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"Green" policies are destroying this country

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  • Registered Users Posts: 22,408 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    Will you please stop saying the grid is going to be 100% wind only?

    The future grid is interconnected throughout Europe and uses multiple technologies that all complement each other.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,600 ✭✭✭ps200306



    The days are long over when we can afford to treat Greens as a bunch of harmless misguided fuddy duddies. They are now a seriously existential threat to the world economy. In particular, this sort of perniciously evil shite needs to be called out every time it is uttered:

    There is no upside [to fracking] other than maintaining the status quo, which the green movement do not want to maintain as doing so will drive us to extinction. On the other hand, moving to solar/storage/wind etc may have downsides, but the long term benefit is that humans and many animal species don't go extinct within a few generations.

    There is no IPCC science or any credible source who claims that humans are going extinct because of climate change. That is the big fat lie used to justify Green lunacy -- "do what we say or everyone dies". It's worse than screaming "Fire" in a crowded theatre. It is a murderously irresponsible falsehood, on a par with Lysenkoism and Mao's Great Leap Forward.

    There's a thing called Critical mass. It is on the adoption curve of any new technology. Slow adoption curves while the technology matures, then exponential growth, until the old tech is completely obsolete. Oil reached critical mass in the early 20th century. Donkeys and horses of the world celebrated, but they were sent out to pasture. Oil and Gas and dominated for 90 years before we burned most of it and are left looking for something to replace it. Renewables are approaching critical mass but renewables don't run out. Renewables are the future. Oil and Gas are the past.

    This is more of the same. Renewables have been around for decades and can now be considered a fully mature technology. We are NOT on the bottom end of the sigmoid adoption curve, we are approaching the top of it. Renewables adoption is topping out in developed countries as the limits of their integrability into the grid are reached.

    Several options

    1. Store it in batteries. Not Grid scale, but local scale. (cars recharge when demand is low, industry and grid servicing recharge local storage when prices are low)

    Even the one million EVs planned for 2030 would fully load the existing grid for eight hours overnight. That's without any other demand, let alone the heat pumps that are supposed to be keeping people warm. There won't be any time when "demand is low". 

    Or

    2. Load shedding. Get people/Commercial/industrial users to use the power when it's abundant, and delay using it when it's over subscribed.

    So basically cut people and businesses off. Have you no concern or clue what that does for the economy?

    3. Efficiency increases. - Better insulation, more efficient lighting, heating and transport.

    Sure, highly commendable. Until you look at the cost. It would be bad enough if the Greens were merely a bunch of green-on-the-outside-red-on-the-inside Socialists. But their policies actually amount to robbing from the poor to give to the rich. This thread has had lots of guff about "the State" paying for upgrades, retrofits, and discounts on EVs. "The State" does not have any money. Every last cent comes from tax payers. The least well off can't afford retrofits. It's the puritanical Green rich who get the grants. I say this as someone who benefited from grants for a heating upgrade. I am the last person who should have been getting them as a) I needed the upgrade so would have done it anyway, b) I am extremely well off, not in need of handouts. Some poor sod paid their hard earned money so that I could voice-control Alexa to turn up the heat. That's scandalous.

    4. Green Hydrogen - use extra energy to electrolyse hydrogen

    One of the worst examples of Green "hopium". We are decades away from any possibility of a hydrogen economy. It suffers from serious inefficiencies and the technology doesn't exist to use it at scale. It is another Green characteristic that they trot out any old shite no matter how inefficient or economically infeasible. Energy supply companies have traditionally operated on thin profit margins. While Greens may think they can wave an invisible guiding hand over the markets, bear in mind that every innovation needs someone to fork out money up front in the expectation of turning a profit. You can't just throw away a sizable percentage of your energy output and hope to survive. That is, unless government policy rigs the market against all the other players which just leads to vastly inflated energy prices.

    5. Desalination - use excess renewable power to drive desalination of sea water. Fresh drinking water will be worth more than oil in decades to come)

    Are you seriously talking about Ireland here? One of the wettest countries in Europe? We have water supply issues for sure, but they are nothing to do with the availability of water. Rather they are to do with treatment and distribution infrastructure.

    6. Interconnectors - sell surplus and buy when supply is low

    You still don't get it. Vast amount of excess power when the wind happens to be blowing will be all but worthless. This has already been flagged for the quantity of North Sea offshore wind that is planned. The Green assumption seems to be that there will always be a customer for excess power, and always a supplier when power is needed. There is merit to having a more widely connected network, but it has its limits. Connections to the UK and France still leaves us within the domain of mesoscale weather systems -- it's perfectly possible for all of northwestern Europe to be experiencing similar weather conditions at the same time.

    7. Pumped Hydro - use the existing facilities plus maybe add some more according to our geography

    Nobody seriously thinks we will build this in quantities that will make a difference.

    8. Solar - complimentary to wind, usually solar is higher when wind power is lower

    Bugger all use in an Irish winter.

    9. Biomass

    Even the SEAI sets out serious limitations in this area. Biomass is typically only economically viable where there are wastes and residues available locally. The US experience has been that once wastes find a commercial use, they are no longer "waste" but become an expensive commodity. In Ireland the SEAI sees the main growth area as being crops intentionally grown for energy production. Apart from the diversion of productive land away from food crops, it is predicated on an increase in the price of energy crops in order to be viable. As usual, Green policies depend on everything getting more expensive, which it sure as hell will.

    10. Nuclear (via interconnectors)

    All electrons are the same (as Wheeler and Feynman noted in 1940). Being choosy about what's pushing them around -- especially when it's technology the Greens themselves oppose -- is rank hypocrisy.

    11. Domestic generation and storage reducing peak demand

    Small scale generation is not economically efficient.

    12. Commercial grid servicing providers using storage to store surplus reneable energy to sell when demand is high

    Storage on the scale required in not coming. Ever.

    13. Smart meters. many more options I haven't had time to go through

    Spare us!

    Here's a thought. Go back through your list and see how many items result in actual new generation. Everything else is just extra cost -- a tonne of extra money for no new power. That can have no other possible outcome than to increase prices. And since energy underpins the price of literally everything, it's a road to ruin.



  • Registered Users Posts: 21,937 ✭✭✭✭ELM327


    There is no privatisation of the electricity network. It is still 100% owned by the state (or semi state and workers) via ESBn, Eirgrid etc. The same for Gas, it's owned by Gas Networks Ireland which is state owned.

    Supply companies like energia, centrica (Bord Gais Energy), SSE etc have nothing to do with the networks.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,987 ✭✭✭spaceHopper


    No the idea of Russia infiltrating another country wouldn't be to work on behalf of Russia but to destabilize that country. Worked well getting Trump elected !



  • Registered Users Posts: 22,408 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    Simply declaring that 'current battery tech is insufficient in storage and the resources to make them' doesn't make it true

    Billions of euros of private investment is flowing into BESS projects all around the world. Ireland is set to install 600mw of storage this year alone to add to the 1400mw we already have. The addition of these plants allows us to use more of our wind resources because currently about 10% of our wind power is 'Curtailed' in that the power is available, but the generators are turned off because Gas turbines or Coal are already running and the grid cannot take the wind power. With more batteries, they can do the role of frequency regulation that is currently performed by gas turbines burning gas that is mostly wasted is rapidly being replaced with batteries that can store the excess power from wind and then instantly release that back when needed, or absorb some of the load by taking in excess energy to protect the grid.



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  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Wrong thread



  • Registered Users Posts: 22,408 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    There was a new report released in Science a few days ago

    We have already likely crossed some tipping points, if we exceed 1.5c, we will likely cross more tipping points, if we exceed 4c, even more tipping points are breached

    Some of these are positive feedback which mean when the tipping point is breached, they increase emissions of GHGs 'naturally' meaning Humans have to reduce our emissions by even more to compensate

    The IPCC has been very conservative about their conclusions on these positive feedbacks

    Even still the IPCC have released statements saying that the future of human civilisation is indeed at risk from climate change

    “The scientific evidence is unequivocal: climate change is a threat to human wellbeing and the health of the planet. Any further delay in concerted global action will miss a brief and rapidly closing window to secure a liveable future” 

    This is a lot more serious than you think. And losing focus now, will only see the consequences get worse and worse

    https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.abn7950

    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2022/sep/08/world-on-brink-five-climate-tipping-points-study-finds



  • Registered Users Posts: 596 ✭✭✭deholleboom


    Excellent post. This is where the rubber hits the road when you look at the actual numbers. And you are correct to call all this 'hopium'. The Greens use arguments to support their ideology but as you and many others have shown again and again, the numbers do not add up. But they refuse to accept this precisely because of their ideology. It is not a balanced set of equations but a skewed one. THIS needs to happen so THIS needs to be implemented. End of story, to save the planet from human destruction. They will use every possible argument however implausible or skewed (death of coral reeves, species extinction, polar bears) to further their agenda. Greta Thunberg and David Attenborough love/scare fest with the media and politicians in line in ignorance. Talking about a conspiracy of ignorance!

    If you are skeptical you are called a denier, if you ask about the details of the supposed science 'consensus' you get frowns and no sensible answers. Skeptical scientists are not invited to the party and are rarely seen on broadstream media and are seen in line with crazy Trump supporters, anti vaxxers or that slur word 'right wing'. Politicians only get to see one side of the story and make their stances accordingly. And so on. Profoundly sad..



  • Registered Users Posts: 15,069 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    So what, is this the green answer to energy security, dependent on other countries in Europe to provide all our electricity needs, or is their a percentage that greens see we need to provide ourselves ? If so what is this percentage and how much of it will be provided by wind and at what cost ?

    And what is it you see these interconnectors sending our way when like last Winter all others in Europe were in the same boat as we were with little or none existent wind. Hyrdo is pretty much tapped out all over Europe and Winter sun is not going to power Europe. For renewables that is pretty much it.

    And will you please stop with the hopium of storage that is nowhere even close to what would be required, and extremely doubtful if it ever will be.



  • Registered Users Posts: 20,047 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    The EU interconnected grid idea is atrocious. It's main impetus and raison d'être is the knowledge that renewables, a consequence of the EU's ill thought and too hasty attempt to reduce CO2 output, are extremely intermittent and unreliable. Dunkelflaute can and does affect large swathes of Europe simultaneously, this happened last winter and lead to gas shortages. Russia didn't help, but the main culprit was the very low levels of gas storage which multiple countries didn't acquire, thinking they wouldn't need them because the wind would be blowing gales and because they had just installed billions of extra useless wind capacity; then the wind didn't turn up, not just in one or two countries, but across the region.

    Your precious saving grace and argument cornerstone - interconnections - were of no help then and never will be. The idea would only work if multiple countries in Europe all had masses of excess baseload, preferably nuclear, but they don't and even current baseload expansion programs are only to build to each countries own needs.

    Only France reacted intelligently to the Europe wide dunkelflaute crisis, which was to announce increased spending on nuclear.

    The stupid Irish greens solution is bigger and fatter interconnectors in the hope some better run countries might have some to spare, because facing up to unpleasant realities is not something Ireland does. Go back a couple years and the green leaning french energy minister, Sergolene Royal, was announcing the phasedown of French Nuclear in favour of renewables, but she at least has the intelligence to see how stupid that was and now France has done a complete U-turn on nuclear vs renewables. We of course have Eamon Ryanski doubling down on refusenicking everything possible that isn't the renewables that the rest of Europe have now realised are a busted flush.

    Arguing for more and better interconnectors is the Irish equivalent of turning Romanian - begging instead of working. In our case it's a refusal to build sufficient baseload for our needs, because we can't face the truth that there is only one reliable way to generate zero CO2 energy.

    Your 'multiple technologies' is horse manure on the same level as suggesting that wide scale commercial fusion power plants are about to be built because some lab had a promising experiment lasting a femto second. 30 years I tell you, in just 30 years...



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  • Registered Users Posts: 20,047 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    My opinion is that should there be no import of solar panels or batteries from China - whatsoever. Climate catastrophism is a mental disease based on a shortcoming of intelligence.

    We could reduce the use of fossil fuels by increased use of nuclear energy, but the green movement seems to oppose that solution, because it's comprised of thickos. We can't get off fossil fuels - long haul trucks, shipping and aircraft, for starters, can't be powered by anything else - except ships, where nuclear works a treat.



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,035 ✭✭✭timmyntc


     Privatisation of utilities have starved them of long term investment.

    Irish utilities are fully state owned. The grid and water infrastructure are fully owned by public entities.



  • Registered Users Posts: 596 ✭✭✭deholleboom


    The Queen has died and now Charles is in charge. Mr John Kerry is now being interviewed on the BBC talking about how Charles supported the existential climate threat measures. He said (and i paraphrase):" this is not a left or right issue but a human issue and a global one that everyone has to get on board with". Charles the third already is and by god, i hope he is not going to come out with the kind of political statements he made when he was Prince. I fear the worst. Every bloody political establishment of the West pushing the same panic button. Meanwhile in the East the first Eastern conference is being held. Putin stated his position and his views some of which are hard to refute. The western media simply take some of his speeches and put them in a western context which of course condemns everything he does and says. It is pretty clear that the East will continue to find a way out of the western dominated global system supported by the US and the dollar. We threw Russia out of the electronic transfer system and we try to contain China and indirectly India. Well, they, and it is over 50% of the global population with strong (read ruthless) leaders are now looking to set up a stable alternative trade system with Eastern currency mechanisms possibly linked to gold with an open market for recources. They see green energy in a more holistic way as part of the way forward and are not panicking. We are strengthening them by shooting ourselves in the foot pretending that the world order is still ours (read the US) to command and pushing ourselves into the Green world within a short time frame will accelerate that process. The US is already retreating despite Biden and can be an independent agent without having to police the world. They have enough recources if push comes to shove. The EU on the other hand is falling in the cracks. Self inflicting wounds. We are getting squeezed between the west (read US) and the East (Russia, China, India and connected countries). The Queen is dead and and an era has come to an end.



  • Registered Users Posts: 15,069 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    Tbh, when I came to the first swath of "ifs" and "maybes" I lost interest.

    "Maybe" the sun will stop shining in the next few weeks, but I`m not going to lose any sleep wondering "if" it will.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    We can't get off fossil fuels - long haul trucks, shipping and aircraft, for starters, can't be powered by anything else

    We now have EV cars and EV vans. EV long haul trucks are under development by a number of manufacturers so I expect to see more models being released within the next 2 years. There's also a likelihood that hydrogen will play some role for heavy vehicles where batteries are not practical e.g. construction, mining etc. With trucking the cost of fuel is massive, so anything that helps companies avoid that cost and allows them to maintain delivery schedules will be embraced.

    As for shipping, there are initiatives underway to reduce current emissions

    As well as alternatives being explored in terms of propulsion and alternative fuels with an EV autonomous ship recently launched in norway to test the feasibility

    As well as looking at wind again

    Note carbon levies are going to pile on costs in a big way for shipping companies so the ones that crack a way to avoid fossil fuels will be the ones to see increased profitability long term

    As for air travel, its early days yet on that side, but there are some small EV planes, but unlikely to ever see long haul flights in using that option. Most likely this will be hydrogen or something else



  • Registered Users Posts: 596 ✭✭✭deholleboom


    Well yeah, your message is clear. Keep fossil fuel costs high so that green energy can compete and if fossil fuel prices fall push them up with levies so that green remains on par. Never mind if things dont work and numbers do not add up. I bet you are happy with the current crisis. Nothing like a good crisis to double down on ideas.Blinkers on. No time to lose. Bring on them high energy costs! Let the poor starve by disrupting production lines as long as you feel good about yourself..! Stupidity in action..



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Well yeah, your message is clear. Keep fossil fuel costs high so that green energy can compete and if fossil fuel prices fall push them up with levies so that green remains on par. 

    Yeah, you avoid the increased costs by switching or stopping use. Its how taxes and levies have often been used to drive a change in behaviour e.g. the plastic bag levy, taxes on cigarettes etc etc

    Nothing new there



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,044 ✭✭✭patnor1011


    3 - battery production it's dirtier than even the old dirty ways of extracting fossil fuels




  • Registered Users Posts: 3,044 ✭✭✭patnor1011




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  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Ryan speaking in the EU today

    Some headlines

    • Paper due next week which will outline gas storage options
    • Gas storage has to be strategic i.e. there for emergency use rather than just expansion for the sake of it
    • Storage should be compatible with hydrogen as thats the long term plan
    • Has to be rapid ramping up of wind, solar, 2GW of gas generation
    • Need to speed up permitting
    • Proposals to take excess revenues from fossil fuel companies and use it to reduce energy costs for consumers

    It'll be interesting to see what these strategic storage options will be. My guess is it'll be floating storage in Cork but we'll have to wait until next week to see



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,150 ✭✭✭opinionated3


    Ah come off it for crying out loud. Bit of a difference between a 20p plastic bag levy and forcing people into tens of thousands of euro of debt to get their house retrofitted.



  • Registered Users Posts: 644 ✭✭✭Darth Putin




  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    There is always the option to not retrofit, there's grants as an incentive for those who can afford it and 100% payments for those who can't (as long as they meet the listed criteria). I've also no problem with them changing the criteria to expand it to cover more people, means testing is probably the way to go.

    Personally I'm looking at a unit rate that's gone from 19c to soon being 42c,in less than a year. As a result I'm now looking at my options to reduce the running costs of my home. I can't afford to pay for any changes yet so I'll save for a while as I prefer to not take loans if I can help it.

    No doubt many others are in a similar position.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,328 ✭✭✭Banana Republic 1


    If you actually read the articles the member posted to support his argument you will see that no where do they say that Californians are asked to not charge their cars. Instead they say people are being asked not to charge during peak times.

    The amount of absolute horseshit coming from the anti progress crew here is unbelievable.



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,273 ✭✭✭xxxxxxl


    Their being asked not to burn out the grid simple as that. You will see enforcement soon on shutting down local areas if people don't comply. Transformers for example are not produced in bulk or kept around and cost stupid money. And that's before chewing though Grid size industrial fuses.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,328 ✭✭✭Banana Republic 1




  • Registered Users Posts: 3,328 ✭✭✭Banana Republic 1


    Who exactly is forcing anyone to do anything. 🤔



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,328 ✭✭✭Banana Republic 1


    Who is being asked not to burn out the grid 🤔



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  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    In terms of Ireland deploying 7GW of offshore generation by 2030, a new survey shows 42 per cent of energy professionals believe this is “extremely challenging” while 27 per cent dub it “completely unrealistic”. Planning risks and grid infrastructure are the biggest challenges faced by offshore electricity projects here"

    We've already seen the development of a whole new planning system for offshore wind set up in the first 18 months of this govt. Hopefully we'll see further work done to speed things up by resourcing fully, all required depts, courts etc. In the event of appeals, being able to get them heard within 1-3 months will drastically cut implementation timelines.



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