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"Green" policies are destroying this country

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  • Registered Users Posts: 29,289 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    ...it would need to be multiples of billions, as an astonishing amount of offshore and onshore infrastructure would need to be built, but once built and up and running, these would then become new state assets, helping to provide energy for further economic activities, and in return we would be less exposed to international energy markets, which is in fact one of the main causes of our current inflationary problems....

    the current rate of government borrowing is so low, roughly 2% fixed, for such investments, that the debts required to do so, could be paid back within a few years of operations, so win win!



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,477 ✭✭✭KildareP


    What is the capacity factor though?

    How much do we need to invest to ensure it can meet even our most basic electricity demands all 365 days of the year without question? As currently, BESS technology will provide a few hours at most of maximum output, and even then, the max output is in single percentage figures of total demand.

    What if we do invest astonishing amounts of money and it still can't guarantee 100% of supply? Do we keep throwing money at it in the hope it eventually does? At what point do we stop and start to consider alternatives alongside?



  • Registered Users Posts: 29,289 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    wouldnt have a clue tbh, but lonergan and sawers work might fill in some of the gaps there, longeran explains very well how this all could be funded

    im not convinced a 100% system is possible, but the interconnects might fill in the gaps there, and ultimately nuclear for the long term, but it will probably be a very long time before that reality is truly accepted here....

    sawers is also a consultant engineer to governments for energy systems, so......

    Post edited by Wanderer78 on


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,275 ✭✭✭paddyisreal


    She was nominated as super junior by Eamon using a loophole in the constitution that has been used twice in the history of the state. She failed miserably in the last general election



  • Registered Users Posts: 644 ✭✭✭Darth Putin


    and here we have it

    Russians buying off politicians in Germany who then get elected via “environmental” foundations



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  • Registered Users Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    Yeah many do and go for the Seanad instead, often via Taoiseach nominations. She's an elected Senator and got 76,000 FPV. There is nothing stopping anyone using the loophole as you call it.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,477 ✭✭✭KildareP


    See this is the problem - how can we all get on board the offshore wind plan when no-one seems able to answer, or even guesstimate to the nearest billion even:

    • How much do we need to invest to meet today's grid demand with fossil backup 365 days of the year?
    • How much do we need to invest to meet expected demand by 2030 for 365 days of the year with fossil backup? Accounting for 1m EV's and 600k heat-pumps.

    That's just to get through the "now" while we still have oil and gas.

    Then we need to figure out how we remove fossil fuel completely from the grid. The simple answer is we find some means of running all of the windfarms at whatever they're capable of capturing at a given moment and then storing that energy in some sort of intermediary buffer which we can use to generate the electricity when it's actually demanded and not only when the wind blows strong enough.

    The most promising means at the moment seems to be hydrogen, because it can be fired in existing gas turbines as well as being suitable for most modern domestic heating boilers, but:

    • It's still in its relative infancy, round-trip efficiency can be right down into the low teens, depending on application. How much excess input energy capacity will we need to be able to produce it in sufficient usable quantities for real world application?
    • Efficiency may improve and offshore wind may produce far more electricity than we could ever use day to day. We could strike it lucky and be mass producing hydrogen for a global market and making an absolute fortune - but no-one seems to know that with any sort of certainty.

    How we can therefore accept we have to commit to spending untold billions investing in wind in the not at all confident hope that it will even meet our basic day to day domestic energy needs, never mind make some sort of a return on it, I just don't know? Meanwhile there is outright refusal to consider alternative sources of energy like nuclear, or to consider we may need to increase our use of fossil fuels for another decade or two. It's a massive gamble to be making.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,600 ✭✭✭ps200306


    Sure, here's your number:

    01 619 4000

    It's the number for the Department of the Taoiseach. Tell him I said hello. Ask him why he's suddenly taken an interest in security of supply (hint: it's because he doesn't plan to get dragged down by Ryan's incompetence).




  • Registered Users Posts: 5,273 ✭✭✭xxxxxxl


    buying a second hand ev would be even worse. There is a reason people sell their ev. No one wants to pay for the replacement batteries. 😕



  • Registered Users Posts: 8,913 ✭✭✭Danno


    Wrong. She wasn't elected by the people of Laois-Offaly.

    Laois-Offaly constituency | The Irish Times

    After first round of votes she only amounted enough to land 8th place in the 5-seater constituency.

    Even after transfers, she was over 4,000 votes off Sean Fleming.

    Only 5.03% of Laois-Offaly people who turned out to vote (63%) gave the GP first preference votes.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    Yes for the Seanad not the Dail. That it is a very exclusive voting public does not make her unelected.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,569 ✭✭✭Pa ElGrande


    That report by Timera Energy can be summed up as lack of power capacity driving up demand for gas, and therefore gas prices, which in turn drives up power prices. No relief in sight for the next few years.

    Net Zero means we are paying for the destruction of our economy and society in pursuit of an unachievable and pointless policy.



  • Registered Users Posts: 22,408 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    There are so many scenarios that are worse than having blackouts. That's when we need to assign risk ratings. Low impact high likelihood events, high impact low probability events etc. We cannot mitigate all risk. We need to prioritise resources based on risk.

    If the government think there's a 5% chance of power shortages this winter then we can take a gamble. If it's a 50% chance then we spend a lot of resources to mitigate that risk



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,600 ✭✭✭ps200306


    Ok, then, what's the risk the wind won't blow this winter, leading to blackouts?

    Just give me a number.



  • Registered Users Posts: 15,068 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    LOL. The total electorate for that panel is around 1,100. If she got 76,000 FPV then we need a recount.

    She was elected on the 20th count with 76 votes. 19 short of the quota.

    Each vote was multiplied by 1000 because the numbers eligible to vote were so few, transfers otherwise would have to be expressed in decimal points.



  • Registered Users Posts: 11,059 ✭✭✭✭Furze99


    Eamon Ryan is the man politically responsible for energy provision in this state, is he not?

    He'd want to get his finger out & fast, if the Greens don't want to be buried so far down come the inevitable election, that they become carbon deposits.

    FF/FG already pointing the finger in his direction, the buck stops with you buddy.



  • Registered Users Posts: 15,068 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    The vast majority of such infrastructures at present are privately owned, as are those approved in May this year under RESS 2 so none of those asset would be state assets. We could possibly use a compulsory purchase order to buy them, but I imagine that would be tricky and would result in private investors having no further interest. We will already be borrowing to upgrade the grid so to go it on our own would leave the cost astronomical would it not as we do not even know what capacity is required from renewables to achieve 100% let alone the cost ?



  • Registered Users Posts: 22,408 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    You're the one who's saying we need to do something urgently to build CNG or LanG facilities.



  • Registered Users Posts: 15,068 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    TBH a number would have the same relevance as the base plate capacity number on a wind turbine. Worth nothing when there is little or no wind. A percentage number on blackouts would be the same as it would not represent the harm such blackouts could do to our economy as regards future investments. Something the IDA have been warning about recently.



  • Registered Users Posts: 9,717 ✭✭✭YFlyer


    Some comments stating it could still be an EV with the 12V battery may be flat due to light left on while stationary.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,275 ✭✭✭paddyisreal


    She got 5 percent of the vote in the last general election so colour it whatever way you want she was not elected in the last general election. Fact check



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,273 ✭✭✭xxxxxxl


    that's for the electrics not starting the car. I just googled it.



  • Registered Users Posts: 23,665 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    The Greens are very quiet on this energy fiasco we now find ourselves in.

    Reality punching them in the face and they've clearly calculated the best approach is to lay low.



  • Registered Users Posts: 38 SpudsandGuinness


    The climate has always been changing like what the heck . Just an excuse to waffle on about **** that's happening . Nature made us if it needs rid of us it will do so. Green party me arse what a croc of sxxt. The most uneducated party known to mankind they think they know what there talking about but are a very small minded party good riddens in the next election thank god



  • Registered Users Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so




  • Registered Users Posts: 9,717 ✭✭✭YFlyer


    Has it been determined was she driving an ICE or EV?



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,569 ✭✭✭Pa ElGrande


    Their answer will be throw more money at the problem.


    Net Zero means we are paying for the destruction of our economy and society in pursuit of an unachievable and pointless policy.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,713 ✭✭✭ginger22




  • Registered Users Posts: 1,713 ✭✭✭ginger22


    this is our future



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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,477 ✭✭✭KildareP


    I can see them being thrown firmly under the bus, although FF and FG are not exactly blameless either.

    We've walked straight into this crisis, a complete lack of joined up thinking:

    • shutting relatively modern peat plants like Shannonbridge and West Offaly in 2020 instead of converting to biomass - a combined loss of about 0.3GW of generation
    • doing absolutely nothing to plan for closure of the two most polluting, but also the most powerful, stations in the country, Tarbet (HFO) and Moneypoint (coal) - an additional loss of 1.5GW of generation coming down the line
    • refusing to build any new significant generation capacity that isn't wind, and which can't be relied upon to provide a stable baseload supply.

    All the while:

    • Encouraging electrification of home heating, an additional 1GW of generation capacity needed to support target of 600k heat-pumps during winter peak (thankfully heat-pumps are an always on electrical load, unlike EV charging, so are much more predictable and flat in their electrical demands)
    • We have existing datacentres ramping up their base load while also allowing new datacentres to come online - thankfully these are also relatively stable and flat in their demand
    • Our housing stock has to increase in the order of tens of thousands in the next few years to support our constantly growing population, which will cause further load on the grid and more people all trying to cook their dinner during the 5PM-7PM peak time
    • Encouraging electrification of transport, 1m EV's due to be in use by 2030, this is going to be the biggest hit to the grid, we'll need a minimum additional 1.5GW of generation capacity needed to support charging, but that is assuming the charging is spread evenly and mostly in the overnight hours (i.e. even with 1.5GW we'll still have significant issues with peak shortages).

    We've literally stretched our grid thin on both the generation and demand side over the last two decades and now the government are shocked that when the wind isn't blowing we're goosed?



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