Russia - threadbanned users in OP

If the Japan-atomic bomb discussion is going to continue could you guys open a new thread for it? It's interesting but very off topic

https://t.me/dva_majors/2784

Russians claim that Ukraine tried to attack Davydiv Brod again and failed. Apparently Ukraine had slightly better luck further north and took the village of Zolota Balka.

son+Oblast,+Ukraine,+74214/@47.379704,33.9590155,14z/data=!3m1!4b1!4m5!3m4!1s0x40c355bb6d7c609b:0x2b14a229be135b66!8m2!3d47.3759623!4d33.963947

www.moscowmickandcomradeclaire.com for the best independent and neutral coverage of the truth. Not sponsored by Russia

It might be down at the minute.

The CIA and NATO are always hitting their servers with DDOS attacks

Twitter #Ukraine, but be careful of the alternate reality people there. Watch out for the mines too.

I don't think people understand the magnitude of what Ukraine has in front of it. Kherson has clearly been a complete meat grinder for both sides, we've seen no signs of the Russians cracking here. If anything, they've been reinforcing the area. Even if Ukraine can push them out and take Kherson city (which I do think will happen eventually), they still have the Dniepr river between them and the Russians on the other side. If they can overcome that and want to go into Crimea, only 2 roads exist and serve as a serious choke point if Ukraine tries to enter. Then you've got the borders of the DPR/LPR which have been militarised since 2014 and are likely some of the most fortified areas in the world. There will be no support of the local population in either Crimea/DPR/LPR either as most Ukrainians will have been left it already.

Nyt article no paywall https://archive.ph/Qgmw9

Archive.ph is very handy

Twitter and OSINT.

There is a tweet doing the rounds that highlights some "unusual activity" at Olenya airbase in Northern Russia. We are given the impression that something new is afoot. Here is the tweet:

However, for those who have watched RUS AF movements of Strategic bombers, such as the TU-95 "Bears" and TU-160, this is nothing new. It is from this base, Olenya, that many of the probing missions have been conducted, with regular flights sweeping down along the West Coast of Ireland, all with their transponders off.

Of course, Ireland does not have a primary radar, so it is up to the RAF to detect and deter any Russian strategic flights along our Seaboard.

Olenya is quite remote, in a heavily forested area, but perfectly positioned for the operation of such flights.

Looking at a satellite picture taken almost a year ago, one can see even more bombers present at the base than was indicated earlier this week.

Russias Airforce, while still very powerful, is not as advertised due to its training doctrine and the reluctance of Putin to commit large numbers of his valuable strategic forces to Ukraine. They are out there, Engles is full at the moment, 4 IL-76 AWACS are still on the Apron in Belarus and only in July, a flight of Blackjack were sent down to Venezuela. So why not use them? That is the big question. I have suggested why in earlier posts and it centres around their inability to fight an asymmetric war, something NATO excells at.

Then we have Russias only operational aircraft carrier. Used with disastrous results in the Syrian conflict and dogged with technical issues, it can now be seen tied up in Novorossiya and is essentially a building site, with work on it held up due to a raft of corruption investigations in connection to its contractors.

To those online warning that Russia has yet to unleash the full weight of the Airforce, I would say that this is not going to happen. The only weight we shall see referenced will be the out-of-shape pilots we have been seeing upon their arrival back to earth via parachute.

What exactly is visually confirmed here ?

Putin is looking for his end game. That could well be the case. He is losing badly and has no real hope of victory.

So far, at least four leaks in Russia’s Nord Stream pipelines 1 and 2 have been discovered, each at the surface resembling a boiling cauldron, the largest one kilometre across, and together spewing industrial quantities of toxic greenhouse gases into the atmosphere.

Russian naval vessels were seen by European security officials in the area in the days prior, Western intelligence sources have said. NATO’s North Atlantic Council has described the damage as a “deliberate, reckless and irresponsible act of sabotage.”

 Russia is the most likely culprit for the sabotage, and Putin is likely trying to send a message: It’s a signal to Europe that Russia can reach beyond Ukraine’s borders. Nord Stream 2 was never operational, and Nord Stream 1 had been throttled back by Putin as Europe raced to replenish gas reserves ahead of winter. The Russian president is doing his best to hide it, but he is losing his war in Ukraine. The writing is on the wall.

as for the new 'recruitment campaign' of farmers and lorry drivers to be sent to war.

Independent Russian media quoting Russia’s revamped KGB, the FSB, put the total exodus even higher. They say more military-age men have fled the country since conscription – 261,000 – than have so far fought in the war – an estimated 160,000 to 190,000.

With all those farmers being conscripted it's no wonder Putin went and asked North Korea for a workforce that apparently has not arrived.

You might like to try https://www.bing.com/maps/ and compare it to Google, I think the satellite imagery is a bit sharper. Google's have nicer colours due to processing, but it looks like that processing has a cost.

It looks like some 4 of those overweight pilots were swapped back in a prisoner exchange in April, or thereabouts.

Seems to me that the problem with the Russian air force isn't a lack of aircraft, it's a lack of precision munitions. The video above shows a Russian plane dropping dumb bombs on Ukrainian positions around Lyman a few days back. These types of video of planes dropping such bombs and helicopters firing unguided rockets into the air are common. Russians aren't putting these craft a such risk because they want to, it's because they have to.

It's obvious that the Russian air force strength was for propaganda. Putin invested his resources in being able to have a headline number of aircraft available that sounded impressive, but neglected to invest in the quantity of precision munitions required to equip them. All fur coat, no knickers.

Over 60,000 orcs dead now.