Advertisement
If you have a new account but are having problems posting or verifying your account, please email us on hello@boards.ie for help. Thanks :)
Hello all! Please ensure that you are posting a new thread or question in the appropriate forum. The Feedback forum is overwhelmed with questions that are having to be moved elsewhere. If you need help to verify your account contact hello@boards.ie
Hi there,
There is an issue with role permissions that is being worked on at the moment.
If you are having trouble with access or permissions on regional forums please post here to get access: https://www.boards.ie/discussion/2058365403/you-do-not-have-permission-for-that#latest

Horse Racing Bets (win...e/w....place

135

Comments

  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    Saturday Newmarket 3.40 Inchicore 3pts e/w 18/1 skybet 7 places

    Earlier this year in April INCHICORE tried 2m plus for the first time, she finished 3rd of 7 runners beaten 4L by AHORSEWITHNONAME. INCHICORE gave AHORSEWITNONAME 12LB and tomorrow gives that horse 1LB so will be 11LB better off for a 4L beating.

    That Newbury race was run 10 seconds slower than average and INCHICORE was gaining on the two leaders so I am hoping the extra 1 and 1/2f, the mare seems to like running past beaten horses, 7 places at 18/1 looks generous enough to me.

    INCHICORE has actually finished in the first 4 in eight of her 13 races, races over 2m2f for the first time which I am hoping will suit her, the trainer has had two winners in the last two weeks.


    3.40 – Club Godolphin Cesarewitch Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m2f ITV

    19/20 – Aged 4 or older

    16/20 – Carried 9-2 or less

    15/20 – Had won over at least 1m6f on the flat before

    15/20 – Had run within the last 2 months

    14/20 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting

    14/20 – Finished 4th or better last time out

    14/20 – Aged 5 or older

    12/20 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before

    11/20 – Had 3 or more previous flat runs that season

    11/20 – Winning distance – 1 length or less

    11/20 – Drawn in stall 13 or lower

    11/20 – Had run at the track before

    11/20 – Won by a NH trainer

    9/20 – Had won 4 or more times on the flat before

    9/20 – The first three home ALL returned a double-figure price

    9/20 – Placed favourites

    8/20 – Ran at either Ascot, Chester or Doncaster last time out

    5/20 – Winning mares

    4/20 – Winning favourites

    3/20 – Winners from stall 1

    3/20 – Trained by Willie Mullins (3 of last 4 winners)

    3/20 – Won last time out

    3/20 – Trained by Nicky Henderson

    2/20 – Trained by Mark Johnston

    2/20 - Trained by Brian Meehan

    2/20 – Trained by Philip Hobbs

    The average winning SP in the last 20 years is 21/1

    Just 4 winning favourites since 1993

    Thanks to GEEGEEZ.CO.UK



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,165 ✭✭✭Sweet Talkin Romeo


    WD on Super Over del 🤗 me no backee :(

    hope all's well after ur visit to ye krankenhaus ☺️

    marital arts expert



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 863 ✭✭✭goldenhoarde


    Nice one. winner at dundalk👍


    hope all okay now with you del roy



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    Dundalk 6.00 Superover 2pts e/w 11/2 skybet 5 places 1st 😀😀😀

    13.2pts profit on race

    Bank 34.2pts


    Saturday Newmarket 3.40 INCHICORE 3pts e/w 18/1 skybet 7 places

    Curragh 5.30 DRAGONS CALL 2pts e/w 20/1 powers 6 places


    Bets so far 28....6 winners... 14/1..8/1...13/2....11/2...4/1...9/2...

    8.00 SKY LEGEND 1pt win 9/1 plus 3pts in the 3 place market skybet 13/8 unpl

    3.55 CUMULONIMBUS 2pts e/w 8/1 skybet 4 places 1st

    Wednesday...Yarmouth....2.10pm Katyusha 2pts e/w 12/1 skybet 4 places unpl

    5.10pm Miss Down Under 1pt e/w 14/1 skybet 5 places 1st

    5.35 INCHBAE 11/1 2pts e/w hills 4 places (bet365 14/1 4 places) unpl

    8.15 Sterling Knight 20/1 1pt e/w 4 places powers unpl

    2.53 Surely Not 2pts win 4/1 1st

    5.01pm Sonnetina 1pt e/w 25/1 6 places bet365 unpl

    3.40 chief of chiefs 18/1 2pts e/w powers 6 places unpl

    5.20 flying moon 2pts e/w 11/1 skybet 5 places  unpl

    4.30 Super stars 100/3 3 pts win powers 3rd

    1.00 SHABANO 2pts e/w 12/1 skybet 4 places unpl

    8.30 amazing alba 1pt e/w 28/1 skybet 4 places unpl

    8.30 WURLITZER 3pts win 9/2 1st

    8.30 SKY LEGEND 2pts e/w 15/2 Hills 4 places 3rd

    8.00 MARTINEO 16/1 1pt e/w skybet four places unpl

    8.00 HAN SOLO BERGER 2pts e/w 11/1 skybet 4 places unpl

    5.35 steps in the sand 12/1 2pts e/w skybet/powers 5 places unpl

    7.30 PLANKTON 2pts e/w 14/1 skybet 5 places unpl

    3.36 Oo de lally 2pts e/w 22/1 skybet 6 places 6th

    7.30 STRIKE RED 2pts e/w 13/2 4 places. 1st

    1.50 SIRJACK THOMAS 2pts e/w skybet 5 places unpl

    3.05 SEALIWAY 2pts /ew 40/1 powers 5 places unpl

    5.55 Madam Fenela 2pts e/w 10/1 skybet 4 places. 4th

    6.30 Broughtons Flare 2pts e/w 12/1 4 places unpl

    2.25 Moyode Mist 2pts e/w 16/1 skybet 5 places unpl

    8.00 Tequilamockingbird 2pts win 7/2 powers 3rd

    4.55 MUSTARRID 2pts e/w 14/1 Skybet 4 places unpl

    6.00 Superover 2pts e/w 11/2 skybet 5 places 1st

    Post edited by del roy on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,165 ✭✭✭Sweet Talkin Romeo


    cheers for them two del 🙂 Went with @INCHICORE 18/1 BF S'bk EW 6 places - hope for rain for her; "Good" is going description atm

    don't know what you're seeing in @DRAGONS CALL 5.30 Curragh - will leave her off anyhow 😄 - went for Jessie's Poppy Petal @33s BF Sbk

    best of luck with them both ! ☺️

    PS ur really really good 😁🙌

    marital arts expert



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,472 ✭✭✭vandriver


    Curragh 5.30



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    Dragons call has raced 31 times however from the 31 races he has only raced twice over 6f at the curragh resulting in a last and 2nd beaten a hd. When he finished last he was rated 75 and when he was beaten a hd he was rated 64. He is rated 64 tomorrow with the claimer who in my opinion is very good actually taking a further 7LB off.

    He is drawn 20 of 30 runners, I think the high numbers should be an advantage tomorrow.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    Comments from Alan King below


    Inchicore could do with the rain returning as she is a mare who revels in the soft. Last week 10.4mm fell on the Rowley Mile, but it has been a dry October so far and 5mm of water were applied on the course on Wednesday and Thursday.

    However, there is precious little of the wet stuff expected there today – maybe (1-3mm) late afternoon or early evening – and, with Newmarket describing the ground as ‘good’ for today’s racing and with a dry forecast tomorrow, underfoot conditions won’t be ideal for the mud-loving Inchicore, who won on easy going at Goodwood in May and ran well to finish third when last seen at the Doncaster St Leger meeting.

    🤔

    She is Galileo offspring so we might get away with it anyway 7 places so fingers crossed



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    Well INCHICORE was ground dependent and never went a yard on that good ground so 6pts wasted.

    Tomorrow Ffos las 3.45 ROBBIE DAZZLER 2pts e/w 16/1 Hills 4 places



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,165 ✭✭✭Sweet Talkin Romeo


    rotten luck with Dragons Call in 6f sprint del 😪 might have been involved; high numbers fared well in that race.

    marital arts expert



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users Posts: 216 ✭✭BobDole22




  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    rotten luck with Dragons Call in 6f sprint del 😪 might have been involved; high numbers fared well in that race.

    Yes a day to forget two bets = 10pt loss

    Bank +24.2pts

    Ffos las 3.45 ROBBIE DAZZLER 2pts e/w 16/1 Hills 4 places

    OK can I just explain something here, I have been called an "clueless idiot" for losing 30% of my bank on a 30 runner and 23 runner handicaps.

    Lets take a look at the type of horses well some of them we back, I am looking for what I think are well handicapped horses at the moment I back them and with that comes the type of race I back in (mostly handicaps) and the price of the horse.

    Again lets take a look at the horses I picked

    3.55 CUMULONIMBUS 2pts e/w 8/1 skybet 4 places 1st won next time out 11/8

    5.10pm Miss Down Under 1pt e/w 14/1 skybet 5 places 1st won next time out 7/2

    8.15 Sterling Knight 20/1 1pt e/w 4 places powers unpl won next time out 18/1

    7.30 STRIKE RED 2pts e/w 13/2 4 places. 1st won next time out 12/1

    I am looking to try be ahead of the crowd I am trying to see the future improvement in the horse before the horse actually shows it. With this way of betting we will have horses that run stinkers and have crap losing runs.

    Regarding the bank comments if we ever get to the dizzy heights of +100 pts I would never back 30pts of that bank in one day but when its early and you are only starting to build the bank we have to

    speculate to accumulate

    Hope this explains our train of thought on here.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,065 ✭✭✭j@utis


    I see one problem with the winner "stats" like that. They don't take into account the whole field data to show which factors are actually statistically significant, what I mean is, say most winners are older than 4yo but if 90% of the field are older horses then it doesn't mean much, same applies to the rest of such stats (except the draw).



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    This is true however you have to take what your punting experience has thought you and there were other factors

    National hunt trainer which normally do well in this race. 11/20

    only 5/20 mares last twenty running's 17/44 in the first four places last 9 years

    although the 2nd fav (4/1 won and fav (7/2) was 5th....4 favs from last 20 running's indicate to me its a race worth chancing an outsider just picked one that ran on ground it didn't like which was unusual for a Galileo off spring.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    Ffos las 3.45 ROBBIE DAZZLER 2pts e/w 16/1 Hills 4 places 2nd 17/2

    4.4pts profit on race

    Bank +28.6pts


    Monday, Windsor

    1.15 makingitup 20/1....2pts e/w Skybet/Hills 4 places

    First time cheek pieces, the drop back to 6f, and this kid taking 5LB off makes this interesting add the fact there is rain expected to hit the course overnight so I am willing to play at 20/1.

    The kid riding has has 13 rides in the last fourth night and been in the first four 6 times, I know you say what's that got to do with anything however just pointing out he is decent enough plus the fact Andrew Balding uses him a lot so that's good enough for me.

    Makingitup finished 6th beaten 4L in a 0-75 handicap at Newcastle last month with 77 and three 75 rated horses in front of him so same rated horses tomorrow hopefully some rain arrives



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    Yarmouth 3.00 Marquis of York 1pt e/w 22/1 skybet 4 places

    I am only risking 1pt e/w on this one as he can pull hard so if the jockey can't settle him thats game over however he ran a decent 4th at Nottingham as a 2yr old finishing 4th to 76..73..73 rated horses, on this similar track in a handicap where anything can win it 22/1 seems ok.

    Fahy has sent 37 horses to Yarmouth over the last 5 years with 5 winning and 13 placing.

    The jockey has been riding a few for Fahy (strike red 😀)

    Alot of these will find this race too far though our fella night be one I will take the chance at 20s


    1.15 makingitup 20/1....2pts e/w Skybet/Hills 4 places

    First time cheek pieces, the drop back to 6f, and this kid taking 5LB off makes this interesting add the fact there is rain expected to hit the course overnight so I am willing to play at 20/1.

    The kid riding has has 13 rides in the last fourth night and been in the first four 6 times, I know you say what's that got to do with anything however just pointing out he is decent enough plus the fact Andrew Balding uses him a lot so that's good enough for me.

    Makingitup finished 6th beaten 4L in a 0-75 handicap at Newcastle last month with 77 and three 75 rated horses in front of him so same rated horses tomorrow hopefully some rain arrives



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    I hope Bourbali needed the race, Joe Tizzards runner at Chepstow on Saturday, led and stopped as if shot three out, no money for it 9/1 out to 11/1 hope its not a sign of things to come.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    1.15 makingitup 20/1....2pts e/w Skybet/Hills 4 places 3rd 28/1

    I thought for a minute we might get there but too late.

    3.00 Marquis of York 1pt e/w 22/1 skybet 4 places 5th 😕


    very unlucky not to collect on both bets today with Marquis getting caught for 4th right on the nod but still 4 pts profit on the day.


    Bank +32.6pts

    Post edited by del roy on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,165 ✭✭✭Sweet Talkin Romeo


    nice price on Makingitup there del 😊 me only gets the 18s/20s taken lst night,,

    our MADAME FENELLA out again - tackles 6f this time, from 11 berth @ 3,50 Wolves Wednesday; shouldn't be far away,, paper has her at a juicy enuf 12/1

    my mate j@utis also has one of her favourite, and rarely backed by her 😄 horses going also, in shape of PORFIN ~13/2 - came 2nd Porfin, in the race where Madame Fenella came 4th, lto

    race worth a bitta studying methinks ☺️

    marital arts expert



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    Str

    yes I only got 20/1 also as skybet do not give greater odds on races they pay extra places


    8.05 Captain Vallo 2pts e/w 15/2 powers 4 places



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    8.05 Captain Vallo 2pts e/w 15/2 powers 4 places

    Captain Vallo has not done much lately, he is a consistent enough horse with a record of 7 places from 18 races on the turf and 3/5 on the all weather with his Newcastle form reading 8212 all at 6f tonight's distance, seems to have a perfect draw in 12

    Sire MEHMAS has had 28 runners at Newcastle over 6f winning 5 and placing in 9.

    Trainer P.Makin is 134/10/34......10 winners and 34 places last five years

    Jockey Harry Burns is 13/3/5...3 winners and 5 places last 12 months

    Some decent stats and 15/2 fair enough price.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,065 ✭✭✭j@utis


    Captain Vallo is very popular today. HT ATR tipped him this morning too.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    Bet put on 21 years ago 🤣


    IJF benefits as Ian Balding’s bet on William Buick comes to fruition

    11 October 2022//by Geegeez News

    The Injured Jockeys Fund is to receive £5,000 owing to a 21-year-old bet placed by former trainer Ian Balding on William Buick to be crowned champion jockey.

    Balding, trainer of numerous equine stars such as Mill Reef and Lochsong, placed a verbal bet of £50 in 2001 with then Tote chairman Peter Jones that Buick would one day be champion at odds of 100-1.

    The Oslo-born jockey, who began riding out at Kingsclere in the school holidays aged 14, rode his first winner for Balding’s son Andrew in 2006 and was joint-champion apprentice, along with David Probert, two years later.

    Having lost out by just two winners to Oisin Murphy last season, Buick will officially be crowned champion jockey for the first time on Qipco Champions Day at Ascot on Saturday – and Ian Balding is delighted the Tote has honoured his bet, with the winnings going to the IJF.

    He said: “I am absolutely thrilled he has fulfilled the potential I always knew he had, and I have finally had a successful bet!

    “My late brother Toby (Grand National-winning trainer) would be proud.”



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    Nottingham 5.15 High Opinion 2pts e/w 14/1 Skybet 4 places



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    Nottingham 5.15 High Opinion 2pts e/w 14/1 Skybet 4 places

    High Opinion's last race at Catterick where he finished 4th reads well for tomorrows race. With Captain Corcoran drawn 10 he should take them along the nearside rails and give some pace for HIGH OPINION (drawn 9) to chase.

    That race at Catterick nearly five weeks ago, the 2nd 3rd and 5th have won since.

    Last five years the trainer is 28 runners...5 winners and 12 placers

    Jockey/trainer combo last 5 years at Nottingham 3 runners 1 placer

    Last nine years sire HELLVEYLN has had 38 runners in 5f sprints resulting in 4 wins and 13 placers

    on soft going only over 5f (tomorrows conditions) that reads 8 races 2 wins and 5 places



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy



    8.05 Captain Vallo 2pts e/w 15/2 powers 4 places unpl 4 pt loss

    Nottingham 5.15 High Opinion 2pts e/w 14/1 Skybet 4 places 2nd 22/1 nutted by the 66/1 rag 😥 😥 😥 3.6pts profit


    Bank +32.2pts



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    Brighton 2.05 Otago 2pts e/w 12/1 skybet 4 places

    3.15 Regulator 2pts e/w 14/1 skybet 4 places



  • Registered Users Posts: 148 ✭✭timfinnegan


    Very close to hitting the jackpot today with 22/1 shot High Opinion, good shout



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,165 ✭✭✭Sweet Talkin Romeo



    ew singles & a double done on/with them both @ 10s & 16s BF - just the three places tho for both races

    another great pick today del for us what follow ya on here - but the 66/1 shot had to go and spoil us party 😂😪

    have a feeling this thread be #~100Pts up in about ~4 1/2 months (if it's still going, of course!) 😊

    #conservativeguess! 🤣

    great thread del 😁

    marital arts expert



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    I don't mind looking at a race again after we have had a bet in it but in general I don't discuss how the horses ran when they lose or run terrible as punters seem to look at there losers thru rose tinted glasses however sometimes you need to look at the way the horse ran.

    Take CAPTAIN VALLO Tuesday evening, his race comments for Newcastle Prior to Tuesday were

    Tracked leader, pushed along 2f out, ridden when close up 1f out, kept on and led inside final 110yds, no extra towards finish, headed final stride (op 3/1) 2nd first five horses home were rated 89..73..86..88..73

    Midfield, headway from over 2f out, ridden to lead 1f out, kept on (op 3/1) 1st first five rated 73..66..68..73..73

    Towards rear of midfield, pushed along 2f out, headway and close up 1f out, ridden and went second inside final furlong, kept on (op 15/2) 2nd first five rated 76..72..76..69..70


    Comments for Tuesday race below

    Took keen hold, prominent against near rail, ridden and went second over 1f out, lost position inside final furlong, soon beaten (op 7/2 tchd 10/3) 8th first five rated 62..72..64..55..64

    Now we all know some horses fall out of love with racing and regress but I think Captains run on Tuesday was more to do with "not our turn tonight" rather than the horse not holding his form but we shall see over his next few runs at Newcastle



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    Brighton 2.05 Otago 2pts e/w 12/1 skybet 4 places

    3.15 Regulator 2pts e/w 14/1 skybet 4 places



  • Registered Users Posts: 3 Tattcorner


    A profit there with Otago and a Nr...well done with the thread profit so far 🙂

    I've stuck a fiver e/w on Fahey's Perfect Power in 2.00 Ascot Saturday...he seems sweet on him in his column....10.88/1 with Hills 5 places

    PERFECT POWER goes for the QIPCO British Champions Sprint at Ascot on Saturday and it's a big day for him.

    We've been very happy with him since Deauville, we gave him a little bit of a break after that. He'd been on the go a while having started out in the Greenham, but he's come back in great order, he’s been working exceptionally well and we’re delighted with him.

    He loves Ascot having won the Norfolk Stakes and Commonwealth Cup there from two goes. We decided with Sheikh Rashid that we should aim him at where he likes it so that’s why he’s been saved for the Champions Sprint. And, looking at conditions, a bit of decent ground with a little bit of cut in it should be perfect for him. He just got a bit sick of the fast ground in the summer, particularly at Newmarket.

    Tom Marquand rides him for the first time and he hasn’t sat on him at home, but he'll be grand. He’s a straightforward ride and the horse is in very good shape, so he just has to go and do it now.

    It's a race I’ve had some luck in, really, as Sands Of Mali won it, Growl ran a superb second at 50/1 and Don't Touch ran well in it, too. My horses seem to like the place so fingers crossed they keep on liking it. He’ll be at home at Ascot and we couldn’t be happier with him.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy




  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    Brighton 2.05 Otago 2pts e/w 12/1 skybet 4 places 4th 2.8pts profit

    3.15 Regulator 2pts e/w 14/1 skybet 4 places non runner


    Bank +35pts

    Tonight Chelmsford 7.30 STATU OF LIBERTY 2pts e/w 10/1 skybet 4 places



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    Brighton 2.05 Otago 2pts e/w 12/1 skybet 4 places 4th 2.8pts profit

    3.15 Regulator 2pts e/w 14/1 skybet 4 places non runner


    Bank +35pts

    Tonight Chelmsford 7.30 STATU OF LIBERTY 2pts e/w 10/1 skybet 4 places



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    Tonight Chelmsford 7.30 STATU OF LIBERTY 2pts e/w 10/1 skybet 4 places


    Tomorrow Haydock 4.00 DANDY MAESTRO 2pts e/w 18/1 skybet 5 places



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    Tonight Chelmsford 7.30 STATU OF LIBERTY 2pts e/w 10/1 skybet 4 places 3rd 14/1


    Bank +37pts

    Haydock 4.00 DANDY MAESTRO 2pts e/w 18/1 skybet 5 places (big drifter this morning)



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    Haydock 4.00 DANDY MAESTRO 2pts e/w 18/1 skybet 5 places (big drifter this morning) unpl

    Redcar 5.20 WHITWELL 2pts e/w 9/1 skybet 5 places 4th 15/2 profit 1.6pts


    loss of 2.4pts

    Bank +34.6pts

    Post edited by del roy on


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    A little snippet for you


    MIDNIGHT GLANCE (A King)

    2nd of 7, 2m6.5f Novice Handicap Chase, Uttoxeter, 7th Sept

    This was the 7yo’s second chasing start, his first coming at Hexham at the beginning of May, which I personally thought was a strange piece of placement, given he was thrown straight into open chase handicap company against a bunch of hardened chase handicappers, over the demanding 3-mile Hexham undulations. To be fair to the horse he made good headway to find himself disputing the lead at two-out but when he hit the uber-stiff Hexham finish he though ‘nah, bugger this, not today!’ and ended up a well-beaten 32L 6th.

    This run at Uttoxeter was his first run since that Hexham debut but he bumped into the Peter Bowen trained JUDGE EARL on this occasion and he was a horse in bouncing form at the time, rounding out his third win in the space of two weeks, and Midnight Glance’s 6L 2nd was more than respectable.

    I actually first noted this lad after that Hexham effort as his breeding caught my eye, being by Passing Glance out of a Midnight legend mare, and that is a cross that has provided winners over fences, with the six that have gone chasing picking off 6 wins and 5 placed efforts between them, for overall stats of 6/24, 5p… improving plenty when you look at their chase starts on Good to Soft or softer, for stats of 6/17, 3p… which would tie in with MIDNIGHT GLANCE’S own form as he is 0/5 on Good ground, all 3 of his wins coming on Good to Soft or softer… this Uttoxeter effort was on Good ground so again no disgrace in coming a 6L 2nd against a red-hot rival AND on ground that he won’t have enjoyed.

    Once the ground begins to soften up I’d fully expect this one to be opening his chase account and based on what we’ve seen from him to date I’d have his Prime Conditions as the following…

    Good to Soft or softer | Handicaps with single figure fields = 12311 (3/5, 2p – all 3 career wins)

    His trainer Alan King is expert at getting chase wins into his lightly raced chasers (0-5 previous chase starts) especially at one of the following tracks… Bangor – Exeter – Hereford – Plumpton – Warwick – Wincanton… with combined stats at those tracks with his lightly raced chasers of… 114/343 | 33% S/R | +£91.56 – W&P 174/343 | 51% S/R – 23% above exp… MIDNIGHT GLANCE is 2 from 2 at Plumpton over hurdles so it would be no surprise to see him score over fences there also.


    taken from www.narrowingthefield.co.uk



    Runs today in the Uttoxeter 2.59....5/1

    Post edited by del roy on


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    Saturday Leopardstown 5.30 LAELAPS 2pts e/w 16/1 skybet 6 places

    Laelaps has only tried the 1m4f trip once but he gave a very good try finishing a flying 4th up the hill at Galway. Race comments below

    Dwelt start, held up in rear, pushed along 2f out, still plenty to do 1f out, kept on strongly inside final furlong, went fourth final strides, nearest finish (tchd 16/1)

    Ok he is racing against classier types tomorrow but the way he stormed up that hill at Galway bodes well for tomorrow in my view. He has a dosage of 0.64 Has run well on left handed tracks, cheek pieces first time tomorrow plus now back down to

    He has raced 20 times and has finished in the first four no less that 11 times, only one of the 20 races were at Leopardstown when he was a 2yr old on heavy going he finished 6th btn 5 and 3/4L. Although the trainer has two horses in the race I am not too keen on 3yr olds in this race so will leave her other horse alone.....watch it p!ss up on the bridle now


    Wolverhamton 8.30 BIRD FOR LIFE 2pts e/w 20/1 skybet 4 place



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    Saturday Leopardstown 5.30 LAELAPS 2pts e/w 16/1 skybet 6 places

    Laelaps has only tried the 1m4f trip once but he gave a very good try finishing a flying 4th up the hill at Galway. Race comments below

    Dwelt start, held up in rear, pushed along 2f out, still plenty to do 1f out, kept on strongly inside final furlong, went fourth final strides, nearest finish (tchd 16/1)

    Ok he is racing against classier types tomorrow but the way he stormed up that hill at Galway bodes well for tomorrow in my view. He has a dosage of 0.64 Has run well on left handed tracks, cheek pieces first time tomorrow plus now back down to

    He has raced 20 times and has finished in the first four no less that 11 times, only one of the 20 races were at Leopardstown when he was a 2yr old on heavy going he finished 6th btn 5 and 3/4L. Although the trainer has two horses in the race I am not too keen on 3yr olds in this race so will leave her other horse alone.....watch it p!ss up on the bridle now


    Wolverhamton 8.30 BIRD FOR LIFE 2pts e/w 20/1 skybet 4 places

    Flat Lifetime Form: 466895410/36321263206286/6245515213048/91152365845/733360133563909-72782293340

    Wolverhampton Lifetime Form: 2365131566

    Wolverhamtom Lifetime Form Over Class 6……. 2m 1/2f (Tomorrows Distance) 235115

    2nd btn sh hd….OR 51….13 runners

    3rd btn 4L….OR 59…..12 runners

    5th btn 4L….OR 60…..10 runners

    1st by 1.5L…OR 63…..12 runners

    1st by 6L….OR 61…..11 runners

    5th btn 6L…OR 60….12 runners

    Bird for life runs off 49 tomorrow with the kid taking a further 3LB off, I think the stall one will also be a help as when he comes out he will not have to head for the rail as he usually does.

    Trainer ran 216 horse at Wolverhampton over the last five years…16 winners and 53 placers

    Jockey has ridden 111 races resulting in 7 winners and 21 placers

    Over the last 9 years DELEGATOR off spring have run 10 times from 2m to 2m1f resulting in

    3 wins and 6 placers

    Now there is a caveat emptor and that is …………………..the horses style of running however 20/1 is just too big for this horse in this race tomorrow



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    🤣 🤣🤣 10/1 now Bird for life.


    Lets hope its the stables money and not some poxy tipster 😄



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    Looks like I picked the wrong one today, Jessies other horse YASHIN backed from 12s into 9/2 😯



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    Ascot 4.40 Casanova 1pt e/w 33/1 skybet 6 places

    On the off chance that the draw will favour the low draw on the far side I am going to chance CASANOVA ew. Back in 2019 on heavy going it did favour high drawn horse best. There is rain expected at the course this morning and early afternoon CASANOVA has always looked to me softer ground would suit him. The kid riding him takes 7LB off which puts him on 8st 10LB, he was badly hampered at Galway where he was 5/1fav and believe me stables that go to galway with horses that are favourite in them big handicaps always think they have a few LB in hand so at 33s and 6 places I will take a punt.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,297 ✭✭✭Count Dracula


    Get on the bog merchants.

    McSwiney widely available at 80's. Will love the slog.

    Hughie Morrison loves his mudlarks, watch that space.

    Favourite backers beware, it is end of season, horses are only animals and anyone backing odds on shots in October, based on firm ground form from mid June/July needs to give it up.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,165 ✭✭✭Sweet Talkin Romeo


    YEEEEEUPPPPPPP 😁 9/1 will do me

    cheers Del 🙌

    marital arts expert



  • Registered Users Posts: 3 Tattcorner


    Cheers Del, am in profit already...keep it up 😎



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    at last we bag a big priced winner BIRD FOR LIFE 20/1 2pts ew won 9/1

    That's the type of bet we have +42pts profit today loss of six points previous two losers


    anyway that brings our bank to a very useful +76.4 points



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    Favourite backers beware, it is end of season, horses are only animals and anyone backing odds on shots in October, based on firm ground form from mid June/July needs to give it up.


    Badeed 1/4 unpl



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭del roy


    I thought LAELAPS ran a very good race considering the horse fell a sleep in the stalls and then the stupid jockey tried the inside route at Leopardstown as all the rest of the field flew down the outside.

    anyway on to today

    Naas 5.15 Dairerin 2pts e/w 16/1 skybet 5 places

    ran 18 races on the turf winning 4 ...2nd twice and one 3rd

    raced at Naas twice finishing 3rd and 4th, racingpost comments below

    Towards rear of midfield, headway and went third over 1f out, ridden and ran on well towards finish (op 15/2) 3rd

    Held up in rear towards far side, headway when pushed along towards far side from over 2f out, keeping on when bit short of room inside final furlong, went fourth inside final 110yds (op 18/1) 4th ....this was a fairly decent race with the 1st and 2nd being rated 99....90

    over the last 12 months Jessie has send 25 runners to handicap winning only 1 and 6 placed

    Jockey claiming 7LB, his last 4 rides read 1122


    Bank +76.4pts



Advertisement