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"Green" policies are destroying this country

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  • Registered Users Posts: 15,068 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    Throwing unlimited billions at it was not going to alter the fact that when the wind does not blow it does not blow. Ramping up efforts to push up demand with EVs and heat pumps were only ever going to make the problem worse. Until there is a proven economically viable method of storing what is produced on good days sufficient to cater for our needs over a prolonged period then those unlimited billions would be throwing good money after bad. The whole green strategy has been one of cart before horse.



  • Registered Users Posts: 29,287 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    ah yea, tis fcuked, but shur we ve known this for eons now, so here it is.....

    maybe, certainly looks that way in other countries, off shore wind makes sense for us, but shur that ll probably just mean it wont be done



  • Registered Users Posts: 8,913 ✭✭✭Danno


    Ireland's population grows at highest rate since 2008 in last 12 months - CSO https://jrnl.ie/5848121

    More consumers, more C02. And backed by every party that says we have to reduce emissions.

    Luckily the 120,700 we took in are all going to live by candlelight in the forests.



  • Registered Users Posts: 15,068 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    It would not surprise me. It made a rapid return from the dead last year according to the SEAI providing 14% of generated electricity. Over 3 times the level of the previous year.



  • Registered Users Posts: 29,287 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    throwing billions into creating new state assets, that makes us more energy independent, and less dependent on international energy markets for our energy needs, in particular fossil fuel markets, makes every bit of sense, baring in mind, one of the main reasons for our inflationary pressures is just that!

    not only would we become more energy independent, i.e. and in return become less susceptible to international energy markets, we would have brand new state assets, whereby the wealth created could be used to help provide us with our other critical needs, health care, property, etc etc

    yes, wind has its issues, but with modern storage methods such as battery, hydrogen etc etc, many of these shortcomings can be over come, so its really time for us to grow up, and do what needs to be done....

    ...again, its now possible to have an off shore farm up and running within a couple of years, and the debts required to do so, paid back within a few years of operations, and at the end of it, we d have new state assets, to help do the above!



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  • Registered Users Posts: 20,047 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    Offshore wind makes no sense as it costs more than nuclear. A rarely reported on thing is that increased global warming would result in decreasing wind speeds as the temperature differential between the equator and poles decreases, but climate models can't say by how much as they are incapable of incorporating the complexities involved.



  • Registered Users Posts: 22,408 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    The new gas plants they are planning are going to reduce our gas consumption because

    a) they are much more efficient

    b) They are specifically designed to be used as backup generators, not like the the older baseload generators we have now, they are intended to complement the rollout of renewable energy by only turning on when they are needed. Currently lots of our wind power is 'curtailed' because it takes too long for the gas turbines to spin up and down, that they keep them on when the supply is in any way marginal.

    The new powerplants should reduce how often the gas turbines are needed.

    300 Megawatt Gas Turbine Power Plant Cold Start + Full Tour - YouTube



  • Registered Users Posts: 29,287 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    i call bullsh1t on this one, economist eric lonergan has done some good work on this, according to him, farms can now be built within a couple of years, and the debts paid back within a few years of operations, the setup costs of nuclear are far greater, far more complex, and you may forget about them getting passed the planning process at the moment in ireland, it would be far easier to go with wind. lonergans calculations have also been confirmed and backed by energy consultant engineer Corinne Sawers, so id say this, for now, is our solution, but i wouldnt worry about that, as id say their advice wont be taken up.

    yes, i suspect most if not all 'solutions' will have inherent negatives, im not convinced we will ever have completely 100% problem free approaches, but for now, this is it....



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,600 ✭✭✭ps200306


    That our gas problems started with Putin's Ukraine invasion is a convenient fiction. Ryan has been falling over backward the last few months to point out that we don't import Russian gas. Blaming everything on the Russians now is revisionist. Sure, gas prices are going up for everyone, but if we're only going to argue about price, then the gas price spike goes back a long way before Ukraine.

    And yes, the Greens have only been in power for two years. But they are behind last year's Climate Action Plan which sets out all those ambitions for EVs and heat pumps, and increases our targets for CO2 reduction. There is no mention of the backup energy generation needed to support that, while Eirgrid and the CRU have been pointing out for years that we are under capacity.

    Ryan has been vociferously against sensible infrastructure development. He intervened in a quite unseemly way against Shannon LNG. He's been sitting on his hands with existing offshore exploration licenses. He desperately tried to get emergency gas-fired generation when the SHTF but discovered that actually, nobody wants to build a gas plant when they're told that they'll only get to operate it for 500 hours a year for 10 years. IIRC we had to triple the strike price to get any takers -- in which case renewables are effectively pushing up the price of every other form of power generation (which is exactly what sane people would expect). It's clear Ryan wants to operate a niggardly policy that will allow him to scrape by with a bare minimum of fossils until he's ready to push the "big green switch" when -- as he imagines -- batteries and hydrogen are available to take up the slack.

    Former managing director of ESB International has no qualms in saying that the government has had its head in the sand:




  • Registered Users Posts: 15,068 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    The present renewables are basically all private investment so they are not state assets. The only way they would become state assets is if we acquired them under compulsory purchase orders. Even if we did manage to do that the cost would be much more than the initial cost of their construction and would ensure no other private investors would touch us with a barge poll in the future. The expense of going it on our own is just not feasible for the kind of investment you are suggesting.

    Can will and maybes are never a great investment idea and that is where battery, hydrogen etc are presently. If we are going to invest in anything then it would actually make more sense to invest in what could help as regards electrical storage than what really is not.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 29,287 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    lonergans approach is for the state to heavily borrow, and build such faculties, if this was done, they would in fact be state owned, baring in mind, the state can current borrow at 2% fixed...

    ...we would not being going it alone, we would still need and have private investors involved in the whole process, and would still require the current operation interconnectors, and proposed interconnectors...

    ...again, all of this has been confirmed and agreed by current energy consultants such as sawers....

    ...i.e. this is the most feasible approach, but again, i wouldnt overly worry about it, as this more than likely is what will not occur....



  • Registered Users Posts: 15,068 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    Seriously, that is about the most convoluted attempt at hand waving away the problem yet.

    We are not building new gas fired plants because they are more efficient. We are building them because renewables are intermittent and undependable, and we have left ourselves due to green policy, similar to Germany, where we are now more dependent on unsecure gas than ever, where the greens answer is to use more gas fired plants when there is a European shortage of gas.



  • Registered Users Posts: 20,047 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    Perhaps instead of appealing to authority, you should try doing the calculations yourself. Whoever Lonergan is, I'll bet he didn't run any numbers using current gas prices, which are probably here to stay for quite a while.

    The Irish populace can't afford the present planning shi​t show. Events are moving far too fast and are far too important in consequence to allow this nonsense to get in the way.

    I don't know at what point the governemnt will come to realise this and that it needs legislation to exempt itself from the planning process when it comes to major infrastructure of national significance, but I the sooner it does, the better.



  • Registered Users Posts: 10,375 ✭✭✭✭tom1ie


    Again with the hydrogen 🤦‍♂️

    What grid on planet earth uses green hydrogen as a storage medium for when the wind isn’t blowing?

    Its just not there yet so stop referring to it as if it is a modern storage method.



  • Registered Users Posts: 29,287 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    hes only a respected hedge fund manger, so....

    ...we cant afford not to do this, hence why it probably wont be done, so bring on the black outs!

    ...companies already starting to invest in such here in ireland, must be wrong so....



  • Registered Users Posts: 15,068 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    I would not worry about it in the slightest. We currently have nameplate capacity from renewables of 75% of our needs that we know for three prolonged periods in the past year provided 6% and less of our needs during those periods. Until there is an economically viable means of storing electricity to fill that gap then it would be economically bat **** crazy to go borrowing untold billions regardless of the interest rate just to throw more renewables at the problem.



  • Registered Users Posts: 10,375 ✭✭✭✭tom1ie


    Eirgrid highlighted the gap in generation in 2017.

    ER got the energy portfolio in what? the end of 2019?

    So did ER not read Eirgrids 2017 report no?



  • Registered Users Posts: 29,287 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    ...so the solution is to remain deeply exposed to international fossil fuel markets, and all that entails, i.e. inflationary issues etc, yea?

    ...once again, our current government, can currently borrow at 2% 'fixed' for such!

    ...again, confirmed and agreed by current energy consultants such as sawers!



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,044 ✭✭✭patnor1011


    Imminent climate catastrophe, manmade climate change, climate fearp0rn, rising temperatures, sea levels and wholesale end of the world if we "did not do something", carbon and nitrogen vilification... All of that crap.


    Read the link all this new green religion fallacies are pretty much summarized there.



  • Registered Users Posts: 330 ✭✭cezanne


    here is a simple statement "we can expect blackouts this winter Ok, so then why should we all scrap every petrol / diesel car over 8 years of age for an electric car when there wont be electricity ? Isnt that a bit odd? Plus scrapping cars that have at least 5/6 more years of use once they are NCT'ed and well maintained.

    the whole green **** show is a joke when you see the bigger countries like India China even America give the proverbial finger. I am so glad i cut tons of turf to heat my home and so did my neighbours all the new homes with no allowed fireplaces will have a cold winter. What a crock of **** the Green party is.

    Reduce the 6 milion herd of cattle by 1 million so the argentinans & brazllians can increase their herd by 6 million. Nothing is linked or adds up.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 11,059 ✭✭✭✭Furze99


    We all know the current Greens have only had their boots under the table in last couple of years.

    We also know that the debate about renewables and what you have to back them up has been going on for many years.

    We also recall that the leading proponent of Climate Action plans for several years has been the Green Party.

    And we know that the Greens were implacably opposed to investing in other forms of power generation other than renewables.

    The public understand who has been leading this particular charge and where the buck stops.



  • Registered Users Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    Labour off 10% can get 10-14 seats depending on how they fall. It's all down to the transfers. All the FPV total does is suggest the potential to get elected. If a candidate has a quota of 0.4 or higher it puts then in the zone for a seat. The PDs were largely personality driven and could get 4-9 seats off a similar total to the Greens. What all of them have in common is that they are niche parties with strengths far in excess of that national number in very specific constituencies.

    Your need for a personal jibe aside opinion polls are just a snapshot of the time they are taken. These mid-cycle ones mean nothing at all apart from allow people to conclude things about them but a similar poll 1-2 weeks before an election would be significant as a clearer indication of voting intentions. As for the SF vote the last time yeah they did mess up but quite a lot of just died and went nowhere.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,600 ✭✭✭ps200306


    Uh, you did notice that plant is running on OIL??



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,600 ✭✭✭ps200306


    Hopefully Ryan has noticed that Italy just lost the case taken against it for overturning an existing valid offshore exploration license. Here's the Grauniad wittering about "secretive tribunals" (their euphemism for a law court that produces a verdict they don't like) back in July:

    And here's today's announcement in which Italy will have to fork over c. EUR 250m (190m + 4% interest from 2016):




  • Registered Users Posts: 1,600 ✭✭✭ps200306


    Uh-oh. Seems we left it too late! A large new fly in the ointment, per Business Post:


    Cost inflation could scupper building of ‘vital’ power plants

    A number of large gas-fired power plants that are supposed to be built within the next three years may not now go ahead due to soaring construction costs and rising equipment prices, senior industry figures have warned.

    Last January, Eirgrid held a T3 power capacity auction, seeking bids from energy companies to develop new thermal power plants by 2025. This auction secured successful bids from five energy companies to build new gas-fired power plants around the country that would deliver a combined 1,100 megawatts (MW) in new power capacity.

    At the time, Eamon Ryan, the Minister for the Environment and Climate, said it was “vital” the projects were developed, as a critical to response to the power supply crisis facing the country. However, industry sources have told the Business Post that some of these power plants may not now go ahead as the projects are no longer economically viable due to rising cost inflation.

    “We’re seeing cost inflation levels above 25 per cent for construction materials and the power generation equipment we need for the facility,” the head of one energy company that secured a significant capacity contract in Eirgrid’s T3 auction told the Business Post.

    “At that level of inflation it wipes out any equity value we have in the project and makes it unviable for us the develop the power plant. I would say it’s 50:50 whether the company’s board will actually sanction this project to proceed based on the current economics.

    “And it’s not just our project. I think a lot of the projects that were secured in the T3 and T4 auctions by Eirgrid are now in the balance. Their viability is at serious risk due to cost inflation. Developers are dealing with rising prices, but we’re locked into a fixed price capacity payment over ten years. That needs to be looked at by the energy regulator and Eirgrid”.

    The five companies that won supply contracts in this year’s T3 auction each submitted bids of close to €147,000 per megawatt for their respective projects, which is practically the maximum level that energy companies can receive in electricity capacity payments for their power plant.




  • Registered Users Posts: 10,375 ✭✭✭✭tom1ie


    What a cluster fcuk.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,569 ✭✭✭Pa ElGrande


    The Greens are one part of the problem. The elephant in the room is Germany, the current crisis is the legacy of Chancellor Merkel and Energiewende. Merkel is CDU and was appointed German federal minister of the environment by Chancellor Kohl back in the early 90s. She organised the first United Nations conference on climate, COP 1 in Berlin in April 1995. Alliance '90/The Greens (Bündnis 90/Die Grünen) came out in the same time period, forming officially in 1993. Die Zukunft ist grün is the manifesto adopted by Alliance 90/Greens in 2002. Its been translated in English as The future is Green. Since the German Greens have been most successful politically all other European Green political parties have adopted this manifesto including the Irish Greens. They are just one part of the problem, The German CDU (allied with Fine Gael via the EPP) is the party that tried to capitalise on the environmental politics (trying to head off the growth of eco-socialism) in the wake of the collapse of the communist bloc. There is also Chancellor Schröder who led the SPD in coalition with Alliance '90/The Greens before retiring to sit on the boards of Russian gas companies. Put bluntly German domestic politics has spilled over into other EU countries including Ireland, this is why the establishment parties in Ireland follow the same path as Germany. It therefore follows that the current path only ends with a change in German politics, in particular, Energiewende.

    Net Zero means we are paying for the destruction of our economy and society in pursuit of an unachievable and pointless policy.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,328 ✭✭✭Banana Republic 1


    Eamon Ryan nor any Irish politician has answers for this winter. Government were warned about this since 2016 and they did nothing same as the water infrastructure. Eamon Ryan wasn’t in government before 2020. Alot of the companies who won contracts for shortfall power generation broke their contracts and essentially never showed up.



  • Registered Users Posts: 15,068 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    As we are the only answer greens have is using more gas, so you do the figures and let me know how much renewable capacity we would need to guarantee dependability when the wind is at it`s lowest, how much it would cost and how long that would take. According to green financially viable energy storage is just around the corner, so if it is what is the point of firing those billions at more renewables capacity when the base plate capacity of renewables is 75% of our needs .

    When it comes to energy consultants advocating throwing more unknown billions at this I would be more inclined to listen to Don Moore ex Head of ESB International. Even if greens are refusing to get it he does and has said so publicly. We blindly followed the German model, (the Irish Green Party still is even though Germany no longer are), based on noting more than hope it would all work out rather than the realities that were being pointed out by Eirgrid and the CRU, and reality just caught up with hope and gave it a kicking.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 15,068 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    No personal jibes. Just pointing out to you that opinion polls are conducted by using a sample of voters intentions nationally and for all of this year the Irish Green Party are polling at around 3%, so where you are getting this 10% from comparing them to Labour in the past getting 10 -14 seats from I have no idea.

    The sudden rise you see in their vote 1-2 weeks before an election coming from nowhere, up until that point, is like greens and energy. An unlikely hope beating reality.

    Some votes dying off and going nowhere is not a problem. You can still win a seat without reaching the quota. The problem for the Irish Green Party with those seats that SF feel should be theirs, is that the votes they got from SF surpluses will not be there next time. SF didn`t run enough candidates in those constituencies. That will not happen next time, and if their is one political art SF is good at it`s managing their vote to the max.



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