I Love Punting , Providing Selections & Chatting Gibberish ; & I Intend To Do So On Hyah

tomorrow 1st October

changeable weather = too hard for to take all factors into a/c

just looked at one big h'cap

Ascot: Going to soft-good in places

ground is gd to soft, so am basing my selections on those what have decent 7f form / in decent races / at the track etc , and with some 'juice in t'ground' form,, not really looking at anything with only soft ground winning form over the 7f trip..

3.36

Pen landed on these:

ESCOBAR 18/1 EW , EVER GIVEN 14/1 EW , SIR DANCEALOT 40/1 EW NAP , RHOSCOLYN 12s EW NB , SYMBOLIZE 7/1 EW , OO DE LALLY 20/1 EW & NEW KINGDOM 20/1 EW

a point ew did on all the above = 14pts

7 picks is more'n enuf to be going on with,, 5 places on offer - be happy to get a run for us money, and have one, at least, to look a likely winner at some stage; win be a bonus 🙂 😊 🤗

PLACE LAY POTENTIALS:

A few that are towards top of betting that i'll consider laying for 5, 6, 7 (whatever they go up to, starting from 5 places - mebbe 4 😃) places; whene'er t'market takes shape some time tomorrow,,

a bit tired, but i gave these three solid cases for 'not winning' , and reasonable claims for finishing down field:

FRESH 9/2 , RIVER NYMPH 15/2 , SAFE VOYAGE 6/1 ,, friendly enough prices if a wo/man wants to be against - which I do 😃

will give 'em a betterer luuk - perhaps - tomorrow, and likely i'll try place/s lay them at no bigger than 5/4 or so; so likely not be going 3-plce lay, or owt like that 😊

3.36 Ascot

PLACE LAY POTENTIALS:

A few that are towards top of betting that i'll consider laying for 5, 6, 7 (whatever they go up to, starting from 5 places - mebbe 4 😃) places; whene'er t'market takes shape some time tomorrow,,

a bit tired, but i gave these three solid cases for 'not winning' , and reasonable claims for finishing down field:

FRESH 9/2 , RIVER NYMPH 15/2 , SAFE VOYAGE 6/1 ,, friendly enough prices if a wo/man wants to be against - which I do 😃

ground is now good to soft - sft in places so have changed me mind on River Nymph - gone win on him,, Left Safe Voyage off, and gone small place lays on Fresh.. Fresh - lay for places 3/4/5 @ ~ 5/4 , ~ 6/5 & ~ evs . I don't think the close to soft ground will help the cause of Fresh to any great extent. He goes well at the course, does Fresh, on all sorts of ground, and an unlikely winner on ~soft i feel; tho can't be completely ruled out of places - is a very short as the current 7/2 fav

😃 j@utis has us convinced 😃 to back CICELY ~ 8/1 in Wolves 8,0c ; have gone WIN on Sylvester Kirk's 3-time CD winner,, shouldn't be far away, and goes well for the young app. Oliver Stammers(3)

Gl

A few that are towards top of betting that i'll consider laying for 5, 6, 7 (whatever they go up to, starting from 5 places - mebbe 4 😃) places; whene'er t'market takes shape some time tomorrow,,

a bit tired, but i gave these three solid cases for 'not winning' , and reasonable claims for finishing down field:

FRESH 9/2 , RIVER NYMPH 15/2 , SAFE VOYAGE 6/1 ,, friendly enough prices if a wo/man wants to be against - which I do 😃

will give 'em a betterer luuk - perhaps - tomorrow, and likely i'll try place/s lay them at no bigger than 5/4 or so; so likely not be going 3-plce lay, or owt like that 😊

Gl

EDIT : don't know what happened there - me quoted part i accidentally quoted twice :(

8.30 Wolves

The enigmatic HY EALES 25/1 EW is capable of a bold showing (at some stage 😃) will hope it's today 😊

think the top two in betting - Midnight Train ~5/2 & Salonica ~10/3 - are vulnerable; 3/4 plce-lay consideration on those two,,

will also do CARACRISTI 11/1 WIN here; has a poor draw in box eight, for a frontrunner/prominently racing type, but, one never knows !!

gl

8.30 Wolves

The enigmatic HY EALES 25/1 EW is capable of a bold showing (at some stage 😃) will hope it's today 😊

think the top two in betting - Midnight Train ~5/2 & Salonica ~10/3 - are vulnerable; 3/4 plce-lay consideration on those two,,

will also do CARACRISTI 11/1 WIN here; has a poor draw in box eight, for a frontrunner/prominently racing type, but, one never knows !!

No joy there ;( Hy Eales broke well, but was keengoing most of way - got caught on heels, or summat, approaching bend, and that put paid to whate'er chances she had 😓

dat's racing 🙂

6.30 Wolverhampton

tricky race this - in the way it might pan out; seems to be a few hold-up horses here, so things might get congested late on in the piece,,

to that end, Laurentia (1) ~ 7/4 fav could be vulnerable; is drawn low in box one, and most of her wins have come from off the pace, barring one at Lingfield over 10fs.. am thinking she's good for 3/4 plce-lays if at a similar price tomorrow.. May well be that she'll be close to t'pace and run a cracker - but atm am thinking she be vulnerable,, no real market until close to race-time, so plenty of time to ponder the race a bit more,,

for no particular reason, pen landed on three; and will go small stakes:

DEFILADE 10/1 1/2pt EW , BROUGHTON'S FLARE 12/1 1/2pt EW , JASTAR 33/1 1/2pt EW ,, Jastar don't look obvious, but the step-up in trip may help here

gl

😁 me no likee that Showman at all at all j

i has me own fancy in that 4,46 : https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/119693320/#Comment_119693320

7.30 Wolverhampton

in hope ~7/4 favourite Secret Moment flops, will chance a bunch here at fair prices,,

1/2pt win & 1/2pt ew on the four

ROCK MELODY 9/1 , GAVI DI GAVI 20/1 , FREEDOM AND WHEAT 11/1 , CHOOKIE DUNEDIN 16/1

'nd that's enuf degeneracy 4 1day 😃😆

g'luck :)

• Pontefract - Good to soft-soft in places
• 4.15
• REACH 6/1 WIN NAP should like trip and going
• SCOTTISH WIND WIN 10/1 similar to the above - mebbe not as good as the above, but is a lightly raced 4-y-o
• am not overly enamoured with prospects of 2nd/joint 2nd fav Aegis Power ~ 11/2, who looks like a 10f horse to me, tho there's a lot of guesswork involved in a race like this, and Balding's 3-y-o gelding is by far the most experienced of this bunch (on the flat anyhow) with 7 runs to his name - yet to win tho, so that's good :)
• chance a rev f'cast too
• Of course, if Johnny G's ~2/5 jolly Sobegrand justifies her cramped odds, then me'll lose all t'above bets; but, jolly is by Decorated Knight, so not sure a mile & half on soft/softish ground will be entirely suitable for Sobegrand; altho she did come 2nd over just a furlong shorter at Kempton on her first outing. That was an AW track tho' , plus race was ran in slowish time, and there were only the five runners.
• Either way, this fav looks waaayy too short, esp given the obvious/reasonable claims of the two others mentioned above.
• Will go lay on Sobegrand @ ~1/2 ,, and chance putting up two place lay @ ~ 1/5 & 3 place lay @ ~ 1/10
• if yer not in ya cannae win 😋
• g'luck :)
• 
  

WD , WFD @KonnyRool ; ya gots a huuuge Nap there AAAAAAANNND 'ya got the fav well beat' an' all !

STELLAR m8 :) :)

ya were reet to keep your powda dry on @Showman - obvious chances IF ya fancied; but, yeah, well short @ 11/8

One reason why me try no get too fixated on short price pokes is cos i oft end up backin' em regardless, even if i feels they be 30/40 sometimes % points too short; let alone any value 😓😅😓

5.32 Windsor KIRILENKO 5/1 WIN

fair price in open race - hard to see her not go close for Stouty and Kingscotey

too good Konny, TOO good !! Wins in headbobber - savage picking m8 :)

i took credit for ur earlier Nap elsewhere KR, on t'other thread - figured u wasn't aroond :D

😁

7.30 Wolverhampton

in hope ~7/4 favourite Secret Moment flops, will chance a bunch here at fair prices,,

Gavi Di Gavi WINS in a d/h with Jilly Cooper - we'll mos' def tek it 😁

looked about 1/8 that Jilly Cooper just shaded it on the 'bob' , for the outright victory

When yer luck's in ! 😁

2.35 Leicester

Power Of Gold ~10/11 fav

2-y-o by Golden horn,, he came 2nd on his fto run at Ayr over a similar/almost identical (1m at Ayr, 1m. 53yds. is distance tomorrow) trip.

the extra few yards should help, but i've a feeling he'll be better over further when he gets older, as the sire seems to produce middle-distance ones..

am going on my opinion that his latest showing is as good as he is over a mile, and that something will come out of pack and beat him tomorrow,,

reckon he's about a 5/4 shot me; not a strong fancy, but have gone lay @ ~evs ; may go in again if he sees major support (i doubt it though) between now and race-time, as there's a few big stables represented here.. evs is as high as i'd want to be offering up tho 🤣

I see what ur seein' re Power Of Gold @Sweet ,,, a few big stables represented, like you said; that lay on that fav aint exactly screaming out to be done, as possibly the newcomers mayn't like #conditions that much

that said, as far as the #unknown/s re the weather/ground conditions r concerned; should there be a lot of rain o'er in Blighty, then, well,,,

,,,, to that end, my thoughts on that race:

Leicester: Good-good to firm in places

2.35 L

could well bucket down over there, just like here; doubt there be no soft in description come #racetime 2nd r third race,,,, #if it does get 'juicy' , then we might get good to sft in advance o' proceedings, or good-good to soft in places..

Me, i'm taking the view/a punt that the ground will be soft or worser (pure guess - just cos it's raining here, it don't mean it'll be raining there)

anyway,, STAMFORD BLUE 28/1 EW is having his third ever run, upped in trip 2fs from lto, but, crucially, being by Fast Company, Hannon's colt will like cut in ground - i'm as sure as i can be aboot that, so he's worth a half-speculative go i feel..

now, onto ur pick Sweet, ur Power Of Gold 'lay' ; looks about right to give even money on him, and that's if going remains unaltered,, possibly might be Soft, or Heavy going even, so i might chance laying Power Of Gold meself for t'win.. altho, his experience/quality may see him go well should conditions be squishy underfoot.. Think the Galileo and Churchill newcomers should like soft meself, as well as Hannon's should.. a tricky one; don't know much about Golden Horn's re preferred going, tho i see wat ya mean as regards being suited, perhaps to a mile two, mile & a half type trips..

put up some prospective place lays on Power Of Gold - 2, 3 & 4 plce-lays @ ~ 2/5 , 1/5 & 1/6 or there'bout .. hope for a bog over there to dampen place claims, a tad, of the jolly

that's all 4m me

good luck all :)