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Summer 2022 - General Discussion

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    #1232
    Gonzo
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,902 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/119286488#Comment_119286488

    There is still a great unknown about the upcoming warm spell. Charts today have definitely dialed back on the heat compared to the past few days but overall things look good from Thursday and into next weekend for some warm weather, but not exceptinally warm. The GFS, ECM and GEM have temperatures which I think look on the low side considering the upper air temperatures. Generally 19 to 23C across the midlands, south and east and 17 to 20 across the north-west and west coasts. It is not until Monday 11th July that temperatures begin to take off.

    The Working week of July 11th to 15th looks very warm to hot, but there is great uncertainty to how warm it gets and how long we can prolong a breakdown. This mid July period will likely see a breakdown which could be quite thundery. Temperatures between the 11th and 13th may get into the high twenties and 30C in a few spots cannot be ruled out. The GFS has been playing around with a final day of heat during this week where temperatures across much of Leinster and Munster could potentially get into the 29C to 33C range but this has a very low chance of verifying. Todays GFS 12z has sobered up and certainly dialed back on the one crazy hot day scenario and is going for someing more realistic.



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    #1233
    CruelSummer
    Registered Users Posts: 2,275 ✭✭✭CruelSummer


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/119286610#Comment_119286610

    Thanks for that information, great post. Hopefully we will all get some summer weather coming our way.



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    #1234
    TESLA7
    Registered Users Posts: 7 ✭TESLA7


    Those depressing grey clouds covering us would want to pi$$ off, couldn't care less what temp it was just want clear blue skies at this rate.



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    #1235
    KanyeSouthEast
    Registered Users Posts: 1,019 ✭✭✭KanyeSouthEast


    Yet another damp grey cool morning.



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    #1236
    OldRio
    Registered Users Posts: 6,081 ✭✭✭OldRio


    Cool and wet. Dark. Nothing changes.



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    #1237
    ascophyllum
    Registered Users Posts: 260 ✭✭ascophyllum


    Cold, grey and breezy on the west coast this morning, almost 8 straight weeks of poor weather now, maybe 4 or 5 reasonably nice days since the first week of May, no real beach days yet.



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    #1238
    pauldry
    Registered Users Posts: 7,086 ✭✭✭pauldry


    It's not cool here in Sligo. Its cold. Windy and cold as 3 of the 4 days of July have been so far and 24 of June were.

    It's definitely a La Nina influenced Summer.



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    #1239
    TheMilkyPirate
    Registered Users Posts: 6,012 ✭✭✭TheMilkyPirate


    Bit of a bland morning in Wexford but couldn't care less with the weather that's coming up. Finally summer! Bring it on



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    #1240
    KanyeSouthEast
    Registered Users Posts: 1,019 ✭✭✭KanyeSouthEast


    Breezy cool dull DCC



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    #1241
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 0 ✭ [Deleted User]


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/119288011#Comment_119288011

    If you're on the coast of course or within 5kms,there'll be a cooling sea breeze



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    #1242
    Danno
    Registered Users Posts: 8,913 ✭✭✭Danno


    20220704_201049.jpg
    20220704_195000.jpg
    20220704_193804.jpg

    Nice enough evening for South Laois, but a coolish breeze of 8mph holding temperatures around 15c.



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    #1243
    Gonzo
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,902 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    A decentish day here in Meath. Sunny spells throughout the day and a very nice evening here too, however that wind certaintly took the edge off the temperatures.



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    #1244
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 0 ✭ [Deleted User]


    Can’t get over every late afternoon and evening their always seems to be a cool breeze. Had to wear a warm hat this evening and an extra jumper out in the field.



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    #1245
    Gonzo
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,902 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/119291003#Comment_119291003

    Hopefully less in the way of cold evenings going forward. It's only going to get warmer from tomorrow.

    Looking forward to tonights GFS pub run, a fair chance it will make an absolute show of itself later like it did on Saturday night.



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    #1246
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 257 ✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Pure Puke weather in the Northwest 🤢. Wet, wetter and wettest. Very depressing!



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    #1247
    pauldry
    Registered Users Posts: 7,086 ✭✭✭pauldry


    Yup. And 14 to 19c till September. Was 14.2c when I went running this evening and 12.1c when I finished. Last July our lowest day temperature was 16c. This year its 12 to 15c each day. Only windy cloudy nights are preventing a headline making Summer in the Northwest for cold reasons. It's even colder than 2011. It's strange though really I notice this most Summers. The weather gets stuck after the 1st week of June and this year its stuck in cloudy cool days for the past 5 weeks bar a week of very wet cold weather. I'd say the best weather we got in 2022 was a couple of days in March which got near 18c and had sun and one or two near Easter. May was cold and cloudy June was cold n cloudy and now July is cold n cloudy...oh and windy too. Its depressing. Even sunny n cold will do now. Today was dark at 9 due to slightly earlier sunset and banks of misty cloud rolling in. Can't afford heating so we put blankets on us to quell the chill.



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    #1248
    firemansam4
    Registered Users Posts: 1,708 ✭✭✭firemansam4


    Pretty depressing viewing the forecast for the next week or so here in the north west. Just hoping for something a bit better for mid/late July. Need that HP to bump up a bit further north.



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    #1249
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 0 ✭ [Deleted User]


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/119291458#Comment_119291458

    Yes the last proper sunny day in Donegal was two weeks ago(that famous Monday)and even then it had completely clouded over by 4.30/5pm. And before that I can’t even remember. I don’t even care about temperatures, just a couple of sunny days would be nice.



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    #1250
    TESLA7
    Registered Users Posts: 7 ✭TESLA7


    Grey, gloomy, depressing, 2+ months of pure pi$h.



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    #1251
    KanyeSouthEast
    Registered Users Posts: 1,019 ✭✭✭KanyeSouthEast


    Same old same old this morning. Drizzle dull overcast fog. I feel for people holidaying at the moment it’s no wonder the airports are choc a bloc! I know there’s better weather on the way but we’d need a few really warm sunny weeks to rescue this.



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    #1252
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 0 ✭ [Deleted User]


    Suns out in Arklow

    17c atm

    Not so bad at all



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    #1253
    OldRio
    Registered Users Posts: 6,081 ✭✭✭OldRio


    Wet and Dark. It rained last night and we have a light drizzle this morning. Dark grey steel clouds.

    Leitrim



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    #1254
    firemansam4
    Registered Users Posts: 1,708 ✭✭✭firemansam4


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/119291491#Comment_119291491

    Yea seems like a distant memory now.

    I find it worse when we just get gray drizzly days with a cold breeze with no proper rain, because you just know that it's probably the best we will get before the rain returns.

    Have had to keep the jacket on most days when going outside so far this summer.

    Hopefully we may get something if the HP moves up, but so far looking like most the country might benefit bar us up here in the north west.



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    #1255
    DOCARCH
    Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 17,979 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/119291963#Comment_119291963

    Fine morning in Greystones too. Partly cloudy. 16.5c atm.



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    #1256
    Thelonious Monk
    Registered Users Posts: 14,292 ✭✭✭✭Thelonious Monk


    Is there actually sunny weather on the horizon for Dublin? Just shows as cloudy but a bit warmer for the next week or so on any forecasts I can see. Am home this coming weekend, going to get quite hot here in London.



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    #1257
    mcburns07
    Registered Users Posts: 2,056 ✭✭✭mcburns07


    At less it's dry but getting pretty fed up of grey skies and a constant breeze.



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    #1258
    pauldry
    Registered Users Posts: 7,086 ✭✭✭pauldry


    Today is 14c again but maybe we will get a degree or 2 warmer and the rest of the week a bit warmer again. Met Eireann has Saturday and Sunday 22 to 24c in their forecast. I predict it will finally get over 21c on Saturday in the Northwest for 2022.



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    #1259
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 0 ✭ [Deleted User]


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/119292237#Comment_119292237

    18.3c here in Arklow now and quite Sunny

    The Northwest and west and Midlands will be sweltering by the end of next week,looks like

    We here will be in the cool of the sea breeze by then



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    #1260
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 0 ✭ [Deleted User]


    19.4c in Arklow



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    #1261
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 0 ✭ [Deleted User]


    Some news on the dreaded large Azores high in Winter

    The researchers found that winters featuring “extremely large” Azores highs have increased dramatically from one winter in 10 before 1850 to one in four since 1980. These extremes also push the wet weather northwards, making downpours in the northern UK and Scandinavia more likely.

    “The number of extremely large Azores highs in the last 100 years is really unprecedented when you look at the previous 1,000 years,” said Dr Caroline Ummenhofer, at Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution in the US, and part of the research team.

    “That has big implications because an extremely large Azores high means relatively dry conditions for the Iberian peninsula and the Mediterranean,”

    The new research, published in the journal Nature Geoscience, analysed weather data stretching back to 1850 and computer models replicating the climate back to AD850. It found that, before 1850, extremely large Azores highs occurred once every 10 years on average.

    From 1850 to 1980, the frequency was once every seven years, but after 1980 this rose to every four years. Data showed that extremely large Azores highs slash average monthly rainfall in winter by about a third. Further data from chemical analysis of stalagmites in caves in Portugal show that low rainfall correlates closely with large Azores highs.



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