Advertisement
If you have a new account but are having problems posting or verifying your account, please email us on hello@boards.ie for help. Thanks :)
Hello all! Please ensure that you are posting a new thread or question in the appropriate forum. The Feedback forum is overwhelmed with questions that are having to be moved elsewhere. If you need help to verify your account contact hello@boards.ie

Hot Spell - Saturday 16th July onwards

Options
1…6791112…58

Comments

  • Options
    #242
    Danno
    Registered Users Posts: 8,913 ✭✭✭Danno


    Wetterzentrale not showing any of the the 18z yet... Everyone using Ctrl+F5 must have killed it! :D



  • Options
    #243
    JanuarySnowstor
    Registered Users Posts: 2,939 ✭✭✭JanuarySnowstor


    Funny with all the hype yesterday by the media, its all gone a bit flat today. I guess it's wait and see now what happens. You can't help feel its a short enough blast, basically 48 hours and back to average!

    Anyway 18z gfs rolling...



  • Options
    #244
    Luke-m
    Registered Users Posts: 54 ✭✭Luke-m


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/119339058#Comment_119339058

    Those forecasts are computer generated. They are taking high level cloud into account. I’d imagine that forecasted cloud would be very thin over a lot of Ireland.



  • Options
    #245
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,937 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    ICON-EU gone up a bit again

    xx_model-en-318-0_moddeuhd_2022071418_93_949_1.png


    xx_model-en-318-0_moddeuhd_2022071418_93_4864_1.png
    xx_model-en-318-0_moddeuhd_2022071418_93_4872_1.png
    xx_model-en-318-0_moddeuhd_2022071418_93_4866_1.png




  • Options
    #246
    Danno
    Registered Users Posts: 8,913 ✭✭✭Danno


    This GFS 18z run for Sunday (6pm) - a tad cooler (1c) over the very southeast and over the east of NI. Dublin warmer by 1c.



  • Advertisement
  • Options
    #247
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,937 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    GFS 18Z for Sunday

    xx_model-en-318-0_modusa_2022071418_70_949_1.png


    xx_model-en-318-0_modusa_2022071418_70_4861_1.png

    This was the GFS 12Z for Mon will see what the 18Z comes out with.


    xx_model-en-318-0_modusa_2022071412_99_949_1 (1).png


    xx_model-en-318-0_modusa_2022071412_99_4861_1 (1).png

    Mon just out and this time not as high as the 12Z by just a couple of degrees

    xx_model-en-318-0_modusa_2022071412_100_949_1.png
    xx_model-en-318-0_modusa_2022071418_94_4871_1.png




  • Options
    #248
    Kermit.de.frog
    Registered Users Posts: 23,649 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    xx_model-en-318-0_modez_2022071412_99_4864_1.png

    It does look like some local temperature records in the GDA may fall on Monday at this point.



  • Options
    #249
    Danno
    Registered Users Posts: 8,913 ✭✭✭Danno


    This GFS 18z run for Monday (6pm) - Previous 33c on 12z is now 32c. Most other areas down 1c, northwestern areas down 2c, again when compared to 12z.



  • Options
    #250
    squarecircles
    Registered Users Posts: 2,034 ✭✭✭squarecircles


    The insane number of isotherms along atlantic coastal fringes bringing temperatures down to a paultry 19 or 20 degrees.

    As always in Ireland somewhere, someone has to miss out.

    Atrociously piss poor disapointing temperatures on what could be a historic blistering record breaking day countrywide.

    the usual pig dross so.

    gas.



  • Options
    #251
    Danno
    Registered Users Posts: 8,913 ✭✭✭Danno


    This GFS 18z run for Tuesday (6pm) - Eastern half of Ireland up 2c to 3c generally, western areas much as was on 12z run. Looking out into the Atlantic and the cooler air looks further west.



  • Advertisement
  • Options
    #252
    Danno
    Registered Users Posts: 8,913 ✭✭✭Danno


    GFSOPUK18_96_11[1].png


    GFSOPUK18_118_11[1].png

    Thunderstorm potential both days!



  • Options
    #253
    Danno
    Registered Users Posts: 8,913 ✭✭✭Danno


    GFSOPUK18_105_2[1].png

    25c 850hPa isotherm just clipping Wexford... one for posterity.



  • Options
    #254
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,937 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    GFS going for a very warm Tuesday and delaying the precipitation or largely missing Ireland , a bit at odds here with the other models who are showing a thundery breakdown, the chart from UKMO below is interesting, again I would only see this as a guide to the potential as very heavy rain and thunderstorm potential, impossible to know locations at this stage or the timing but pointing towards a lively breakdown.


    xx_model-en-318-0_modusa_2022071418_114_949_1.png
    xx_model-en-318-0_modusa_2022071418_114_4861_1.png
    xx_model-en-318-0_modusa_2022071418_114_4884_1.png
    xx_model-en-318-0_modusa_2022071418_114_4870_1.png
    xx_model-en-318-0_modgbr_2022071412_138_949_63.png




  • Options
    #255
    Gonzo
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,839 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    Met Eireann have updated temperatures again and just when I thought it couldn't go higher than 31C for Monday they are now showing 32C for Monday. 28C for Saturday and 29C for Tuesday. Imagine if the Met Eireann places a 33C in the forcast either tomorrow or Saturday.



  • Options
    #256
    RobertKK
    Registered Users Posts: 33,747 ✭✭✭✭RobertKK


    I believe Kilkenny due to the topography has a good chance of being among the highest temperatures.

    There will be rainfall warnings if the breakdown rainfall predictions remain the same, potential for orange.



  • Options
    #257
    Denny61
    Registered Users Posts: 831 ✭✭✭Denny61


    Ye are all concentrating on Mon..cam any of ye tell me what the rest of week be like temptation wise .thank you .Wed Thursday Friday



  • Options
    #258
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,937 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    We have a 34C!

    Untitled Image
    xx_model-en-318-0_modfra_2022071412_102_4871_1.png

    ARPEGE back up on the 12Z for Sun too touching 30C . Closer to events it often picks out warmer temperatures than the ECM charts IMO but not too sure about Mon, might be overbaking it a bit this far out, excuse the pun.

    xx_model-en-318-0_modfra_2022071412_75_949_1.png


    xx_model-en-318-0_modfra_2022071412_75_4862_1.png




  • Options
    #259
    mcburns07
    Registered Users Posts: 2,038 ✭✭✭mcburns07


    Bloody hell lads, 34 in Ireland 😂 the weather is definitely getting more interesting the last decade.....



  • Options
    #260
    Gonzo
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,839 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/119339423#Comment_119339423

    Our summers are starting to become more regularly much more successful than our winters. We've had some really decent autumns and springs recently too.



  • Options
    #261
    Gonzo
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,839 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    UKV 15z has dialed back temperatures by 1 to 2 degrees in many places, max now 33C instead of 34C.

    Untitled Image




  • Advertisement
  • Options
    #262
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 11,937 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Fax Charts for next Mon and Tues from the Met office show frontal activity Tues moving in from the W and possibly pivoting over Ireland leading to heavy rainfall into Weds. This happening as the area of LP advances over Ireland ( ECM would show this also ). UKMO showing it to get quite windy also along the coasts and breezy to blustery overland , ECM showing it a bit windy on the coasts at this stage. UKMO showing the area of LP to deepen a bit as it transits Ireland with isobars tightening , ECM also but less so. The plot thickens.

    The jet could be a big influence next Tues/ Weds , looks to play a part in the area of LP , gives plenty of shear and vorticity, looking forward to seeing Convective Weather and ESTOFEX forecasts.

    In my amateur opinion I must add .

    ppvm.gif


    ppvo (1).gif


    modgbr_20220718_1200_animation.gif


    xx_model-en-318-0_modgbr_2022071412_123_1642_449.png




  • Options
    #263
    WJL
    Registered Users Posts: 601 ✭✭✭WJL


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/119339423#Comment_119339423

    Surely. Since the 2009-2010 winter.



  • Options
    #264
    WJL
    Registered Users Posts: 601 ✭✭✭WJL


    Thanks to all for the excellent charts.



  • Options
    #265
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 3,801 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/119339247#Comment_119339247

    i might travel a few miles inland to see what’s happening. Not the end of the world.



  • Options
    #266
    Little snowy old me
    Registered Users Posts: 420 ✭✭Little snowy old me


    https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/119339697#Comment_119339697

    I suspect you won't be the only person disappointed. This is increasingly looking like a 'middle third of the country affair'. I'm detecting a slight row back from MT in his forecast this morning. In fact, I wouldn't be surprised if temperatures struggle to reach 30, even in more favoured spots. Watch out for the subtle revisions in forecasts today and tomorrow.



  • Options
    #267
    Gaoth Laidir
    Registered Users Posts: 8,219 ✭✭✭Gaoth Laidir


    Is it my imagination or has the low off Portugal retrograded a bit westwards compared to what was forecast? I thought it would be more of a north-northeasterly movement up over Biscay. Note the cloud debris on its northern flank. Fly in the ointment for the next few days?

    Untitled Image




  • Options
    #268
    JanuarySnowstor
    Registered Users Posts: 2,939 ✭✭✭JanuarySnowstor


    Subtle changes last 12 hours

    - The heat clears very quickly on Tuesday, meaning a hot but very short spell

    - the trough to our Northwest more pronounced meaning the very warm uppers struggle to make it Northwest before clearing

    - thundery breakdown looks limited to South/Southeast

    All in all very interesting couple of days but perhaps a tad adjusted overnight



  • Options
    #269
    squarecircles
    Registered Users Posts: 2,034 ✭✭✭squarecircles


    Andddd... im done with it now

    ,was looking great there a few days ago...this really is a **** show of a summer.


    i swear the oceans could be boiling over and this **** of a country would manage to **** it up.

    Post edited by squarecircles on


  • Options
    #270
    pad199207
    Registered Users Posts: 7,169 ✭✭✭pad199207


    The upgrades had to stop at some stage and some runs have done that overnight. But still showing very warm Sunday to Tuesday and hot Monday



  • Advertisement
  • Options
    #271
    Rebelbrowser
    Registered Users Posts: 3,147 ✭✭✭Rebelbrowser


    To those talking of the huge drop off in temps nearer the coasts on these charts, in my experience the charts always hugely overdo these things. Ireland is a small island where nowhere is that far from the coast. There will be nowhere like the amount of isotherms shown, certainly in the southern half of the country. You see the same in reverse in winter where they add about 5c+ to coastal areas in cold weather. Never works out like that.



Advertisement