Summer 2022 - General Discussion

Next week begins with a coolish start, similar temperatures to the past few days but if there is sunshine it should feel fairly pleasant. The warmth doesn't really arrive till Wednesday and starts to take off from Friday. Everything up to next Sunday looks locked in for now. After that there is a good deal of uncertainty and is unreliable. Over the past 4 days, the GFS has been consistantly throwing up the warmest set of charts for it's operational runs particularly after next weekend. Tonights pub run is another very warm outlier towards the end and keeps us mid to high twenties right out to +384 hours which I think is misleading and based on it, shows 10+ days of very warm weather, probably best to look on this spell as a 4 to 5 day event because quite a few of the runs go for a breakdown around the 11th.

June for Dunsany finished up as the second wettest month of the year so far which puts May into 3rd place for rainfall. We didn't quite make 100% rainfall but not far off with 64mm of rain for June where 72mm is average for June. Despite a very chilly start to June and a rather unsettled final week to June, the month was still warmer than average so this trend of being warmer than average remains unbroken over the past 12 months! We finished up at 13.7C which is 0.7C above average for the month of June.

Today marks the start of the second half of 2022 so rainfall totals for the first 6 months of 2022 combined are coming out at only 349mm of rain which is definitely a bit below average. Dunsany usually finishes up with annual rainfall totals somewhere between 800 and 950mm. If the second half of 2022 has the same measure of rainfall as the first half, the year total will barely make 700mm. Will be interesting to see how much rain is recorded between now and New Years Eve.

As we look into July it looks like this could well be a very dry month, at least the first half of the month will be. The second half of July will very much depend on some sort of breakdown to unsettled Atlantic conditions to deliver some rainfall or somehow we get a spell of thundery weather with intense downpours (which we never really get in county Meath). The long term models are going for a slightly cooler first week of July and then weeks 2 and 3 looking warmer than average and a chance week 4 could be the hottest week of July but we have to see about that, that's a long way off. Could be a very interesting month coming up.