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A global recession is on the horizon - please read OP for mod warning

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  • Registered Users Posts: 13,826 ✭✭✭✭Danzy


    I think we all know that net zero is never going to happen.


    Western Europe and North America could nearly reach it and as is produce little carbon over all and rapidly dropping.


    Most of Asia, where 60% of carbon is produced have no interest in maintaining levels as is and are accelerating their Carbon outputs.


    He should stick to psychology, but net zero is a catchy phrase, that's all. Going for it is not going to solve the climate crisis and there is one.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,026 ✭✭✭gw80


    Nonsense, if there was 5 years worth as is speculated in barryroe (could be more)it would be worth it, the technology is proven and ready to go, maybe some of that frozen russian oligarch money could help.

    Hinckley point in the UK took years to get started and is a long way behind schedule, how long do you think just the planning stage would take in ireland to get a nuclear plant going,

    We need gas to tie us over until renewables are viable,

    Some people are creaming their pants thinking that this energy crisis will bring on the dawn of a new era of renewable energy,even if it means some people will freeze to death in the interim,



  • Registered Users Posts: 13,826 ✭✭✭✭Danzy


    Fossil fuels era is coming to an end, it's not over.


    You only have to look at surging demand globally for its constituent parts.


    It will be replaced though, certainly.

    It will be the main Energy source globally for another 20 or 30 years anyway.



    That's not a good thing.


    In Europe and North America it is coming to a much more rapid end.



  • Registered Users Posts: 10,376 ✭✭✭✭tom1ie


    This post should be put as a sticky as to how wrong people can be.

    We need gas.

    The GP know we need gas as a transitional fuel up to 2050 it’s in their energy plan- however they are against exploration in Irish waters and LNG- so that only means one thing.

    They want us completely reliant for gas on a non eu country- which is where the other end of the Moffat pipelines connect to- the UK.

    The gas exploration and setup of infrastructure is paid for by the gas company’s- so we won’t be spending millions on this.

    Please stop spreading disinformation



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,996 ✭✭✭downtheroad


    Could you imagine the level of objections to planning for a nuclear power plant? It would never take off here, unless it could be set built on uninhabited island, and even then somebody would object to protect some indigenous species of beetle.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 9,169 ✭✭✭Cluedo Monopoly


    A tangent I know but I heard about a project in Connemara that was doing a trial around producing of 'green hydrogen' using windfarms.

    I am not entirely sure who would consume that green hydrogen - possibly industry or hydrogen cell cars.

    Post edited by Cluedo Monopoly on

    What are they doing in the Hyacinth House?



  • Registered Users Posts: 10,376 ✭✭✭✭tom1ie


    One of the ideas of green hydrogen is to create GH by excess electricity produced by wind farms.

    This green hydrogen can be used to power HGV’s, ships etc.

    Also (and the big idea) is it is used as a storage medium, so that when the wind doesn’t blow for a week or two (as happens regularly in Ireland) the green hydrogen can be converted back to electricity via electrolysis.

    Problem is this is really in its infancy and no country on earth has this method up and running at a grid scale.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,495 ✭✭✭Lu Tze


    It's 3-4 years since I was looking at a tender related to this. https://sgn.co.uk/about-us/future-of-gas/hydrogen/aberdeen-vision They are looking a replacing natural gas for heating with hydrogen. There was supposed to be three pilots, one in Aberdeen and two more rural.

    The idea was to finalise spec of the equipment required, as hydrogen is much smaller than natural gas, it can escape through smaller leaks, and obviously it's much more explosive than natural gas.



  • Registered Users Posts: 10,376 ✭✭✭✭tom1ie




  • Registered Users Posts: 3,495 ✭✭✭Lu Tze


    No idea, but just from a search it looks like it is going ahead

    https://www.sgn.co.uk/H100Fife



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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,018 ✭✭✭Jonnyc135


    That's being touted in the North West too, using electricity of wind turbines to split water using electrolysis creating hydrogen and the by product is Oxygen.

    I have my doubts as the calorific value of hydrogen is extremely high, thats why it was used to make bombs something like treble the calorific value of natural gas. Imagine that pipeline exploding.



  • Registered Users Posts: 15,069 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    Once again, private investors do not create state assets. If you want to create state assets then you have to use state money

    To do that we would have to borrow and end of March this year the Irish National Debt was 239 Billion.That equates to 103,300 euro for every worker in the State. On a per capita basis the 3rd highest in the world, and as we learned during the financial crisis, borrowed money for a State, same as for an individual, has to be paid back. Default on your repayments, and rather than the bank manager giving you a shout, the IMF turn up and turn the screw. So no, there is no unlimited debt a state can run up. Same as there is no unlimited debt an individual can run up.

    I have no problem with borrowing more for the simple reason we do not have any options to get us out of this energy mess, but I do have a problem if we are borrowing for both nuclear and renewables, without having a clue as to even a vague figure for renewables, and nuclear, which are basically two contradicting approaches aimed at achieving a long term solution.



  • Registered Users Posts: 15,069 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    The last round of RESS auction in June gave a strike rate for onshore wind and solar project at the same level as the U.K. for Hinkley Point C nuclear. I very much doubt future strike prices for off-shore wind will be cheaper.



  • Registered Users Posts: 15,069 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    The mention of Connemara and the North-West reminded me of a debate in the West of Ireland over a government department proposal on a very very large fish farm. One elderly gentleman at one of the public meetings said "I have been around long enough and seen enough to know if it was any bloody good it would not be given to us".😁



  • Registered Users Posts: 8,913 ✭✭✭Danno


    Translation: The people are starving, no point in cultivating crops or sowing new ones. FFS, do people posting utter baloney like this ever think through what they are saying.



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,548 ✭✭✭brickster69


    Norway to curtail gas production significantly next month due to maintenance


    “The earth is littered with the ruins of empires that believed they were eternal.”

    - Camille Paglia



  • Registered Users Posts: 10,376 ✭✭✭✭tom1ie


    Great. This is turning into a mess. All we need is that weather postman to tell us we are expecting another beast from the east!



  • Registered Users Posts: 361 ✭✭Shank Williams


    Renewables cannot replace fossil fuels end of - between intermittency and the scarcity of resources that are used in manufacture of solar panels/wind turbines there is a huge shortfall between the constant energy available from fossil fuels and what we get from renewables- intermittency problem will be spelled out for the thickos this winter if we have a calm winter wind wise- nobody anywhere close to solving this problem , nuclear fusion still a distant dream. A switc to renewables = a drastic cut in living standards, sticking with fossil fuels(which are declining) will also lead to same due to excarbating climate change.

    there is no easy way out that allows us to keep living our very comfortable western lifestyles, that is a lie being peddled by politicians who in fairness would be hung by the mob if they actually told the truth about our situation- because nobody wants to hear it

    Post edited by Shank Williams on


  • Registered Users Posts: 5,548 ✭✭✭brickster69


    Energy intensive companies shutting in Belgium. They just can't compete with companies outside of Europe any more without cheap energy.


    “The earth is littered with the ruins of empires that believed they were eternal.”

    - Camille Paglia



  • Registered Users Posts: 19,407 ✭✭✭✭road_high


    Europe and the puppet lick arse governments we are stuck with all indulged this crap. Now we are paying the price for green cult mania with jobs, livelihoods and likely lives. A simpleton would tell you don’t destroy something without first having solid replacements in place. But that’s exactly what europe has been doing.

    Maybe we can all work and study the likes of Gender studies, Black studies and Racism studies etc- a bit of Climate Change cult studies on the side - that will surely generate the wealth and resources future societies need to thrive and prosper?

    Post edited by road_high on


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  • Registered Users Posts: 886 ✭✭✭bb12


    that's assuming "they" want us to prosper and thrive...



  • Registered Users Posts: 644 ✭✭✭Darth Putin


    If only there was 15 years worth of shale gas in Sligo alone /s

    instead we import gas via uks lng capacity which came from shale gas



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,548 ✭✭✭brickster69


    Looks like the futures market are predicting a fall in electric prices in the medium term.


    “The earth is littered with the ruins of empires that believed they were eternal.”

    - Camille Paglia



  • Registered Users Posts: 19,407 ✭✭✭✭road_high


    Well that is true. There’s a select few that’ll thrive as always. The Davos jet set. The rest of the peasants can go shite.



  • Registered Users Posts: 949 ✭✭✭Ozark707


    Jpow urging other CB's to follow the Fed and jack up rates.

    The head of the Federal Reserve has warned US families to expect “pain” as he rallied central bankers around the world to continue cracking down on inflation with aggressive rate rises.

    Jerome Powell vowed to “forcefully” use all the Fed’s tools to tackle spiralling price rises in the US, regardless of negative consequences for the economy and households.

    Central bankers must keep raising rates to vanquish inflation or risk letting price rises batter the economy for years to come, he warned.

    Mr Powell delivered the message in his speech to the annual Jackson Hole Symposium, an influential gathering of central bankers and officials. 

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2022/08/26/jerome-powell-urges-central-banks-forcefully-raise-interest/



  • Registered Users Posts: 571 ✭✭✭GNWoodd


    And the same governments would have us do the same with food -reduce production in the EU and import it from South America .

    Unfortunately it will take something big to change the way our politicians think .



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Energy prices will start falling when companies will start closing down.

    Then streets will be full of unemployed people.The difference between 2008 and today recession will be that every single sector will be hit.When before builders was losing them jobs and tech was hiring,now everyone will be losing.

    When middle class will starting disappear then fascism and nacionalism will back on streets.We had this in 30s before WW2.

    Money leaving Europe so Ireland must start preparing back to stone ages.

    Manufacturing with energy prices coming will be impossible in Europe.

    The cooking on fire on back yards will be normal.Streets will be full of bags with rubbish because people will not afford pay for bins.

    That what I think is coming soon.



  • Registered Users Posts: 19,407 ✭✭✭✭road_high


    Well unless there’s a major rethink on this “green” agenda aka blueprint for poverty then yes I fear much of this may come about



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  • Registered Users Posts: 949 ✭✭✭Ozark707



    If anyone thought the ECB would be shy in raising rates it looks like they will be disappointed


    A larger “sacrifice” will be needed to tame inflation than in previous bouts of monetary policy tightening, according to European Central Bank officials who warned that price growth risks spinning out of control if forceful action is not taken. Isabel Schnabel, an ECB executive board member, and François Villeroy de Galhau, governor of the Banque de France, said on Saturday that European monetary policy would have to remain tight for an extended period of time. Their remarks at the Jackson Hole gathering of central bankers from around the world in Wyoming, US, echoed those of Federal Reserve chair Jay Powell, who on Friday made an “unconditional” commitment to quash inflation.


    https://www.ft.com/content/5afd5140-605f-447d-a30c-cc7355ceea59



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