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What Will happen when Generation Rent Retire?

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,066 ✭✭✭HerrKuehn


    I am not saying they are overtaxed in the European context. The issue is the tax is comparable and what you get for it is way below other countries. In Germany for example the state pension maxes out at 3k per month, it isn't a one size fits all, there is a relationship to what you pay in. You also get free health care, dental, prescriptions etc. The issue here is the toxic combination of high taxes and very little in return. At least somewhere like France you might say, yes the taxes are high but we get something for it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,813 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    the money isnt gone at all, it being stored, primarily in value of assets, if we started to address the short coming of the distribution of this wealth, it would begin to help resolve all of these issues. money only disappears when the debts its based on are paid off, forgiven or defaulted upon. we re currently experiencing the largest acclamation of debt in human history, i.e. the money is still there!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 134 ✭✭freemickey


    "The money isn't gone at all, it's being stored"

    I'm not taking the p*ss, but that sounds exactly the type of thing you'd hear out of a pyramid scheme.

    I do know what you mean, but that value will be wiped out. One way or another. The more pressing wtf-ness is where all the MNC tax is gone, or just tax in general. Where is all the rent money going? Sure, to pay off some buy to let mortgages, but the majority of that money is just "gone".

    There's bugger all to show for it. And, pound to a penny, there never will be. The top of the pyramid will disappear, and everyone else, the country, will/is being left in rag order.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,813 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    this is how the world works, we store wealth in the value of assets such as stocks, shares, bonds, land, real estate etc etc etc, this is our reality! yes, we continually implement polies to make sure the value of assets are protected at all costs, including after market crashes such as 08, policies such as qe etc, but we rarely implement policies to make sure this wealth is more evenly distributed, in fact we regularly implement polices to make sure its not, i.e. fix this, and you re well on your way to resolving these issues!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2


    If you came here to say you want free dental and you think the means to do it is dunking hundreds of thousands of Irish workers into poverty to pay for it, you've made a rather roundabout point as well as a boneheaded one. You swung by to give out about the povs and their "free stuff", and here you are banging the drum for "free stuff" for yourself.

    Prescriptions in Germany aren't free btw, there's always a co-pay and your krankenkasse cover the rest, which in turn is payed for by deductibles from your paypacket. Their price-fixing regime for medicines is goosed due to competition law, so watch that space.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 134 ✭✭freemickey


    I get you. More to the point of this being how the world works in general, it's far more accurate to say "this is how the world right now does NOT work".

    The main problem is that housing was turned into a speculative market. Bad idea. Don't touch the necessities of life or you'll reap a whirlwind of pain.

    Even if you happen to be on the positive end of the housing situation, accruing the crazy rents (tax aside), it's great until your children have to move out on their own and then they have to spend that same money.

    If you're on the negative end of the housing situation, goodnight.

    All told, commodifying housing, selling off national housing, giving it away on an international scale...totally a net negative. Nothing is produced, nothing is created, all you've got are a small bunch of speculators that will leg it with the proceeds when it collapses, leaving everyone else holding their dicks looking out windows.

    Or, a pyramid scheme.

    Again, just a quick glance around the country and you see that for all the eye-watering money involved in housing, billions, trillions even, there is nothing to show for it. There won't be anything to show for it, either.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,066 ✭✭✭HerrKuehn


    I get that we have completely different views of how the country and tax system should work. I would be happy enough with German levels of taxation and services for everyone, but it would be the lower income groups that would see the largest difference in their net income.

    What I would not be happy with is further increases in taxation with the awful level of Irish services. Free stuff, you can feck right off with that.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2


    Again you're circling back to lower wage workers as if slapping someone on 20k with a 5k tax bill is going to magic up a new society without severe consequence for poverty rates, and you get to toddle down to the dentist for a new set of veneers on the public dime. Harebrained stuff.

    You'll also have to accept that German goodies come with commensurate higher taxes on middle and higher earners than Ireland.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,066 ✭✭✭HerrKuehn


    I am happy with 2 different outcomes: 1) Higher taxes and German level services 2) status quo of fairly high taxes and shite services.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2


    You already bellyache about your tax bill which unless you're a secret CEO, likely doesn't trouble the mid-30 percentages in effective tax god help you, so something tells me you don't have the stomach for outcome 1. either.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,066 ✭✭✭HerrKuehn


    You don't know anything about me, you don't need to be a CEO to be earning those types of salaries FYI. I am just giving my opinion, I am not trying to insult you or your opinions. I think fundamentally the system here is completely broken and doesn't work for anyone. Governments have painted themselves into a corner with their obsession with pulling people out of the tax net rather than investing long term. I don't think this is sustainable, I don't believe in the country in the medium term and I have made my plans accordingly.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7 G0ldp001


    Entire Europe is very happly doing it for decades!


    Most Irish people retire to spain anyway! what difference it makes? Cash in retirument fund move to spain! 😀



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,066 ✭✭✭HerrKuehn


    I am finished responding to your insults and I am not going to stoop to your level. Ireland will have to broaden it's tax base if it wants to be successful long term.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2


    I wasn't insulting you. I was asking when is the leaving do?

    And I think I've demonstrated your bellyaching is playing the poor mouth in a big way.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,813 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    ...or another option of increasing taxation on wealth, increasing public debt, i.e. and using this debt to create new assets, and utilizing polices such as sovereign wealth funds, to make sure the wealth generated is more evenly distributed, particularly amongst none asset owners, i.e. younger generations!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,066 ✭✭✭HerrKuehn


    So something like the "National Pension Reserve Fund" then? It's a good idea, the issue is you have to resist the urge to spend it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,813 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78



    no something similar to Scandinavian countries, whereby all citizens gain, as they have from their own fossil fuel backed funds, we could easily do it, we clearly urgently need to build new properties, and we also need to radically change our energy network towards renewables, perfect opportunity to use such funds, it would be a good start in dealing with our growing social problems, including rapidly growing wealth inequality



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,066 ✭✭✭HerrKuehn


    So, Norway uses the profits from it's massive oil reserves to build a huge wealth fund and that's great. What would we fund it with?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,813 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    we would have to heavily borrow, including borrowing from ourselves, in order to create the new assets, these new assets would always remain in public ownership, and placed into the funds. from the use of these new assets, wealth would accumulate over time, and we can use this to part fund our needs, as countries such as norway does.....



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 73 ✭✭Horn_of_Africa


    On what basis do you believe there is growing wealth inequality?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2


    This may come as a surprise, but Ireland has the highest market income inequality in Europe. That is, before taxes and social transfers do their business, the gap between the lowest income deciles and the highest deciles is the most extreme in the EU. (Only the UK was worse before they fecked off).

    https://www.irishtimes.com/business/economy/income-inequality-in-ireland-the-devil-is-in-the-detail-1.4653255

    Our progressive taxation and transfer system levels this out to about average in the EU after transfers. But, and it's a big but, we do not want the level of market income inequality in the first instance. It displays that there is a very very significant amount of people on low incomes in this country that only get by on transfers - and we have a poster on here that wants to dismantle it because he wants his teeth whitened for free. Go figure.

    The problem is structural. You can read threads on here to bate the band about low quality work and how a large part of the economy and employers are addicted like crack to it, with the state picking up the tab.

    Pull the plug on it and you have social disaster garunteed.

    Further, wealth in Ireland is stored in bricks and mortar. It should come as no surprise that access to housing is a metastisising issue. So even leaving income aside, there is a widening wealth gap on that front also.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 73 ✭✭Horn_of_Africa


    According to that Irish Times article income inequality in Ireland was at its lowest level in 2019, and has decreased over recent decades. So why are people saying that income inequality is increasing? It's decreasing according to that data.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2


    After transfers that is correct. Before transfers we have the widest market income inequality.

    Our taxation system is noted for being the most progressive in the EU.

    In essence we have to a large degree an employers charter where labour is easy-come-easy-go, a large low cost labour cohort in the workforce and declining standard in a lot of sectors. And if there's problems, the state picks up the tab. HAP is the biggest glaring example of that. Over 1 in 2 households in the private rental sector are accessing HAP. Crazy, but these people can't afford to put a roof over their head any other way.

    That's the devil's bargain we've struck.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 73 ✭✭Horn_of_Africa


    So people are talking bollix basically. Income inequality is decreasing. On top of that, poverty has been falling over time. Things are pretty good in Ireland, on a relative basis of course. We are one of the wealthiest countries in the world in the wealthiest era in history.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2


    Yes Horn of Africa. All is rosy in the garden, your work here is done.

    What a conclusion to reach on the evidence presented to you.

    Good boy *rubs belly*



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2


    "Data from the Structure of Earnings Survey suggests that Irish wages are more unequally distributed than in any other high-income European country when comparing hourly earnings at the 10th and 90th percentiles by some margin. This relationship holds for full-time employees.

    Similarly, Ireland has relatively high earnings inequality in the Business economy out of the 11-country sample (2nd behind the Netherlands). The gap between the top and bottom has remained relatively static since 2006, though it has narrowed in some countries (Germany and the UK for example).

    Comparing hourly earnings by Purchasing Power Standard (PPS), top earners in Ireland can buy more goods and services than any of their equivalents in high-income EU countries with an hour’s wages, while Irish earners at the bottom can buy least.

    Similarly, the ratio of hourly earnings between the median (50th percentile) and the top (90th percentile) is highest in Ireland and has widened since 2006. The difference between the bottom (10th percentile) and the median/middle (50th percentile) is also relatively high (3rd), though this inequality has improved moderately since 2006."

    2021 Report.

    Do with that what you like or spin it how you like. Crude market income inequality before the intervention of the state is the highest in the EU.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,813 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    we primarily store wealth in the value of assets such as stocks, shares, bonds, land, real estate etc etc, of which the ownership has become heavily concentrated over time, particularly towards older generations, this is forcing younger generations into an impossible situation, as more and more are simply unable to get access to the ownership of such assets, this is particularly evident in property markets. this is a clear sign of rapidly growing wealth inequality, even though we still struggle to represent this in metrics such as gini coefficient etc



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,003 ✭✭✭handlemaster


    I guess renters who decide to continue renting will have the foresight to be investing. The sa.e issue about housing is the same for every generation.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2


    "Renters who decide to keep renting"

    "Housing is the same for every generation"

    Read those back to yourself there. Then read them again.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 73 ✭✭Horn_of_Africa


    Asset prices rose substantially over the last decade due to extremely low interest rates and quantitative easing, that's in reverse now.

    Discretionary income gaps between top 10% and bottom 10% of earners reached the lowest level in decades in 2019 according to the Irish Times article posted a few posts above. That indicates that wealth inequality has been falling over the previous few decades.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2


    You don't get a mortgage on social transfers, and you don't build wealth on social transfers.

    The article was in reference to income inequality and how it's defined, not in wealth inequality, which is distinct and not captured by the article.

    You're engaging in a form of denialism here.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 73 ✭✭Horn_of_Africa


    There's nothing stopping anyone in Ireland from becoming wealthy. People are free to start their own business, get the education they need to climb the corporate ladder and free to invest their income in assets.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2




  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    a fuckin tax on word count would have a few of ye making right contributions



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,184 ✭✭✭riclad


    Unless we turn into Sweden with high taxs we will always need rental units, people need a place to live while they save a deposit , and Low paid workers may never be able to buy a property. Irish voters would not vote for a Swedish type government, we might get a government coalition maybe fine Gael with the greens or sinn féin maybe slightly left wing depending on how gen z votes for

    The rental market basically worked OK here at least until 2006 before the housing crisis got worse and rents increased every year.

    Our booming economy attracted extra workers from the EU to work in retail hotels cafes etc

    At this point I don't know if any Irish government in the present political system can make much of a difference in the housing crisis while trying to control inflation and work with the EU to improve the supply chain



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Fun fact - wages increased an average of 10% a YEAR during the 1980s in Ireland. The old fogies yapping on about paying high interest rates - for a few months - can take a run and jump. They were also paying high interest rates on a very low amount.

    They also lived in an era of mortgages of 8 to 15 year terms not being uncommon with 18 to 22 years being the high end of the scale. Not this 35 and 40 year stuff.

    Done on a single wage too. The equivalent in todays high female participation would be both adults in a couple working part time. How wonderful that would be. This generation literally works twice as hard for half as much. Or if you really want to annoy the older generation - tell them that they worked half as hard as this generation.

    The hidden costs being less time with children who are shoved off to childcare for long hours. Remember time and your health are the most precious things you have. You never get time back.

    Anyone who ignores this systemic shift is a liar, or they are stupid, or uncaringly oblivious. Root them out and dont leave them unchallenged.


    Oh and they got to retire, and at a younger age too. Somehow this generation, despite our supposed economic success, needs massive crush loading migration to ensure they can retire. Migration so high it impacts everything and pushes rents skyhigh and house prices out of reach. So unaffordable in fact that people have children later, have less and many have none. So apparently we need more migration again then. Chicken and egg. Cure is worse than the disease.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,503 ✭✭✭✭Mad_maxx


    The discrepancies between Ireland and the likes of Germany or the Nordic countries is at the lower end , whether coming into line with those countries in terms of the tax code would give rise to a significant increase in poverty ? ( as you adamantly predict) is really beside the point.

    Middle and higher earners in Ireland are not taxed lightly, referring to averages with Ireland doesn’t really work as we are such an anomaly at the lower end.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2


    It's very much the point. What's the point of a tax policy that drives hundreds of thousands into poverty generating further transfers?

    You say middle earners aren't taxed lightly. You're fudging words. That surely has a relative meaning to peer countries. Relative to EU countries, middle income earners in Ireland sit bang in the middle in terms of how their taxed relative to EU peers.

    High earners aren't particularly highly taxed relative to peer countries either.

    Hard facts, not pathos.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,503 ✭✭✭✭Mad_maxx


    Are those countries where lower earners pay about four times as much tax as here , seeing very high poverty levels amongst lower earners ?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2


    The at risk of poverty rate in Germany is significantly higher there than in Ireland yes.

    12.9 percent in Ireland (2019)

    18.5 percent in Germany (2020)

    The threshold in Germany is 14k income (income after tax) the precise type of person the other poster was cheerleading imposing 4k tax on (18k before tax).

    So yes, their tax policies clearly push low earning individuals to the poverty threshold.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2


    The at risk of poverty rates tell a different story.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,940 ✭✭✭✭Bass Reeves


    I would say it'sire the couples on 40-70k. This is where you have all the expenses but get little support

    Slava Ukrainii



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,184 ✭✭✭riclad


    Germany has a stable rent sector with rent control, it can't be compared to Ireland, in regard to housing policy I don't think there's any political support from anyone for an increase in taxs. To go back to the question of generation rent I think young people will vote for left wing party's ,or people who have good qualifications or degrees may choose to go to other country's where its possible for people on 25k or more to buy a house than to stay here paying rent if the housing crisis does not get better.

    The problem is we don't know how long the current inflation cycle will last and will the supply chain crisis improve in a few years if you are pessimistic you might say the current rise in prices of basic items food will continue as it reflects the fact that agriculture in some country's is facing a crisis caused by drought lack of water and climate change

    One example California is putting in place new restrictions on water use due to a drought which has been getting worse for 2 years

    I don't know if even raising taxs would help as we simply do not have the no of building workers we need to for instance build 20 k houses per year



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