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Russia - threadbanned users in OP

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  • Registered Users Posts: 5,273 ✭✭✭xxxxxxl




  • Registered Users Posts: 3,877 ✭✭✭Rawr


    That feeds into some suspicions I have about their nuclear arsenal. The biggest in the world? Yes. But how many of them actually work?

    Based what we have seen of their battlefield armor, airforce and navy, Ukraine has been (at best) fighting an army that has been equipped by the Soviet Union of the 1980s. But more likely we’re talking about the Soviet Union of the mid to late 70s right before Afghanistan and the decade of decline that followed it. In terms of rearming and development, very very little appears to have happened in Russia since 1991.

    Nukes are expensive and complex pieces of kit, which I don’t believe they’ve been maintaining. Like the Buran shuttles, they exist but are probably in such a mothballed state that they’d be lucky for them to reach target let alone leave more than just a radioactive hole in some building. I feel (or hope) that the Russians have probably put more effort in maintaining the illusion of a functioning nuclear deterrent in the hope that the fear of it being used is enough to give them the leverage they need…in the hope that they’ll never need to actually show their hand in a MAD situation.



  • Registered Users Posts: 16,628 ✭✭✭✭Francie Barrett


    The Biden administration is privately encouraging Ukraine’s leaders to signal an openness to negotiate with Russia and drop their public refusal to engage in peace talks unless President Vladimir Putin is removed from power, according to people familiar with the discussions.




  • Registered Users Posts: 1,274 ✭✭✭EOQRTL




  • Registered Users Posts: 4,380 ✭✭✭EltonJohn69




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  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]




  • Registered Users Posts: 3,877 ✭✭✭Rawr


    Talks with the Russians are worthless. Unless it’s a discussion for a ceasefire to allow the Russians to pull back beyond Ukraine, The Russian Federation is a dishonest agent that cannot be trusted in any form “Treaty” or “Agreement” that might be borne from talks. They’ll simply use it as a respite to rearm and try again later.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,402 ✭✭✭nigeldaniel


    The US is paying lip service to countries like Italy [about talking to Putin] and I expect they say something else in private to Zelensky and The Ukraine. There will be no peace until Russia packs its bags and goes home and for anyone to say otherwise is leaning toward sadistic Russian politics.

    Dan.



  • Registered Users Posts: 20,053 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    Well considering the last helpful suggestion the yanks had that, Ukraine gives up it's nuclear weapons in return for their guaranteed security, I'd imagine they might play along for appearances, while not letting up for a second.



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,827 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    What's that famous phrase you hear in movies all the time from US administrations..... We don't negotiate with terrorists!



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  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 60,159 Mod ✭✭✭✭Wibbs


    The triggers are just one component with a shelf life, the other "mundane" electronics degrade quickly in a nuclear weapon. That hard radiation plays havoc with electronics. Then the conventional though fancy explosives that drive the nuclear reaction degrade within years too. The Americans spend billions per year maintaining their arsenal. They're very expensive weapons. One of the reasons for treaties for reducing nuclear arms on all sides was the pretty basic factor of the costs involved.

    Rejoice in the awareness of feeling stupid, for that’s how you end up learning new things. If you’re not aware you’re stupid, you probably are.



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,669 ✭✭✭storker


    Particularly good against Super-Mutant Behemoths - as long as you're not too close. The alternative history of the Fallout games has it that the U.S. went fully nuclear after WW2: nuclear cars, motorbikes, even computers IIRC. Shoot up a car and it will eventually explode in a mini mushroom cloud, which is said so be unrealistic because of scale, but still fun to do.



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,776 ✭✭✭zv2


    I heard of one suggestion that nuclear bombs could be used to blast out water-ways across America...duh...

    “Those who can make you believe absurdities can make you commit atrocities.” — Voltaire



  • Registered Users Posts: 23,246 ✭✭✭✭Dyr


    When did the Italians call for talks?

    When did the US give a **** about paying lip service to Italy?

    There's elections in the US, that's what they're paying lip service to.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Talks are inevitable. It’s just a matter of time, and if we are in this position coming into autumn next year, they will absolutely happen



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,062 ✭✭✭Hobgoblin11


    Dundalk, Co. Louth



  • Registered Users Posts: 11,225 ✭✭✭✭Furze99


    Right so if this is 'Really good news', give us an idea of what terms would be acceptable all round, in your humble opinion.


    In my humble opinion, terms would be at least 1) complete withdrawal by Russia to pre 2014 borders 2) reparations as agreed and commensurate with rebuilding all the infrastructure and housing they've destroyed 3) handing over of all Russian citizens wanted for trial of war crimes and 4) that Ukraine may continue with it's application to join the EU.

    So what's your suggestion, seeing as you seem to have views on this war.



  • Registered Users Posts: 801 ✭✭✭Glenomra


    Much earlier than that imo. The Washington post is the official paper for the Democratic government in the US. When they announce that the government want peace talks, peace talks there will be. I note that the Telegraph has repeated the message so obviously the main supporters of Ukraine are preparing the groundwork for negotiations. Governments have recognised that support for the war is declining, as evident in recent polls, major March in Italy against it etc, and responding accordingly.



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,587 ✭✭✭jackboy


    Why would the US care about marches in Italy? Is the war really hurting the Democrats election prospects? What exactly would the US get out of winding down the war?



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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,274 ✭✭✭EOQRTL


    Negotiations are always inevitable. What course they take is anyone's guess. I wouldn't be at all surprised if they have being taken place for a while now through the back channels. I'd like to see Russia accept pre February borders as soon as possible so the killing can stop asap. Both Putin and Zelensky will have to swallow their pride to make it work.



  • Registered Users Posts: 18,568 ✭✭✭✭Bass Reeves


    G20 meeting is on in Bali Tuesday and Wednesday week. There is probably going to be some meetings between Russian and US delegations. Biden and Putin may meet as well

    Slava Ukrainii



  • Registered Users Posts: 3,877 ✭✭✭Rawr


    Jesus Christ man, Zelensky’s Pride has practically nothing to do with the reasons for not giving into Russian demands or conditions for withdrawal. They invaded a sovereign nation of the pretext of a thinly veiled fiction, murdered and raped civilians with abandon, and proceed to collectively punish the nation for having the cheek of wanting to remain free of them.

    Zenensky is but one of many Ukrainians who would tell you were to go with the idea of giving parts of their country or people to the Russians after what they have done.



  • Registered Users Posts: 16,628 ✭✭✭✭Francie Barrett


    Russians are not happy about a botched assault on well entrenched Ukrainian positions in Vuhledar that ended with high casualties.

    Seems we are in a stalemate at the moment. Both sides are dug in and any attack will result in high casualties.



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,081 ✭✭✭relax carry on


    And the war crimes committed by Putin's marauders? And the Ukrainian citizens abducted by Russia? And the cost of the infrastructure and lives destroyed by Russia? And the fact that Russia doesn't keep any agreement it make and will be back to invade again once they have managed round up another conscripted mob. Pride? Are you insane?



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    in my opinion, to have any chance of getting Ukranian children returned, reparations made, and security guarantees, there would need to be negotiations with territory on the table. Surely if Ukraine pushed Russia back to pre-2014 borders by purely military means over the next two or three years, then we’re done. There’d be no chance of getting Ukranian citizens back or holding Russia to any account. Russia would have no incentive to engage and we’d have a heavily militarised border on both sides.

    Western sanctions wouldn’t achieve Russian engagement with respect to Ukraine’s recovery efforts, as I think China and many other countries would see the whole thing as over at that point and normalise relations with Russia.

    I am sure that the next year will show what form negotiations will take. If Russia digs and it’s a stalemate then it’ll be very different conversation to that which would take place if Ukraine is still making good advances.



  • Registered Users Posts: 2,062 ✭✭✭Hobgoblin11


    unfortunately its true, Russia lost the first Chechen war, went away changed tactics, came back reduced Grozny to rubble, killed all men of fighting age and won the second war

    Dundalk, Co. Louth



  • Registered Users Posts: 13,520 ✭✭✭✭Igotadose


    no, the WaPO isn't the official government paper. Where the heck did you get that from?

    The USG has mechanisms to make announcements - like, announcements.

    It's just another newspaper like the NY times, LA times, Wall Street Journal. There's freedom of the press in the US, freedom from the government running it (like the BBC or RTE.)



  • Registered Users Posts: 20,053 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    If the US ever back out of supporting Ukraine - they are in the G7 right? - then their ability to exert foreign policy would be permanently wrecked. Trump was hopefully a one off, where you actually had a traitor as president. The US won't be able to repair another backsliding on commitments such as Trump did and would do if he's re-elected. In the case of Ukraine, this would be a third failure in a row, and it wouldn't go unnoticed.

    The US managed to persuade Ukraine to give up nuclear weapons in return for a commitment to ensure it's security. When the call to do so came, their commitments turned out to be a lie, in the form of Biden ruling out putting US boots on the ground and not putting US troops in Ukraine prior ro the invasion - which he should have done.

    The US has said it will support Ukraine, no matter what it takes. If the Republicans renege on that, well the next time the US tries it's hand at maintaining nuclear non-proliferation, they will be told to f*** off, and rightly so.

    This is the G7 statement:

    “We reiterate our unwavering commitment to continue providing the financial, humanitarian, defence, political, technical, and legal support Ukraine needs to alleviate the suffering of its people and to uphold its sovereignty and territorial integrity”

    So breaking that would be strike 3. Since Trump currently defines the Republicans world view - that the US doesn't need to engage in global affairs, and should only be inward looking, those with an opposing view should be calling for Trump to be tried for sedition.

    https://www.snopes.com/news/2022/06/22/trump-trial-capitol/



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  • Registered Users Posts: 20,053 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    I disagree, it's simply a matter of making the return of children and other Ukrainian citizens as a condition for the lifting of sanctions. They aren't getting their foreign reserves back as those will be needed for reparations.



This discussion has been closed.
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