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Ukraine (Mod Note & Threadbanned Users in OP)

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  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,667 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    No, I think the Birmingham six were much worse.

    Not only did they leave enough evidence to convict themselves by the standards of the West Midlands Constabulary (it did not take much), they were unable to effect their escape and were caught as they were catching the boat to Ireland. No amount of protesting their innocence had any effect for sixteen years, until at last the 'appalling vista'* that the British Judicial system had stitched them up like a kipper became overwhelming, knowing full well from the very beginning that they were totally innocent - but the establishment were too involved in the stitch up to admit it. Their excuse was that they needed a conviction - any conviction - to assuage public opinion baying for someone, anyone, to blame.

    As for Moscow, I doubt that anyone outside the FSB had anything to do with this explosion. It is remarkable that one of the supposed victims had changed his travel plans at the last minute. Was he tipped off? Or did he frequently alter plans at the last second because he feared exactly what came to pass? It is not as if this type of nasty end does not come to those close to Putin or opposed to Putin.

    Lord Denning, Master of the Rolls - 'This is such an appalling vista that every sensible person in the land would say that it cannot be right that these actions should go any further.'

    https://www.irishtimes.com/news/appalling-vista-observation-stuck-1.160004



  • Registered Users Posts: 767 ✭✭✭Detritus70


    So the leadership of the Third Reich is blameless?

    That argument's not gonna fly anywhere

    "I'm not a Trump supporter, but..." is the new "I'm not a racist, but...".



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,473 ✭✭✭beggars_bush


    Interesting Zelensky talking about retaking Crimea.

    First priority would be to disable that newly built bridge



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,689 ✭✭✭Economics101


    Best wishes to all Ukrainians on their independence day.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,667 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    Unless they would like to leave them as escape route.

    But cutting off a supply route would make more sense. With the new long range munitions, that could be the plan.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 12,812 ✭✭✭✭bear1


    I really don't see Russia letting Crimea fall back into Ukrainian hands.

    They'd throw everything they have at that not happening. You'd sooner take the Donbas back than that.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,667 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    The Ukrainians intend to take the Donbas and Crimea - every centimetre.

    Once any of it starts to fall, I would expect that Putin might take greater precautions wrt to travel, meetings, etc.



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,035 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    Its all well and good that they intend to take it back - but practically how will they do it?

    At the minute they are losing territory in Nikolaev/Kherson front that they previously recaptured, and the Donbass front is a near stalemate



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 36,326 CMod ✭✭✭✭pixelburp


    No question Putin would throw all he had into the meat grinder to keep Crime; but as Pershing noted, logistics win wars. We can't know whose would run into trouble sooner that Crimea became a theatre not worth pursuing.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,667 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    Quite, but Crimea has no resources that would sustain it if they were cut off.

    Ukraine has sunk the Moskva flag ship and quite a few other warships in the Black Sea fleet that cannot be replaced because they are stopped from entering the Black Sea by way of the Bosporus.

    Assume Donbas is in major retreat by the Russians, then knock out the new bridge and close the water supply to Crimea, and then target military structures in the peninsula. Offer free transit to Russian army personnel back to Russia. Job done.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 7,035 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    Assume Donbas is in major retreat by the Russians

    Thats a big assumption to make though - that Ukraine manage to knock the Russians out of not just Kherson but Donbas too.

    The Ukrainians will need 10 times whats been promised at the minute to pull off something like that



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,110 ✭✭✭Brussels Sprout


    A scenario where the Russians lose control of Crimea is one where everything is on the table. It would be an existential issue for Putin in particular.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,667 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    If the Ukraine make significant gains then Putin's position will be in peril.

    I think he would need to careful of which cup he drinks his tea from, which underpants he wears, and keeps away from cathedrals with high steeples. And check his transport for explosives. He will trust no-one.

    Are the sanctions achieving anything significant yet?



  • Registered Users Posts: 12,812 ✭✭✭✭bear1


    Reports coming out that the Russians have taken the nuclear plant off of the Ukrainian grid.

    If true then that's a serious change of events, if we start facing a catastrophic event, I wonder would NATO would view this as an attack?



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 36,326 CMod ✭✭✭✭pixelburp


    Presumably it just means they're not letting Ukraine have access to power generated within russian territory. TBH was surprised they hadn't done this as soon as it fell.



  • Registered Users Posts: 12,812 ✭✭✭✭bear1




  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 36,326 CMod ✭✭✭✭pixelburp


    Never said it was, only surprise that assets and infrastructure taken by Russia wasn't immediately disconnected from Ukrainian use the moment they fell. Unless it's some part of nuclear treaties that connections can't just be turned off between stations.



  • Registered Users Posts: 12,812 ✭✭✭✭bear1


    I'm guessing they want to scare the west as much as possible and probably "retaliation" for the bombing in Moscow.

    If something goes wrong, it's not like we will be the only ones to suffer so the only game I see here is to destroy Ukraine as much as possible.

    It's not like the west could help fix that.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Arts Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 18,304 CMod ✭✭✭✭Nody


    It's confirmed as connected back; it was disconnected due to fires having damaged the last cables to the plant (as per Enargoatom which is the Ukrainian nuclear department) (four connections; three damaged by bombing, fourth and final due to fire).

    6:38pm: Regular power line to Zaporizhzhia plant restored, Ukraine tells IAEA

    The last regular power line supplying electricity to the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant (ZNPP) is working again after a temporary cut, the UN nuclear watchdog said, citing Ukraine.

    "Ukraine told the IAEA that the ZNPP, Europe's largest nuclear power plant, at least twice lost connection to the power line during the day but that it was currently up again," the International Atomic Energy Agency said in a statement, adding that information on the direct cause of the outage was not immediately available.



  • Registered Users Posts: 213 ✭✭bobowen


    Apologies for the delay in responding. I was banned last week for not responding in time which apparently is troll behavour. I will now only post when I have the time to respond.

    "Why is Russia using a nuclear plant as a military launch pad for attacks? Russia are shelling nuclear fuel storage plants in the complex.Ukraine has said Russian shells landed close to where radioactive material is stored"

    That's not proof odyssey. As you always do you are using a biased source as evidence and then go on with the delusion that you have refuted an argument. You haven't and you never do. How does a link to an article from a pro western media source quoting a Ukrainian state employee prove that the Russians are shelling their own soldiers in a plant that they have occupied for months? You know it doesn't. They have no motive to do it. What do they have to gain by doing it? If there are vehicles with Z on them at the plant they are obviously there to protect the plant from sabotage. If Ukraine held the territory they would do the same. Thankfully the UN are arriving this week to put this ridiculous claim to bed. Hopefully.

    "The Russian Ministry of Defense claimed that their forces no longer use Tochka-U missiles. However, Amnesty International, the investigative journalists of the Conflict Intelligence Team etc etc"

    Both of these sources are biased. Amnesty International and HRW have from the start of the war been Anti Russia. Amnestys head office is based in London whilst HRW is based in New York. When the foot soldiers of Amnesty in Ukraine tried to report on the Ukrainian army committing war crimes by using civilians as human shields the Chief Executive Oksana Pokalchuk immediately resigned saying the report ‘became a tool of Russian propaganda.’ She had failed to suppress the truth and so had to go. The Conflict Intelligence Team has, along with Bellingcat and its open source partners, been pushing western security narratives for almost a decade now. They are in no way independent. But even they admit that the rockets position indicates that it came from the South East.

    "The photo of the wreckage clearly shows the rocket part of the "Tochka U". Photographs and videos show that the rocket part faces the northeast, which means that the missile may have arrived from the west, southwest or south". https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2022/04/8/7338164/

    Being the CIT they then go on to explain this uncomfortable scientific fact and blame this on the Russians by saying it could have been fired from a sliver of territory in the South that was just inside the 120km radius that Russia controlled at the time. First of all Russia stopped using Tochka's and replaced them with Iskanders for the very reason that the Tochka's accuracy was abysmal. Particularly at the full 120km range limit. There is not one piece of video evidence of a Tochka U missile being fired or transported by the Russians. What there is video evidence of is the Baz-5937 Transporters that were used. No missiles are on view. They are used for a number of things as this article from way back in 2012 states:

    "one self-propelled floating chassis (combat vehicle) of all combat vehicles, including radar stations and a launcher with missiles, and means of communication, navigation and toporavizka, control, as well as power supplies." https://en.topwar.ru/1174-baz-5937-plavayushhee-kolesnoe-shassi.html

    There are countless reports of Ukraine using Tochkas at that time as it was all they had before the training in western missile launching happened. They had the smoking gun and the motive. To prevent donbass civilians fleeing the area in order to keep them as human shields and to get more weaponry from the west. It was a week after the Bucha incident which was a huge PR gamechanger for the Ukrainians. They realised that anything they said the West would believe and support. Which they duly did.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,689 ✭✭✭Economics101


    bobowen, you say: "Both of these sources are biased. Amnesty International and HRW have from the start of the war been Anti Russia. Amnestys head office is based in London whilst HRW is based in New York."

    Given the furore over Amnesty's recent performance on criticising Ukraine's deployment of forces in civilian areas, your idea of bias is a bit rich. Also, you imply that an organisation with a HQ in London or New York is not to be trusted. Can you indicate what are the restraints on freedom of expression in London or NY?



  • Registered Users Posts: 213 ✭✭bobowen


    I gave an example of what happens when they're probably decent workers dare to not push the western narrative. Rest assured you will not hear another report like the one that caused the CEO to resign.

    "When the foot soldiers of Amnesty in Ukraine tried to report on the Ukrainian army committing war crimes by using civilians as human shields the Chief Executive Oksana Pokalchuk immediately resigned saying the report ‘became a tool of Russian propaganda.’ She had failed to suppress the truth and so had to go."

    And in relation to Human Rights Watch read this from the history section of their Wiki page:

    "Human Rights Watch was co-founded ....as a private American NGO in 1978, under the name Helsinki Watch, to monitor the then-Soviet Union's compliance with the Helsinki Accords." https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Human_Rights_Watch

    Its a relic from the cold war still pursuing the same Russophobic agenda.

    The management of these organisations are all part of the same Washington & European establishment.



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,440 ✭✭✭McGiver


    So the thuggish snake Lavrov said yesterday that even if Ukraine pledged not to join NATO then Russia wouldn't withdraw troops and/or end the war.

    Like we didn't know they weren't lying all along.

    Russian ruling class = liars and thugs

    There's zero scope for negotiation with this thuggish country. The only way out of this Ukraine situation is a total defeat of Russia, elimination and removal of all occupation forces from the territory of Ukraine, signing of an international treaty guaranteed by the US, EU, several other parties and the UN, commitment to payment of war reparations (+ Russian asset seizures to recover the same) and establishment of a heavily defended buffer zone between Ukraine and Russia.



  • Registered Users Posts: 213 ✭✭bobowen


    I cant find this speech anywhere from yesterday. No doubt its true. Its gone too far for peace negotiations now. Could you post link though please?



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,272 ✭✭✭fash


    As regards your assertion of "no evidence of Tochka-U being transported by Russians", here is, as just one example, a well known video (which was geolocated, but you can check it up yourself) of Russians moving Tochka-Us back through Belarus in March following Russia's failure to take Kyiv.

    Aside from that, the Russians repeatedly and triumphantly talk about their usage of Tochka-Us.



  • Registered Users Posts: 8,239 ✭✭✭Pussyhands


    This is disgusting. Doesn't say much for Zelensky that he would propose this either. Trump was called a fascist for his 'muslim' travel ban for a few countries yet the EU are going to discuss this.



  • Registered Users Posts: 6,484 ✭✭✭Fighting Tao


    What is disgusting about it? Because it affects your motherland?

    It’s a great idea. The Russian population are complicit due to their inaction against the Russian leadership. Many can’t be trusted to be honest tourists. If things are to change in Russia to get them to stop raping, murdering, torturing, kidnapping adults and child stealing, then there has to be some impact on those with enough money to holiday abroad and who have benefited from Putins regime.

    Post edited by Fighting Tao on


  • Registered Users Posts: 8,239 ✭✭✭Pussyhands


    It is xenophobic. It is penalising innocent people. You're talking about people being unable to visit family members.

    It's an outrageous proposal. It's like Irish people treated like **** in England during the IRAs time. Do you support Israel not allowing palestineans into Israel because Hamas are a terrorist organisation?



  • Registered Users Posts: 6,484 ✭✭✭Fighting Tao


    I support that unknown people from a hostile country that has a long history of attacks, spying, interfering with the democratic process, and murders in other nations, are not allowed to enter Ireland. In this case it is Russia.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 3,235 ✭✭✭paul71


    Russia and Belarus have spent 2 decades sending agents into the EU to murder people in UK Germany and Czech republic, bomb factories, hijack Irish planes to kidnap passengers. They used Irish universities to create deep cover for an agent trying to enter the international criminal court offices in The Netherlands. Those murderers and spies used the VISA arrangements between the EU and Russia to commit these murders and crimes. The Visa arrangements should have been cancelled long ago, years before the war in Ukraine to safeguard EU citizens.



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