bots have been trying to push this stupid myth for a good few years now but all you have to do is look at the results. West London is still blue turning orange and working class London is solid red.

    Labour is strong in the cities and usually in the poorer part of the cities. Anyone who peddles this notion that everyone in a city is part of a "metropolitan elite" is either a troglodyte or a liar.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 36,322 CMod ✭✭✭✭pixelburp


    Don't forget the narrative about Labour being "obsessed" with "identity politics" rather than the bread n butter issues. That canard gets trotted out a lot of late, seems to be the new rod to beat any left leaning party. Used to be "champagne socialist" was the insult aimed at at any middle class Lefties, now it's "woke". Not saying that's Danzy's angle but it is something that gets trotted out.



  • Registered Users Posts: 25,728 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985



    I'm sure it will appear at some stage today.

    The Tories are clearly in meltdown judging by the level of deflection going on.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 38,513 CMod ✭✭✭✭ancapailldorcha


    Sure. This tactic is likely to backfire in the long term though.

    If you're currently in your early twenties here, you've lived through two economic catastrophes as well as the hiking of tuition fees. You campaign for a guy who says "For the many, not the few" and you see the billionaire-owned press wailing about woke, communism and identity politics. Meanwhile, corporations, the press and other friends of the Tories have been making off like bandits. The middle continues to pay for everything.

    At some point, something like communism is going to start looking like a good idea if for no other reason than the 1% don't want it and invest significant resources into propagating disinformation. I'm not a Communist but I have been approached by Communists. I don't think it's a good idea but I see where the appeal is coming from. We're very close to a stage where anyone who lived through the war will have died. Therefore, fascism and communism will lose the spectres they've had to labour under for decades.

    The UK needs to ask who it is for. If it's a glorified geopolitical superstructure for funnelling wealth into a miniscule amount of coffers then it needs to serious start planning for the future.

    We sat again for an hour and a half discussing maps and figures and always getting back to that most damnable creation of the perverted ingenuity of man - the County of Tyrone.

    H. H. Asquith



  • Moderators, Motoring & Transport Moderators Posts: 11,639 Mod ✭✭✭✭devnull


    Daily Express resorting to North Korea style propaganda is the worst take of them all. BBC Laura's take on the BBC news website is not really much better. Client journalism at it's finest.

    Not sure how a loss of almost 500 seats can be described as being back on track, and being better than expected, when the Tory press was saying anything over 350 would be a complete disaster.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 17,964 ✭✭✭✭VinLieger


    FPtP continues to be an undemocratic sh1tshow

    https://twitter.com/electoralreform/status/1522531687778955264



  • Posts: 25,611 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Aye, we should stop wasting police time on things that have already happened.



  • Posts: 25,611 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Diane Abbott piling on Starmer now. The hard left within Labour is the Right's most important asset.

    Maybe he should do what Corbyn did to get her onside.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 36,322 CMod ✭✭✭✭pixelburp


    The more UK's poorest are pushed to the margins and forgotten, the more resentful populism will come to the forefront. FPTP is probably the best shield against it mind you, ironically given it's ostensibly such an undemocratic voting system. The big 3 have a stranglehold and something like Norsefire (the extremist party who comes to power in 80s dystopian polemic V for Vendetta) would struggle to make inroads nationally, even if it somehow took over the North and other moribund regions.

    But just in a broad sense, something's going to give. As you point out, the under 30s have now lived through 2 global recessions, one pandemic, war in Ukraine (and god knows where else), the erosion of the welfare state and Union power - and a society built on credit and "gigs" instead of actual jobs. And Home ownership? Good luck with that. All the While, older right wingers shít on them with sneering about "woke" politics for fighting for human decency towards the maligned.

    It's a powderkeg and while I'd say the UK might avoid the worst, I wouldn't hold my breath the rest of Europe will avoid an explosion. France, Spain or Italy could easily swing into extremism -, the former only a LePen away already. The UK never revolted really, maybe Peterloo snuffed that spark before it ever properly took hold, combined with the class-based society ensuring deference to ones "betters" than the peasant class of the mainland.



  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 91,245 Mod ✭✭✭✭Capt'n Midnight


    Big 3 ? Lib Dems are barely relevant in Westminster. In a good election the DUP have had as many seats as they get in a bad election.

    And Scotland will loose the same number of MP's next election as the DUP have so Conservatives won't need either party unless things go bad.

    Besides if Scotland gain independence without it looking like a Tory sellout then the Tories will hold a majority for ages unless there's a landslide against them.



  • Moderators, Motoring & Transport Moderators Posts: 11,639 Mod ✭✭✭✭devnull


    The Daily Mail once again are convinced they have the smoking gun against Labour.

    Just because the visit itself was over, it doesn't mean he wasn't working after the visit was over, in the same way as last week I attended a work meeting off-site at a hired venue, but continued to work from a hot desk in the same building after the meeting part of my work had finished

    Despite the Mail claiming he wasn't working after the Curry, at 10.13pm he was active on social media which surely has to be described as campaigning, and therefore work. Understandably, the Daily Mail, doesn't want to relay this fact to it's readers, because it is more interested in helping their paymasters, rather than actually presenting ALL of the story and letting their readers make their own mind up.

    The problem for the Daily Mail right now, which has relied heavily on anonymous stories for it's coverage and has not been able to name any of them, now has started to contradict itself about what some of those sources have said and anonymous sources that conveniently support a certain narrative and changing stories really is not a good combination.

    I wonder if the Mail will assist the police with their investigation and the cops are able to speak with these anonymous sources during their investigation, I mean, they are central witnesses to the case so surely the Mail will want these people to speak to the police to nail the evil lying man that they claim Starmer is.

    These people who clearly believe that they have evidence need to tell everything they know the the police. If they don't, then one would ask why they are simply anonymous names in a Newspaper rather than people who are giving evidence to the police.

    Post edited by devnull on


  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 36,322 CMod ✭✭✭✭pixelburp


    They're part of a Big Three cos between those three parties, FPTP ensures they remain the ones jostling for control. I should have been clearer my point was contextual to system they operate in really. IIRC, and open to correction but had the UK PR, UKIP would have had more MPs than it managed; instead, despite pinning itself to the biggest, most emotionally reductionist policy in the UK for easy populist votes, they never managed to make a dent as a 4th power, or overtake the LibDems. While the Greens are a blip, bar a little bit of local representation. 3 seems to be the most England can support. The Lib Dems kinda act as the buffer for wavering voters between the other two.



  • Registered Users Posts: 25,728 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    They are the big 3 because UK=England to the demographic in power.

    SNP are the 3rd biggest party and after Lib Dems 5th down are the various NI parties and PC but that will all be ignored for the 1 seat greens and 0 seat UKIP/BNP/NF/NAZI/KKK party when the media do breakdowns and analysis.

    Just look at May and the DUP where the entire non Irish population of the UK was shocked at the existence of a group of homophobic bigots with way more seats than UKIPs 0.



  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 91,245 Mod ✭✭✭✭Capt'n Midnight


    Lib Dems went from 57 MP's to 8, the same number elected as the DUP in 2015 and the DUP can be bought for a lot less. It's also the same number of seats to be removed from Scotland at the next election.

    FPTP squeezes out the middle so it's effectively a two party system. If Scotland becomes independent before the UK changes from FPTP to something like STV in multiseat constituencies then Labour and the Lib Dems will be sitting on the opposition benches for as long as the Tories can keep their party together.



  • Registered Users Posts: 25,728 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    The whole thing about English being Tory for years if Scotland leave is not true. They will probably get a few wins out of it but people who never thought they would vote against the Tories suddenly will and a new generation who know nothing other than a one party government will have a completely different approach.

    10 years at best before English politics would realign.



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  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 91,245 Mod ✭✭✭✭Capt'n Midnight


    10 years is long enough to set yourself up in a chumocracy. Don't forget the fixed term parliament act too.

    If Labour keep making themselves unelectable it could be longer.



  • Registered Users Posts: 25,728 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    How are Labour currently making themselves unelectable under Starmer ?



  • Registered Users Posts: 17,964 ✭✭✭✭VinLieger


    I would hope the average english voter will quickly realise how poorly they are being served by FPtP in such a situation as well.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 36,322 CMod ✭✭✭✭pixelburp


    I think this is missing the point I was making, which is that English politics is a closed shop ATM and currently less prone to the threat of some new power storming in and upending the status quo. The two factors IMO being FPTP and the relative sway the 3 main parties have - Scotland and Northern Ireland, as we know, are different beasts. That's not to say the existing parties couldn't swing into extremism - and fill your boots on where the current Tories sit in that topic - but if UKIP/Brexit Party couldn't break the monopoly it's hard to see who else might. Maybe the Greens, but that doesn't relate to my point about broiling anger in the young demographics that @ancapailldorcha spoke to



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,654 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    Remember, Macron came from nothing, and stood no chance of winning. In essence, the French system is a bit FPTP, with the twist of a run-off between the top two.

    If there is a strong groundswell of political anger against the ruling elite and the kleptos that benefit from their largesse, all it takes is a bit of vote 'lending' to start a movement that could be seismic.

    SNP managed it in Scotland. Plaid are growing in Wales. Unfortunately, the likely English National party is already there - it's called the Tory Party - and freshly purged of all rational, decent thinking people.



  • Registered Users Posts: 13,308 ✭✭✭✭hotmail.com


    If Britain went for our electoral system, the Tories would probably split between two right wing parties.

    There would be an election and them both of these of parties would form a coalition government.

    Not much change.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,654 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    Well, no. The Labour Party could also split, and perhaps the two middle parties could form a coalition and agree on much nicer things that the ERG would like.



  • Registered Users Posts: 17,964 ✭✭✭✭VinLieger


    Except neither they nor Labour have ever managed to win a majority of votes in the past 100 years so if they switched to PR-STV and were to form a Government between your 2 hypothetical right wing parties they would still need another small party or a group of independents to form a majority.

    Thats also assuming the vote split remained the same as it has under FPtP. Thanks to FPtP many people dont bother voting in safe seats constituencies, PR-STV gives smaller parties and independents a far higher chance of winning seats so its far more likely under that system both the Conservatives and Labours total share of votes would decrease when people start to understand their vote can matter far more when theres no more safe seat constituencies as there are now. Thats also ignoring the complexities of transfers beyond the first count so there really is no way to say for sure what could happen if they switched to PR-STV.



  • Registered Users Posts: 13,308 ✭✭✭✭hotmail.com


    British people seem to be on the centre or centre right on most things, similar to Ireland.

    So any centrist party, would have to be de facto centre right in the way Blair transformed Labour in the 90s.

    He turned Labour into the Tories, but much nicer and humane.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 13,308 ✭✭✭✭hotmail.com


    A more centrist Tory Party, in the lines of David Cameron, Ken Clarke or Michael Heseltine, would be quite popular in England and would probably attract a lot of middle class Labour voters.



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