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Irish Property Market chat II - *read mod note post #1 before posting*

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  • Registered Users Posts: 14,468 ✭✭✭✭Dav010


    The implications for the economy is as pointed out earlier by another poster, emigration was a safety valve where those who couldn’t afford to, or didn’t want to live here went abroad. With that comes less demand and more opportunities for those who stay.

    The “wealthiest” in this society are your fellow workers who just have higher paying jobs, they aren’t nefarious company executives. Ask a tech/pharma employee if they feel the Government subsidised their €600k home, or is it they can afford to pay more because of the job opportunities here in Ireland.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,609 ✭✭✭Tonesjones


    "What's most disturbing about the current Dublin market is that it's so warped that workers essential to keeping the city going can't afford to live there"


    This is exactly what happened in San Francisco when tech became big tech!


    https://www.theguardian.com/cities/2019/jul/01/san-francisco-big-tech-workers-industry



  • Registered Users Posts: 14,468 ✭✭✭✭Dav010




  • Registered Users Posts: 4,603 ✭✭✭Villa05


    The country to grow up and realise that high unaffordable house prices are a ball and chain around the ankles of our children and catastrophic for the economy. It is literally shooting yourself in the foot.



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,035 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    And isn't San Fran such a functional and great place nowadays, with nothing wrong with it 🙄



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  • Registered Users Posts: 14,468 ✭✭✭✭Dav010


    You are waiting for 5 million people to “grow up” and come around to your way of thinking?



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,450 ✭✭✭fliball123


    Its also true in previous decades that essential workers could also afford their own home in highly sought after areas around the world, its not just an Ireland and Dublin thing. The dynamics have changed and a house is no longer looked at as just somewhere to live but as a commodity to make money off as well this cannot change now the horse has bolted, but its a bit distressing to see someone pay 1/2 a million for a house or paying 3k for renting the same house and then seeing someone on welfare being handed the same for a hell of a lot less. The rules are skewed and allow for all kinds of abuse to go on.. Look there are other areas other more affordable than Dublin to live within commuting distance of Dublin, but we still have savage demand due to Brexit and Covid and the population increase. This will take at least another decade to sort out and will only be sorted if the government start building social housing on a higher scale again and if a house is social it does not belong to the tenant, it should belong to the tax payers of Ireland and should be used for future needs, we need a stock for those who cannot afford to buy but a tenant in one of these houses (if they are able bodied) should not be allowed stay there without payment and forever. They should also have evidence of them saving to buy their own property in the future and working. The days of any girl who wants the state to be baby daddy should be done away with, by all means let them stay in the house till the kids are 18 then out you go and look after yourself like everyone else in the world we need to get our welfare recipients in all guises more accountable and stop with the handouts. The fact is the government have made the issue worse by setting up schemes to keep prices high FTB, HAP etc. They also have control over emigration which is the elephant in the room we have not got enough properties to house our domestic needs and yet we keep allowing others in without any thought of where they will be housed, I may be called a racist after that last sentence but I am a realist there is a nightmare coming up when college kids flood back for their accommodation which is currently being used to house Ukrainians, who are in fairness having a horrible time of it but we are selling our own population short to help them... The government also stopped building over the last decade and are now playing catch up by competing with those trying to get on the ladder as well throw in the REITS and Vultures and how they are taxes compared to small landlords and the government seem to be doing their best to phuck over Irish people in helping out everyone else from the outside....



  • Registered Users Posts: 18,502 ✭✭✭✭Bass Reeves


    Anybody in there late 30's had option to buy from 2011-2016. Apartments were the price of top of the range cars in Dublin and mid rage cars in every other city in Ireland. They either had no savings after 4-8 years of work or waited for there forever home. There was options they choose not to take them options.

    Slava Ukrainii



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,110 ✭✭✭yagan


    The government subsidized their education so they've no reason to believe they did it all themselves.

    It's not sustainable that essential workers can't afford to live in the city that needs them. We're at the stage now where specialists are withdrawing from job offers in Ireland because the living expenses negate the benefit of the higher wage that initially attracted them.

    My wife works in a medical specialty with major staff shortages and the growing trend of recent years is those who come to Ireland only last a couple of years with most leaving for lower wage in more affordable markets where starting a family is sustainable.

    I've encountered immigrants in the tech bubbles like the Silicon docks who opine similar outlooks, Ireland is great for getting a few years experience before moving on to somewhere more affordable.

    It's no good talking about meeting building targets if essential medical staff get outbid by investor funds and government via local authorities; the need for the latter could be reduced by restricting the former.



  • Registered Users Posts: 132 ✭✭AySeeDoubleYeh


    Oh for sure, what with the high paid jobs they had been working in since the late 200... Oh



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  • Registered Users Posts: 2,206 ✭✭✭combat14


    they weren't competing against the FF/FG Vulture Funds or the influx of a million new irish from the EU and beyond - different times

    at this stage the government must be hoping a generation of irish youth (potential SF voters) emigrate in the next 2 years before the next election ..



  • Registered Users Posts: 14,468 ✭✭✭✭Dav010


    You think things were better in the 80’s when your two couples bought their homes? there was mass unemployment, emigration, social unrest, Charlie Haughey going on TV telling us we were living beyond our means? They could buy houses because they were lucky enough to have jobs, at that time bank jobs were “jobs for life” so they had a much better chance to getting a mortgage/buying a home.

    You seem to understand why people couldn’t buy when prices were rock bottom during a recession when there was unemployment, lower wages, lack of credit, but unable to understand why people can’t buy when there is full employment, a good percentage have high wages/savings and access to credit. Why is that?



  • Registered Users Posts: 14,468 ✭✭✭✭Dav010


    On the contrary, putting SF in and letting them see that it is easy to make populist promises and difficult to deliver, may allow the two main parties to regroup.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,110 ✭✭✭yagan


    Meeting the housing shortage is meaningless if those units are being allowed to be hoovered up by rent farming funds. Just because it's a similar situation in many markets around the world doesn't validate the situation. It shows that international funds being allowed to rent farm has been normalised as conventional wisdom, despite these funds adding nothing to the economy.

    A lot of the developments of the last five years didn't even make it to the open market, they were sold directly to rent farming funds. The maddening thing about this situation is that its the elderly cohort whose pension funds outbid the essential workers needed for the aging population.



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,450 ✭✭✭fliball123


    You need a functioning rental market as well, some people are transient here for a few years and gone it wouldn't make sense for them to buy. Trying to put rules in place now will cause a lot of moral hazards for people who bought their house over the years and I cant see it happening while homeowners numbers are greater than non home owners. The market should just have all supports taken away and let it find its own equilibrium along with social housing being built on a much wider scale for those who cant afford to buy currently.



  • Registered Users Posts: 132 ✭✭AySeeDoubleYeh


    Our current situation is not an accident. It is by design. Whether deliberate design or sheer ignorance is unimportant. It is a direct result of decisions made by our government.

    Of course I understand why people cannot afford a home, that's precisely what we're talking about! House ownership is increasingly being limited to a certain subset of society, the reasons for this are clear. But you don't look at an outcome and say 'well that's the way it is, oh well', you look at the root cause. And some of us hold contention with how we got to this point.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,110 ✭✭✭yagan


    You've miss my point entirely, people moved to Ireland with the intention of building a life, but once they realise that that life isn't affordable they start treating Ireland as a career layover and eventually move on. Now the situation has gotten worse in that people are passing on jobs here because the word is out that it's unaffordable. Why bother with Ireland when they can advance their career where they build equity too.

    In the Bertie years personal borrowing drove house prices, now it's domestic and foreign investor funds. Restricting these funds from the market won't affect supply as wage homemakers are already being overbid. The current goverments core voters are home owners so they don't appreciate the plight of renters.



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,450 ✭✭✭fliball123


    So did you ask every single person who came to live in Ireland are they intending on staying here? I know I went to Oz for a year earned more cash and had a great lifestyle and came back with enough cash for a deposit in Ireland but I never intended on staying over there indefinitely. I am pretty sure some see Ireland as a way to make a lot of cash and head home sure it is common place in my company we had Polish, Lithuanian, Brazilian and Turkish workers for a number of years and making enough cash to go back home and have a decent lump sum for a house back home. So we do need rentals.

    as I pointed out a lot of first world countries are the same with regards to being unaffordable such as US- New York, France-Paris, England-London and that list goes on and on that is how it has gone globally areas where there is a lot of demand for will always be out of reach for the average worker on the average wage..


    I do agree with restricting REITS or they should be taxed at 51% like our workers here and that money used to build social houses.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,110 ✭✭✭yagan


    Where did I say we don't need rentals?

    We know from revenue that there's 70.000 registered units unused, reportedly large chunks of the silicon docks accommodation is sitting unlet. What have a housing minister who admits that he doesn't know how many units delivered are been hoovered up by rent farmers, and of that stock he doesn't have the means to gauge how much is withheld from the market for asset appreciation.

    The only true picture is the five yearly census.



  • Registered Users Posts: 14,468 ✭✭✭✭Dav010


    And do you bear any responsibility for helping yourself out of it?

    There are a multitude of reasons why we have arrived at this point, ignorance is thinking they are all attributable to bad policies by a Government. It is to ignore the part played by the success of our economy in providing jobs, attracting inward migration, having savings that allow for purchases etc.

    The irony may be lost on you, but one of the reasons there are so many bidders with higher financial resources pushing up the price of property, is because for some sectors there are fantastic job opportunities here which have drastically reduced the need to emigrate. Work from home now means that those highly paid people can move out of Dublin, pushing up the prices in rural areas. Is that bad policy making, to have a thriving tech/pharma sector and allow people to wfh? Of course not. Can you build houses at the rate jobs are created? Also, of course not.

    Post edited by Dav010 on


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  • Registered Users Posts: 4,603 ✭✭✭Villa05


    Could they be purchased on a job bridge scheme, terms of employment far inferior to there peers, temporary contracts, 0 hours contracts etc.

    These were the people chosen to pay the most for the sins of the state that they had no hand act or part in



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,603 ✭✭✭Villa05


    I think it might be the leaders of said country that need to wake up, the population are paying for the last bust, they have an ink link to the potential damage.



  • Posts: 0 ✭✭✭ Musa Unkempt Tech


    The housing system is broken. Even the apartments built during the celtic tiger are a fire risk. So even if you spend ridiculous sums of money, your not getting value for it.



  • Registered Users Posts: 14,468 ✭✭✭✭Dav010


    Again, a very simplistic way of looking at the current problem. Successive Governments have done well to lift Ireland out of recession and provide conditions for full employment and inward investment leading to good, high paying jobs. There were many reasons for the "last bust", some not under the control of our Government, unless you want to blame them for a global economic collapse. One of the largest contributing factors domestically, and something the Government did have to take responsibility for, was the lack of regulation in the building sector and financial markets which meant people borrowed far beyond their means to invest in rapidly built, shiite properties. When the recession came, too much debt, to many houses. That has now been corrected making it more difficult to over borrow, and building regs have been improved. The fact that there are so many people who have well paying jobs which allows them to borrow more as a result of having a higher wage for the mortgage multiplier cap, and houses are more expensive to build because of the regs, is hardly an indication of poor policy decisions, unless of course you think people should be able to borrow without a ceiling. That of course would risk repeating the mistakes of the Celtic tiger years.

    The fact is that some sectors of society, particularly those who went into the tech/financial/pharma/trades fields are doing very well at the moment, high wages, high capacity to borrow are competing with people in average paying jobs, they no longer need to emigrate, so they are competing with you for the limited stock of properties available. Will SF change that? No, and if they try to, they risk killing the golden goose which has driven our economy forward and helped us out of recession. And if you think that is a price worth paying, then consider that the MNC's alone put over €16bn into our economy in direct payroll, the benefit of that is most assuredly felt by those shops, mechanics, pubs, restaurants, etc, jobs that lower paid workers rely on, not to mention the tax take from their wages which pay to run the PS/CS services.



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,603 ✭✭✭Villa05


    Were we only selling our own population short after emigration or was it always an ongoing issue



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,450 ✭✭✭fliball123


    Well historically or up until the the naughties we exported workers or at least we had more people leaving than coming in this has really shifted around and more people are now coming to live in Ireland than leaving so no its very new for Ireland now weather thats people coming in via MNCs for jobs it means others are paying more tax to protect corpo taxes or welfare tourists coming for our really high welfare rates, this also has to be paid for.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,839 ✭✭✭mcsean2163


    What advice would you give to someone who is mentally disabled?



  • Registered Users Posts: 14,468 ✭✭✭✭Dav010


    I’m not sure what you are asking here, is it for yourself or someone else?



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,839 ✭✭✭mcsean2163


    In the context of housing, a mentally disabled person who wants independent in Ireland.

    What advice would you give them?



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  • Registered Users Posts: 4,603 ✭✭✭Villa05


    Your concern for the sustainability of the economy is admirable.

    The 2 key drivers of same were corporation tax changes and "free" third level education. The corpo tax is coming under increased international pressure and free third level is being diluted by extortionate rents on below standard accomodation and creeping registration fees.

    Affordable housing would be a game changer for the economy similar to corporation taxes and could be a revenue gereator for the state as opposed to a large and growing liability. It would allow us to address our growing national debt

    Separately government have been fighting and circumventing prudent financial regulation and complicit in poor and costly building regulations



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