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A global recession is on the horizon - please read OP for mod warning

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  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    An interesting tweet from Poland's former foreign minister thanking the USA for blowing up the pipeline.




  • Registered Users Posts: 5,625 ✭✭✭brickster69


    “The earth is littered with the ruins of empires that believed they were eternal.”

    - Camille Paglia



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,905 ✭✭✭Dickie10


    hi all, i only dip in and out of this, but is this a major new departure in the war? (gas pipe) also are we sure it has definitley been destroyed? on another note , is very simplistic now to say that NATO should just go in and wipe our Russian forces in Ukriane and make sure they stay out of it . OR should NATO push Russia out of Ukraine and then counter attack them in thier own land , like bomb them and putin into surrender and start to actually set up a democratic state in Russia like what was done in Germany after WW2? Surely its now time to bring in NATO and finsh this before winter sets in. Arent Russia very weak now economically and militarily? surely if NATO goes in it will be all over in a few weeks?



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Despite what some Pro-American posters might say, Russia does have a capable air defence system. There is evidence of them shooting down. Rockets from the artillery system Ukraine was given and I have no doubt that if NATO were to engage with Russia then a few NATO aircraft would be shot down.

    A NATO intervention could be the beginning of a nuclear war, especially if Russia feels they have no other choice. This could lead to the death of billions plus the complete collapse of Western civilisation. It is for this reason that no, I don't see any NATO intervention in the near future. Ukraine just isn't that important to us.



  • Registered Users Posts: 10,472 ✭✭✭✭tom1ie


    Ok but why start with the pipes he has control over? That makes no sense.

    Surely he would attack the Norwegian and other lines first and then the only option left would be nord 1+2.

    Now that would be leverage for him.

    It just doesn’t add up that Russia attacked nord 1+2



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  • Registered Users Posts: 10,472 ✭✭✭✭tom1ie




  • Registered Users Posts: 10,472 ✭✭✭✭tom1ie


    If NATO attacks Russian forces- the nuclear card is on the table.

    If Russia retaliates with nukes, as they will claim they were attacked by NATO, then we are all fucked as NATO will respond with nukes.

    We would be into M.A.D territory.



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,090 ✭✭✭SuperBowserWorld


    It's ok, we will build a big nuclear shelter and live off potatoes, like in The Martian.

    But the government will sell the shelter to foreign investment firms.

    And we will pay rent to live in the shelter.

    And people will laugh at the Irish again eating potatoes, tenants to absentee landlords.

    It'll be like the 1840s again.

    And all the Russians and Ukrainians will come here to eat our nuclear free potatoes.

    And the shelter will get very full because the government said they'd take everyone and there was no limits on the number ...

    And Leo will go talk about it all in the Swiss Alps with his chums at Davos.

    Post edited by SuperBowserWorld on


  • Registered Users Posts: 802 ✭✭✭Relax brah


    I think at this stage Putin wants/needs NATO to step in. In fact it's probably his only option for survival.

    As it stands, Russia IS going to be completely defeated by Ukraine and forced to return all captured territory because Ukraine will not negotiate. When that happens, Russia is defeated by "Ukraine", Putin is finished.

    However if Russia goes nuclear and the United States puts boots on the ground, at that point the dynamic changes, because it's now Russia troops facing off against US troops and the stakes are now global mutual destruction. And Russia would then be able to really leverage/bluff it's full nuclear arsenal to negotiate some sort of settlement.

    With that said, the US would not want to provoke a full blown nuclear exchange. Russian nuclear doctrine says they won't engage in such an exchange unless the territorial sovereignty of Russia and the existence of the state are threatened. A manpower invasion of Russian territory seems to risk triggering that. A limited, targeted strike would not seem to violate that principle. Russia couldn't argue that any territory was lost or in danger of being conquered.

    Also have to compare nuclear capabilities. The US has strike bombers that could hit every major Russian city within an hour or less. The US based SLBM force can also maneuver in the arctic circle to hit Russian cities in a shorter time frame than land based ICBMs. The World ends if Russia attempts a conventional nuclear strike, but Russia is probably more quickly and completely impacted than the US or Western Europe. This has to be a last resort for them. A ground invasion is probably the only way to make them consider it.



  • Registered Users Posts: 13,826 ✭✭✭✭Danzy


    Why would he want Nordstream 1 or 2 to be an option now?


    That would be some humiliation, even beyond having to send hundreds of thousands of Russia men with rusty AKs to hold a sliver of Ukraine because his professional Army has been repeatedly routed or killed.


    Nordstream will ensure that Europe has the gas it needs, what does Russia get but money. It would be a shell selling gas.



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  • Registered Users Posts: 3,059 ✭✭✭patnor1011


    He is not the only one who wants to see western Europe to collapse.


    He may actually be distant second in that line.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,018 ✭✭✭Jonnyc135




  • Registered Users Posts: 3,905 ✭✭✭Dickie10


    right so in a way were in a much more dodgy place than either ww1 or ww2. mad really. i often wondered how ordinary life went on when ww1 and ww2 were also going on, but looking around i suppose life does go on, maybe tough times for people to live through but they do get through it. the world changed forever after ww1 and ww2, so will the world change completely after this war? are we at the end of an era? like the 19th centrury seemed to end after ww1 not in 1899. is the 20th centrury now about to end as we know it? can anyone really say 2000 was very different to 2010. but 2010 seems so differnt to now, even 2015 seems a long long time ago



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,325 ✭✭✭Deub




  • Registered Users Posts: 4,500 ✭✭✭An Ri rua


    They don't kill the dollar. They kill its singular importance. Its already underway.

    The decline of almost everything else (includin its dependent currencies) is all the proof required. It is next.



  • Registered Users Posts: 13,826 ✭✭✭✭Danzy


    He is putting in the hard yards and he is the only one doing so.

    I presume you mean Al Qaeda or Isis, you hardly mean America. They make s fortune out of trading with Europe and have spent an incredible amount of money since the late 40s to keep Europe safe and prosperous, despite itself.



  • Registered Users Posts: 10,472 ✭✭✭✭tom1ie


    Your missing my point.

    I didn’t say we need nordstream 1 and 2.

    Im asking what benefit does it give putin to sabotage nordstream vs the other pipelines?



  • Registered Users Posts: 9,308 ✭✭✭Cluedo Monopoly


    Ye ran the Russian lads off this recession thread and now all ye want to talk about is Russia.

    At least they added a bit of crazy humour and Darth had some good points and links.

    What are they doing in the Hyacinth House?



  • Registered Users Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2




  • Registered Users Posts: 4,500 ✭✭✭An Ri rua


    (Edit - a pause for reflection is always a good thing).



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  • Registered Users Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2


    What's out of line?

    I gave you chapter and verse why the dollar is unassailable. I don't need to be proven right, take a look at what's happening day-on-day in the markets. The dollar is going nowhere.

    Any other notion is autocrat flunkie daydreaming.



  • Registered Users Posts: 687 ✭✭✭Subzero3


    Europe is fucxed. Let's be honest it's a slow motion train wreck. We will be at the mercy of the US and how much LNG they can give, all x10s higher in price too. The sooner it falls apart the better.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,059 ✭✭✭patnor1011


    What happened this morning was simple failsafe. In case that German government give in right after mass protests start.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,059 ✭✭✭patnor1011


    I will add further that Europe is facing years of energy scarcity with no viable alternative. German industry and subsequently EU industry is done.



  • Registered Users Posts: 13,826 ✭✭✭✭Danzy


    The other pipes are bit players compared to Nordstream.


    If he sabotages the others and leaves Nordstream, what does he do if Europe decides to throw in the towel on sanctions and but gas, at any price and say he can keep the skekp of Ukraine he has.


    He is b9lloxed, gets a few Bob and land,certainly, but he accepts Russia as a bit player with a bigger bank account. He would have to accept that money is



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,131 ✭✭✭riddles


    At what point in the road did we pass the place where a vote of no confidence is passed on Eamon Ryan?



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,625 ✭✭✭brickster69


    Interesting to note that these two pipelines were full of gas so fully pressurised. Now that probably big holes are in them the pipes will empty in a week and full of seawater for the forseeable.

    Now, seen as Gazprom owned most of Germany's gas storage it is probable that Nordstream 1 was connected to a fair chunk of the 60 storage facilities for inflow and outflow, so if there is no pressure in the pipe now, how are the gas reserves going to flow out from them and be transported around the system ?

    “The earth is littered with the ruins of empires that believed they were eternal.”

    - Camille Paglia



  • Registered Users Posts: 24,071 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    You'd imagine theres multiple redundancy on isolation of seaborne supply pipes, precisely because of the risk of saltwater ingress. The rest of the network can function fine I'm sure.



  • Registered Users Posts: 886 ✭✭✭bb12



    'I Don't Want That Pipeline Operational': GOP Sen.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rBUIlHM9WSo



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  • Registered Users Posts: 5,625 ✭✭✭brickster69


    15 states now calling for a price cap on all gas imports. A shortage of gas in the world and countries that have no gas are going to tell the suppliers what they have to sell for.

    No idea if it is a unanimous vote or not


    “The earth is littered with the ruins of empires that believed they were eternal.”

    - Camille Paglia



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