Fancies For Today III

The 4.48 at Beverly is a tough handicap and it may pay to consider horses who have form at this tricky course.

Top weight MOTARAJEL can finish well off a fast pace and might get that today.

BIT OF A QUIRKE has plenty course form and has dropped to a good mark and has a chance.

ROCKET DANCER won a couple of weeks ago and can be competitive again.

A combination tri-cast and forecast for small stakes might be the answer to the puzzle with 9/1,7/1 and 9/2 available on the 3 horses.

A little ew on any of the 3 might get a return and at 9/1 MOTARAJEL looks a bit of value despite top weight if there is a fast pace.

Cicely ran well over a trip I thought might be too far,worth backing when back on the AW.

Mitbaahy has a few pounds to find with a few in the 2.50 at Sandown however the horse seems to be getting better and with Varian in good form is worth a few quid ew at 9 to2.

Very nice, cheers Zimmer

The Ascot stakes is run over two and a half miles at Ascot on tuesday at 5 oc.

Despite the name the race is a handicap and is always a good betting race over an extreme distance not often seen in the racing calender.

The race was won last year by Reshoun,trained by Tan Williams and owned by Marwin Koukash who loves to have winners at Chester.Reshoun does not seem to like Chester and while he was entered at the recent Chester meeting he was always going to wait for this.

He came to my attention two and a half weeks when he ran in a mile and a half race at Haydock going off at a huge price,held up out the back in that he was never put into the race before running on very well to finish 4th.

It was 3 years since he last ran in a mile and a half race and i made a note to keep an eye on him for a repeat win at Ascot.

I did not back him at 20s ante-post because he still held an entry for Chester,the 20s is gone now but he is available at 14s with PP 6 places and i backed him today at 14s.

Probably little point in opposing Baaeed who looks too good,betting without Order of Australia may be value but I am not betting on the race.

The Royal Hunt Cup takes place tomorrow over a mile at Ascot at 5 oc and is something of a cavalry charge with 30 runners chasing the £94,500 pot,well handicapped horses laid out for this was the way to go in the past but is changing nowdays as classier types are aimed at the prize.

Horses aged 4 on the way up seem best and 11 of the last 15 runnings have been won by that age group and significantly 6 of the last 7 were 4 year olds,13 of the 30 runners are 4 year olds and thats where i looked to try to find the winner.

Not a good race for favs the average sp over the last 20 years is around 18/1.Horses drawn twenty or higher have won 5 of the last ten runnings and the other 5 runnings were won by those drawn 11 or lower so horses drawn close to the middle are to be avoided and those drawn either high or low have a better chance.

FANTASTIC FOX is the one i like,drawn in stall 21 he was a staying on third in a good handicap at Epsom 12 days ago finishing well behind Totally Charming and now 5 lbs better off.

At 10 or 11 to 1 Totally Charming is nearly half the price of FANTASTIC FOX so the value for me is quite clear.

Trained by the excellent Roger Varian he represents a good ew bet,6 places everywhere and 7 with PP.

Varian has two other 4 year olds in the race who also have chances but for me FANTASTIC FOX is the bet ew.

Keep posting.

You help find plenty of winners for people on here.

One small setback, sure plenty more winners will overcome that

Got a few quid as Paddy was paying 7 places and Persist managed 7th,Flaming Rib 2nd at 14/1 and Mangoustine only 9th.

2 out of 3, covers a few beers tonight. Cheers Zimmer.

Be careful Zimmer.

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The Irish derby gets most attention this weekend but the other one,the Pitmens Derby where the local proletariat come out in force in Newcastle to watch one of the richest handicaps in Europe.

Its official title is the Northumberland Plate and despite the fact that its run on the AW for the last 6 years it is still one of the toughest handicaps to unravel and the draw has a part to play despite the race being run over 2 miles.

Like many valuable handicaps this race is now attracting more classy runners and the days of finding one lurking at the bottom of the handicap are long gone.

I have a good look at the race and when i finalise my selection or selections i will post here if anyone is interested.

I will be interested to see what the stewards say to the bunch of apprentices who refused to close up on the front runner who won by 26 lengths,i am just happy that Hidden Pearl got 2nd to give me a small profit.