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What does the future hold for Donald Trump? - threadbans in OP

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 85,278 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    So regarding rally bias, how many of Trump's rally attendees are local, and how many are just the superfans astroturfing with him around the country to give the appearance of broader grassroots support?

    He's long had a group of rally megafans (Klepper IIRC has ran into a few regulars of his own) https://www.wsj.com/articles/its-kind-of-like-an-addiction-on-the-road-with-trumps-rally-diehards-11567762200



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,665 ✭✭✭✭extra gravy


    And so it begins, watching them turn on each other is delightful! Surprised he knew such a big word, it was probably wasted on that crowd though.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,495 ✭✭✭francois


    Blame Antifa psyops

    https://t.co/QGyoEwyTpa



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,250 ✭✭✭✭briany


    If Trump does (or can) run again, there isn't going to be a Republican primary in the traditional sense. Who's someone from that party who could clinch the nomination who's not a Trumpist? And how could a Trumpist run against Trump? That'd be ridiculous. They'd have to simultaneously endorse Donald Trump while trying to outline why he shouldn't be the nominee. Forget physicists trying to merge their theory of gravity with the other fundamental forces. I think I've just found an even harder equation.

    If Trump runs again, DeSantis will get down on his knees before Donald, just like everyone else in that party who wants to stay somewhat relevant. He doesn't have to like it, but that's what it is.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,986 ✭✭✭✭Tell me how


    One thing that I think no one can dispute, is that all the most capable leaders who have objectively been the most successful always been elected because most people supported them in manners such as this guy here.

    Like, people don't notice calm and measured governance, or an ability to get some partisan support, or to win successive elections or negotiate deals, pass legislation and have forward thinking etc.

    What really influences people is who has the biggest fan club, like, who gives a flying fcuk if you can afford healthcare or housing as long as your guy has the most flags and encourages the same group of people (literally) to go to multiple rallies in different states. This is what all high quality political leaders have always been known for.

    (Yes this was an episode of sunday evening sarcasm. The fcuking state of this clowns truck.)



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  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 16,244 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    It's very simple - It's about MONEY.

    He could declare any time he likes - He officially declared for 2020 only a few weeks after taking office in 2017 so time scale isn't the issue.

    By not declaring officially , he can continue to have run "Save America" PAC which is not subject to anything like the same kind of financial oversight as an official campaign fund. He basically can use that money any way he wants and just give it to himself - Which is exactly what he has been doing.

    He's also been able to have the GOP pay all his legal bills so far and they have said that as soon as he declares that will stop as they can't fund one candidate and not the others etc.

    So like every single decision Trump makes it's all about which option allows him to grift the most money , and delaying the official announcement is it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 85,278 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    The money people don't care about social issues they care about money

    Trump has lost his most important supporters.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,194 ✭✭✭✭everlast75


    Couldn't let the occasion go by unmarked...



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 22,606 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,340 ✭✭✭PropJoe10


    I disagree to a certain extent. Some of Trump's policies were quite popular with the US electorate so there is an economic and social agenda platform there to run on for another Republican. The most unpopular part of the Trump administration was Trump himself and the constant circus of nonsense from the first day to the last day of his presidency. Someone COULD run on the platform of bringing his agenda but not his horrific personality and ant-democracy leanings.

    Having said that, you're right about the fact that if and when he does announce, nobody will run against him, simply because they're all too afraid of him.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,594 ✭✭✭✭Tony EH


    Trump never had any actual solid policies though. He had sound bites. Some of which sounded great to the ordinary Joe left behind by the general state of the American political system. Unfortunately for them, though, it was all just a load of bollocks.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,759 ✭✭✭✭duploelabs


    Which poster here claimed that the Russians didn't interfere with US elections?


    'Putin's chef' Yevgeny Prigozhin admits interfering in U.S. elections




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,250 ✭✭✭✭briany


    Only unpopular with the moderates and independents. The base eat that ignorant shite up. You can have an more polished candidate, but they need the base's vote and they only receive that with a Trump endorsement or if Trump is unable to run.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,250 ✭✭✭✭briany


    That's hardly new information, really.

    Anyway, seeking to influence another country's elections seem to be an almost accepted part of the 'great game' of international politics between rivals, although I would draw a distinction between seeking to influence opinion and literally sabotaging an election by flipping votes somehow, which is what the Trumpies are alleging with 2020.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 85,278 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    Is Trump gonna go off the deep end tonight now that WSJ and other rightwing institutions are pulling the plug on him following #DeSanctimonious?




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,194 ✭✭✭✭everlast75


    I sincerely hope the media have learned their lesson (but don't think they have) in giving him continual coverage. Wait until he does something and cover it if you must but don't hang on his every word



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,770 ✭✭✭✭Leroy42


    They haven't. Already this morning I have seen numerous headlines that Trump may be announcing his run on the 15th. So he didn't say anything but gets wall-to-wall coverage of what he may or may not say.

    And if he does ruun, the first question that any, and all journalists should ask, if why he is going to run if the elections are rigged. Isn't it just complete waste of everyone's time and money that would be better spent elsewhere?

    But instead, it will be breathless coverage of how DeSantis feels, how Biden will cope with the Trump machine, how HC is fuming etc.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,194 ✭✭✭✭everlast75


    "the first question that any, and all journalists should ask, if why he is going to run if the elections are rigged"

    And another - if you and your lawyers are in court swearing court documents stating that you won the election, how could you possibly run for a third term?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 609 ✭✭✭RickBlaine


    He thinks he won the election but he wasn't sworn in as president for a second term. He has still only served one term.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,194 ✭✭✭✭everlast75


    No.

    His documents say he *did* win, not that he thinks he did. He is campaigning off the fact that he won.

    He hasn't got the mental capacity to admit losing. Journalists should put that question to him. Make him explain it.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,194 ✭✭✭✭everlast75




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 85,278 ✭✭✭✭Overheal




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 609 ✭✭✭RickBlaine


    He'll explain his eligibility for 2024 by saying he only served one term and that he was only elected once. He'll say he won the general election but the electoral college elected Biden as part of "the steal".

    It is totally insane because he cannot admit to loosing, but I don't think it is a gotcha question for him to answer. He's just spew his usual BS nonsense.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,071 ✭✭✭Christy42


    I saw people arguing he should get 3 terms cos the media was so mean to him during his first term and it shouldn't count. This was just after he lost to Biden but among some of his supporters who believed the result would be overturned any day.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 85,278 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    Sad Trombones for Trump

    A political shakeup fracas wont save him from state crimes.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,495 ✭✭✭francois




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 85,278 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    Much hand wringing tonight in the GOP as they have another consecutive fizzle - no red wave. Senate likely still in Dem hands, states flipped to blue governors, etc. though GOP might take the House.

    It would be interesting to see if Trump actually had the goods on the GOP to tear it down in a fit of spite. Ah.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,538 ✭✭✭✭ohnonotgmail


    I don't think he even needs to do that. He just has to say the GOP stabbed him in the back and his base will just stay home at election time. The Dems would romp home.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,194 ✭✭✭✭everlast75


    I said it before and I'll say it again.

    Trump Vs Biden was perfect in 2020.

    Trump Vs Biden will be perfect for 2024.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,493 ✭✭✭EltonJohn69


    Trump being blamed for last night’s Republican performance. If he runs against DeSantis he will cause chaos.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,340 ✭✭✭PropJoe10


    Even if the GOP takes the house, this is a clear rejection of Trump and his politics of lies and hate. Despite how unpopular Biden is with voters, its hardly even a red ripple never mind a wave. The GOP leadership must be frantically trying to find a way to stop Trump from running in 2024.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Spent some time with my partners family in Michigan this summer and the feeling I got from talking to some of our friends who voted republican is that there is real disquiet about the continuing profile of the voting fraud conspiracy. This lack of ‘red wave’ does not surprise me at all. That so many republicans have hitched their wagon to the ‘stolen election’ narrative is doing them serious damage across the quiet majority IMO and I don’t believe that Trump has any chance of winning the next election if he’s put forward as the republican candidate. Or indeed any candidate running on a Trumpism, electoral fraud ticket



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 16,244 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    That's it exactly - He'll call them all Rinos and 20% of the GOP vote will stay at home.

    He won't run as a 3rd party candidate or anything like that because that would require money and effort - Money he won't spend and effort he won't put in.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,759 ✭✭✭✭duploelabs


    Trump won't be put forward as a candidate by the republican party, however trump will announce himself as the republican candidate. Major split in the republican party in the next 18 months



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,340 ✭✭✭PropJoe10


    Sounds perfect to me. It's lovely watching the GOP implode. At the same time, a country needs at least two functioning political parties to work properly. The GOP is not functioning at the moment, and it definitely won't be functioning if Trump announces for 2024. The in-fighting will be unreal.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,917 ✭✭✭✭Igotadose


    Much can happen in 2 years. The absolute best thing for the 2024 Potus race is if TFG announces next week. I actually expect he won't, and eventually endorse whoever gets the announcement on condition (quid pro quo of course) of getting a POTUS pardon when/if that candidate wins.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    The most notable thing for me is not the outcome of the senate and the house races….there are the usual mid-term dynamics at play (though definitely a strong Democrat performance in the context of the economic and cost of living challenges)

    It’s the performance of the Trump endorsed governors, most notably Kari Lake, who have overwhelmingly been soundly beaten. That’s where you need to be looking to assess the health of Trumpism



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,503 ✭✭✭✭Mad_maxx


    trump won’t ever admit it but his base has now been shrunk to near cult level , mainstream GOP got the green light to dump him last night



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,194 ✭✭✭✭everlast75


    he's already embraced Q-Anon.

    Maybe he'll complete his transformation into a Jim Jones like figure.

    As someone remarked online, "the only difference between Jim Jones and Donald Trump is, Trump would charge you for the koolaid"



  • Registered Users Posts: 5,398 ✭✭✭Cody montana


    Get the popcorn ready as this is going to be epic.

    Tear each other apart and split the vote.



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  • Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 7,412 Mod ✭✭✭✭pleasant Co.


    So, he never came here to discuss it, all he wanted to do was silence you in the other thread?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,695 ✭✭✭✭osarusan


    Not a disastrous night for the Republicans, but a clear sign that Trumpesque / Trum-endorsed candidates are losing ground.

    The Republican have the same issue they have always had - how to get rid of Trump without alienating his base. Now they can clearly see that his base/influence is shrinking.

    But how to get Trump to quietly slip out of the spotlight, or even better from their perspective, to get him to endorse a candidate that also has mainstreap GOP support, is not something that will be easy to achieve. It isn't as if Trump has any great love for the GOP, or any interest in taking steps to maintain their popularity in his absence by doing what's best for the party.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,759 ✭✭✭✭duploelabs




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,770 ✭✭✭✭Leroy42


    It is a disastrous night really. They should have won far more. History of mid-terms, Bidens own approval ratings, inflation, gas prices.

    Very poor performance and doesn't bode well for 2024. That it is now abundantly clear that Trump is not a winner for them, but that should have been obvious as far back as 2020. But the key problem remains exactly as it was.

    How can then pivot away from Trump without splitting the party? That was the case back in 2020, and remains the case now. If the lie about election fraud wasn't enough. If the attempted coup on Jan 6th wasn't enough. Then how will this be enough?

    It isn't, not for Trump or his supporters. So the GOP are in a real hole now. The best option would have been to win convincingly and De Santis to do relatively poorly. That the opposite happens means that Trump is now weakened, De Santis is more powerful, but Trump will now go away.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,527 ✭✭✭✭kowloon


    He did have that whole Reform Party campaign in 2000. I'm sure that taught him all he needed to know about running for a third party and what a waste of time it was.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,337 ✭✭✭✭MisterAnarchy


    Thats very true, its almost certain that the next president will be a Democrat because as bad as they are the GOP are alot worse.

    The Democrats could run a scarecrow in 2024.

    There seems to be a dearth of talent in Global politics, utter cabbages running the US, UK and Ireland at the moment.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,353 ✭✭✭rogber


    Vile party, vile man, both LOSERS, would live to see them turn on each other now



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,770 ✭✭✭✭Leroy42


    People get what they vote for. If people are going to continue to be duped by con artists like Trump, Johnson etc and laugh at serious politicians for being boring then that is what they are going to get.

    The likes of Trump, Johnson, Truss etc should be nowhere near leadership levels in any properly functioning democracy, and if the outlier does manage to get through then the checks should be in place to limit the effects.

    But in a democracy sometimes it all comes down to the lesser of two evils. Don't let the great perfect be the enemy of the good. Too many people were too quick to latch on the faults of HC and allowed such a terrible candidate as Trump to lie his way, and then even after what some could generously call taking a chance, have refused to accept the error and doubled down.

    Lat night the US seems to have taken a further step to try to undo the damage and move back towards taking democracy seriously again.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,427 ✭✭✭thomil


    It's really saying something when Irish politicians appear to be the most professional players on the field, at least when compared to the other two nations you mentioned.

    Having said that, I do believe as if the Trump phenomenon and the dearth of global political talent are related. Politics, whether on a domestic or international level, tend to be messy, ugly and complex at the best of times, and it requires a lot of time, effort and energy to really stay informed about the myriad of issues and the attitudes of the numerous political players towards them. It appears to me as if more and more people just don't want to invest this time and energy anymore and will either gravitate towards those that offer seemingly simple solutions or those that find a convenient scapegoat for all issues, which feeds into the increasingly tribalist nature of politics we tend to see on the rise.

    Good luck trying to figure me out. I haven't managed that myself yet!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,986 ✭✭✭✭Tell me how


    Who was the last government leader in Ireland, the UK or the US that was the type of leader that you want to see again?

    Biden has been much better than I thought he was going to be and the biggest regret I have is that if he hadn't lost his son to cancer, he could well have run in 2016 and we would never have had to experience what we have done and the absolute drop in standards within the Republican party as the turned towards people who spouted Trump like rhetoric.

    Biden is showing his years, everyone does, so I don't think there's 6 more years in him but I cannot understand how anyone can look at initiatives to make healthcare more affordable, to prevent gas company profiteering, to cut student debt, to invest in infrastructure and industry and turn towards what Trump and those like him go on about.

    I, like others, would enjoy watching Trump get his comeuppence, finally, but I do hope he sets fire to the GOP before this happens (if it does). They deserve it for how they succumbed to him over the last 6 years and particularly since Jan 6th. Watching the trust in the electoral process being set fire to as was done was extremely concerning.



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