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"Green" policies are destroying this country

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  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Nope, your link is an article about something that might be a proposal.

    Once it makes it into the published energy security report then it will be a proposal.

    For now it's nothing more than a guess by a journalist



  • Registered Users Posts: 22,408 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    A recent Yale 360 report tackles many of the claims made on here that renewables are not suitable or lead to increased risk of power outages

    "Myth No. 1: A grid that increasingly relies on renewable energy is an unreliable grid.

    Going by the cliché, “In God we trust; all others bring data,” it’s worth looking at the statistics on grid reliability in countries with high levels of renewables. The indicator most often used to describe grid reliability is the average power outage duration experienced by each customer in a year, a metric known by the tongue-tying name of “System Average Interruption Duration Index” (SAIDI). Based on this metric, Germany — where renewables supply nearly half of the country’s electricity — boasts a grid that is one of the most reliable in Europe and the world. In 2020, SAIDI was just 0.25 hours in Germany. Only Liechtenstein (0.08 hours), and Finland and Switzerland (0.2 hours), did better in Europe, where 2020 electricity generation was 38 percent renewable (ahead of the world’s 29 percent). Countries like France (0.35 hours) and Sweden (0.61 hours) — both far more reliant on nuclear power — did worse, for various reasons.

    The United States, where renewable energy and nuclear power each provide roughly 20 percent of electricity, had five times Germany’s outage rate — 1.28 hours in 2020. Since 2006, Germany’s renewable share of electricity generation has nearly quadrupled, while its power outage rate was nearly halved. Similarly, the Texas grid became more stable as its wind capacity sextupled from 2007 to 2020. Today, Texas generates more wind power — about a fifth of its total electricity — than any other state in the U.S.

    Myth No. 2: Countries like Germany must continue to rely on fossil fuels to stabilize the grid and back up variable wind and solar power.

    Again, the official data say otherwise. Between 2010 — the year before the Fukushima nuclear accident in Japan — and 2020, Germany’s generation from fossil fuels declined by 130.9 terawatt-hours and nuclear generation by 76.3 terawatt hours. These were more than offset by increased generation from renewables (149.5 terawatt hours) and energy savings that decreased consumption by 38 terawatt hours in 2019, before the pandemic cut economic activity, too. By 2020, Germany’s greenhouse gas emissions had declined by 42.3 percent below its 1990 levels, beating the target of 40 percent set in 2007. Emissions of carbon dioxide from just the power sector declined from 315 million tons in 2010 to 185 million tons in 2020.

    So as the percentage of electricity generated by renewables in Germany steadily grew, its grid reliability improved, and its coal burning and greenhouse gas emissions substantially decreased.

    In Japan, following the multiple reactor meltdowns at Fukushima, more than 40 nuclear reactors closed permanently or indefinitely without materially raising fossil-fueled generation or greenhouse gas emissions; electricity savings and renewable energy offset virtually the whole loss, despite policies that suppressed renewables.

    Myth No. 3: Because solar and wind energy can be generated only when the sun is shining or the wind is blowing, they cannot be the basis of a grid that has to provide electricity 24/7, year-round.

    While variable output is a challenge, it is neither new nor especially hard to manage. No kind of power plant runs 24/7, 365 days a year, and operating a grid always involves managing variability of demand at all times. Even with no solar and wind power (which tend to work dependably at different times and seasons, making shortfalls less likely), all electricity supply varies.....

    .....To pick a much tougher case, the “dark doldrums” of European winters are often claimed to need many months of battery storage for an all-renewable electrical grid. Yet top German and Belgian grid operators find Europe would need only one to two weeks of renewably derived backup fuel, providing just 6 percent of winter output — not a huge challenge.

    The bottom line is simple. Electrical grids can deal with much larger fractions of renewable energy at zero or modest cost, and this has been known for quite a while. Some European countries with little or no hydropower already get about half to three-fourths of their electricity from renewables with grid reliability better than in the U.S. It is time to get past the myths"

    https://e360.yale.edu/features/three-myths-about-renewable-energy-and-the-grid-debunked



  • Registered Users Posts: 22,408 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    It was financing that caused the Spirit of Ireland project to fail. At the time, energy prices were cheap and investors and the government didn't have the foresight to imagine that energy prices might increase due to things like global pandemics, war and the need to rapidly transition away from fossil fuels to renewable infrastructure due to Climate change.

    We could really use at least one more pumped storage facility, the economic benefits to the country would have been much greater than the cost of constructing such a facility

    https://web.archive.org/web/20120304005407/http://www.spiritofireland.org/solution.php



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,049 ✭✭✭Mecanudo



    Ah taking the pedantic escape route. Well that's new 🙄

    But yes according to the Merrian Webster dictionary, the mooted state-owned commercial terminal detailed in the article does indeed constitute a proposal, proposition, suggestion, etc etc. That proposal is currently being reviewed.

    But we know that where the greens don't want something built - the usual approach seems to be foot dragging, orchestrated objection, mud slinging and any and all other means to fcuk the county up in order that everyone gets to follow their dictates regardless of any logic.

    Btw the proposal for a state-owned lng terminal is far from a "guess by a journalist". As detailed the proposal is part of the review, carried out by the Department of Environment, Climate and Communications. And the way things are going - gas storage and security of supply are becoming increasingly necessary regardless of what the greens may think. Lets hope Eamon doesn't try his usual foot dragging on this one. If he does he should get booted back to growing his lettuces in window boxes permanently.



  • Registered Users Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    This looks like a dramatic headline and look at how brilliant I am with data manipulation. Typically, of course, they never provide actual solutions. The problem is that gap and what can cheaply provide the backup, which remains unresolved to date.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 4,935 ✭✭✭Shoog


    Not true. It takes about three years to save the carbon used to produce a new car. Old cars can be very inefficient and polluting.



  • Registered Users Posts: 15,069 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    What is it with greens that everything has to be there way or the highway?

    Why can we not also do both. Build a LNG terminal and off-shore turbines. It`s not as if block-layers and roofers will be needed off-shore and the expense of building one would be marginal compared to the money required for off-shore turbines. Start it today ad it would be operational before the Celtic Interconnector hits shore. But then it is nothing to do with time or money. It`s just more of the greens ideological B.S. on gas. Fracked gas is the same as nuclear, the Devil`s own invention until it is put through one of these magical interconnectors and comes out the other side clean as a whistle.

    Again, nothing as to how many of these off-shore turbines will be needed to get us anywhere near self sufficient for an intermittent unreliable source, how much they will to cost to build, (never mind the yearly interest rate and depreciation costs), how long it will take for this to happen. Instead it`s off yet again to the green fantasy world where all of this has happened and we mysteriously now have all this extra energy to export to the needy and we are awash with money for retrofitting. It really is bizarre.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,678 ✭✭✭Multipass


    It takes a lot more than carbon to produce a new car - other resources matter besides carbon. And the extraction, refining of those resources and assembly procedures aren’t polluting? Bigger picture.



  • Registered Users Posts: 15,069 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    There is nothing complicated about the maximum capacity of energy possible from a generator and the actual energy generated.

    Barring breakdown or being taken off line, given a constant supply of the fuel required a generator will generate actual capacity as close to it`s maximum capacity as makes no difference. This is possible for nuclear or any fossil fueled generator, but not for one dependent on renewables of wind, solar, or hydro because of the intermittent unreliability of the fuel source.

    Knowing what the actual capacity is from a generator leaves it relatively simple to calculate how many of them you require to fill your needs, but that is not the case with renewables. Especially not with wind where as cnocbui has shown for off-shore turbines in the U.K. the actual average capacity for a rolling 12 month period is 42.2%. As we learned here last Winter and this Spring for extended periods on-shore wind generation was as low, and lower than 6%.

    I calculated that on the basis of that and the actual average of U.K. off-shore we would need 3 times what we have on-shore to have 100% reliable supply, but I was being extremely generous with 3 times because average for renewables is meaningless because of their unreliability. For them it is the lowest actual generated percentage on any given day of the year that matters if they are going to provide a 100% reliable supply.

    Greens are fond of giving us their timelines for builds and especially what their estimates of what the costs would be for anything other than fits their agenda, but when asked how much wind or any other renewable powered generated energy will ultimately cost to reach the level of 100% of our needs, nothing. It`s the equivalent of a total stranger asking you for your wallet, bank account details and the deeds to your house based on nothing other than being told "It`s fine, you can trust me"

    Post edited by charlie14 on


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,935 ✭✭✭Shoog


    Cars are one of the most comprehensively recycled products in the world. It still only takes a few years to pay down even accounting for raw materials.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 5,273 ✭✭✭xxxxxxl


    Oh I know, just wondering why one private venture is worse than the other 😂



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,273 ✭✭✭xxxxxxl


    On average modern cars are 75% recyclable And you have diminishing returns on most of the materials.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,328 ✭✭✭Banana Republic 1




  • Registered Users Posts: 3,328 ✭✭✭Banana Republic 1


    What about the poor put upons in rural Ireland, they wouldn’t like that.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,328 ✭✭✭Banana Republic 1


    State owned! , another 4/5 billion down the drain



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,328 ✭✭✭Banana Republic 1


    ”natural gas” emits methane in transportation.Burning it emits methane and CO2 two of the key causes of anthropogenic climate change.



  • Registered Users Posts: 20,047 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    Oh, you mean like with windfarms currently? Ok, fine, you have convined me, Bull Island it is then, which is appropriate if you believe in user pays.

    There is precedent, in that the country's first major power infrastructure project was Ardnacrusha. Have you ever wondered what the ramifications will be for the farmers in the Shannon catchment area if Dublin goes ahead with the drain Lough Derg to feed the Dublin greed plan?

    Dublin has no problems foisting things on rural Ireland to it's benefit.



  • Registered Users Posts: 10,377 ✭✭✭✭tom1ie


    Any of the acolytes want to reply/rebuff this, or are you happy to agree the environment minister has dropped the ball on this?



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,328 ✭✭✭Banana Republic 1


    Then why did you say the following in reply to a question I asked someone else re suggestions on where to locate a nuclear plant.

    @cnocbui ”Clare or Limerick, on the Shannon estuary seem like an obvious one. Far enough from the main users in Dublin



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,935 ✭✭✭Shoog


    Its based on scientific analysis of the actual data, I will take over your crying response.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 4,935 ✭✭✭Shoog


    Turlough hill is built for a different function to the sort of pumped storage we would need to build. Its a peak smoothing facility with a 6hour typical run time. What it does demonstrate is that pumped storage is viable and a well proven technology, no innovation is needed. The thing with having 2x the demand capacity for wind is that at many times it will produce twice the needed amount of electricity we need. We can ship that out to the continent at wholesale prices or we can use it to create a weeks long buffer for calm periods. The engineering principles are all worked out and costed - its lack of strategic political will to invest in the future where the problem lies.

    A pumped storage system would make a renewables grid extremely robust and cost far less than a single nuclear power plant (which would not offer such stability).



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,049 ✭✭✭Mecanudo


    Thanks for the chemistry lesson.

    But anyway that's not what the previous bizarre criticism concerned.

    At this point in the thread, I believe it has already been well covered that natural gas is the selected transition fuel for the foreseeable.



  • Registered Users Posts: 20,047 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    Because that is what would actually happen and the power lines are already there. I am directly down wind of the estuary in Tipp, and personally wouldn't have a problem with it.

    Offer free power for life to anyone in a 10km radius and see how much local opposition you get.



  • Registered Users Posts: 20,047 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    Ireland doesn't have suitable geography for 5-6 GW of pumped storage that can deliver that for 10 days straight. Pumped storage is some of the worst eco-vadalism imaginable and is a criminal idea.



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,935 ✭✭✭Shoog


    I suggest you go read their actual proposal.

    Meanwhile nuclear power is suffering sever curtailment issues because of the various heatwaves - an issue which will only get worse as time goes on. Talking of environmental damage, nuclear located on a large river becomes a perminent block to salmon migration as they cannot swim through the hot water plum at the cooler outlets. No more salmon on the Shannon.



  • Registered Users Posts: 10,377 ✭✭✭✭tom1ie


    Ok grand.

    Where will this pumped storage site(s) go that will store a weeks buffer of power, that keeps the grid going when the wind stops blowing in the event of a high pressure system during winter?



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    If only such a proposal existed we could analyze it but alas there is no such proposal. Not sure why you think there is.

    Only pumped storage being proposed that I'm aware of that is anywhere near reality is the Silvermines one. According to their site:

    The underground powerhouse (turbine hall) will contain three 120MW pump/turbine units. This configuration provides a balance between the flexibility and reliability of multiple small units and the economies of scale of large units.

    The average difference in elevation between the upper and lower reservoirs is approximately 300m. Each reservoir will have a water capacity capable of providing up to six hours of energy storage.

    So 18 hrs of 120MW or 6 hours of 360MW



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,935 ✭✭✭Shoog




  • Registered Users Posts: 10,377 ✭✭✭✭tom1ie


    Which is exactly my point.

    Gas (or other fossil fuels) are the only option for when the wind stops blowing for a prolonged period- at the moment and for the foreseeable future. In this context it is clear that ER has dropped the ball massively by not pushing for gas storage since he has gotten his hands on such a crucial portfolio.

    Im not sure how some people can’t understand this.



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  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Thats how you understand it, others understand it differently.

    Personally I'd be of the opinion that LNG would be a waste of time and money and would leave us with either a stranded asset, one we must use for fear of losing the few jobs it might have thereby diverting resources/demand away from sustainable options and/or leaving us at the mercy of global gas markets for longer than we'd need to otherwise.

    Either one is not a good result so I've no problem with Ryan not pushing for LNG even though it was specifically called out in the PfG that the govt would not be doing anything of the sort so if Ryan did do as you say he'd be opening up the whole PfG to being renegotiated, which would not be in anybody's interest



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